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11 04, 2024

Suing Big Oil Is Becoming a Lucrative Business

By |2024-04-11T18:24:13+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


First it was a group of children in Montana. Then, in Portugal, a group sued their local governments for allowing climate change to happen. The Montana group even won. It’s open season for suing governments—and Big Oil.

Of course, the supermajors have been a top target for environmentalist groups and some local authorities in the U.S. for years, but the lawsuits have not really resulted in any significant victories for the plaintiffs—yet.

But now it seems that anyone who has reason to be unhappy with their lot can just take Big Oil to court, which is exactly what one Belgian farmer did a month ago. According to Hugues Falys, “Climate change is having a tangible impact on my work and life: yield losses, extra work, and the stress that comes from dealing with a disrupted crop calendar.”

“My profession is intimately linked to the climate. In recent years, climate change has caused farmers a great deal of damage and left us uncertain about the future,” the farmer explained in March. Yet rather than suing all the Big Oil majors, Falys singled out TotalEnergies—possibly because it is the largest fuel distributor in Belgium.

Falys’s case opens in mid-April, and it may be interesting to keep an eye on developments in the courtroom as a possible sign of things to come. Meanwhile, Shell’s appeal against a landmark climate ruling by a Dutch court also began this month in The Hague.

Back in 2021, the District Court in The Hague ordered the oil supermajor to slash its carbon emissions by 45% by 2030 in a first-of-its-kind ruling in a climate case brought by environmentalists that could set precedents for other oil companies. The court said Shell must start doing this immediately and include the so-called Scope 3 emissions, those generated by the use of its producers, per the order.

Shell appealed the ruling and, at the hearing, will argue that the original ruling had no legal basis and that it also overstepped the boundaries of judiciary authority, per the Financial Times. The environmentalist organization that won the original case, for its part, will present the same argument it used in 2021: that Shell has an obligation to act in accordance with studies suggesting the oil and gas industry causes changes in weather patterns and in accordance with international agreements such as the Paris Agreement.

Meanwhile, that same group of activists, Friends of the Earth, is threatening to sue ING—a Dutch lender that, like all lenders, does business with the oil and gas industry. The reason: that the bank does business with the oil and gas industry.

In January this year, Friends of the Earth sent the CEO of ING, Steven van Rijswijk, a notice of legal liability, informing him that the bank had violated its legal obligations “by contributing to dangerous climate change.”

In another remarkable development in the litigation world, a climate NGO claims that Big Oil majors can be sued for what they call “climate homicide.” The theory is that Big Oil knew about climate change but hid it, while climate change caused fatalities. For now, many believe this theory is outlandish and it would break down in court but its authors are not giving up, saying there has been interest from prosecutors.

Suing Big Oil is already a business, and in some cases it can be a lucrative business. Pushing the boundaries of what grievances can be taken to court is a marked feature of the litigation push against Big Oil—and a sign of tough times to come for an industry with a big climate change target on its back.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com

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11 04, 2024

Wall Street Remains On The Sidelines as Oil Jumps to $90

By |2024-04-11T18:24:11+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


After a slow start to the year, energy has emerged as the sector to watch with crude oil futures soaring to a five-month high in the wake of escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Iran has vowed revenge on Israel after an airstrike on its embassy complex in Syria on Monday left two top generals and five military advisors dead, while yet another Ukrainian drone attack has struck one of Russia’s biggest oil refineries. WTI crude for April delivery has rallied to $86.76 per barrel while Brent May futures rose to $90.98. 

Lately, the energy sector has garnered the most momentum amongst  11 U.S. market sectors after rocketing 11.5% over the past 30 days; in comparison, the utilities sector has posted the second-highest gains after climbing 6.6% while the S&P 500 has notched 1.3% higher over the timeframe.


It’s headlines, not fundamentals” that lifted WTI, Mizuho’s Robert Yawger says, adding the biggest impact by the Middle East conflict has, so far, been to raise the cost of transport and insurance for ships plying the Red Sea. However, he has conceded that the latest strike in Syria “just ticks that much closer to dragging Iranian production into the conflict. Despite a flurry of diplomatic activity meant to turn down the heat on the situation, there is definitely a chance the Iranians response will not be as measured this time,” Yawger says.

However, not all analysts think that the oil price rally is merely being driven by headlines and sentiment. Commodity analysts at Standard Chartered have predicted that oil fundamentals remain strong and oil prices are set to trade in the lower $90s. StanChart has pointed out that fundamentals in oil markets remain strong, leaving OPEC with ample room to increase output in Q3 without either causing inventories to rise or prices to weaken. Related: Oil Surges Over $90 as UAE Cuts Diplomatic Ties with Israel



According to StanChart, one of the remarkable features of this year’s oil price rally is that market bulls have largely been missing in action. StanChart notes that Wall Street remains guarded about the oil price outlook, with the analysts’ Q2 Brent forecast of USD 94/bbl currently the only forecast above USD 90/bbl among 34 Wall Street forecasts. Indeed, both the median and the mean of the Q2 Bloomberg consensus panel currently stand at USD 83/bbl, virtually unchanged from the beginning of the year despite the markets tightening considerably. StanChart notes that even erstwhile oil price bulls have relatively low Q2 price forecasts. The bearish price views would be justified if fundamentals were looking weak, inventories were high and/or’ OPEC policy appeared uncertain or if geopolitics appeared benign. However, StanChart points out that none of these conditions hold, with the exact opposite being true. StanChart concedes that this cautious approach may yet prove to be correct, but says that several months of tighter fundamental readings and a near USD 15/bbl YTD price rally could finally persuade the bulls to cross the aisle.





Further Oil Price Gains

The latest Petroleum Supply Monthly (PSM) data released by the EIA on 29 March puts the all-time record high for U.S. crude oil output at 13.295mb/d, which was the country’s average output in both November and December 2023. StanChart has, however, predicted that U.S. output will remain flat with the all-time high not likely to be surpassed until August 2024 and again in October. 

StanChart reckons that the U.S. market swung into a deficit of over 1.7 mb/d in both February and March, with the seasonal recovery in demand offsetting the recovery in U.S. output from its January low. The commodity experts estimate there was a counter-seasonal Q1 inventory draw of 1.12 mb/d, which led to a significant tightening compared with the inventory build recorded in Q1-2023. StanChart attributes the ongoing oil price rally to the 3 mb/d relative improvement from Q1-2023, and sees further price gains coming in Q2-2024.

Thankfully for the bulls, a section of Wall Street is beginning to warm up to oil and gas stocks.

According to Citi, Energy (XLE) is now the most crowded U.S. quant factor, noting that the sector tends to underperform over the next one to six months when it becomes red-hot. However, not everybody is convinced by the energy sector’s huge momentum. Meanwhile, Morgan Stanley remains pessimistic about the U.S. stock market in general; however, MS has upgraded energy stocks to overweight from neutral, noting that energy companies have lagged the performance of oil, and the sector is favorably valued.



Taking the Fed’s recent messaging into account and assuming it is less concerned about inflation or looser financial conditions, commodity-oriented cyclicals and energy, in particular, could be due for a catch-up,” they have said.

By Alex Kimani for Oilprice.com

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11 04, 2024

Oil Prices Surge as Geopolitical Risk Rises

By |2024-04-11T18:24:10+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Oil Prices Surge

WTI crude oil’s current bullish trend, closely following Brent crude’s movements, has placed it at a crucial point for traders. This trend, driven by a mix of geopolitical tensions and economic factors, is pivotal in determining the future direction of oil prices.

Heightened Geopolitical Tensions Influencing Market

The surge in WTI crude oil prices is primarily due to escalating geopolitical unrest in the Middle East, especially tensions involving Israel and Iran. Such conflicts often lead to uncertainties in oil supply, thereby influencing global oil prices. This situation has directly contributed to the upward movement of WTI prices.

Brent Crude’s Impact on WTI

Parallel to these geopolitical developments, Brent crude has experienced a significant rally, surpassing $91 per barrel. This upward trend in Brent, a global oil benchmark, has directly influenced WTI prices. The close correlation between these two benchmarks means that trends in Brent often have a similar effect on WTI, as seen in the current market situation.

Economic Factors Shaping the Oil Market

In addition to geopolitical issues, economic elements are also shaping the oil market. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policies and the global economic health significantly impact oil prices. The Fed’s measures to manage inflation and promote economic stability are crucial in this context. A strong economic recovery can lead to increased oil demand, supporting…

Oil Prices Surge

WTI crude oil’s current bullish trend, closely following Brent crude’s movements, has placed it at a crucial point for traders. This trend, driven by a mix of geopolitical tensions and economic factors, is pivotal in determining the future direction of oil prices.


Heightened Geopolitical Tensions Influencing Market

The surge in WTI crude oil prices is primarily due to escalating geopolitical unrest in the Middle East, especially tensions involving Israel and Iran. Such conflicts often lead to uncertainties in oil supply, thereby influencing global oil prices. This situation has directly contributed to the upward movement of WTI prices.


Brent Crude’s Impact on WTI




Parallel to these geopolitical developments, Brent crude has experienced a significant rally, surpassing $91 per barrel. This upward trend in Brent, a global oil benchmark, has directly influenced WTI prices. The close correlation between these two benchmarks means that trends in Brent often have a similar effect on WTI, as seen in the current market situation.

Economic Factors Shaping the Oil Market

In addition to geopolitical issues, economic elements are also shaping the oil market. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policies and the global economic health significantly impact oil prices. The Fed’s measures to manage inflation and promote economic stability are crucial in this context. A strong economic recovery can lead to increased oil demand, supporting higher prices, while economic slowdowns or policy changes that impact growth can lead to lower oil prices.

EIA Report: A Mixed Bag for Oil Traders

The recent U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) report revealed a rise in U.S. crude oil stocks, contrary to analysts’ expectations of a decrease, with a significant build of 3.2 million barrels. This increase contrasts with the substantial decrease in gasoline and distillate inventories, which exceeded analysts’ forecasts. High nationwide gasoline prices, stable OPEC+ production, and various refinery outages in the U.S. are influencing these trends. The market is balancing these factors, indicating both potential supply growth and increased fuel demand, especially as the summer driving season approaches.


Supply-Demand Imbalance

The oil market is currently experiencing a supply shortage, exacerbated by OPEC+ production cuts and reduced investment in oil exploration. On the demand side, there’s a resurgence as global economies recover from the pandemic. This imbalance between supply and demand is a critical factor supporting the current bullish sentiment in the oil market.

Weekly Technical Analysis

Weekly May WTI Crude Oil

Trend Indicator Analysis

The main trend is up. This week, the market blew through our first target at $84.87, putting $88.31 on the radar. With this move, the new main bottom becomes $71.52.  A trade through this level will change the main trend to down.  

Retracement Level Analysis

The contract range is $39.02 to $88.31. Its retracement zone at $63.67 to $57.85 is the major support zone. This area stopped the selling the week-ending June 16, 2023 at $65.18. This is a major long-term value zone.

The intermediate range is $58.73 to $88.31. Its retracement zone at $77.10 to $79.95 is resistance. The market is currently testing this area.

The minor range is $65.00 to $85.75. Its retracement zone at $73.52 to $70.03 is another value zone.

The short-term range is $88.31 to $65.18. The market is currently on the strong side of its retracement zone at $79.47 to $76.75, making it near-term support.

Weekly Technical Forecast

The direction of the May WTI crude oil market the week-ending April 12 is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the short-term Fibonacci level at $79.47.  

Bullish Scenario

A sustained move over $79.47 will signal the presence of strong buyers. If this creates enough near-term momentum then we could see an acceleration to the upside with the main top at $88.31 the next target. There is little resistance on the weekly chart until this level.

Bearish Scenario

A sustained move under $79.47 will indicate the presence of sellers. This could drive the market into the short-term 50% level at $76.75. Holding this level could create a rangebound trade. If it fails to hold as support then $73.52 to $70.03 will become the next target zone.

Short-Term Market Forecast

The short-term outlook for WTI crude oil remains bullish. Geopolitical tensions in key oil-producing regions are expected to maintain supply concerns, which support higher prices. Additionally, the performance of Brent crude remains a relevant factor for WTI trends. The actions of the Federal Reserve and the path of global economic recovery will also be crucial factors to monitor.

However, this bullish outlook comes with potential risks. Any significant reduction in geopolitical tensions or changes in economic policies, especially by the Federal Reserve, could change the market direction. Traders should stay alert to these evolving situations.

In summary, the combination of geopolitical and economic factors, along with supply-demand issues in the oil market, suggests a continued upward trend for WTI crude oil in the short term. However, this trend depends on a complex and changing global scenario, requiring traders to monitor developments closely and adapt their strategies accordingly.

Technically speaking, there appears to be enough upside momentum to take a shot at $88.31 next week, followed by the elusive $90.00 level. The uptrend is likely to remain in motion until hit by an opposing force like a weekly closing price reversal top.



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11 04, 2024

Poor US export sales, large South American crop weigh on soybeans

By |2024-04-11T18:24:08+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Source: Sosland Publishing Co.
Recap for April 4

  • Soybean futures were pressured Thursday by lower-than-expected export sales and abundant South American production. Kansas City and Chicago wheat futures ended mixed while Minneapolis wheat futures closed with solid gains. Traders processed news that a Russian grain trader had refuted prior reports that some of its exports were being restricted by local authorities. Strong export sales gave support to corn futures, as did a weakening US dollar, but gains were limited by ample supplies and a forecast for good planting weather. May corn added 3½¢ to close at $4.35¼ per bu. Chicago May wheat ticked up ¼¢ to close at $5.56¼ per bu; later months were narrowly mixed. Kansas City May wheat declined 3¢ and closed at $5.77½ per bu; later months were narrowly mixed. Minneapolis May wheat added 6¾¢ and closed at $6.46¼ per bu. May soybeans were 2¼¢ lower and closed at $11.80 per bu; March 2025 and beyond were slightly higher. May soybean meal was up $3.50 to close at $333.50 per ton. May soybean oil lost 0.7¢ to close at 48.15¢ a lb.
  • US crude oil prices continued to climb Thursday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 1.16¢ to close at $86.59 per barrel. 
  • US equity markets dropped on Thursday after a Federal Reserve official alluded to the possibility that interest rate cuts may not happen in 2024. Rising oil prices and escalating tensions in the Middle East also pressured stocks. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 530.16 points, or 1.35%, to close at 38,596.98. The Standard & Poor’s 500 lost 64.28 points, or 1.23%, to close at 5,147.21. The Nasdaq Composite tumbled 228.38 points, or 1.4%, to close at 16,049.08. 
  • The US dollar index closed lower for a third straight day Thursday. 
  • US gold futures ended their rally streak Thursday. The April contract gave back $5.60 to close at $2,288.80 per oz.

Recap for April 3

  • Wheat futures launched a rebound Wednesday after sliding lower since the new week, month and quarter began. Lifting wheat was a round of short covering, technical trading, a weakening dollar and geopolitical news after Russia halted exports on some ships owned by one of the biggest local grain trading houses. Corn futures, too, firmed on short covering as the dollar weakened, though gains were limited by ample supplies and forecasts for good planting weather later this month on the heels of rainy, snowy conditions this week that improved soil moisture. Also, technical buying and short covering were behind soybean futures’ bounce from one-month lows induced by lackluster demand and increasing South American supplies. May corn added 5¼¢ to close at $4.31¾ per bu. Chicago May wheat jumped 10¾¢ to close at $5.56 per bu. Kansas City May wheat soared 17¼¢ higher and closed at $5.80½ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat added 12¢ and closed at $6.39½ per bu. May soybeans advanced 8¼¢ to close at $11.82¼ per bu. May soybean meal was up $1.70 to close at $330 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.25¢ to close at 48.85¢ a lb.
  • US crude oil prices hit the highest levels since late October Wednesday on concerns about supply disruptions due to Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries and a vow of revenge against Israel by Hamas-backer Iran, the third-largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cartel. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 28¢ to close at $85.43 per barrel. 
  • US equity markets were mixed Wednesday, the Dow industrial index slipping while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained, the latter snapping a two-day losing streak after Fed chairman Jerome Powell said a strong economy hasn’t changed the expectation interest rate cuts will be warranted later this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eased 43.10 points, or 0.11%, to close at 39,127.14. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 5.68 points, or 0.11%, to close at 5,211.49. The Nasdaq Composite added 37.01 points, or 0.23%, to close at 16,277.46. 
  • The US dollar index closed lower again Wednesday. 
  • US gold futures jumped higher again Wednesday. The April contract added $33.40 to close at $2,294.40 per oz.

Recap for April 2

  • US wheat futures continued lower Tuesday, a day after the USDA said winter wheat was in the best early spring shape since 2019. Beneficial rains in the forecast for the dry southern Plains added pressure as did cheap grain on the global market that limited US export demand. Corn futures also dipped as forecasts indicated good spring planting weather ahead that eased concerns about the USDA’s lower-than-expected acreage outlook issued late last week. Soybean futures trended higher before breaking through previous support levels, which initiated technical selling and lower closing prices. May corn fell 9¢ to close at $4.26½ per bu. Chicago May wheat declined 11¾¢ to close at $5.45¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat fell 12¼¢ and closed at $5.63¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 7¼¢ and closed at $6.27½ per bu. May soybeans shed 11¾¢ to close at $11.74 per bu. May soybean meal was down $5.10 to close at $328.30 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.36¢ to close at 48.6¢ a lb.
  • US crude oil prices were higher again Tuesday, pushing the Brent benchmark above $89 a bu for the first time since October. Support came from escalating Middle East conflict and a Ukrainian drone strike on one of Russia’s biggest refineries. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added $1.44 to close at $85.15 per barrel. 
  • The US dollar index closed lower Tuesday. 
  • US gold futures jumped higher Tuesday. The April contract added $24.50 to close at $2,261 per oz.
  • US equity markets closed lower Tuesday, pressured by climbing bond yields, rising crude oil prices and widening doubts that the Federal Reserve fully contained inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 396.61 points, or 1%, to close at 39,170.24. The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 37.96 points, or 0.72%, to close at 5,205.81. The Nasdaq Composite fell 156.38 points, or 0.95%, to close at 16,240.45. 

Recap for April 1

  • Ample supplies weighed on US grain and oilseed futures Monday. Traders took profits off last week’s steep gains in the corn market precipitated by the USDA pegging corn acreage below expectations. Some surmised seeded area would increase due to good planting weather in forecasts. Wheat futures were pressured by expectations for improved crop conditions that did not materialize. Soybeans followed wheat and corn lower while under pressure from seasonally slowing US export demand. May corn fell 6½¢ to close at $4.35½ per bu. Chicago May wheat shed 3¼¢ to close at $5.57 per bu; later months were mixed. Kansas City May wheat fell 9¾¢ and closed at $5.75½ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 10¼¢ and closed at $6.34¾ per bu. May soybeans lost 5¾¢ to close at $11.85¾ per bu. May soybean meal was down $4.30 to close at $333.40 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.29¢ to close at 48.24¢ a lb.
  • The US dollar index closed higher Monday. 
  • US gold futures climbed Monday despite the strengthening dollar. The April contract added $19.10 to close at $2,236.50 per oz.
  • US equity markets posted mixed closes to open the second quarter Monday. The Nasdaq advanced while the Dow industrials index and S&P 500 slipped after a closely watched report, the ISM manufacturing index for March, based on a survey of purchasing managers, came in at 50.3, up from 47.8 in February and above the 48.1 reading anticipated by economists in a Wall Street Journal survey. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 240.52 points, or 0.6%, to close at 39,566.85. The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 10.58 points, or 0.2%, to close at 5,243.77. The Nasdaq Composite added 17.37 points, or 0.11%, to close at 16,396.83. 
  • US crude oil prices were higher Monday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 54¢ to close at $83.71 per barrel. 

Recap for March 28

  • Corn futures Thursday posted their largest one-day rally since July after the USDA estimated March 1 corn stocks and projected 2024 corn plantings below trade estimates. Winter wheat futures followed corn higher even as all-wheat stocks and plantings slightly topped expectations. Meanwhile, spring wheat futures took a downturn after spring wheat and durum planting expectations topped projections. May corn jumped 15¼¢ to close at $4.42 per bu. Chicago May wheat added 12¾¢ to close at $5.60¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat added 7¢ and closed at $5.85¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 6¢ and closed at $6.45 per bu. May soybeans lost 1¢ to close at $11.91½ per bu; the September future and beyond were higher. May soybean meal was down $1.30 to close at $337.70 per ton; later months were mixed. May soybean oil added 0.28¢ to close at 47.95¢ a lb.
  • The US dollar index closed higher Thursday. 
  • US gold futures soared Thursday despite the strengthening dollar. The April contract added $26.80 to close at $2,217.40 per oz
  • US equity markets were mixed Thursday. The S&P 500 notched a 22nd record-high close of 2024 and its best first quarter since 2019. Support was drawn from a report noting the US economy grew in the fourth quarter even more than previously thought, according to the government’s revised estimate for gross domestic product. A University of Michigan survey said consumer confidence rose to its highest level in almost three years. The DJIA also closed at a record high. The US stock and bond markets will be closed for Good Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 47.29 points, or 0.12%, to close at 39,807.37. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 5.86 points, or 0.11%, to close at 5,254.35. The Nasdaq Composite fell 20.06 points, or 0.12%, to close at 16,379.46. 
  • US crude oil prices climbed Thursday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added $1.82 to close at $83.17 per barrel. 

Ingredient Markets



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11 04, 2024

Saudi Arabia Hikes Oil Prices in Increasingly Tight Market

By |2024-04-11T18:24:08+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


Saudi oil giant Aramco, the world’s top crude oil exporter, hiked on Friday the prices of most of its crude grades for May, as Middle Eastern benchmarks are strengthening in a market that looks increasingly tight.  

For a second consecutive month, Saudi Arabia raised the price of Arab Light, its flagship grade selling in Asia, by more than expected.


Aramco set the official selling price (OSP) of Arab Light for Asia for May by $0.30 per barrel to a premium of $2.00 over the Oman/Dubai average, the benchmark off which Middle Eastern crude going to Asia is priced.

This is the second consecutive increase in the price of Saudi oil selling in Asia, after Aramco had raised in March the OSPs for Asian buyers for April, following the extension of the OPEC+ production cut agreement until the end of the first half of the year. The price for the country’s flagship Arab Light grade was raised by $0.20 per barrel over the Oman/Dubai average for April.



Now the increase for May is $0.30 per barrel, the upper end of refining sources’ expectations polled by Reuters earlier this week. The Reuters survey of five refining sources showed that they expected Arab Light crude prices for May to be hiked by between $0.20 and $0.30 per barrel over the Middle Eastern benchmark. A Bloomberg survey of traders and refiners expected an increase of $0.10 per barrel.





Middle Eastern crude benchmarks have rallied in recent days, along with the increase in the entire crude complex as Brent prices topped $90 per barrel this week amid a tightening market and geopolitical concerns in the Middle East.

Saudi Arabia typically announces around the fifth of each month its crude pricing for the following month and doesn’t comment on price changes. This week, the OSPs came after the OPEC+ group’s Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) did not recommend any changes to output policy at its meeting on Wednesday.   

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com



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11 04, 2024

Oil Prices Set for a Second Weekly Gain After Brent Breaks $91

By |2024-04-11T18:24:06+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


Crude oil prices were on track to book their second weekly gain in a row, driven higher by geopolitics and supply concerns.

Early on Friday morning, Brent was trading above $91 per barrel and West Texas Intermediate was closing in on $87 per barrel. The rally came amid reports that Russia may have temporarily lost as much as 15% of its refining capacity because of Ukrainian drone attacks and Iran vowed to exact revenge on Israel for the strike of its consulate in Damascus.


“Oil prices look set for further upside in the short term as a more positive economic backdrop is joined by ongoing supply tightness and rising geopolitical risks,” analysts from ANZ said, as quoted by Reuters, revising their three-month price forecast for Brent crude to $95 per barrel.

The wider Mideast tensions stemming from the Gaza war are probably at the highest in months,” Vandana Hari, founder of Vanda Insights, told Bloomberg. “Crude is reflecting that Mideast conflagration fear premium.”



The latest from the Middle East is the news that the UAE is growing cold to Israel after several years of normalized relations. The reason for the change in attitude was the Israeli strike that killed seven aid workers in Gaza. Some reports said the Emirates were “outraged” with the event.





Demand for oil, meanwhile, remains quite healthy, with the latest U.S. weekly inventory report revealing declines in both gasoline and middle distillate stocks. This demand is set to rise further, especially in middle distillates as the manufacturing industry in the country gathers momentum, Reuters’ market analyst John Kemp wrote in a recent column.

While this is happening, OPEC+ reaffirmed its commitment to production limits at its latest meeting earlier this week. Even though there were overproducers again, prices rose after the meeting because the group signaled it was about to get those overproducers in line, demanding compensation for their excess production.

By Irina Slav for Oilprice.com



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11 04, 2024

Technical trading, short-covering and a weaker dollar, oh my

By |2024-04-11T18:24:04+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


Photo: Sosland Publishing Co.
Recap for April 3

  • Wheat futures launched a rebound Wednesday after sliding lower since the new week, month and quarter began. Lifting wheat was a round of short covering, technical trading, a weakening dollar and geopolitical news after Russia halted exports on some ships owned by one of the biggest local grain trading houses. Corn futures, too, firmed on short covering as the dollar weakened, though gains were limited by ample supplies and forecasts for good planting weather later this month on the heels of rainy, snowy conditions this week that improved soil moisture. Also, technical buying and short covering were behind soybean futures’ bounce from one-month lows induced by lackluster demand and increasing South American supplies. May corn added 5¼¢ to close at $4.31¾ per bu. Chicago May wheat jumped 10¾¢ to close at $5.56 per bu. Kansas City May wheat soared 17¼¢ higher and closed at $5.80½ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat added 12¢ and closed at $6.39½ per bu. May soybeans advanced 8¼¢ to close at $11.82¼ per bu. May soybean meal was up $1.70 to close at $330 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.25¢ to close at 48.85¢ a lb.
  • US crude oil prices hit the highest levels since late October Wednesday on concerns about supply disruptions due to Ukraine’s attacks on Russian refineries and a vow of revenge against Israel by Hamas-backer Iran, the third-largest oil producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries cartel. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 28¢ to close at $85.43 per barrel. 
  • US equity markets were mixed Wednesday, the Dow industrial index slipping while the Nasdaq and S&P 500 gained, the latter snapping a two-day losing streak after Fed chairman Jerome Powell said a strong economy hasn’t changed the expectation interest rate cuts will be warranted later this year. The Dow Jones Industrial Average eased 43.10 points, or 0.11%, to close at 39,127.14. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 5.68 points, or 0.11%, to close at 5,211.49. The Nasdaq Composite added 37.01 points, or 0.23%, to close at 16,277.46. 
  • The US dollar index closed lower again Wednesday. 
  • US gold futures jumped higher again Wednesday. The April contract added $33.40 to close at $2,294.40 per oz.

Recap for April 2

  • US wheat futures continued lower Tuesday, a day after the USDA said winter wheat was in the best early spring shape since 2019. Beneficial rains in the forecast for the dry southern Plains added pressure as did cheap grain on the global market that limited US export demand. Corn futures also dipped as forecasts indicated good spring planting weather ahead that eased concerns about the USDA’s lower-than-expected acreage outlook issued late last week. Soybean futures trended higher before breaking through previous support levels, which initiated technical selling and lower closing prices. May corn fell 9¢ to close at $4.26½ per bu. Chicago May wheat declined 11¾¢ to close at $5.45¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat fell 12¼¢ and closed at $5.63¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 7¼¢ and closed at $6.27½ per bu. May soybeans shed 11¾¢ to close at $11.74 per bu. May soybean meal was down $5.10 to close at $328.30 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.36¢ to close at 48.6¢ a lb.
  • US crude oil prices were higher again Tuesday, pushing the Brent benchmark above $89 a bu for the first time since October. Support came from escalating Middle East conflict and a Ukrainian drone strike on one of Russia’s biggest refineries. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added $1.44 to close at $85.15 per barrel. 
  • The US dollar index closed lower Tuesday. 
  • US gold futures jumped higher Tuesday. The April contract added $24.50 to close at $2,261 per oz.
  • US equity markets closed lower Tuesday, pressured by climbing bond yields, rising crude oil prices and widening doubts that the Federal Reserve fully contained inflation. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 396.61 points, or 1%, to close at 39,170.24. The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 37.96 points, or 0.72%, to close at 5,205.81. The Nasdaq Composite fell 156.38 points, or 0.95%, to close at 16,240.45. 

Recap for April 1

  • Ample supplies weighed on US grain and oilseed futures Monday. Traders took profits off last week’s steep gains in the corn market precipitated by the USDA pegging corn acreage below expectations. Some surmised seeded area would increase due to good planting weather in forecasts. Wheat futures were pressured by expectations for improved crop conditions that did not materialize. Soybeans followed wheat and corn lower while under pressure from seasonally slowing US export demand. May corn fell 6½¢ to close at $4.35½ per bu. Chicago May wheat shed 3¼¢ to close at $5.57 per bu; later months were mixed. Kansas City May wheat fell 9¾¢ and closed at $5.75½ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 10¼¢ and closed at $6.34¾ per bu. May soybeans lost 5¾¢ to close at $11.85¾ per bu. May soybean meal was down $4.30 to close at $333.40 per ton. May soybean oil added 0.29¢ to close at 48.24¢ a lb.
  • The US dollar index closed higher Monday. 
  • US gold futures climbed Monday despite the strengthening dollar. The April contract added $19.10 to close at $2,236.50 per oz.
  • US equity markets posted mixed closes to open the second quarter Monday. The Nasdaq advanced while the Dow industrials index and S&P 500 slipped after a closely watched report, the ISM manufacturing index for March, based on a survey of purchasing managers, came in at 50.3, up from 47.8 in February and above the 48.1 reading anticipated by economists in a Wall Street Journal survey. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 240.52 points, or 0.6%, to close at 39,566.85. The Standard & Poor’s 500 fell 10.58 points, or 0.2%, to close at 5,243.77. The Nasdaq Composite added 17.37 points, or 0.11%, to close at 16,396.83. 
  • US crude oil prices were higher Monday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added 54¢ to close at $83.71 per barrel. 

Recap for March 28

  • Corn futures Thursday posted their largest one-day rally since July after the USDA estimated March 1 corn stocks and projected 2024 corn plantings below trade estimates. Winter wheat futures followed corn higher even as all-wheat stocks and plantings slightly topped expectations. Meanwhile, spring wheat futures took a downturn after spring wheat and durum planting expectations topped projections. May corn jumped 15¼¢ to close at $4.42 per bu. Chicago May wheat added 12¾¢ to close at $5.60¼ per bu. Kansas City May wheat added 7¢ and closed at $5.85¼ per bu. Minneapolis May wheat dropped 6¢ and closed at $6.45 per bu. May soybeans lost 1¢ to close at $11.91½ per bu; the September future and beyond were higher. May soybean meal was down $1.30 to close at $337.70 per ton; later months were mixed. May soybean oil added 0.28¢ to close at 47.95¢ a lb.
  • The US dollar index closed higher Thursday. 
  • US gold futures soared Thursday despite the strengthening dollar. The April contract added $26.80 to close at $2,217.40 per oz
  • US equity markets were mixed Thursday. The S&P 500 notched a 22nd record-high close of 2024 and its best first quarter since 2019. Support was drawn from a report noting the US economy grew in the fourth quarter even more than previously thought, according to the government’s revised estimate for gross domestic product. A University of Michigan survey said consumer confidence rose to its highest level in almost three years. The DJIA also closed at a record high. The US stock and bond markets will be closed for Good Friday. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 47.29 points, or 0.12%, to close at 39,807.37. The Standard & Poor’s 500 added 5.86 points, or 0.11%, to close at 5,254.35. The Nasdaq Composite fell 20.06 points, or 0.12%, to close at 16,379.46. 
  • US crude oil prices climbed Thursday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future added $1.82 to close at $83.17 per barrel. 

Recap for March 27

  • Corn, soybeans and KC wheat futures declined Wednesday in positioning ahead of Thursday’s USDA grain stocks and prospective plantings reports. Chicago and Minneapolis wheat posted gains in technical trading.  May corn dropped 5¾¢ to close at $4.26¾ per bu. Chicago May wheat added 4¢ to close at $5.47½ per bu. Kansas City May wheat added 1¢ and closed at $5.78¼ per bu; September was steady and all later months declined. Minneapolis May wheat added 3¾¢ and closed at $6.51 per bu. May soybeans lost 6½¢ to close at $11.92½ per bu. May soybean meal was down 80¢ to close at $339 per ton. May soybean oil dropped 0.75¢ to close at 47.67¢ a lb.
  • US gold futures advanced again Wednesday. The April contract added $13.40 to close at $2,190.60 per oz.
  • The US dollar index closed higher Wednesday. 
  • US equity markets snapped their losing streaks Wednesday. The S&P 500 was up 10% for the year and set to post a spectacular first quarter. The Dow Jones Industrial Average soared 477.75 points, or 1.22%, to close at 39,760.08. The Standard & Poor’s 500 jumped 44.91 points, or 0.86%, to close at 5,248.49. The Nasdaq Composite added 83.82 points, or 0.51%, to close at 16,399.52. 
  • US crude oil prices were lower Wednesday. The May West Texas Intermediate light, sweet crude future fell 27¢ to close at $81.35 per barrel. 

Ingredient Markets



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11 04, 2024

Coffee Price Forecast 2024: How Much Higher Will Record Coffee Prices Go?

By |2024-04-11T18:24:02+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


Source: Evgeny Karandaev/ShutterStock.com

The price of coffee is continuing to rise and the latest forecast in 2024 claims we could see the cost of the drink increase even more this year.

When speaking about arabica coffee, Citi analyst Aakash Doshi noted that prices may increase in both the short term and the long term. This has the firm providing a coffee price forecast of $1.88 per pound to $2.15 per pound for 2024.

Doshi said the following about this 2024 coffee price forecast in a note to clients obtained by CNBC:

“The current move can largely be attributed to a heat wave in Vietnam affecting Robusta coffee production and as a result, providing carryover support for premium Arabica beans.”

What’s Behind High 2024 Coffee Price Forecasts?

Other factors are also weighing on the price of coffee recently. That includes more consumers choosing it as a natural source of energy in the morning. This comes amid a movement of customers seeking out more organic options for their food and drink.

If that demand continues to increase, it could also cause the price of coffee to rise further. That’s something commodity traders will want to keep in mind for 2024.

Coffee isn’t the only commodity that is seeing stark price increases recently. Cocoa is also undergoing a rally lately. You can learn more about that here.

Investors looking for more of the most recent stock market news will want to keep reading!

We have all of the hottest market news ready to go on Thursday! Among that is what’s happening with shares of Costco (NASDAQ:COST), Nikola (NASDAQ:NKLA) and Canopy Growth (NASDAQ:CGC) stock today. You can catch up on all of this below!

More Stock Market News for Thursday

On the date of publication, William White did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.


Article printed from InvestorPlace Media, https://investorplace.com/2024/04/coffee-price-forecast-2024-how-much-higher-will-record-coffee-prices-go/.
©2024 InvestorPlace Media, LLC



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11 04, 2024

Oil prices decline over caution on US Fed interest rates, Iran sanctions; Brent at $88/bbl

By |2024-04-11T18:24:00+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


Global crude oil prices dropped on Thursday, April 4, as caution over global macroeconomic activity weighed against the supply output cuts as well as geopolitical conflicts. Investors continue to look to macroeconomic data and monetary policy for potential clues on the outlook for oil demand, while financial sanctions on Iran by the US also capped gains in today’s session.

Brent futures for June last fell by 43 cents, or 0.5 per cent, to $88.92 a barrel. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures for May fell by 57 cents, or 0.7 per cent to $84.86 a barrel, according to news agency Reuters.
Also Read: FY24 Review | Brent rises 9% in last 12 months on OPEC cuts, Middle-East tensions; Will crude oil hit $100 in FY25?

Both benchmarks closed on Wednesday at their highest levels since October, having received support in recent days from the heightened geopolitical tensions and potential supply risks. Back home, crude oil futures last traded 0.94 per cent lower at 7,095 per barrel against a previous close of 7,162 per barrel on the multi commodity exchange (MCX).

What’s weighing on crude oil prices?

-US unemployment claims increased by more than expected in the last week, according to Labor Department statistics, as labor market conditions gradually ease. This came after US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell expressed caution on Wednesday about the timing of future interest rate cuts, after recent data has showed higher-than-expected job growth and inflation.

-The threat of sanctions has also capped some gains. The US on Thursday imposed new Iran-related counter-terrorism sanctions against Oceanlink Maritime DMCC and its vessels, citing its role in shipping commodities on behalf of the Iranian military.

-The US is using financial sanctions to isolate Iran to disrupt its ability to fund its proxy groups and hamper the country’s support for Russia’s war in Ukraine, said the Treasury Department. US has also signalled it could reimpose oil sanctions ahead of Venezuelan presidential elections later this year that many countries have said might not feature competitive voting.
Also Read: Expert View | Oil market oversupplied with high US output, Brent seen at $87-$92 for 2024: ShareKhan’s Mohammed Imran
-Oil’s recent gains have also followed Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries that cut fuel supply, and concerns the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza may spread to include Iran and possibly disrupt supplies in the Middle East region.

-The joint ministerial monitoring committee meeting (JMMC) of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) kept oil supply policy unchanged on Wednesday and pressed some countries to boost compliance with output cuts. OPEC+ said some members would compensate for oversupply in the first quarter.
-OPEC added that Russia may switch to output rather than export curbs. Iran has vowed revenge against Israel for an attack on Monday that killed high-ranking Iranian military personnel. Iran is the third-largest producer in OPEC. Analysts say that the one thing that could thwart an oil rally is if the Federal Reserve takes rate cuts off the table.

Where are prices headed?

Tensions escalated in the region after the Israeli air strike on the Iranian embassy killed its top officials. Russian supply is already tight due to OPEC+ output compliance and supply concerns from oil refineries after last month’s Ukrainian attack, according to analysts

Also Read: Explained | Why did OPEC+ members extend oil output cuts to mid-2024
.Chinese economic data released this week is also better than expected and supports oil prices. However, an increase in the US oil stocks capped gains. As per the US EIA, crude oil inventories in the US jumped by 3.2 million barrels against expected decline of 1.5 million barrels.
;;Technically, crude oil is having support at $84.20–83.40 and resistance is at $85.90-86.70. In INR crude oil has support at Rs7,040-6,940 while resistance at 7,215-7,280,” said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd

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11 04, 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Closes at Rs 275.35 with 6-Month Beta of 1.02

By |2024-04-11T18:23:52+02:00April 11, 2024|Gold News|0 Comments


09:12:00 AM IST, 05 April 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Closes at Rs 275.35 with 6-Month Beta of 1.02

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ended the previous trading day at a closing price of Rs 275.35, with a 6-month beta of 1.02, indicating a slightly higher volatility compared to the market.

09:04:21 AM IST, 05 April 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Records Decrease in Stock Price, Investors Watch Market Performance

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation saw a decrease in its stock price, closing at Rs 275.35 yesterday, with a one-month return of -3.65%. Investors are closely monitoring the company’s performance amidst market fluctuations.

08:50:02 AM IST, 05 April 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Closes at Rs 275.35 with Strong Trading Volume

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation closed at Rs 275.35 yesterday with a trading volume of 24,624,383 shares, surpassing the average 7-day volume of 15,592,348 shares.

08:41:18 AM IST, 05 April 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Reports Impressive 3-Month Return of 25.32%

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ended the previous day at a closing price of Rs 275.35, with a remarkable 3-month return of 25.32%. The company’s stock has shown strong performance over the past quarter, outperforming market expectations.

08:33:41 AM IST, 05 April 2024

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Share Price Today Live Updates: Oil And Natural Gas Corporation Closes at Rs 275.35 with 2.31% Decline in Previous Day Trading Volume Reaching 22,60,0929 Units

Oil And Natural Gas Corporation ended the previous trading day at a closing price of Rs 275.35, marking a decrease of 2.31% from the day before. The trading volume for the day stood at 22,60,0929 units.



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