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10 10, 2026

XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 09.10.26–16.10.26

By |2026-10-10T01:56:57+03:00October 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 3,958.05 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the correction ends, and the price holds above 3,958.05. Stop Loss: below 3,890.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00.
  • Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 3,958.05 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62. A sell signal: the level of 3,958.05 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,025.00, Take Profit: 3,720.00–3,290.62.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above 3,958.05 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below 3,958.05 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62.

Analysis

An ascending third wave of larger degree (3) is presumably developing on the weekly chart. Within it, a descending correction has been completed as the fourth wave of smaller degree 4 of (3). Apparently, the fifth wave 5 of (3) has started developing on the daily chart, with wave i of 5 formed as its part. The H4 chart shows that wave (ii) of 5 has formed. If the presumption is correct, XAU/USD will continue to rise to 4,900.00–5,610.00. The level of 3,958.05 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62.




This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.

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9 10, 2026

Natural Gas News: Futures Recover as Hurricane Risk Counters Warm Forecast

By |2026-10-09T21:55:49+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Traders had already pushed November natural gas futures to $3.298 on storm speculation. The storage report did not give them a reason to keep paying up. The longs came out and took back the entire move.

The EIA is still looking for end-of-October storage near 3,985 bcf, the highest level in a decade. That forecast can change. It is why buyers are not treating every Gulf shut-in as the start of a new rally.

The Weather Forecast Is Not Helping

High pressure through October 14 across most of the country. NatGasWeather sees low demand over the next five days and only moderate demand late in the period. The forecast turned warmer through October 12. The models are not turning cold.

LNG flows and power demand are doing some work around the edges. LNG net flows were running near 19 bcf per day Thursday. Electricity output is above a year ago. The hurricane could interrupt both for a few days. That makes the storm a short-term event, not a reason to change the supply picture.

What to Watch

Thursday’s storage build and the warm forecast are what November natural gas futures have to trade after the storm passes. The hurricane kept shorts from pressing Friday. The $3.210 to $3.216 retracement zone is where the sellers showed up Thursday and again Friday at $3.236. Buyers could not hold above it either session.

The bias leans to the downside with the main trend down on the swing chart. The $3.146 to $3.154 support held Friday’s low at $3.112. November natural gas futures are sitting above the 50-day moving average at $3.045. That is what keeps the short-covering rallies alive inside a downtrend. A break back under $3.146 puts $3.105 and $3.087 on the chart. The storm has to keep supply offline longer than a weekend to change any of it.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.



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9 10, 2026

Silver (XAG) Forecast: Fed Minutes and 10-Year Auction Test XAGUSD Sellers

By |2026-10-09T17:55:15+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Daily Spot Silver (XAG/USD)

Spot silver is trading sharply lower Wednesday after failing to hold the long-term 50% level at $60.835. The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart.

The move through last Friday’s low at $59.69 signals a resumption of the downtrend. A trade through the main top at $67.55 will change the main trend to up.

The minor trend is down. A trade through the minor top at $62.09 will turn the minor trend up.

The first resistance is the short-term retracement zone at $61.04 to $62.98. Silver failed inside the lower half of this area early Wednesday. Taking out $62.09 would put the upper boundary at $62.98 in play, followed by the 50-day moving average at $64.21.

The break below $59.69 leaves the swing bottoms at $56.56 and $54.78 as the next downside targets. The long-term value area remains $60.835 to $46.48.

What to Watch

The 10-year auction and the Fed minutes are what silver has to get through Wednesday. The dollar is back near its high and the 10-year is back near its 2002 peak, so sellers aren’t waiting on a new reason.

My read is the auction matters more than the minutes for silver today. Minutes look backward.

The auction shows in real time what it costs to clear a 10-year sale with yields already at 2002 levels. That’s the price silver has been trading against since the end of July. Oil running hot doesn’t make that sale any easier. The dollar has a short walk back to Monday’s high. Silver’s been the weaker metal Wednesday, and it goes into the afternoon without a single piece of the financial trade on its side.

Spot silver lost $60.835 early Wednesday, then took out Friday’s $59.69 low on the way to $58.99. The bias is to the downside while the main trend is down, silver remains below the midpoint and the market trades under the 50-day moving average. The next swing bottom underneath is $56.56, with the minor top at $62.09 well overhead.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.



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9 10, 2026

Coffee prices today, October 9, 2026: Sharp drop of 1,400 VND/kg, Robusta plummets, Lam Dong still has the highest price.

By |2026-10-09T13:54:20+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Coffee prices in the Central Highlands today, October 9, 2026, decreased by 1,400 VND/kg across the board.

The domestic coffee market on the morning of October 9, 2026, recorded a widespread downward adjustment. The purchase price of bulk green coffee beans in key production areas in the Central Highlands decreased by 1,400 VND/kg compared to the previous update, bringing the trading level to around 92,200–93,000 VND/kg.

Notably, despite the widespread price drop, the former Dak Nong area, now part of Lam Dong province, maintained the highest purchase price among the surveyed areas. This was also the only area that sustained the 93,000 VND/kg mark in this morning’s update.

In Dak Lak , coffee prices today decreased by 1,400 VND/kg, falling to 92,800 VND/kg. With this adjustment, the local purchase price has moved away from the previous update’s 94,000 VND/kg mark and dropped below 93,000 VND/kg.

Following the same trend, the Gia Lai coffee market recorded a price of 92,800 VND/kg, 1,400 VND/kg lower than the most recent survey. Prices in Gia Lai are currently on par with Dak Lak, indicating that the two regions are experiencing fairly similar purchasing trends.

In the traditional Lam Dong region, bulk green coffee beans were purchased at 92,200 VND/kg, a decrease of 1,400 VND/kg. This was the lowest price among the four monitored areas, 600 VND/kg lower than the prices in Dak Lak and Gia Lai.

Meanwhile, the former Dak Nong region saw a price of 93,000 VND/kg after a decrease of 1,400 VND/kg. Despite experiencing a similar adjustment to other regions, this area still tops the Central Highlands coffee price list, 800 VND/kg higher than the traditional Lam Dong region.

Developments on the morning of October 9th showed that downward pressure was no longer concentrated in a single purchasing region. All four regions adjusted their prices with similar margins, reflecting the general trend of the domestic bulk green coffee market as international prices continued to weaken.

Purchasing area Current price (VND/kg) Increase/Decrease
Dak Lak 92,800 ↓ 1,400
Gia Lai 92,800 ↓ 1,400
Lam Dong (traditional area) 92,200 ↓ 1,400
Old Dak Nong (now part of Lam Dong province) 93,000 ↓ 1,400

Updated at 8:38 AM on October 9, 2026. Unit: VND/kg of Robusta green coffee beans. Change compared to the last update.

Reference price for roasted and ground coffee: High-quality Arabica coffee is approximately 290,000 VND/kg.

Besides the bulk green coffee market, roasted and ground coffee and processed coffee products command significantly higher prices, depending on the quality of the raw materials and the production methods.

According to the updated price list on October 8, 2026, Robusta S18 Clean coffee is priced at 162,800 VND/kg, a decrease of 1,000 VND/kg compared to the previous update. High-quality Robusta (CLC) is priced at 175,500 VND/kg, while Culi S18 Clean is at 173,900 VND/kg.

Among products with specific processing methods, Robusta Honey was recorded at 228,800 VND/kg, significantly higher than Robusta S18 Clean.

For Arabica coffee, the Arabica Clean product has a reference price of 229,900 VND/kg. The highest price belongs to the high-quality Arabica CLC line, reaching 289,800 VND/kg, a decrease of 1,000 VND/kg.

Product Price (VND/kg) Change
Robusta S18 Clean 162,800 1,000 down
High-quality Robusta CLC 175,500 1,000 down
Culi S18 Clean 173,900 1,000 down
Robusta Honey 228,800 1,000 down
Arabica Clean 229,900 1,000 down
High-quality Arabica CLC 289,800 1,000 down

The reference price is updated on October 8, 2026, and is not the bulk green coffee purchase price on October 9. The actual price may vary depending on the processing facility, quality, and volume of the transaction.

The difference between bulk green coffee and roasted and ground products stems not only from the price of raw materials but also includes losses during processing, labor costs, energy, sorting, storage, and distribution.

Therefore, higher roasting prices do not necessarily mean a corresponding increase in profits for processing businesses. For production facilities, controlling costs and maintaining product quality remains crucial when raw material prices fluctuate.

World coffee prices today, October 9, 2026: London Robusta prices fall by as much as $79/ton.

Contrary to previous recovery sessions, the global coffee market entered October 9th with a widespread decline across London Robusta contracts. Selling pressure emerged in both near-term and long-term contracts, causing many contracts to lose between $62 and $79 per ton.

According to the updated trading board at 8:38 AM, the price of Robusta coffee for November 2026 delivery decreased by $62/ton, to $3,423/ton. During the session, the price briefly touched $3,509/ton but then retreated to near its lowest point of $3,406/ton.

Robusta coffee futures for January 2027 fell even more sharply, losing $71/ton to $3,398/ton. Trading volume reached 14,429 lots, the highest among the five maturities surveyed, indicating significant trading activity concentrated on this contract.

The outlook for longer-term contracts was no better. Robusta for March 2027 fell by $77/ton to $3,378/ton. The May 2027 and July 2027 contracts both decreased by $79/ton, to $3,369/ton and $3,358/ton respectively.

One notable point is that the prices of forward contracts are all lower than the November 2026 contract. This price structure reflects the difference between delivery times, although it is not sufficient grounds to conclude that future spot coffee prices will definitely fall.

Term Matching price (USD/ton) Change
November 2026 3,423 62
01/2027 3,398 71
03/2027 3,378 77
05/2027 3,369 79
07/2027 3,358 79

Unit: USD/ton. Updated at 8:38 AM on October 9, 2026.

The weakening of London Robusta prices has significant implications for the Vietnamese market, where Robusta coffee accounts for a large proportion of production and exports. However, domestic purchase prices do not necessarily fluctuate proportionally in absolute value with futures contracts, as they are also influenced by exchange rates, physical price differences, and local trading activity.

Arabica coffee prices today, October 9, 2026: All futures contracts on the New York exchange declined.

Not only Robusta, but the Arabica market in New York also recorded declines across all monitored contracts. The adjustment ranged from 3.45 to 3.80 cents/pound, indicating downward pressure on both types of coffee traded internationally.

Arabica coffee futures for December 2026 delivery fell 3.65 cents per pound to 289.05 cents per pound. During the session, the contract reached a high of 294.90 cents per pound and a low of 286.00 cents per pound, before closing significantly lower than its opening price of 293.90 cents per pound.

At the March 2027 contract, Arabica coffee was trading at 281.35 cents/pound after a drop of 3.55 cents/pound. The May 2027 contract recorded the largest decline in the group surveyed, losing 3.80 cents/pound and falling to 277.90 cents/pound.

The July 2027 and September 2027 futures contracts traded at 275.35 cents/pound and 272.80 cents/pound, respectively. This represents a decrease of 3.65 and 3.45 cents/pound, respectively.

Term Price (cents/pound) Change
December 2026 289.05 ↓ 3.65
03/2027 281.35 ↓ 3.55
05/2027 277.90 ↓ 3.80
07/2027 275.35 ↓ 3.65
09/2027 272.80 ↓ 3.45

Unit: cent/pound. Updated at 8:38 AM on October 9, 2026.

The simultaneous decline in both Arabica and Robusta prices in a single session indicates that cautious sentiment is dominating the coffee futures market. Changes in supply expectations, international trade developments, and production prospects in major coffee-producing countries continue to be factors to monitor.

Brazil plays a significant role in the global coffee market with large production of both Arabica and Conilon, a type of Robusta coffee. Changes in production, export schedules, and weather conditions in the country can impact the global supply and demand balance.

One piece of information currently attracting market attention is the forecast that Brazil’s coffee production for the 2026-2027 crop year could reach approximately 75.8 million 60-kg bags. In addition, some market assessments suggest a scenario where global coffee supply will exceed demand by about 8.9 million bags this crop year.

If actual production is close to forecast levels, the amount of coffee available on the international market could improve significantly. This is a negative factor for prices, as buyers will have more options regarding supply sources.

However, the oversupply forecast still contains uncertainties. Harvest yields can vary depending on rainfall, temperature, extreme weather, and crop care conditions. In addition, stockpiling activities and demand from roasting businesses can also influence price movements.

For the Vietnamese market, seasonal transitions and market distribution activities are key factors to monitor. Actual supply, producers’ sales speed, and purchasing demand from export companies will impact coffee prices in the Central Highlands.

The simultaneous drop in London Robusta prices, while domestic bulk coffee beans lost 1,400 VND/kg, indicates that the two markets are moving in the same direction. However, the entire domestic decline cannot be attributed solely to the London market’s performance, as purchase prices depend on actual trading conditions.

Coffee price forecast for the coming days: Will Robusta recover after the sharp decline?

Following the widespread decline on October 9th, the coffee market is facing several conflicting factors. In the short term, developments on the London exchange and the outlook for Brazilian supply could continue to influence purchasing price trends in the Central Highlands.

The first factor to consider is the possibility of international Robusta prices stabilizing after the recent corrections. The November 2026 contract is currently trading at $3,423 per ton, while the January 2027 contract is at $3,398 per ton. If prices continue to fall, the domestic coffee market could face further pressure.

Conversely, unfavorable weather conditions in major producing countries or changes in import demand could help the market regain support. Coffee prices may also experience technical rebounds after a period of consecutive declines, but the timing and extent of these rebounds are currently uncertain.

For Vietnam, the progress of the new crop harvest and the actual amount of goods brought to market will be important variables. Increased supply may make buyers more cautious, while demand from export businesses is likely to support prices in some areas.

In Lam Dong province specifically, the 800 VND/kg price difference between the former Dak Nong region and the traditional Lam Dong region is a point that needs further monitoring. Changes in this price difference in the coming days may reflect differences in demand and purchasing conditions between regions.

Overall, coffee prices today, October 9, 2026, have fallen to 92,200–93,000 VND/kg in the Central Highlands, with both Robusta London and Arabica New York prices weakening. Short-term prospects depend on global price developments, Brazilian supply, and coffee trading activity in Vietnam.

Source: https://baolamdong.vn/gia-ca-phe-hom-nay-9-10-2026-giam-manh-1-400-dong-kg-robusta-lao-doc-lam-dong-van-co-gia-cao-nhat-468465.html



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9 10, 2026

Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Attempts To Rebound As Treasury Yields Pull Back

By |2026-10-09T09:53:36+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Finally, investors have started to return to U.S. bond market to take advantage of high yields. That said, it remains to be seen whether pullback in yields will be sustainable.

U.S. dollar pulled back against a broad basket of currencies as traders focused on falling Treasury yields. Weaker dollar provided additional support to gold market in today’s trading session.

Interestingly, gold traders ignored the rally in the oil markets. Oil prices gained 2.5% amid escalation in the Middle East. I’d note that prices have moved away from session highs after President Trump said that U.S. would not attack Iran until midterm elections.

The nearest resistance level for gold is located in the $4160 – $4180 range. If gold climbs above the $4180 level, it will head towards the next resistance at $4300 – $4320.

On the support side, a move below the $4100 level will push gold towards the support at $4000 – $4020.



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9 10, 2026

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Rally Stalls as Key Support Faces Test

By |2026-10-09T05:51:48+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Failed Breakout Shifts Near-Term Risk

The intraday bearish reversal returned natural gas to the rising channel structure, indicating a failed breakout. Once a reversal occurs from one boundary of the channel, the other side becomes a potential target. This suggests further selling pressure if natural gas breaks below the 200-day moving average or fails to quickly recover above the top boundary of the channel. That makes the $3.11 support confluence an important near-term test for the bullish structure.

Broader Breakout Structure Still Supports Bulls

A second breakout of the rising channel within a few weeks of the first, which in each case followed a rise above long-term dynamic resistance represented by the 200-day moving average, is bullish behavior. It shows the potential for further upside if a pullback or consolidation holds key support levels, including the 20-day moving average, currently near $3.02.



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9 10, 2026

WTI Crude Oil Price Forecast: Bullish Breakout Targets New Highs

By |2026-10-09T01:50:37+03:00October 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


WTI crude shows bullish trend structure

$96.25 Becomes First Test on the Way Higher

If buyers can retain control, the first key target zone begins with the recent high of $106.84 and rises to the lower swing high of $109.74. But beforehand, strength needs to be seen, first with a recovery above an interim lower swing high at $96.25, followed by the lower swing high of $100.43. In addition, the falling 20-day moving average is at $96.34 and will soon dip below $96.25. This means that a recovery of $96.25 will also put crude oil back above the 20-day moving average, which would signal strengthening short-term bullish momentum.



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8 10, 2026

Technical analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD and EURUSD for Today (October 8, 2026)

By |2026-10-08T21:48:44+03:00October 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I have identified entry signals for intraday traders.

Yesterday, gold prices continued to decline.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • USCrude: Oil is approaching the resistance A at 91.18–90.73.
  • XAUUSD: Gold is undergoing correction following a decline and a test of the Gold Zone 4,081–4,070.
  • EURUSD: The euro has reached the bearish target, declining from the resistance A of 1.1253–1.1245.

Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis

Oil is rising in a corrective move within the broader short-term downtrend. Today, prices are approaching the resistance A at 90.73–91.18. Once this resistance zone is tested, short positions could be considered with targets at 88.75 and 86.30.

If the resistance A is pierced today, the correction could extend toward the resistance B at 92.95–93.61. This zone marks the trend boundary and may provide another opportunity to open short positions.

USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:

Sell near resistance A at 91.18–90.73. TakeProfit: 88.75, 86.30. StopLoss: 92.24.


Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis

Yesterday, gold prices continued to decline, reaching the Gold Zone at 4,070–4,081. Significant selling emerged in this zone, triggering a corrective rebound.

Today, prices are trading within this correction. If the price reaches the new resistance zone at 4,169–4,179, short positions could be considered in this area with targets at 4,123 and 4,066.

XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Sell near resistance A at 4,179–4,169. TakeProfit: 4,123, 4,066. StopLoss: 4,203.


Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis

The euro continues to trade within a short-term downtrend. Yesterday, the price reached the first sell target near 1.1661, while the second target is the October 5 low. As a result, hold short positions opened yesterday near the resistance A at 1.1253–1.1245.

If the price slides below the October 5 low, the next bearish target will be the Target Zone 3 at 1.1123–1.1106. Otherwise, the price could rebound and retest the resistance A.

EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold short positions opened near resistance A at 1.1253–1.1245. TakeProfit: 1.1161. StopLoss: at breakeven.


Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.


P.S. Did you like my article? Share it in social networks: it will be the best “thank you” 🙂

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Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.

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8 10, 2026

Natural Gas Price Forecast – Natural Gas Jumps Early

By |2026-10-08T17:47:49+03:00October 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Daily chart of Natural Gas Futures (NG1!) on TradingView with price at 3.252 below resistance at 3.300.

Natural gas gapped higher to kick off the Thursday session, testing the $3.30 level. The $3.30 level has been important a couple of times recently, as we have seen it offer significant resistance, especially during the summer around June, when there were concerns about air-conditioning demand.

But now we find ourselves 2 to 2.5 weeks away from rolling over into the December contract, so we start to think about heating. At night in places like Columbus, Pittsburgh, and Cleveland, it is getting to roughly 45 degrees, and that will cause a little bit of heating demand. The problem, of course, is that during the day it is still 75 degrees.



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8 10, 2026

Forecast update for Gold -07-10-2026

By |2026-10-08T09:45:48+03:00October 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


 

 

Gold continued to decline in recent intraday trading, affected by its movement along a main short-term bearish trend line, while the negative pressure resulting from trading below the EMA50 remains in place. The EMA50 is acting as dynamic resistance, intensifying the bearish pressure around the price, particularly as negative signals continue to emerge from the relative strength indicators.

 

 





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