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Category: Forex News, News

Market goes sideways, oversupply pressure from Brazil is still present

Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market this morning, April 6th, did not record any new price fluctuations compared to the weekend holiday. Agents in the Central Highlands region are currently purchasing around an average of 89.2 million VND/kg.

Detailed purchase prices in key localities:

In Dak Nong province (old): Continue to maintain the highest price in the region at 89,300 VND/kg.

In Dak Lak province: The purchase price stands at 89. 200 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai province: Trading is stable at the 89. 200 VND/kg mark.

In Lam Dong province: Currently, the lowest price in the region is 88,700 VND/kg.

Looking back at the price history, the current level has dropped very deeply compared to the peak of 96,600 VND/kg set exactly one month ago (March 7).

World coffee prices

At the end of the most recent trading session, both London and New York exchanges closed in red due to pressure from a strong USD and positive crop reports from South America.

London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 delivery term closed at $3,448/ton. Although Robusta inventories on the ICE floor hit a 3.5-month low of 4,0093 lots, export pressure in the first 2 months of the year from Vietnam (up 14% to 360,000 tons) is still a major barrier curbing prices.

New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 futures closed at 295.40 cents/lb. Arabica inventories monitored by ICE reached their highest level in more than 6 months (585.621 bags) continuing to put pressure on this exchange.

Market outlook

The coffee market is currently facing great supply pressure from Brazil as international organizations continuously raise their forecast for record production. Marex Group Plc estimates Brazil’s 2026/27 crop output to reach a record 75.9 million bags (up 15.5% y/y), while Sucafina and StoneX forecast at 75.4 million bags and 75.3 million bags respectively. However, supporting factors are still present as tensions in the Strait of Hormuz increased logistics costs and rainfall in Brazil last week only reached 47% of the historical average.

In the new trading week, domestic coffee prices are likely to continue to struggle and accumulate in the 88,500 – 90,000 VND/kg range. Farmers should closely monitor the diễn biến of the USD and the sea transport situation through the Strait of Hormuz to be more proactive in sales plans.

The actual price may differ depending on the quality of the seeds and the transaction agreement in each locality.




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Written by : Editorial team of BIPNs

Main team of content of bipns.com. Any type of content should be approved by us.

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