Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market on April 14 continued to increase, extending the recovery period.

According to surveys in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, coffee prices simultaneously increased by 500 – 600 VND/kg, bringing the average price level of the whole region to the threshold of 86,500 VND/kg.

In Dak Nong province (old), the purchase price recorded the highest increase of 600 VND/kg, pushing the price to the highest in the region at 86,600 VND/kg.

Dak Lak and Gia Lai two localities increased by another 500 VND/kg, bringing the price to the highest level of 86,550 VND/kg.

With the same increase of 500 VND, Lam Dong province listed it at 86,500 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

On the international market, futures exchanges rebounded after the weekend session remained unchanged. On the New York exchange, Arabica futures for May 2026 opened at 300.85 cents/lb. Further forwards offered prices at the threshold of 268.4 cents/lb – 296.25 cents/lb.

In the same period, the London exchange also witnessed the Robusta line increasing in price, standing at 3,351 USD/ton. Further terms fluctuated around 3,106 USD/ton – 3,254 USD/ton.

Coffee prices are trending upwards, with Arabica coffee reaching its highest level in 2 weeks. The reason is that rainfall in Brazil is lower than average, which could reduce yields and push prices up. Tight Robusta supply also supports prices.

Market outlook

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted global transportation and tightened coffee supply. This increased transportation, insurance and fuel costs, thereby increasing costs for coffee importers and roasters.

Last week, Arabica prices fell to a 4-week low due to expectations for a record crop in Brazil. Coffee exports increased sharply from Vietnam – the world’s largest robusta producer, putting pressure on robusta prices.

According to data from the General Statistics Office, Vietnam’s coffee exports in the first quarter of 2026 increased by 14% compared to the same period, reaching 585,000 tons. In 2025, exports increased by 17.5%, reaching 1.58 million tons. The output of the 2025/26 crop is expected to increase by 6%, to 1.76 million tons (294 million bags), the highest level in 4 years.

Coffee prices were also supported by information that Brazil’s green coffee exports in February decreased by 27% year-on-year, to 2.3 million bags. The Brazilian Ministry of Commerce also said that exports in March decreased by 31%, to 151,000 tons.

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA – FAS) forecasts that Brazil’s output will decrease by 3.1% to 63 million sacks, while Vietnam will increase by 6.2% to 30.8 million sacks (the highest in 4 years). Inventory at the end of the 2025-2026 crop year is expected to decrease by 5.4%, to 20.148 million sacks.