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4 03, 2026

XAG/USD Plunges A Staggering 10% As US Dollar Strength Intensifies

By |2026-03-04T07:23:58+02:00March 4, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments



















Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Plunges A Staggering 10% As US Dollar Strength Intensifies














































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4 03, 2026

Forecast update for EURUSD -03-03-2026.

By |2026-03-04T07:13:22+02:00March 4, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBPCAD faced strong bearish pressures, which force it to break the bullish channel’s support at 1.8425, to begin forming strong bearish waves, targeting 1.8220 level.

 

We notice providing negative momentum by the main indicators to confirm the surrender of the negative scenario, to keep preferring the bearish attempts, which might target extra stations that begin at 1.8160 and 1.8080.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 1.8160 and 1.8355

 

Trend forecast: Bearish



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4 03, 2026

WTI Oil Price Forecast & Predictions for 2026, 2027, 2028–2030, 2040 and Beyond

By |2026-03-04T03:23:15+02:00March 4, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


This article provides a comprehensive overview of the USCRUDE trading instrument, addressing crucial components such as the current state of the oil market, influential factors affecting oil price shifts, and future forecasts. The outlook for oil prices employs a multifaceted approach, encompassing fundamental and technical analysis to provide a nuanced and informed market assessment.

In addition, the article offers a detailed long-term trading strategy, empowering investors to accurately identify optimal entry and exit points, thereby minimizing risk while maximizing returns. Furthermore, the article draws upon the insights of industry experts and examines prevailing sentiments on social media concerning crude oil prices, offering a well-rounded and informed analysis of the current and future state of the oil market.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • The current price of oil is $74.678 as of 04.03.2026.
  • Oil reached its all-time high of $147.27 on 11.07.2008. Oil’s all-time low of $-40.32 was recorded on 20.04.2020.
  • Oil represents one of the most liquid assets in global markets, traded in US dollars.
  • The leading oil exporters are Saudi Arabia, Russia, and the US, which provide a significant share of global supply.
  • Oil reserves in strategic storage facilities of OECD countries remain an essential factor affecting crude oil price performance.
  • USCrude: According to technical analysis, last week, oil extended its medium-term uptrend, reaching the Target Zone 3 of 68.08–67.66.

Oil Real-Time Market Status

Oil is trading at $74.678 as of 04.03.2026.

To make informed decisions, it is essential to closely monitor key indicators that reflect the current oil price landscape, including historical trends and investment potential. By leveraging this comprehensive data set, you can assess market trends, identify correlations with macroeconomic factors, and forecast price changes.

Indicator

Value

All-time low

$-40.32

All-time high

$147.27

Price change over the last 12 months

+17.16%

US crude production (bpd)

13.655 million

Oil Weekly Price Forecast as of 02.03.2026

Oil continued to trade in an uptrend last week, reaching the Target Zone 3 of 68.08–67.66. If the price breaks above this zone, the next bullish target will be the Target Zone 4 of 72.34–71.92.

If the oil price remains below the Target Zone 3, a correction may unfold, dragging the asset down to the support A of 63.47–63.05. Once this zone is tested, consider long trades with the first target at 65.39 and the second one at 67.73. The trend boundary is shifting to 61.34–60.70.

USCrude Trading Ideas for the Week:

Buy at support A of 63.47–63.05. TakeProfit: 65.39, 67.73. StopLoss: 61.95.

Technical analysis based on the margin zones methodology is presented by an independent analyst, Alex Rodionov.

Oil Price Forecast for 2026 Based on Technical Analysis

The price of USCrude has broken out of the descending trading channel, and the trend has changed to an upward one, with swing lows gradually rising. MACD values are in the positive zone, steadily increasing, while the RSI has climbed above 70. The SMA50 has turned upward and is drifting away from the SMA200, confirming the trend reversal.

The nearest support level has shifted to the $65–$68 area. While the asset is trading above this level, oil remains a viable purchase.

Below are the projected price levels for US Crude (WTI) over the next 12 months:

Month

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

March 2026

66.4

71.2

75.8

April 2026

68.1

73.6

78.9

May 2026

69.3

75.4

80.6

June 2026

67.8

73.1

79.2

July 2026

70.5

76.8

82.0

August 2026

72.1

78.4

83.5

September 2026

69.9

75.6

81.3

October 2026

71.2

77.9

84.1

November 2026

73.0

79.6

85.8

December 2026

74.5

81.2

88.4

January 2027

72.8

78.7

84.6

February 2027

73.9

80.4

86.2

Long-Term Trading Plan for US CRUDE in 2026

The trading strategy suggests buying oil on pullbacks to the $65–68 area when the RSI and MACD provide bullish signals simultaneously, confirming upward momentum. Aggressive entry: open long positions if the price settles above swing highs.

A take-profit order can be placed at $80, with profits taken in parts as the price hits new swing highs. A stop-loss order can be set just below $65.

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2026

Analysts have different predictions for 2026, ranging from steady growth to a correction. Their estimates take into account demand trends and market volatility.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $58.23–$70.40.

WalletInvestor expects crude prices to fall during the year. In the summer, the price may stabilize slightly above $70, but will then continue to fall. By December, the price of oil could drop to $58.23.

Month

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

April

67.27

67.40

68.74

May

67.03

68.28

69.49

June

69.57

69.91

70.40

July

68.17

69.20

70.36

August

66.03

66.98

67.75

September

65.12

65.66

66.37

October

62.91

64.08

65.26

November

59.27

60.95

62.64

December

58.23

59.22

59.36

CoinCodex

Price range: $64.22 – $73.76.

According to CoinCodex, the USCrude price will likely rise in 2026. By summer, the average price may fall to $65, after which a bullish trend will begin. By December, quotes may reach a high of $73.76.

Month

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

March

66.22

67.41

68.47

April

64.62

66.45

68.21

May

64.22

65.90

67.93

June

64.53

66.50

67.78

July

64.53

65.60

66.72

August

64.70

66.37

67.28

September

65.73

66.25

66.63

October

66.68

68.55

69.65

November

69.27

72.30

73.76

December

69.60

70.98

72.77

LongForecast

Price range: $64.73–$86.80.

LongForecast projects that USCrude will grow, facing high volatility. In the first half of the year, crude prices may exceed $86. However, the rate will be corrected later. By the end of the year, the average price will trade near $73.61.

Month

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

March

64.73

70.61

76.48

April

69.13

74.49

79.85

May

73.95

77.84

81.73

June

77.84

82.32

86.80

July

77.06

81.12

85.18

August

74.09

77.99

81.89

September

72.28

76.08

79.88

October

70.49

74.20

77.91

November

66.12

70.16

74.20

December

69.60

73.61

77.62

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2027

Forecasts for 2027 take into account possible OPEC+ decisions, global economic growth rates, and potential supply disruptions. Analysts’ estimates vary considerably.


Note: The price ranges reflect the asset's expected volatility throughout the year. Lows and highs may not be shown in the summary tables.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $54.17–$66.33.

According to WalletInvestor, the price of USCrude will likely decline in 2027. In the first half of the year, crude quotes may trade between $65 and $66, and then begin to slide. In December, the price may reach a low of $54.17.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

59.30

61.15

63.53

Q2

62.98

64.78

66.33

Q3

61.09

62.55

66.34

Q4

54.17

57.08

61.13

CoinCodex

Price range: $55.08–$69.75.

CoinCodex predicts that oil prices will decline. At the beginning of the year, the average price will trade near $68. In the summer, it will fall to $64. By the end of December, oil may drop to a low of $55.08.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

65.83

68.08

69.75

Q2

62.97

64.80

67.66

Q3

56.02

59.81

67.60

Q4

55.08

58.31

60.20

LongForecast

Price range: $64.67–$86.01.

According to LongForecast, the price of USCrude is expected to drop in 2027. By the end of June, the average price will be around $76. The yearly low of $64.67 is expected in the fourth quarter.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

72.99

79.08

86.01

Q2

70.62

76.39

82.36

Q3

74.03

79.63

84.71

Q4

64.67

71.33

80.27

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2028

Projections for 2028 reflect potential changes in global oil demand, output, and investment activity in the energy sector. Analysts explore various scenarios, including both recovery and decline phases.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $50.12–$62.31.

According to WalletInvestor, the price of USCrude is projected to decline. At the beginning of the year, oil quotes may stabilize above $59–$60, but a downward trend will likely follow. In December, the price may reach a low of $50.12.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

55.39

57.11

59.51

Q2

58.94

60.95

62.31

Q3

57.05

58.44

62.12

Q4

50.12

53.31

57.11

CoinCodex

Price range: $58.76–$69.74.

CoinCodex predicts that oil prices will continue to decline. In the first quarter, crude prices may reach a yearly high of $69.74. However, the price will likely drop to $62–$65 in the summer. In late December, the price may fall to a low of $58.76.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

59.34

63.91

69.74

Q2

61.91

63.26

65.63

Q3

59.93

60.99

62.55

Q4

58.76

60.72

62.75

LongForecast

Price range: $61.22–$81.51.

LongForecast forecasts an increase in oil prices, though with high volatility. In summer, prices may reach a yearly high of $81.51. A downward correction is possible in the fall, but the upward trend will resume thereafter, and the average price in December will be $70.9.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

63.37

68.82

75.35

Q2

66.71

73.85

81.51

Q3

61.22

68.79

77.63

Q4

64.44

70.90

78.02

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2029

In 2029, USCrude prices will depend on US shale oil production volume and OPEC+ policies. Any supply disruptions could fuel volatility. Most experts predict a decline in oil prices.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $46.08–$58.27.

WalletInvestor predicts a decline in USCrude prices. In the first half of the year, the asset will trade above $55, followed by a bearish trend. By the end of December, the price may decline to a minimum of $46.08.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

51.26

53.96

55.50

Q2

54.90

56.90

58.27

Q3

53.02

54.35

58.12

Q4

46.08

48.94

53.08

CoinCodex

Price range: $54.35–$62.58.

According to CoinCodex, the average price of oil may trade around $58 in the first quarter. A sustained decline is forecast thereafter, with the price potentially falling to $54.35 by autumn. However, the price will begin to rise in the fourth quarter and could reach a high of $62.58 in December.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

55.43

58.06

60.14

Q2

56.74

57.72

58.67

Q3

54.35

55.74

57.91

Q4

55.67

58.59

62.58

LongForecast

Price range: $54.03–$81.34.

LongForecast predicts a gradual decline in USCrude. The asset is expected to peak at $81.34 at the beginning of the year. However, the average price will be $70.7 in June, sliding to a low of $54.03 in December.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

69.04

74.57

81.34

Q2

65.70

70.70

76.09

Q3

61.65

67.66

72.64

Q4

54.03

60.71

68.91

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections for 2030

In 2030, the oil market may be affected by oil production cuts, developments in the US shale sector, and potential changes in the global energy landscape. The price of USCrude will also depend on the geopolitical situation.

WalletInvestor

Price range: $42.05–$54.22.

WalletInvestor expects USCrude prices to fall. In the first half of the year, oil prices will likely fluctuate between $47 and $54. However, by the end of the year, the price is projected to fall below $50. In December, the asset may reach a low of $42.05.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

47.16

49.30

51.47

Q2

50.87

52.35

54.22

Q3

48.96

51.17

54.12

Q4

42.05

45.21

49.05

CoinCodex

Price range: $56.89–$66.97.

According to CoinCodex, USCrude quotes may increase. The average price will fluctuate between $59 and $61 for most of the year. In December, the price may reach a yearly high of $66.97.

Quarter

Minimum, $

Average, $

Maximum, $

Q1

56.89

59.60

62.03

Q2

58.05

59.97

61.78

Q3

58.34

59.79

60.91

Q4

60.48

64.04

66.97

Analysts’ Oil Price Projections up to 2050

Long-term estimates for US crude oil until 2050 vary significantly. Analysts predict different trajectories for the energy market, ranging from a gradual decline in prices amid the transition to alternative energy sources to sustained demand for oil.

CoinCodex expects a long-term downward trend. In 2040, the average price of crude oil will be $43.96. The decline will continue, and by the end of 2050, the price may drop to $37.98.

CoinPriceForecast, by contrast, predicts an increase in oil prices. By 2034, the price could reach $117.14, and by 2037, it may surge to $140.79.

Year

CoinCodex, $

CoinPriceForecast, $

2034

117.14

2037

140.79

2040

43.96

2050

37.98

Market Sentiment for US Crude (Oil) on Social Media

Media sentiment can influence short-term fluctuations in oil prices. When most social media users express optimism about future growth, bullish momentum may strengthen. During periods of uncertainty, negative comments may trigger high volatility.

User @TradzoIndia gives a bullish forecast. Due to the conflict in the Middle East, oil prices may reach $90.

User @3Xtraders also expects crude prices to surge. Due to US military operations, the price of oil will likely exceed $81.

In general, social media sentiment remains predominantly positive. Against the backdrop of geopolitical conflict, oil prices may rise significantly. Before making trading and investment decisions, it is necessary to conduct technical and fundamental analysis and study expert reports.

Oil Price History (USCrude)

Oil (USCrude) reached its all-time high of $147.27 on 11.07.2008.

The lowest price of oil (USCrude) was recorded on 20.04.2020 and reached $-40.32.

Below is a chart showing the performance of USCrude quotes over the last ten years. In this connection, it is important to evaluate historical data to make predictions as accurate as possible.

The USCrude price has displayed considerable volatility since 2003, reflecting economic and political developments worldwide. In 2008, oil prices surged to an all-time high of $147 per barrel, driven by rising demand in developing countries and constrained supply. However, the global financial crisis triggered a significant drop in prices, reaching $40, one of the steepest declines in history.

In 2014–2015, the price of oil substantially declined due to an oversupply in the market and a surge in shale oil production in the US. This marked a pivotal shift in the industry’s landscape and the global oil trade sector.

In 2020, the global oil demand experienced a significant decline due to the impact of the pandemic, resulting in a temporary decline in crude prices below zero.

In 2021, the market began to recover amid a gradual increase in oil consumption. In 2022, US Crude prices traded in the $70–120 per barrel range, reflecting geopolitical tensions, supply constraints, and rising inflation.

From early 2024, USCrude prices were highly volatile. In the first quarter, prices rose to $87.10 amid geopolitical tensions and expectations of stronger demand. However, from the second quarter through year-end, prices fell to $75.71 amid increased production and recession concerns.

The downtrend gained momentum in the early months of 2025. By early May, the asset’s price had fallen to $55.04. By mid-June, the price had rebounded to $76.59, but from August onward it declined gradually. Toward the end of the year, prices traded within a broad $55–62 range.

In early 2026, WTI showed no clear trend. However, the military conflict in the Middle East brought about a sudden change in the situation. Volatility spiked, with prices reaching $70–73. The nearest support level is located at $68–69.

Oil Price Fundamental Analysis (USCrude)

Fundamental analysis is the key to understanding the factors that influence oil prices. This section focuses on the economic, political, and environmental factors that determine supply and demand, as well as the fluctuations in the value of US Crude in the global market. Understanding these aspects provides a more accurate assessment of the asset’s long-term prospects. The analysis also includes an evaluation of the impact of energy policy and technological advancements in the industry.

What Factors Affect the Oil Price?

The price of oil is shaped by a variety of fundamental factors that reflect the state of the global economy and geopolitical environment:

  • The level of global oil demand, especially in the major economies.

  • The volume of oil production by the largest oil-producing countries.

  • Oil reserves in strategic storage facilities.

  • Political stability in oil-rich regions.

  • Transportation costs and infrastructure constraints.

  • The exchange rate of the US dollar, as oil is quoted in the US currency.

  • Development of alternative energy sources and environmental initiatives.

  • Force majeure, including natural and technological disasters.

  • Seasonal changes in fuel demand, especially during heating and summer periods.

  • Government subsidies or tax policies that affect the cost of oil production and transportation.

These factors play a key role in determining oil prices. They should be considered when making short- and long-term forecasts.

More Facts About Oil

Oil is a valuable natural resource that plays a key role in the world economy. This versatile hydrocarbon product is used in the production of fuel, plastics, chemicals, and electricity. Crude oil is classified into different types, including Brent, WTI, and Dubai benchmark grades, each with its own characteristics and designated applications.

Oil is extracted in various regions worldwide, with Saudi Arabia, Russia, the United States, and Canada being the leading producers. The primary extraction methods include conventional drilling and shale oil extraction. Transportation is facilitated through pipelines, tankers, and railroad trains.

The pricing of oil is influenced by a variety of factors, including supply and demand shifts, geopolitical events, and decisions made by organizations such as OPEC. It is traded on global exchanges, such as NYMEX and ICE.

The history of oil spans more than 150 years, beginning with the first commercial production in 1859 in the US. Despite the emergence of alternative energy sources such as solar and wind power, oil continues to dominate the global energy landscape.

Advantages and Disadvantages of Investing in USCrude

Investing in oil is a common strategy for diversifying an investment portfolio, given its high liquidity and profit potential. However, it is essential for investors to carefully assess the risks associated with price volatility and external factors.

Advantages

  • High liquidity: oil is actively traded on global exchanges, making it easy to buy and sell.

  • Growth potential: oil prices can rise significantly on the back of increased demand, especially during an economic recovery

  • Inflation hedging: investing in oil can help safeguard a portfolio against inflation and the potential loss of purchasing power.

  • Portfolio diversification: investing in oil reduces overall risk by adding commodity assets that are not correlated with equities.

  • Opportunity for speculation: the high volatility of oil provides ample opportunity for short-term strategies, allowing you to capitalize on sharp changes in quotes.

  • Global importance: oil remains a key commodity for the global economy, ensuring its stable demand.

Disadvantages

  • High volatility: oil prices are subject to sharp fluctuations due to external factors such as crises or changes in demand.

  • Dependence on geopolitics: instability in oil-producing regions can lead to sharp price changes, representing an additional risk.

  • Environmental risks: growing environmental requirements may limit production and increase production and transportation costs.

  • Long-term uncertainty: alternative energy may reduce oil demand, affecting its prospects as an asset.

  • Limited access: for retail investors, access to oil markets may be restricted by the intricacies of futures trading.

  • Dependence on macroeconomic factors: economic downturns or slowdowns can adversely impact the value of USCrude.

Investing in oil can present both significant opportunities for high returns and considerable risks. Consequently, it is essential to carefully consider global economic and political factors while monitoring trends within the energy industry to make informed investment decisions.

How We Make Forecasts

The forecasting methodology involves analyzing data over three time horizons: short, medium, and long term. Each approach employs specific tools and analysis methods.

Short-term forecasts

Short-term forecasts rely on technical indicators such as moving averages, the RSI, and support and resistance levels. In addition, relevant news and geopolitical events help predict short-term price swings.

Medium-term forecasts

The medium-term outlook focuses on key fundamental data, including production volumes, oil reserves, and economic indicators such as demand in major economies. Seasonal changes in supply and demand are also evaluated.

Long-term forecasts

Long-term forecasts are based on a comprehensive assessment of global trends, including the transition to green energy, changes in OPEC policies, and technological advancements. In addition, price history analysis and scenario modeling complement the outlook.

This comprehensive approach allows us to consider various factors affecting the oil market and deliver precise forecasts.

Conclusion: Is Oil a Good Investment?

Oil may be an attractive investment, provided the investor is prepared for high volatility and understands the market’s cyclical nature. Long-term price expectations remain mixed: some forecasts allow for recovery and growth, while others point to downside risks and the persistence of sideways movement. In such conditions, oil is often better suited for portfolio diversification and tactical trades than for long-term passive holding. An optimal approach typically involves choosing a well-timed entry, accounting for the prevailing trend, and being ready to reassess the position as the market phase changes.

Oil Price Prediction FAQs

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.

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4 03, 2026

The EURJPY yields to the barrier’s stability– Forecast today – 3-3-2026

By |2026-03-04T03:12:14+02:00March 4, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBPJPY pair activated the bullish attempts, to achieve the suggested target by reaching 211.25, facing a key barrier which forces it to form new negative rebound, to settle near the initial support at 210.65 level.

 

Note that the continuation of the main indicators contradiction by the price stability below 211.25 might push it to form new bearish waves, attempting to reach 209.85 to press on 209.15 support, while confirming the positivity requires forming strong bullish rally, to settle above 211.25, to ease the mission of targeting the next positive level at 212.05.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 209.80 and 211.00

 

Trend forecast: Bearish



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3 03, 2026

Forecast update for gold -03-03-2026.

By |2026-03-03T23:22:04+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The GBPCAD faced strong bearish pressures, which force it to break the bullish channel’s support at 1.8425, to begin forming strong bearish waves, targeting 1.8220 level.

 

We notice providing negative momentum by the main indicators to confirm the surrender of the negative scenario, to keep preferring the bearish attempts, which might target extra stations that begin at 1.8160 and 1.8080.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 1.8160 and 1.8355

 

Trend forecast: Bearish





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3 03, 2026

USD/CHF, EUR/USD and GBP/USD Forecast – US Dollar Jumps in Risk Off Move

By |2026-03-03T23:11:10+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

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3 03, 2026

Copper price is without any news– Forecast today – 3-3-2026

By |2026-03-03T19:20:46+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Copper price hasn’t moved anything since yesterday, due to its fluctuation below $5.9700 barrier, announcing its surrender to the sideways bias dominance, forming weak trading by its stability near $5.9000.

 

The continuation of the main indicators contradiction might push the price to provide more sideways trading, and its rally above the barrier and holding above it will open the way for recording extra gains, which might begin at $6.1200 and $6.2400.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $5.8500 and $6.1200

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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3 03, 2026

Resilient Pair Holds Critical Gains Near 157.00 Monthly Peak

By |2026-03-03T19:10:03+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


















USD/JPY Price Forecast: Resilient Pair Holds Critical Gains Near 157.00 Monthly Peak












































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3 03, 2026

Platinum price retests the support– Forecast today – 3-3-2026

By |2026-03-03T15:19:08+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Platinum price surrendered to the stability of the barrier at $2430.00, pushing it to activate the attempts of gathering gains by testing $2245.00 support, to settle above it.

 

The suggested scenario depends on the strength of the current support, as its stability makes us expect begin forming bullish waves, to attempt to reach $2345.00, to repeat the pressure on the mentioned barrier, while its decline below the support and providing negative close will force it to suffer several losses by reaching $2180.00 and $2130.00. 

 

The expected trading range for today is between $2245.00 and $2345.00

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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3 03, 2026

Sellers retain control despite oversold conditions

By |2026-03-03T15:08:59+02:00March 3, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/USD extends its slide after closing deep in negative territory on Monday and closes in on 1.1600. The risk-averse market atmosphere could make it difficult for the pair to stage a rebound, despite technically oversold conditions.

Euro Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies this week. Euro was the weakest against the Australian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 1.23% 0.82% 0.99% 0.36% -0.15% 0.84% 2.22%
EUR -1.23% -0.41% -0.27% -0.86% -1.36% -0.38% 0.97%
GBP -0.82% 0.41% -0.06% -0.45% -0.96% 0.03% 1.38%
JPY -0.99% 0.27% 0.06% -0.57% -1.09% -0.04% 1.25%
CAD -0.36% 0.86% 0.45% 0.57% -0.55% 0.54% 1.85%
AUD 0.15% 1.36% 0.96% 1.09% 0.55% 0.99% 2.37%
NZD -0.84% 0.38% -0.03% 0.04% -0.54% -0.99% 1.37%
CHF -2.22% -0.97% -1.38% -1.25% -1.85% -2.37% -1.37%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

The US Dollar (USD) capitalized on safe-haven flows at the beginning of the week and caused EUR/USD to push lower as markets reacted to the US and Israel carrying out a joint military operation against Iran. Reflecting the broad-based USD strength, the USD Index gained nearly 1% on a daily basis on Monday.

Early Tuesday, US stock index futures are down more than 1% on the day and the Euro Stoxx 50 Index loses about 2.3%. In turn, the USD Index preserves its bullish momentum and trades at its highest level since late January above 99.00.

US military officials said early Tuesday that they have destroyed command posts of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, as well as Iranian air defense and missile launch sites since the start of the joint offensive on Saturday. Meanwhile, Iran fired missiles and drones at several Persian Gulf countries, including a drone strike that hit the US Embassy in Saudi Arabia’s capital, Riyadh. US President Donald Trump said that he doesn’t think “boots on the ground” will be necessary and added that the US will soon respond to the attack on the US embassy in Riyadh soon.

The European economic calendar will feature the preliminary Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for February, which is unlikely to trigger a market reaction.

Later in the day, policymakers from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) will be delivering speeches.

ECB chief economist Philip Lane said early Tuesday that a prolonged conflict in the Middle East could lead to a substantial spike in inflation and also cause a sharp drop in output in the Euro Area. Additionally, ECB policymaker Martin Kocher told the Wall Street Journal on Monday that the ECB should be prepared to move interest rates quickly in either direction. In case ECB officials voice concerns over upside risks to inflation, the Euro could find a foothold in the near term and help EUR/USD limit its losses.

In the meantime, markets seem to be assessing the uncertainty created by the Middle East crisis as a factor that could cause the Fed to delay policy-easing. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a Fed rate cut in June declined to about 36% from nearly 46% on Friday. Hence, the USD could continue to outperform its rivals if Fed policymakers hint that they would prefer to remain patient until they have a better understanding of the potential impact of the US-Iran war on inflation and the broad economic outlook.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis:

In the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD trades at 1.1635. The near-term bias is bearish as the pair holds below the 20-, 50- and 100-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), while the 50- and 100-period SMAs cap price beneath the gently rising 200-period SMA near 1.1805, signalling persistent downside pressure within a broader consolidation. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 26, in oversold territory, which reflects strong selling momentum but also warns that further declines would stretch the move. Price has slipped beneath the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.1757, measured from the 1.1590 low to the 1.2027 high, reinforcing the corrective slide from the upper range.

Immediate resistance now appears at the 61.8% retracement at 1.1757, followed by the 50% retracement at 1.1809, where the cluster of SMAs around 1.1780–1.1820 forms a broader supply zone that would need to break to ease the bearish tone. On the downside, support is seen at the recent Fibonacci anchor low at 1.1590, ahead of the horizontal levels at 1.1540 and 1.1500, which guard deeper losses. A sustained break below 1.1590 would open the path toward 1.1540, while recovery attempts below 1.1757 are expected to face selling interest.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro FAQs

The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day.
EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).

The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy.
The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa.
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.

Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control.
Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency.
A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall.
Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy.

Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period.
If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

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