The EURJPY pair renewed the bullish attempts yesterday, facing 186.65 barrier, which formed a strong obstacle against the attempts of resuming the bullish trend.
Reminding you that the stability within the bullish channel’s levels, and its main support is located at 185.60 represents a main factor to activate the bullish attempts, therefore, we will keep waiting for breaching the current barrier to open the way for reaching extra stations, which might begin at 186.95 and 187.65.
The expected trading range for today is between 185.70 and 186.95
Platinum price provided more sideways trading by its fluctuation near $1600.00 level due to the contradiction of the main indicators, especially by stochastic stability above 20 level, obstructing the previously waited negative trend.
Reminding you that the stability below the extra barrier at $1695.00 forms a main factor to confirm the previously suggested negative scenario, therefore, we will keep waiting for gathering extra negative momentum, to reach the initial target at $1550.00, then attempts to pressure the barrier near $1515.00.
The expected trading range for today is between $1515.00 and $1640.00
Gold prices deepened its losses during their latest intraday trading, breaking a bullish corrective trend line on the short-term basis, accompanied by surpassing EMA50’s support, intensifying the negative pressures and suggesting more losses in the near upcoming period, especially with the emergence of the negative signals from the relative strength indicators, despite reaching oversold levels.
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Silver prices fell towards $57.20 per ounce on Tuesday as a stronger US dollar and growing expectations of tighter Federal Reserve policy outweighed support from another year of structural supply deficits. With the Fed set to announce its latest policy decision on Wednesday, traders are watching whether XAG/USD can hold the key $56.81 Fibonacci support before the next directional move.
Stronger Dollar and Fed Expectations Pressure Silver
Silver came under renewed selling pressure as investors reduced exposure ahead of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting. Spot silver traded near $57.23 per ounce, down around 2% on the day, extending its retreat after briefly approaching the $60 mark last week. The stronger US dollar remained the primary headwind, making dollar-denominated precious metals more expensive for overseas buyers.
Markets are increasingly focused on the Fed’s policy guidance rather than the rate decision itself. According to CME FedWatch, investors assign a 62% probability that policymakers will leave interest rates unchanged this week, while the likelihood of a 25-basis-point increase has climbed to 38%, up sharply from around 16% a week ago. Markets are also pricing roughly an 81% chance of a September rate increase, reflecting expectations that inflation risks remain elevated.
Source: CME FedWatch
Higher interest rates generally reduce the appeal of non-yielding assets such as silver by increasing returns on cash and government bonds. A hawkish statement from the Fed could therefore keep pressure on both silver and gold, even if rates remain unchanged this week.
Industrial Demand and Supply Deficits Continue to Support the Long-Term Outlook
Unlike gold, silver derives much of its value from industrial demand, particularly in electronics, renewable energy, electric vehicles and advanced manufacturing. While concerns over slower global growth have weighed on industrial metals in recent weeks, the long-term supply picture remains supportive.
The Silver Institute expects the global silver market to record its sixth consecutive annual supply deficit in 2026. Its latest estimates indicate the market could remain undersupplied by approximately 46.3 million ounces, even after modest improvements in mine production and recycling. Earlier projections had suggested a deficit closer to 67 million ounces, highlighting that global consumption continues to exceed newly available supply.
Physical investment demand also remains resilient. The Silver Institute forecasts demand for silver coins and bars to increase by roughly 20% to around 227 million ounces this year, the strongest level in three years. Although industrial fabrication is expected to soften slightly, silver continues to benefit from growing demand across electrical infrastructure, electronics and clean energy technologies.
Another supportive factor comes from India, where tighter import restrictions and higher import duties have significantly reduced silver imports, creating regional shortages and lifting domestic premiums above international benchmark prices.
Economic Data Could Drive the Next Move
Following Wednesday’s Fed decision, attention will quickly shift to Thursday’s US GDP, personal income, spending and Core PCE inflation reports. The Core PCE index remains the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge, and any upside surprise could reinforce expectations for another rate increase in September.
Conversely, softer economic growth or easing inflation would weaken the US dollar and improve the outlook for precious metals, particularly silver, which tends to react more sharply than gold to changes in monetary policy expectations.
Silver Price Forecast: Can XAG/USD Hold the $56.81 Fibonacci Support?
Silver’s technical picture has weakened after breaking below the ascending trendline that supported the rally from the July 17 low. The decline has brought prices towards the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $56.81, where buyers have begun to emerge. However, the recovery remains tentative as XAG/USD continues to trade below both the former trendline and its key moving averages.
Silver Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
The 50-period EMA at $58.38 has turned lower and now acts as immediate resistance, while the 200-period EMA at $58.99 remains firmly above price, confirming that sellers retain short-term control. Meanwhile, the RSI has fallen to around 34, approaching oversold territory but not yet signalling a confirmed bullish reversal.
A sustained recovery above $58.34 would improve the near-term outlook and expose the 200-period EMA at $58.99, followed by the descending trendline near $59.96. If buyers regain control above these levels, the next upside objective comes in at $61.38.
On the downside, $56.81 remains the first key support. A decisive break below this Fibonacci level would expose $56.33, followed by $55.72, while a deeper correction could extend towards $54.77.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed break below $56.81 could accelerate losses towards $56.33, followed by $55.72 and $54.77.
FAQs
Why is silver falling today?
Silver is under pressure because the US dollar has strengthened ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, reducing demand for non-yielding precious metals and increasing the cost of silver for international buyers.
Why does industrial demand matter for silver?
Unlike gold, more than half of global silver consumption comes from industrial applications, including electronics, solar panels, electric vehicles and electrical infrastructure. Economic growth expectations therefore have a greater influence on silver prices.
Can the long-term supply deficit support silver prices?
Yes. The Silver Institute expects another annual supply deficit in 2026, with global demand continuing to exceed mine production and recycling. Persistent shortages could provide longer-term support once monetary policy uncertainty begins to ease.
Arslan Ali Butt
Lead Markets Analyst – Multi-Asset (FX, Commodities, Crypto)
Arslan Ali Butt serves as the Lead Commodities and Indices Analyst, bringing a wealth of expertise to the field. With an MBA in Behavioral Finance and active progress towards a Ph.D., Arslan possesses a deep understanding of market dynamics.
His professional journey includes a significant role as a senior analyst at a leading brokerage firm, complementing his extensive experience as a market analyst and day trader. Adept in educating others, Arslan has a commendable track record as an instructor and public speaker.
His incisive analyses, particularly within the realms of cryptocurrency and forex markets, are showcased across esteemed financial publications such as ForexCrunch, InsideBitcoins, and EconomyWatch, solidifying his reputation in the financial community.
EUR/JPY holds ground after two days of losses, trading around 186.20 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency cross is holding a bullish near-term bias as it trades above both the nine-period and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), keeping the broader uptrend supported.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 57.46 leans to the bullish side without yet signaling overbought conditions, suggesting buyers still retain control while upside momentum remains moderate. However, the daily chart technical analysis shows that the EUR/JPY cross is remaining within a rising wedge, indicating a strong bearish reversal risk.
The EUR/JPY cross could rise toward the upper boundary of the rising wedge around 186.90. Further advances could support the currency cross to target the all-time high of 187.95, which was recorded on April 17.
On the downside, the initial support lies at the nine-day EMA of 186.01, followed by the lower boundary of the rising wedge around 185.50 and the 50-day EMA at 185.33. A break below this confluence support zone could cause a bearish emergence and put downward pressure on the EUR/JPY cross to navigate the region around the five-month low of 181.87, recorded on March 16, and the seven-month low of 180.81.
EUR/JPY: Daily Chart
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.
USD
EUR
GBP
JPY
CAD
AUD
NZD
CHF
USD
0.03%
-0.01%
0.00%
-0.00%
0.33%
0.16%
-0.00%
EUR
-0.03%
-0.04%
-0.02%
-0.05%
0.29%
0.14%
-0.03%
GBP
0.00%
0.04%
0.02%
0.04%
0.36%
0.19%
0.03%
JPY
0.00%
0.02%
-0.02%
-0.01%
0.32%
0.16%
0.01%
CAD
0.00%
0.05%
-0.04%
0.00%
0.34%
0.15%
0.02%
AUD
-0.33%
-0.29%
-0.36%
-0.32%
-0.34%
-0.14%
-0.33%
NZD
-0.16%
-0.14%
-0.19%
-0.16%
-0.15%
0.14%
-0.14%
CHF
0.00%
0.03%
-0.03%
-0.01%
-0.02%
0.33%
0.14%
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
The GBPJPY pair remains affected by the contradiction of the main indicators, delaying the bullish trend and it settles near the initial support level at 217.65 level, facing the moving average 55.
Reminding you that the positive scenario will remain valid by holding above 216.55 level, which forms initial main support against the bullish attempts, therefore, we will keep waiting for gathering positive momentum to help it form bullish waves, to target 218.65 level and surpassing this barrier will extend the trading towards 219.40 reaching 220.00.
The expected trading range for today is between 217.30 and 218.65
Nomura expects USD/JPY to remain in a 162.00–165.50 range as rising US yields and Fed expectations support the US Dollar, although the risk of Japanese currency intervention is increasing as the pair approaches fresh multi-decade highs.
The US Dollar to Japanese Yen exchange rate is expected to remain elevated in the near term, with Nomura arguing that strong US fundamentals and higher Treasury yields continue to outweigh growing intervention risks from Japanese authorities.
USD/JPY has climbed back towards the 164 level, close to its highest levels since the 1980s, as rising oil prices, resilient US economic data and renewed expectations of further Federal Reserve tightening have boosted demand for the Dollar.
Nomura believes those factors should keep the pair trading within a 162.00 to 165.50 range, although it warns that official action becomes increasingly likely if the exchange rate pushes higher.
Image: Weekly JPY performance chart vs USD, GBP and EUR
The Japanese Yen has weakened against the US Dollar over recent weeks as higher US yields have widened interest-rate differentials.
According to Nomura, markets are effectively testing Japan’s tolerance for further Yen weakness.
The bank notes that although Finance Minister Katayama has reiterated that authorities stand ready to take “decisive action whenever necessary”, verbal warnings have yet to intensify significantly and there has been no evidence of fresh currency intervention.
Instead, investors remain focused on the widening gap between US and Japanese interest rates.
Higher crude oil prices have also weighed on the Yen by worsening Japan’s import bill, while stronger-than-expected US labour-market data have reinforced expectations that the Federal Reserve may need to keep monetary policy restrictive for longer.
Nomura believes those forces continue to favour Dollar strength despite the growing political sensitivity surrounding Yen depreciation.
MUFG shares a similar view, arguing that persistent US rate-hike expectations remain the dominant driver of USD/JPY.
The bank said stronger US inflation risks and resilient employment data have pushed Treasury yields higher, offsetting expectations that the Bank of Japan will continue gradually normalising policy.
Bank of Japan Signals Could Be Key for the Yen
Attention now turns to this week’s Bank of Japan policy meeting, where rates are widely expected to remain unchanged.
Nomura says any indication that policymakers are becoming more willing to raise rates at the September meeting could help stabilise the Yen by narrowing expected policy divergence with the Federal Reserve.
The bank also believes markets will closely watch Governor Ueda’s press conference and any changes in the voting pattern for clues that the BOJ is becoming less tolerant of above-target inflation.
Goldman Sachs likewise expects the BOJ to leave policy unchanged, with investors instead focusing on the latest Tokyo inflation figures and industrial production data for guidance on the timing of future tightening.
For now, however, the US Dollar continues to enjoy a substantial yield advantage.
Nomura expects that to keep USD/JPY supported within its projected 162.00–165.50 range, while warning that any move towards the upper end of that band could significantly increase the likelihood of intervention by Japanese authorities.
Exchange Rates UK Research
Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
UK Stock Market Forecast Today (July 28 2026): The prospects of the UK equity market continue to remain positive as the FTSE 100 Index has managed to rise to a five-month peak of 10,781.75, helped by better global sentiment and lower levels of anxiety regarding inflation. The main reason for this positive shift is the sharp fall in the price level of global crude oil, where the price of Brent crude oil declined below $91 a barrel owing to a brief pause in US-Iran military disputes.
UK Stock Market Forecast Today (July 28): FTSE 100 Market Outlook
The gain in FTSE 100 index was largely due to the fall in the price of crude oil by 6% on account of the reduced geopolitical tension between the US and Iran. Reduced oil prices have helped to ease concerns about increased fuel prices and domestic inflationary pressures, and an improvement in risk appetite around the world has led to buying in stocks of leading companies in the UK. Volatility in the market could persist in the coming period on account of geopolitical events and earnings reports.
You Might Be Interested In
FTSE 100 Previous Market Performance
Date
FTSE 100 Close
Open
High
Low
Volume
Change
27-07-2026
10,781.75
10,736.14
10,820.94
10,736.14
1.03B
+0.42%
24-07-2026
10,736.23
10,638.86
10,738.83
10,599.10
714.33M
+0.91%
23-07-2026
10,639.17
10,716.99
10,720.33
10,610.38
852.71M
-0.73%
22-07-2026
10,716.97
10,585.87
10,763.44
10,568.72
726.90M
+1.24%
21-07-2026
10,585.91
10,524.25
10,585.91
10,483.14
719.75M
+0.58%
20-07-2026
10,524.76
10,600.27
10,600.27
10,512.76
860.37M
-0.71%
17-07-2026
10,600.37
10,572.39
10,623.69
10,527.65
771.64M
+0.27%
Key Factors to Watch in UK Stock Market Today
Developments in Middle East geopolitical tensions
Brent crude oil price movement
Global inflation trends
Bank of England interest rate outlook
Movement in the British pound against the US dollar
Corporate earnings announcements
Performance of global equity markets
FTSE Major Indices: Why They Matter
Index
Importance
FTSE 100
Tracks the UK’s largest listed companies and global businesses
FTSE 250
Reflects UK-focused mid-cap companies and domestic economic sentiment
FTSE All-Share
Represents a broader picture of UK equities
AIM All-Share
Covers smaller and growth-oriented companies
UK Stocks to Watch Today
The shares in the UK will continue to be in the spotlight today on account of the influence of the significant drop in the global prices for crude oil, the publication of interim results from major companies, and the diminishing of the geopolitical risks owing to the temporary easing of tensions between the United States and Iran.
Stock
Key Developments
Unilever (ULVR)
Unilever is attracting investor attention after reporting a strong performance, with underlying sales growth of 4.8% in the first half of the year. The growth was supported by improved core volumes, while the planned separation of its Unilever Foods division remains on schedule.
AstraZeneca (AZN)
AstraZeneca continues to gain momentum after posting better-than-expected earnings, with H1 revenue rising 9%. Positive survival data from trials of its gastric cancer treatment has emerged as a major growth driver for the pharmaceutical giant.
Games Workshop (GAW)
Games Workshop is expected to see increased trading activity after announcing an interim dividend of £1.40 per share, drawing attention from income-focused investors.
DCC plc (DCC)
DCC remains in focus after agreeing to the £5.75 billion acquisition of DCC Energy by KKR and ECP, marking a major strategic development for the company.
Investors will continue to monitor energy prices, corporate earnings, and global risk sentiment for further direction in UK equities.
What Should Investors Know?
The key lesson for any investor is that creating long-term value is not dependent on anticipating the market moves but rather on being disciplined, taking care of the risks, and letting the investments compound over time. Reinvestment of earnings allows an investor to grow exponentially over time, whereas diversification into various assets prevents an individual from facing losses. Investors need to be aware of the fact that excess cash held by them becomes less valuable due to increasing inflation levels. Excessive investment costs can prove detrimental for the investment returns.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investors should consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. Stock market investments are subject to market risks.
The GBPJPY pair remains affected by the contradiction of the main indicators, delaying the bullish trend and it settles near the initial support level at 217.65 level, facing the moving average 55.
Reminding you that the positive scenario will remain valid by holding above 216.55 level, which forms initial main support against the bullish attempts, therefore, we will keep waiting for gathering positive momentum to help it form bullish waves, to target 218.65 level and surpassing this barrier will extend the trading towards 219.40 reaching 220.00.
The expected trading range for today is between 217.30 and 218.65
Ni news for copper price due to the contradiction of the main indicators, providing weak sideways trading by its stability near $6.3000 level, confined between $6.5100 barrier and $6.1000 level.
Stochastic approach from 20 level makes us expect forming some bullish bearish corrective waves, attempting to reach $6.2000, attacking the previously mentioned support, which represents initial key to confirm the suggested targets in the upcoming trading.
The expected trading range for today is between $6.1000 and $6.4100
