Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market this morning, April 3, simultaneously turned down in price in all localities. Dealers in the Central Highlands region adjusted down from 800 to 1,000 VND/kg, pushing the average price of the whole region back to 89.2 million VND/kg.

Detailed fluctuations in key growing areas:

In Dak Nong province (old): Recorded a decrease of 900 VND/kg, currently purchasing at 89. 300 VND/kg.

In Dak Lak province: Coffee prices plummeted by 800 VND/kg, currently trading at 89. 200 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai province: Similarly to Dak Lak, the decrease is 800 VND/kg, bringing coffee prices to the 89. 200 VND/kg mark.

In Lam Dong province: Recorded the strongest decrease with -1,000 VND/kg, currently listed at the lowest level in the region at 88,700 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

Following the same trend, coffee prices on both London and New York exchanges closed the recent session with a significant decrease.

London Stock Exchange (Robusta): May 2026 delivery fell sharply by 73 USD (equivalent to 2.07%), closing the session at 3,448 USD/ton. The decline occurred despite the information that Robusta inventory monitored by ICE is still at a low level in 3.5 months of 4,993 lots. Export pressure from Vietnam (in the first 2 months of 2026, it increased by 14% to 360,000 tons) continues to put pressure on this exchange.

New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): May 2026 futures fell 2.40 cents (equivalent to 0.81%), closing at 295.40 cents/lb. The strength of the USD has made commodity prices more expensive, and the prospect of abundant supply has kept Arabica prices.

Market outlook and analysis

Pressure on coffee prices currently comes from a combination of many macroeconomic factors and supply. The rising USD index ($DXY) makes futures coffee prices lose their attractiveness to investors.

Marex Group Plc has just forecast that Brazil’s production in the 2026/27 crop year will reach a record 75.9 million bags (up 15.5% y/y). Other reports from Sucafina (75.4 million bags) and StoneX (75.3 million bags) also simultaneously strengthen the long-term oversupply sentiment.

Although the closure of the Strait of Hormuz increased transportation costs and rainfall in Brazil’s Minas Gerais region to only 47% of the historical average, this information is currently not strong enough to withstand technical sell-off pressure. In addition, Arabica inventories on the ICE exchange reaching a 6.25-month peak (more than 585,000 bags) are also creating downward pressure.

The actual price at the purchasing yards may vary depending on the locality and the quality of the seeds.