Dogecoin’s price remains in focus as the cryptocurrency faces market uncertainty while analysts debate its future trajectory.

The meme coin has been under pressure due to bearish trends, yet speculation over Elon Musk’s potential influence and broader adoption has kept investors intrigued. With recent developments pointing toward both risks and opportunities, can DOGE defy expectations and surge toward the elusive $1 mark?

Market Uncertainty Weighs on Dogecoin

Dogecoin has been struggling to maintain its momentum, currently trading around $0.1731 after recovering from a dip to $0.16. The cryptocurrency’s performance has been hampered by broader market concerns, including rising global economic uncertainty. Traders are bracing for further volatility as U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies come into focus.

Dogecoin (DOGE) price tests trendline support around $0.17. Source: ProfitProphet911 on TradingView

Adding to the instability, DOGE remains below key technical indicators such as the 50-day, 100-day, and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMA), suggesting a bearish outlook. Long liquidations for Dogecoin reached $3.3 million, outpacing short liquidations at $2.9 million, reflecting increased selling pressure.

Despite these headwinds, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is showing early signs of a potential breakout. If DOGE successfully reverses its downtrend, analysts see a possible move toward $0.25 in the short term.

Musk’s Clarification on Dogecoin’s Role in Government

Elon Musk’s Dogecoin engagement has long triggered speculations of its use in other industries. But his recent statements put to rest the rumors that the United States government does not intend to adopt DOGE, though it created the Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.), which some were misled into believing as a government-supported crypto venture.

Elon Musk confirmed that the U.S. government has no plans to use Dogecoin and dismissed any link between DOGE and federal agencies. Source: Crypto Patel via X

“There are no plans for the government to utilize Dogecoin or anything that I know of,” Musk responded, clarifying that the name of the department was decided by an online vote and not with reference to the cryptocurrency.

While this clarification dashed hopes of government adoption, Musk’s continued influence over DOGE remains strong. His ventures, including Tesla and SpaceX, have previously explored Dogecoin payments, fueling optimism for its future use cases.

Could DOGE Surge If Integrated into Musk’s Ecosystem?

One of the biggest catalysts for a Dogecoin price increase would be its adoption throughout Musk’s business empire. Tesla, SpaceX, Neuralink, and X (formerly Twitter) have a combined market cap of over $1.3 trillion. If DOGE were to be used extensively as a form of payment through these channels, it would likely have a profound effect on its price.

Market calculations project that the price of Dogecoin can reach as much as $0.70 when its market capitalization is $100 billion. A further jump to $1.77 is possible at a valuation of $250 billion, while a $500 billion market capitalization can push the price to $3.55. In an extreme scenario of Dogecoin reaching a $1 trillion market capitalization, a price of $7.10 has been estimated by analysts.

Dogecoin (DOGE) was trading at around $0.17, up 0.40% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Brave New Coin

While these figures are purely speculative, they reflect the potential for Dogecoin’s value to rise should Musk integrate it into his ecosystem. Up to now, however, there is no concrete indication that any such adoption is forthcoming.

Technical Analysis: Bullish Signals Amid Bearish Trends?

Despite the recent drop, others warn not to exclude Dogecoin’s potential upside. TradingView analyst “Cobra Vanguard” noted a cup-and-handle formation forming, which historically has been a sign of potential upside. That would mean DOGE might be in long-term accumulation mode and setting up for a potential breakout.

DOGE appears to be in a consolidation phase, with a breakout likely after wave Z, but if not, a bullish or bearish impulse wave could follow. Source: Mochoa777 on TradingView

The second technical formation, the AB=CD harmonic formation, also points towards a potential price target of $0.88. Based on the presumption that DOGE overcomes its resistance point of $0.20 and can maintain its strength, experts project it may rebound and strive towards the $1 level. Conversely, a failure to hold support at $0.16 could extend bearish pressure, potentially leading to a retest of $0.14.

In addition, Dogecoin’s long-term price action is trending with an uptrend channel, a trend that has always provided room for bullish reversals. If DOGE continues in this trendline, a healthy bounce may be underway.

Key Levels to Watch

For Dogecoin to sustain an upward trajectory, analysts highlight crucial resistance and support levels:

• Immediate Resistance: $0.20—A breakout above this level could signal a shift in momentum.

• Short-Term Target: $0.25—A key price point where bulls need to establish control.

• Long-Term Bullish Target: $1—If adoption accelerates, this psychological level remains the ultimate goal.

Final Thoughts: Is $1 a Realistic Goal for Dogecoin?

As Dogecoin continues to wrestle with market uncertainty, the potential for its adoption by Elon Musk’s business empire is an interesting prospect. Short-term price action indicates market indecision, but technical trends pointing upward indicate a potential reversal.

For DOGE to hit $1, however, it will take a strong utility-based demand, planned adoption, and a favorable market. Whether Musk’s system will make more use of Dogecoin is not clear, but currently, investors are closely monitoring whether DOGE will beat the odds and regain its bullish trajectory.