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Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher after two days of losses, trading around $48.70 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. Silver prices may further appreciate due to increased safe-haven demand, driven by market caution ahead of the United States (US) inflation data for September due on Friday amid a data blackout. The prolonged US government shutdown delays the key US economic data releases, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), adding uncertainty for financial markets and the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The non-interest-bearing Silver may attract more buyers amid an increased likelihood of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. A Reuters poll suggested that 115 out of 117 economists have predicted that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% in the monetary policy announcement on October 29. For the year, 83 of 117 economists expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice, while 32 anticipate one cut.
Silver prices retreated after reaching an all-time high of $54.86, reached on October 16, as markets weighed overbought concerns. Additionally, the optimism over a potential US-China trade deal improved market sentiment, which weakened the demand for precious metals, including Silver.
US President Donald Trump said late Wednesday that he expects to strike several agreements with Chinese President Xi Jinping during their meeting in South Korea next week. The Trump-Xi discussions are expected to cover a wide range of issues, including US soybean exports, limiting nuclear weapons, and China’s purchases of Russian Oil.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
– Written by
Ben Hughes
STORY LINK Euro to Dollar Forecast: “EUR Could Test 1.1580”, Gold Price Slump Supports USD
The Euro to Dollar exchange rate (EUR/USD) has continued to lose ground, retreating to 1-week lows just below 1.1580 amid a solid dollar tone and a further sell-off in gold.
According to ING; “The dollar has remained bid as US credit market concerns continue to ease, and the large drop in precious metals potentially offers extra support. More USD gains from here should be harder to sustain though.”
Wall Street futures were slightly stronger on the day and, according to Danske Bank; “The cross remains largely driven by US credit and equity sentiment.”
UoB sees scope for a near-term trough; “EUR could test 1.1580, but a continued decline below this level is unlikely. The major support at 1.1540 is also unlikely to come into view for now. On the upside, resistance levels are at 1.1620 and 1.1640.”
Danske Bank has a 12-month EUR/USD forecast of 1.22.
Geo-political developments had a limited negative impact on the Euro following reports that the potential meeting between US President Trump and Russian President Putin had been postponed which dampened any talk of a potential Ukraine ceasefire.
Global trade developments will also be important amid underlying tensions over rare-earth minerals.
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According to ING, US-China trade developments will need to be watched closely. President Trump stated on Tuesday that his meeting with Chinese President Xi may not take place.
ING commented; “For now, this is being seen as simple brinkmanship, but China has struck a sourer tone around these negotiations, and markets may be erring on the side of complacency. No meeting doesn’t equal higher tariffs, but it should be enough to weigh on risk sentiment and the dollar.”
US political developments will also be under scrutiny.
Danske Bank commented; “The government shutdown is now on the cusp of becoming the second-longest on record as it enters its fourth week, and prediction markets increasingly see it extending into November. The next key catalyst for the pair will be Friday’s CPI release, where we see upside risks that could lend the USD additional near-term support.”
Markets are continuing to price in over a 95% chance of a Fed rate cut next week with over a 90% chance of another cut in December.
The latest US consumer prices data is due on Friday with consensus forecasts that core prices will increase 0.3% for September.
Commerzbank commented; “the data is unlikely to be a game changer for next week’s Fed meeting, as the majority of Fed members assume that any tariff effect on inflation will be temporary anyway.”
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TAGS: Euro Dollar Forecasts
Gold price remained pressured throughout Wednesday, flirting with the $4,000 mark before finding some room to bounce towards the current $4,050 region. The US Dollar (USD) held on to its modest, yet positive momentum throughout the first half of the day, but lost steam after Wall Street’s opening.
Market players were relatively optimistic amid hopes that United States (US) President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, would discuss a trade deal and avoid escalating tensions. Things changed when sources familiar with the matter reported that the White House is considering a plan to restrict globally produced exports to China made with or containing US software.
Other than that, the US government shutdown continues. In the twenty-second consecutive day of stalemate, House Speaker Mike Johnson accused Democrats of “eating up the clock” and making it more difficult to do the necessary things on time.
Meanwhile, the United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported September Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. Headline inflation rose by 3.8% on year, below the 4.0% anticipated. On a monthly basis, prices remained flat after growing by 0.3% in August. Also, the core annual CPI rose 3.5%, down from the previous 3.6% and also below the 3.7% anticipated by market players. Easing inflation put pressure on the Sterling Pound.
From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is at risk of falling further, particularly if the $4,000 threshold gives up. The daily chart shows that the pair bounced from a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while the 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bullish slopes far below the shorter one. At the same time, technical indicators extended their slides, heading south within positive levels.
In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is stuck around a bullish 100 SMA, while the 20 SMA gained downward traction above the current level, providing resistance at around $4,025. Finally, technical indicators stand near oversold readings with uneven strength, still skewing the risk to the downside.
Support levels: 4,000.00 3,986.45 3,972.10
Resistance levels: 4,061.20 4,085.70 4,110.00
– Written by
Frank Davies
STORY LINK GBP/USD Price Forecast: Pound Sterling “Bearish” as Rate Expectations Soften
The Pound US Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) slipped on Wednesday after a softer-than-expected UK inflation print fuelled speculation that the Bank of England (BoE) could begin cutting interest rates before the end of the year.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading around $1.3420, down roughly 0.4% from Wednesday’s opening levels.
The Pound (GBP) came under sustained selling pressure during the European session after the Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that inflation in the UK cooled more than expected in September.
Headline CPI held steady at 3.8%, missing forecasts for a rise to 4%, while core inflation eased from 3.6% to 3.5%, instead of the anticipated uptick to 3.7%.
The weaker data suggested that inflationary pressures in the UK economy are fading faster than the BoE had anticipated, particularly in key areas such as food prices, which fell on the month.
According to ING, the data delivered a dovish signal for policymakers:
“The September UK inflation reading released this morning is sending a dovish signal to the Bank of England and weighing on the pound. Headline inflation remained unchanged at 3.8% (consensus 4.0%), while core slowed down from 4.6% to 3.5% and services CPI stabilised at 4.75% versus expectations of 4.8% and 0.3pp below the BoE’s latest forecast.”
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The bank added that the main surprise came from food prices — a major concern for the BoE of late — which are now around 0.5 percentage points below the Bank’s August forecasts.
This softer inflation outlook prompted traders to ramp up bets on a potential December rate cut, leaving the Pound on the defensive throughout the day.
The US Dollar (USD), meanwhile, held steady in relatively thin trading conditions amid a quiet domestic calendar.
Easing trade tensions between the US and China provided some modest support for the ‘Greenback’, after President Donald Trump described progress on trade negotiations as “fantastic” and signalled plans to meet Chinese leader Xi Jinping next week.
The comments helped stabilise risk sentiment, though they failed to trigger any sustained directional move in USD exchange rates.
Looking ahead, movement in the Pound US Dollar exchange rate on Thursday may hinge on the Confederation of British Industry’s (CBI) business optimism index.
Economists expect sentiment among UK firms to have softened in the final quarter of the year amid concerns about the economic outlook and tightening fiscal conditions ahead of Chancellor Rachel Reeves’s autumn budget.
A weaker-than-expected print could see the Pound remain under pressure, while any upside surprise might help Sterling stabilise after its mid-week losses.
In the US, the government shutdown continues to suppress key data releases, meaning market sentiment will likely drive Dollar direction.
If risk appetite fades, USD could benefit from safe-haven demand, whereas a more upbeat tone across global markets may see the ‘Greenback’ give back some recent gains.
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October’s double top stalled at a rising channel level, extended by 25% to capture that advance. Today’s push above $3.55 shows minor bullish strength, but a close above $3.46 and $3.45 is needed to confirm the breakout. Without it, the second-day surge fades. Clearing the $3.59 swing high (B) would spark a bullish reversal, building on the rally from the $2.89 swing low (C).
A $3.59 breakout targets the 25% extended channel top, with a rising ABCD pattern pointing to $3.71 as the initial harmonic goal. The $3.57 high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, so surpassing $3.59 would eye the 78.6% level at $3.82 for further upside. Recent channel tests suggest another approach is plausible before the rally exhausts.
The 20-day moving average at $3.25 anchors key dynamic support. Staying above it preserves the near-term bullish bias, even if today’s close weakens. A drop below signals caution, but the structure favors buyers if this floor holds.
The $3.46-$3.45 zone is pivotal – close above to lock in strength and aim for $3.59, or below to test $3.25. Today’s close decides: $3.59 opens $3.71 and $3.82, but a failed breakout keeps sellers active. Momentum tilts upward if support stands—watch the triggers for the next swing.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium prices fell on Wednesday after a steep decline in the previous session. Spot gold was down 1.4% at $4,067.31 per ounce as of 0941 GMT. Earlier, it had risen to $4,161.17. U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.7% to $4,081.30 per ounce.
The U.S. dollar index hovered near a one-week high. A stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for international buyers. Gold prices dropped 5.3% on Tuesday after a record high of $4,381.21. Prices are up 54% this year due to geopolitical and economic uncertainty, expectations of U.S. rate cuts, and strong ETF inflows.
Ricardo Evangelista, analyst at ActivTrades, said traders booked profits after recent gains pushed gold into overbought territory. On the technical side, gold is supported by the 21-day moving average at $4,005. Investors are waiting for the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Friday. Gold benefits from low interest rates because it is a non-yielding asset.
A Reuters poll of economists suggests the Federal Reserve may cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points next week and again in December.
Meanwhile, a planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin was postponed. Uncertainty remains over a possible meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. StoneX analyst Rhona O’Connell said any dips could trigger fresh buying interest due to ongoing global uncertainties.
Spot silver fell 0.9% to $48.28 per ounce after a 7.1% drop on Tuesday. In the U.S. market, silver slumped 8% on October 21, the sharpest one-day fall since 2021. Prices are down nearly 12% from their lifetime high of $54.47 per ounce. Analysts attribute the decline to a stronger U.S. dollar, delayed rate cut expectations, and lower industrial demand.
Platinum fell 0.1% to $1,549.53 per ounce. Palladium dropped 1% to $1,394.52 per ounce. Analysts suggest both metals may see fluctuations as markets respond to global economic and geopolitical factors.
Gold futures dropped 0.5% to $4,087.70 per ounce, while spot gold retreated 4% to $4,088.45. ING analysts said profit-taking was the main reason after recent overbought conditions. Easing tensions between the U.S. and China also contributed to the sharp fall, but traders remain cautious ahead of delayed U.S. inflation data and upcoming trade talks involving the U.S., China, and India.
Gold remains up 56% year-to-date. Citigroup downgraded its outlook from “overweight” to a cautious stance due to excessive long positions. Analysts said gold may consolidate around $4,000 per ounce in coming weeks. Long-term fundamentals remain strong because of inflation concerns, central bank buying, and geopolitical tensions.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday due to supply concerns and optimism around U.S.–China trade talks. Brent crude futures gained 1.5% to $62.21 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate rose 1.6% to $58.12.
Sterling fell 0.3% to $1.3331 after flat inflation data. The U.S. dollar index remained steady at 98.95. FTSE 100 was up 0.6% at 9,486 points.
Why did gold, silver, platinum, and palladium prices fall today?
Prices fell due to profit booking by investors, a stronger U.S. dollar, and easing geopolitical tensions, which reduced immediate buying demand in global markets.
What is the outlook for gold and silver in the near future?
Analysts expect volatility but long-term support from inflation concerns, central bank buying, and geopolitical risks, keeping demand for gold and silver stable.
Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $62.21 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gained 1.6% to $58.12 per barrel. These gains followed a recovery from a five-month low on Monday. Oversupply concerns and weak demand had pressured prices earlier in the week.
Geopolitical tensions contributed to supply-side risks. Reports indicate the planned summit between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin has been postponed. Traders also responded to Western pressure on Asian buyers to reduce Russian crude purchases. This increased concerns about possible disruptions.
Mukesh Sahdev, CEO of XAnalysts, said, “Despite bearish sentiment from oversupply and weak demand, supply disruption risks in Russia, Venezuela, Colombia, and the Middle East prevent oil prices from staying below $60.”
Venezuela remains a focus of geopolitical tension. UN experts condemned recent US military actions in international waters as “extrajudicial executions” and a dangerous escalation.
US and Chinese officials are scheduled to meet in Malaysia this week to discuss economic disputes. Trump expressed optimism on Monday about a fair trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a planned meeting in South Korea next week. ING commodities strategists noted, “Trump’s trade negotiation comments and the cancellation of the Trump–Putin summit are likely supporting the market.”
Oil markets also reacted to US inventory data. Figures from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decline in crude, gasoline, and distillate stocks last week. This added support to prices.
Sterling fell 0.3% to $1.3331 after inflation data remained flat for the third consecutive month. The pound reached a two-week low against the dollar, down from $1.34 on Tuesday. Traders expect the Bank of England may cut interest rates later this year.
The US dollar index remained steady at 98.95. The pound also edged lower against the euro, trading at €1.1485.
In equities, the FTSE 100 rose 0.6% on Wednesday morning to 9,486 points, showing a positive start alongside oil gains.
Q1: Why did oil price today increase?
A1: Oil price today rose due to supply concerns, geopolitical tensions, US–China trade optimism, and plans to refill US strategic petroleum reserves.
Q2: What are the Brent and WTI crude prices today?
A2: Brent crude reached $62.21 per barrel, and WTI crude hit $58.12 per barrel as of Wednesday morning.