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8 01, 2026

The EURGBP begins bearish moves– Forecast today – 8-1-2026

By |2026-01-08T12:26:37+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The EURJPY pair continued providing weak sideways trading, fluctuating near the extra support at 182.80, affected by the continuation of the main indicators besides forming extra obstacle at 183.50 level as appears in the above image.

 

Therefore, we will remain neutral until providing signal for detecting the main trend in the near and medium trading, while breaking the current support and providing negative close will confirm the bearish corrective trend, which might target 182.30 and 181.75 level initially, while breaching 183.50 level will ease the mission of detecting the bullish attempts, to expect its rally towards 183.85, to attack the broken channel’s support in order to find an exit for regaining the bullish trend again.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 182.80 and 183.50

 

Trend forecast: Neutral



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8 01, 2026

Deeper correction or dip-buying likely in XAU/USD?

By |2026-01-08T10:59:37+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Gold is nursing losses near $4,450 in Asian trading on Thursday, having suffered about a 1% correction from weekly highs of $4,500 on Wednesday. All eyes remain on the geopolitical developments and the incoming US jobless claims data for fresh trading directives.

Gold: Attention turns to US Nonfarm Payrolls

Gold is on the defensive early Thursday, as markets assess the mixed US economic data published on Wednesday, while the US Dollar (USD) clings to recovery gains, exerting bearish pressures on the bright metal.

Data released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed on Wednesday, Job Openings, a measure of labor demand, dropped 303,000 to 7.146 million by the last day of November, against expectations of a 7.6M figure.

The ADP report showed that private employment in the United States (US) increased by 41,000 jobs last month after a revised decrease of 29,000 in November. The market forecast was for a 47,000 growth.

Meanwhile, the Institute for Supply Management’s index of services rose 1.8 points to 54.4, the highest since October 2024, the group said Wednesday.

However, the downside in Gold remains cushioned as the bets for two US Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cuts appear intact following the latest data flow.

Markets continue to predict 61 basis points (bps) of rate cuts this year, according to data compiled by LSEG.

Additionally, China’s central bank extended its gold-buying streak to a 14th straight month in December, according to official data, providing some comfort to Gold buyers.

The main factor that could keep the ‘buy-the-dips’ trades intact for Gold is geopolitics. The focus is once again on the Greenland issue, with White House separately having confirmed discussions about acquiring Greenland, including potential military involvement.

This comes after Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro’s capture over the weekend by the US forces.

Moreover, geopolitical tensions between China and Japan also grab attention after the former on Monday banned Japanese exports of dual-use items with potential military uses, citing national security concerns. 

In response, Japan said that the ban imposed by China was “absolutely unacceptable and deeply regrettable”.

That being said, the next clear directional move in Gold hinges on Friday’s all-important US Nonfarm Payrolls report. The US labor data could offer fresh insights into the Fed’s easing trajectory for the year ahead, significantly impacting the Greenback and the non-yielding Gold.

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

In the daily chart, the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) climbs above the 50-, 100-, and 200-day SMAs, with all slopes rising as price holds above them. This bullish alignment reinforces buyers’ control. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) prints 59.87, above the 50 midline, suggesting firm momentum without overbought conditions. The 21-day SMA at $4,373.77 offers initial dynamic support.

Holding above the medium- and long-term averages keeps the trend bias positive. A dip could find support at the 50-day SMA at $4,221.80, while the 100-day SMA at $4,008.18 underpins the broader trend. The 200-day SMA at $3,659.96 remains a distant floor. A close below the 21-day SMA would shift the tone toward consolidation, while sustained trade above these rising averages would leave the path open for further extension.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool)

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



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8 01, 2026

U.S. Dollar Forecast: U-Shaped Performance

By |2026-01-08T10:25:32+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Image © Adobe Images


CIBC says the U.S. dollar is likely to weaken into the first half of 2026 before stabilising and recovering later in the year, describing its outlook as “U-shaped”.

The Canadian bank said “risks will push the USD lower in the next couple of quarters”, arguing that downside risks to the U.S. labour market and growth will outweigh any modest upside risks to inflation.

CIBC said unresolved questions over who ultimately bears the cost of tariffs are “stagflationary and should push USDs lower in the early months of 2026”.

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It warned that if firms absorb tariff costs, they may be forced to cut labour to protect margins, while if consumers pay, inflationary pressures would rise, both scenarios weighing on the dollar.

The bank also said uncertainty over Federal Reserve independence could be a major theme early next year, noting that “the appointment of the Federal Reserve Chair has yet to be decided”.

Legal challenges to Trump’s IEEPA tariffs could further undermine the greenback, with CIBC saying a ruling against them would likely trigger rallies in trade-sensitive currencies that would “mechanically lead to a weaker greenback”.


Above: Traders are betting the Fed will be the biggest cutter this year, underpinning a bearish USD consensus.


CIBC said these risks are front-loaded and “not long lasting”, arguing that markets will eventually conclude that expectations for U.S. interest rate cuts have gone too far.

The bank believes the Fed’s estimate of neutral interest rates is mispriced, saying “the true value is 50bps higher”, which should ultimately support the dollar later in 2026.

CIBC said it expects “an inflection point for the greenback to turn slightly higher” by mid-year, forecasting the dollar index to fall to 96.0 by the end of the second quarter before recovering to 97.30 by the end of 2026.

For the likes of EUR/USD and GBP/USD the implications are relatively straightforward: As long as the dollar index is falling, these pairs are rising.

All else equal, further advances into the middle of the year before falling into year-end.

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8 01, 2026

Platinum price activated the corrective decline– Forecast today – 8-1-2026

By |2026-01-08T08:58:31+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The intraday negative pressure increased on copper price trading due to stochastic attempt to exit from the overbought level, which forces it to settle below $5.9700, forcing it to form corrective waves by reaching $5.7900.

 

The price might decline towards the initial support at $5.7500 by the continuation of the negative pressure will increase the chances of breaking this support, to expect targeting extra corrective stations that begin at $5.6300 and $5.5100, while its success to step above $6.000 will open the way for recording new historical gains by its rally towards the bullish channel’s resistance at $6.1800.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $5.6300 and $5.9700

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 





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8 01, 2026

XAG/USD falls below $79.50 due to profit-taking

By |2026-01-08T06:57:32+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver price (XAG/USD) depreciates by 1.75% after three days of gains, trading around $79.30 per troy ounce during the European hours on Wednesday. The price of the grey metal declines as investors lock in profits following its rally toward record highs.

The dollar-denominated precious metals, including Silver broadly pulled back as the US Dollar (USD) strengthened ahead of the upcoming US key economic data that could shape expectations for Federal Reserve (Fed) policy.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining ground for the second successive day and trading around 98.60 at the time of writing.

US ADP Employment Change and ISM Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data for December will be eyed later in the day. Traders will shift their focus toward the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) due on Friday, which is expected to show job gains of 55,000 in December, down from 64,000 in November.

Fed Governor Stephen Miran said on Tuesday that the US central bank should cut interest rates aggressively this year to sustain economic momentum, while Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari warned the unemployment rate could “pop” higher. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool suggests Fed funds futures continue to price in about an 82.8% probability that the US central bank will keep rates unchanged at its January 27–28 meeting.

The safe-haven Silver struggles amid increased risk appetite as traders have so far largely shrugged off escalating geopolitical tensions worldwide following the United States (US) intervention in Venezuela and the capture of President Nicolas Maduro.

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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8 01, 2026

Salesforce price receives positive support – Forecast today

By |2026-01-08T04:56:46+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Salesforce (CRM) stock price recorded further gains in its latest intraday trading, following its rebound from the support of its SMA50, which provided the stock with positive momentum that helped drive these gains. This move comes alongside the stock retesting a previously broken short-term downward trend line, while the RSI has reached extremely oversold levels compared to the stock’s price action, indicating a rapid buildup of additional positive momentum in the near term.

 

Therefore we expect the stock price to rise in upcoming trading, provided that the $252.30 support level holds, to target the $296.00 resistance level.

 

Today’s price forecast: Bullish





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8 01, 2026

Henry Hub jumps on colder mid-January outlook ahead of EIA storage report

By |2026-01-08T02:55:57+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


NEW YORK, Jan 7, 2026, 15:34 (EST) — Regular session

Key points:

  • U.S. front-month natural gas futures rose about 6% to around $3.55 per mmBtu on Wednesday.
  • Weather outlooks are turning choppier, with colder risks building for mid-January in key demand regions.
  • The next catalyst is Thursday’s EIA storage report, a key gauge of winter withdrawals.

U.S. natural gas futures climbed nearly 6% on Wednesday, rebounding from a $3.35 close a day earlier as traders leaned on a colder mid-month weather picture. The front-month Henry Hub contract was around $3.55 per million British thermal units (mmBtu), after trading between $3.42 and $3.59 on the day.  Investing

The bounce matters now because the market has been trading the weather first and everything else second. A few warmer model runs have been enough to push prices down sharply; a colder run can flip the tape just as fast, especially when storage data is due.

Natural gas demand in winter hinges on space heating and power burn, and traders often translate that into “heating degree days” — a rough measure of how much heating demand temperatures imply. When the market starts arguing over a mid-month cold shot, the storage math for the next couple of weeks moves with it.

The National Weather Service’s Climate Prediction Center said a pattern shift should drive a downward temperature trend across much of the East, even as the early part of the outlook window stays mild. The agency’s discussion flagged the best odds for colder conditions expanding later in the period across areas east of the Rockies, a setup that typically pulls more gas into residential and commercial heating demand.  Noaa

Commodity Weather Group said colder conditions are now projected for parts of the Midwest and East Coast around Jan. 17–21, and Barchart said that helped trigger short covering in natural gas. BloombergNEF estimates cited by Barchart put lower-48 dry gas production at 112.6 billion cubic feet per day (bcfd) on Wednesday, with demand at 89.5 bcfd and LNG net flows to U.S. export terminals at 18.4 bcfd.  Barchart

LNG remains a swing factor in the broader price outlook, even when the day-to-day trade is weather. EOG Resources finance chief Ann Janssen said on Wednesday that the buildout of liquefied natural gas infrastructure could eventually lead to oversupply and weigh on natural gas prices.  Reuters

The next hard datapoint is storage. Working gas in U.S. storage was 3,375 billion cubic feet (Bcf) as of Dec. 26, down 38 Bcf on the week and about 1.7% above the five-year average, EIA data showed; the next report is scheduled for Thursday.  Eia

Technically, Wednesday’s range puts the market back within sight of the $3.60 area, with support building around the mid-$3.40s. But the downside case is still simple: if warmer forecasts reassert themselves and withdrawals stay light, futures can slip back toward the low-$3.30s quickly.

Traders are watching Thursday’s EIA storage release — normally published at 10:30 a.m. Eastern on Thursdays — for confirmation that colder risks are translating into bigger draws, and whether the weather models hold onto that mid-January chill.  Eia



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8 01, 2026

Natural gas price is waiting to break the barrier– Forecast today – 7-1-2026

By |2026-01-08T00:54:37+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The GBPJPY pair ended the last bullish rally by recording 212.15 level, to bounce directly to settle near 211.30, which formed strong obstacle against the bullish attempts.

 

Note that the stability within the main bullish levels and forming extra support at 211.30 level, which makes us wait for gathering bullish momentum to reinforce the chances of recording the target at 212.55 and surpassing it might extend trading towards 213.75, while reaching below 211.30 and providing negative close will confirm delaying the bullish attack, to begin forming temporary corrective wave, to target 210.65 and 209.90 level.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 211.00 and 212.50

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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8 01, 2026

Drifting Lower Against Yen (Chart)

By |2026-01-08T00:19:35+02:00January 8, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • I am not interested in shorting, as the interest rate differential is simply too great here.
  • The British pound initially pushed higher against the Japanese yen during trading on Tuesday, but has since pulled back just a bit.
  • All things being equal, this is a market waiting for some type of reason to go higher, and that reason will more likely than not come into play via risk appetite.
  • Regardless, this is a market that is very obviously strong, and I have no interest in fighting the overall trend.

The market could end up being a scenario where we just remain buy on the dips and slowly grind higher. When you look at the chart, you can see that the Monday session was a serious attempt to break out of a bullish flag, and if we look at that as a bullish flag, then we could be looking at a move to 216 yen based on the measured move.

Carry Trade Momentum

Ultimately, this is a scenario where I don’t have any interest in shorting this market because, quite frankly, I don’t want to pay the interest rate differential. Even though the Bank of England has recently cut rates, it is going to do so very slowly, while the Japanese are supposedly raising rates.

The situation is that the interest rate differential is so wide that it’s going to take a long time for that to truly come into play. You could also make an argument that most traders believe that the Japanese can only raise rates so high due to their debt load. With that being the case, we find ourselves in, and of course, the overall momentum, I think the carry trade is alive and well, and I will continue to take advantage of it by buying the British pound against the Japanese yen going forward.

Begin trading our daily forecasts and analysis. Here is a list of Forex brokers in Japan to work with.

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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7 01, 2026

Crude Prices Tumble on Prospects that Venezuelan Crude Will Continue to Flow — TradingView News

By |2026-01-07T22:53:53+02:00January 7, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


February WTI crude oil (CLG26) today is closed down -0.81 (-1.42%), and February RBOB gasoline (RBG26) is down -0.007 (-0.04%).

Crude oil and gasoline prices are under pressure today, with crude falling to a 2-week low. Crude prices tumbled today after the US lifted sanctions on Venezuelan crude exports and President Trump said Venezuela’s interim authorities agreed to give up as many as 50 million bbl of “high-quality sanctioned oil” to the US.

Don’t Miss a Day: From crude oil to coffee, sign up free for Barchart’s best-in-class commodity analysis.

Crude prices recovered from their worst level after weekly EIA crude inventories fell more than expected. Also, heightened geopolitical tensions are supportive for crude after the US seized a Russian-flagged oil tanker for sanction violations. In addition, today’s rally in the S&P 500 to a new record high shows confidence in the economic outlook that is supportive of energy demand,

Concerns about energy demand are negative for crude prices after Saudi Arabia on Monday cut the price of its Arab Light crude for February delivery to customers for a third month.

Morgan Stanley predicted that a global oil market surplus is likely to expand further and peak mid-year, pressuring prices, as it cut its crude price forecast for Q1 to $57.50/bbl from a prior forecast of $60/bbl, and cut its Q2 crude price forecast to $55/bbl from $60/bbl.

Vortexa reported Monday that crude oil stored on tankers that have been stationary for at least 7 days fell -3.4% w/w to 119.35 million bbl in the week ended January 2.

Strength in Chinese crude demand is supportive for prices. According to Kpler data, China’s crude imports in December are set to increase by 10% m/m to a record 12.2 million bpd as it rebuilds its crude inventories.

Crude garnered support after OPEC+ on Sunday said it would stick to its plan to pause production increases in Q1 of 2026. OPEC+ at its November 2025 meeting announced that members would raise production by +137,000 bpd in December, but will then pause the production hikes in Q1-2026 due to the emerging global oil surplus. The IEA in mid-October forecasted a record global oil surplus of 4.0 million bpd for 2026. OPEC+ is trying to restore all of the 2.2 million bpd production cut it made in early 2024, but still has another 1.2 million bpd of production left to restore. OPEC’s November crude production fell by -10,000 bpd to 29.09 million bpd.

Ukrainian drone and missile attacks have targeted at least 28 Russian refineries over the past four months, limiting Russia’s crude oil export capabilities and reducing global oil supplies. Also, since the end of November, Ukraine has ramped up attacks on Russian tankers, with at least six tankers attacked by drones and missiles in the Baltic Sea. In addition, new US and EU sanctions on Russian oil companies, infrastructure, and tankers have curbed Russian oil exports.

Last month, the IEA projected that the world crude surplus will widen to a record 3.815 million bpd in 2026 from a 4-year high of over 2.0 million bpd in 2025.

Last month, OPEC revised its Q3 global oil market estimates from a deficit to a surplus, as US production exceeded expectations and OPEC also ramped up crude output. OPEC said it now sees a 500,000 bpd surplus in global oil markets in Q3, versus the previous month’s estimate for a -400,000 bpd deficit. Also, the EIA raised its 2025 US crude production estimate to 13.59 million bpd from 13.53 million bpd last month.

Today’s weekly EIA inventory report was mixed for crude and products. On the negative side, EIA gasoline supplies rose +7.7 million bbl to a 10-month high, a larger build than expectations of +2.0 million bbl as US gasoline demand tumbled to a 1-year low of 8.17 million bpd. Also, EIA distillate stockpiles rose 5.59 million bbl to a 1-year high, a larger build than expectations of +1.1 million bbl. In addition, crude supplies at Cushing, the delivery point of WTI futures, rose by +728,000 bbl. On the positive side, EIA crude inventories fell by -3.83 million bbl, a larger draw than expectations of -1.0 million bbl.

Today’s EIA report showed that (1) US crude oil inventories as of January 2 were -4.1% below the seasonal 5-year average, (2) gasoline inventories were +1.6% above the seasonal 5-year average, and (3) distillate inventories were -3.1% below the 5-year seasonal average. US crude oil production in the week ending January 2 was down -0.1% w/w to 13.811 million bpd, just below the record high of 13.862 million bpd from the week of November 7.

Baker Hughes reported last Tuesday that the number of active US oil rigs in the week ended January 2 rose by +3 rigs to 412 rigs, recovering from the 4.25-year low of 406 rigs posted in the week ended December 19. Over the past 2.5 years, the number of US oil rigs has fallen sharply from the 5.5-year high of 627 rigs reported in December 2022.

On the date of publication, Rich Asplund did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes.For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

More news from Barchart

  • Why ConocoPhillips Is One of the Top Oil Stocks to Buy After Venezuela
  • Why is Crude Oil Stuck in Neutral?
  • How Low Can Crude Oil’s Price Fall?
  • Energy in Q3- Lower Prices and Seasonality in Q4?



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