Updated: 26.12.2025 | 10:14 a.m. EST

U.S. natural gas is ending the week with a familiar winter push-and-pull: colder early‑January forecasts and strong LNG demand on one side, near‑record production and still‑healthy storage on the other.

In holiday-thinned trade on Friday morning, NYMEX Henry Hub natural gas (January 2026) hovered around the mid‑$4.30s per MMBtu, extending a rebound that traders are tying to colder model runs and steady export pulls. Barchart showed NGF26 near $4.342/MMBtu mid‑morning, while market reporting also pegged the contract around $4.29/MMBtu earlier in the session. ^[1]

Below is what’s moving natural gas today (26.12.2025) across news, forecasts, and market analysis, including the next big catalysts traders are watching into year-end.

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Natural gas price today: where Henry Hub is trading and why volume matters

With many participants out for the holidays, liquidity is thinner than usual—and that can exaggerate moves in either direction.

• NYMEX Jan ’26 (NGF26) was quoted around $4.342/MMBtu in mid‑morning pricing (up on the session). ^[2]
• Separate market reporting described thin-volume trading and highlighted the contract near $4.29/MMBtu, also pointing to a weekly gain after a recent slide. ^[3]

This is also a notable moment on the calendar: Barchart lists expiration timing for NGF26 approaching at the end of December, which tends to accelerate position‑rolling and can add noise to day-to-day price action. ^[4]

Bottom line: Friday’s tape is being shaped not only by fundamentals, but also by holiday liquidity and the late‑month contract transition—a mix that often increases volatility.

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Weather forecast: the “colder shift” that bulls are betting on

The central driver in U.S. winter gas is still the same metric traders watch every day: heating demand.

Market reporting on Friday tied the bounce to forecasts pointing to colder conditions and higher demand into early January, particularly across the eastern half of the U.S. ^[5]

One way to translate that into market language is with Heating Degree Days (HDDs), a key proxy for heating demand:

• Forecasts cited in Friday market coverage showed HDDs rising from 377 to 398, while still below the normal level of 449—suggesting a trend toward more heating demand, but not yet a “deep-freeze” setup. ^[6]

This nuance matters. Natural gas can rally sharply on model runs that “turn colder,” but if temperatures remain below-normal vs. normal on the HDD scale, upside can be capped—especially with production running hot.

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Supply stays heavy: near-record Lower 48 production keeps pressure on the upside

If weather is the spark, production is the wet blanket.

Friday’s reporting cited Lower 48 output at a record-high pace in December, around 109.8 bcfd, topping November’s record. ^[7] That level of supply matters because it reduces how quickly cold weather can tighten the market—unless demand spikes hard.

EIA’s latest Short‑Term Energy Outlook (released December 9) also frames the same story for 2026: rising production is expected to help moderate prices after winter, with U.S. dry gas output forecast around 109 Bcf/d in 2026. ^[8]

Translation: Even if early January turns colder, the market’s immediate question becomes: Is it cold enough to overwhelm record supply and strong LNG pulls?

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LNG exports: feedgas demand remains a key bull argument

LNG is a structural pillar under U.S. natural gas demand—and it has been especially important this year.

Friday market reporting said gas flows to the eight large U.S. LNG export plants averaged about 18.4 bcfd so far this month, near record territory. ^[9]

There’s also a plant‑specific note that traders watch because it can swing feedgas quickly:

• Freeport LNG confirmed that all three liquefaction trains at its Texas facility had resumed operations after a temporary disruption. ^[10]

From a macro perspective, EIA’s December STEO points to LNG exports staying elevated longer-term, projecting U.S. LNG exports at 14.9 Bcf/d in 2025 and 16.3 Bcf/d in 2026. ^[11]

And while U.S. LNG remains globally significant, Reuters data-driven analysis notes that Asia’s LNG imports from the U.S. fell in 2025 versus 2024, highlighting how trade policy and shifting demand patterns can influence where U.S. cargoes ultimately land. ^[12]

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Storage and the next big catalyst: EIA’s delayed report is due Monday (Dec 29)

For U.S. natural gas, weekly storage is the scoreboard—and the schedule matters this week.

The release date change

EIA’s official schedule shows the Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report was shifted to Monday, December 29, 2025 at 12:00 p.m. ET due to the Christmas holiday, with another holiday adjustment set for Wednesday, December 31 at 12:00 p.m. ET. ^[13]

Barchart also referenced the same holiday shift, underscoring how widely traders are focused on the Monday release. ^[14]

Where storage stands in the latest EIA weekly update

EIA’s Natural Gas Weekly Update (release date December 18, covering the week ending December 17) reported:

• Net withdrawals of 167 Bcf for the week ending December 12
• Working gas in storage: 3,579 Bcf
• Storage 1% above the five-year average and 2% below last year at that point ^[15]

EIA’s winter draw outlook (forecast)

In the December STEO, EIA outlined why its winter price forecast moved higher: it assumed December would be colder than previously modeled and projected heavier withdrawals—expecting 580 Bcf of inventory withdrawals in December, notably above the five‑year average for the month. ^[16]

Why this matters for Monday: If the next storage figure shows a draw that surprises to the upside (bigger withdrawal), it can validate the “colder + tight balance” narrative. A softer draw would strengthen the argument that record production and comfortable inventories can absorb winter demand.

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Rig count: drilling signals remain mixed, and it’s not just about “more rigs”

Supply isn’t only a function of the weather—it’s also a function of how aggressively producers drill.

The most recent Baker Hughes data (reported by Reuters) showed:

• Total U.S. rigs: 545
• Oil rigs: 409
• Gas rigs: 127 ^[17]

That headline number alone doesn’t guarantee higher output (productivity and associated gas matter), but it supports the broader theme seen across multiple sources: the U.S. system has been producing at exceptionally high levels—even as the market tries to price winter risk.

EIA’s STEO also noted that updated assumptions about gas-to-oil ratios (GORs), especially in the Permian, contributed to a higher production outlook. ^[18]

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Global gas snapshot: Asia LNG is cheap, Europe is watching Q1 flows

U.S. natural gas is increasingly tied to global gas pricing—because global prices help determine how “sticky” U.S. LNG demand will be.

Asia spot LNG (JKM-linked) and China demand

A Reuters global LNG market update (published Dec 24) put February-delivery LNG into Northeast Asia around $9.60/mmBtu, slightly higher on the week—but still reflecting a generally soft market, with prices down significantly year-to-date. ^[19]

That same reporting highlighted:

• Stronger buying interest in South Korea tied to colder weather
• Weaker spot buying in China, contributing to the broader softness ^[20]

Europe: storage drawdown and early Q1 buying interest

Europe remains the “balancing market” when LNG is abundant. An Investing.com market analysis (published Dec 25) cited Europe’s gas storage level around 66.1% as of Dec 24, below average and below last year. ^[21]

Meanwhile, the Reuters LNG market update noted that European gas prices ticked up in thin trade on cold-spell forecasts, and also described firm buying interest into early Q1 2026 in parts of Central and Eastern Europe, tied to concerns about pipeline flows and regional supply needs. ^[22]

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Geopolitics and supply: Russia’s LNG delays and the pipeline pivot to China

Two Russia-linked developments are shaping longer-term supply expectations:

1. Russia delays LNG expansion targets:
   Reuters reported that Russia has pushed back by several years its plan to reach 100 million tons per year of LNG output, citing the impact of Western sanctions. ^[23]
2. Pipeline gas to China hits record levels:
   Reuters also reported that Gazprom supplied 38.8 bcm of gas to China via Power of Siberia in 2025, exceeding its contractual target. ^[24]

These shifts don’t directly set Henry Hub on any given day, but they do influence global LNG supply/demand expectations—which can feed back into U.S. LNG economics and, ultimately, U.S. gas balances.

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The bigger-picture debate: is the LNG buildout running ahead of demand?

A widely read Reuters Breakingviews column published today adds a longer-horizon angle: as major producers plan aggressive LNG capacity growth into 2030, the rapid cost declines and fast deployment of renewables (plus grid storage) could undercut future LNG demand growth—raising the risk of an oversupply cycle later in the decade. ^[25]

That matters even for today’s market because long-dated gas pricing and LNG contracting influence investment decisions, forward curves, and producer behavior—all of which shape how tight (or loose) the market can become in future winters.

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What to watch next for natural gas prices

Here are the near-term catalysts most likely to move U.S. natural gas into year-end:

• EIA storage report (holiday schedule): Monday Dec 29, 12:00 p.m. ET. ^[26]
• Early-January weather model runs: Watch whether the “colder eastern half” forecast persists and whether HDDs trend closer to (or above) normal. ^[27]
• LNG feedgas stability: Any operational disruptions (or ramp-ups) at major export plants—especially after Freeport’s return—can shift balances quickly. ^[28]
• Production and pipeline constraints: With output near records, the market is sensitive to any freeze-offs, maintenance, or regional bottlenecks. ^[29]
• Global LNG pricing and Europe’s storage trajectory: Soft Asia pricing and Europe’s winter drawdown keep the Atlantic Basin tug-of-war alive. ^[30]

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Where forecasts stand right now

EIA’s December STEO provides the clearest “official” baseline:

• Henry Hub spot price forecast: around $4.30/MMBtu on average this winter (Nov–Mar), then moderating to about $4.00/MMBtu next year. ^[31]
• EIA also noted it raised the winter price forecast versus last month due to colder early-December assumptions and stronger space-heating demand. ^[32]

That forecast lines up with what Friday’s market is pricing in: winter risk still matters, but the ceiling is debated because supply is robust and the system entered winter with above-average inventories. ^[33]

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The takeaway (as of 10:14 a.m. EST, 26.12.2025)

Natural gas is trading like a winter market again—weather-led, headline-sensitive, and increasingly tied to LNG flows. The next test is whether the colder outlook translates into a storage draw strong enough to overcome the market’s most stubborn counterweight: record U.S. production. ^[34]

References

1. www.barchart.com, 2. www.barchart.com, 3. www.worldenergynews.com, 4. www.barchart.com, 5. www.worldenergynews.com, 6. www.worldenergynews.com, 7. www.worldenergynews.com, 8. www.eia.gov, 9. www.worldenergynews.com, 10. www.worldenergynews.com, 11. www.eia.gov, 12. www.reuters.com, 13. ir.eia.gov, 14. www.barchart.com, 15. www.eia.gov, 16. www.eia.gov, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. www.eia.gov, 19. www.brecorder.com, 20. www.brecorder.com, 21. www.investing.com, 22. www.brecorder.com, 23. www.reuters.com, 24. www.reuters.com, 25. www.reuters.com, 26. ir.eia.gov, 27. www.worldenergynews.com, 28. www.worldenergynews.com, 29. www.worldenergynews.com, 30. www.brecorder.com, 31. www.eia.gov, 32. www.eia.gov, 33. www.eia.gov, 34. www.worldenergynews.com

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast gained attention after silver crossed the $75 mark for the first time. Gold also reached a new record. Platinum and palladium followed the same trend. Investors reacted to expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and global uncertainty. These factors increased demand for precious metals across markets.

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast driven by rate cut expectations

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast remained supported due to expectations of lower U.S. interest rates. Spot gold rose 0.8 percent to $4,516.50 per ounce at 0933 GMT. Gold touched a record of $4,530.60 earlier. U.S. gold futures for February delivery rose 1 percent to $4,547.70.

UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said demand for gold and silver remains strong due to expectations of lower U.S. interest rates. He also said low liquidity is increasing volatility in precious metals markets.

Gold market outlook strengthens on policy trends

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects gold’s strongest yearly performance since 1979. Several factors supported this trend. These include Federal Reserve policy easing, central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and reduced reliance on the U.S. dollar.

Markets expect two interest rate cuts next year. These expectations are based on signals of a more flexible Federal Reserve approach. Gold remains supported as it does not offer yield but benefits from lower rates.

Physical demand trends impact gold pricing

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects physical market activity. Gold discounts in India widened to the highest level in more than six months. In China, discounts narrowed compared to last week. Earlier, China discounts had reached a five-year high.

These changes indicate varied demand conditions across major consumer markets. Pricing remains sensitive to local demand and currency movement.

Silver price surge reshapes gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast highlights silver’s sharp rise. Spot silver rose 4 percent to $74.82 per ounce. It reached an all-time high of $75.14 earlier in the session. Silver prices have risen 158 percent so far this year.

The rise is linked to supply shortages, its classification as a U.S. critical mineral, and industrial demand. Silver continues to attract attention from investors seeking alternatives to gold.

Platinum and palladium join the rally

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also includes movement in platinum and palladium. Spot platinum rose 7.3 percent to $2,382.35 per ounce. It earlier reached a record high of $2,448.25. Palladium rose 8.3 percent to $1,823.76.

Both metals are used in automotive catalytic converters. Prices increased due to supply constraints, tariff uncertainty, and shifting investment interest. Platinum is up around 170 percent this year. Palladium is up more than 90 percent.

Policy changes influence metal markets

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects policy developments. Staunovo said platinum and palladium markets are smaller than the gold market. Limited investor activity can cause sharp price movement.

He also noted that the European Commission’s plan to ease the 2035 ban on combustion engines has supported prices. This policy change increased expectations for continued demand in automotive use.

Weekly performance signals continued strength

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast shows all precious metals heading for weekly gains. Platinum recorded its strongest weekly rise on record. Market participants continue to track interest rate signals and supply conditions.

Precious metals remain sensitive to global economic signals. Investor focus remains on monetary policy, industrial demand, and geopolitical developments.

FAQs

Q1: Why are gold and silver prices rising today?
Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast shows prices rising due to rate cut expectations, global uncertainty, supply shortages, and increased investment demand across precious metals markets.

Q2: What is the outlook for gold and silver prices?
Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast suggests prices may remain supported as long as rate cut expectations, central bank buying, and industrial demand continue.

No Overhead Resistance, Only Reversal Risk

With no true resistance, let’s face it, the only fear for the bulls is a sudden reversal to the downside with better-than-average volume. We could still get this today, but if it occurs, it will be driven by low volume, which will set up the next “buy the dip” opportunity.

The New Definition of a Dip in a Vertical Gold Market

As we move higher and more vertical, the definition of dip is going to change. Sticking with a 50% correction of a price swing, our “dip” level at current price levels is $4350.27. That’s nearly $200. Welcome to the “new norm”. During the old regime, we were lucky to see $200 over a few months, maybe a year. However, as we move higher the swings will get bigger, the corrections will be greater and it will become a big boys game and remember that gold isn’t going to “split” like a stock does.

Fundamentals Take a Back Seat but Still Supportive

Back to the fundamentals, the mixed trade in Treasury yields is having little impact on gold prices today. The benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury yield is trading 4.12%, down 0.014.

We didn’t see much of an impact on yields from this week’s initial claims report, but the Commerce Department’s GDP report showed that the U.S. economy grew by 4.3% in the first quarter, which was the country’s fastest pace of expansion since 2023. This kind of growth is likely to keep inflation boosted, which will be supportive for gold prices.

It seems to me that the economy is getting comfortable with inflation and growth, which will keep gold underpinned and the “buy” the dip strategy intact.

Dollar Breakdown Setup Could Add Fuel to Gold’s Upside

Today’s weaker U.S. Dollar (DXY) is also providing support for gold. The greenback is sitting on support at 97.814. Up above, the 50-day moving average at 98.452 and the 200-day moving average at 100.209 are providing solid resistance and controlling the downtrend. We’re at a critical point for the dollar. Our charts indicate the possibility of a steep decline under 97.814 with 96.218 the first target. Gold could pop even higher on this move.

December 26, 2025 — Natural gas is closing out the week with a familiar end-of-year mood: thinner holiday trading, sharper day-to-day swings, and a market still trying to decide whether winter will be a slow burn or a sudden blaze.

In early Friday pricing, NYMEX natural gas futures were trading around $4.345 per MMBtu, up about 2.4% on the session, with an indicated day range roughly $4.224–$4.382. ^[1]

Across the Atlantic, Europe’s benchmark Dutch TTF contract was holding near €28.095/MWh in the latest available quote shown by Investing.com (displayed as delayed data with a last date stamp of 24/12), underscoring how holiday calendars and liquidity can matter almost as much as weather models this week. ^[2]

Why natural gas is moving today

Even when price action looks “simple” (up day / down day), natural gas rarely is. Right now, the market is juggling four overlapping storylines:

1) Demand: winter heating loads vs. “milder” signals

One of the cleanest clues about near-term direction is whether heating demand is ramping fast enough to overwhelm supply. The latest American Gas Association (AGA) market indicators showed total U.S. demand (including exports) fell 11.5% week over week, though it remained 1.2% higher than the same week a year earlier—a mixed picture consistent with a winter that has teased cold but hasn’t delivered it everywhere at once. AGA also noted forecasts pointing to milder patterns (including warmer-than-normal conditions in parts of the country). ^[3]

That matters because winter doesn’t need to be “record cold” to move gas prices—just cold enough, in the right regions, for long enough, to tighten daily balances.

2) Inventories: strong withdrawals still needed to calm price volatility

Storage is the market’s shock absorber. When storage is comfortable, price spikes tend to fade; when storage gets tight, small surprises become big moves.

The last widely cited U.S. government storage snapshot available online this week showed working gas in storage at 3,579 Bcf as of Friday, Dec. 12, 2025, with a 167 Bcf weekly draw. ^[4]

With the next set of late-December numbers approaching, traders are leaning hard on expectations. Industry reporting has flagged that EIA data for the week ended Dec. 26 is scheduled for release on Wednesday, Dec. 31—a timing quirk that can amplify short-term volatility as the market trades “ahead of the print.” ^[5]

3) U.S. hub pricing is still whippy—and that matters for LNG economics

Even before today’s move higher, the market has been living through fast rotations. In EIA’s most recent weekly market update (earlier in December), the agency described a sharp drop in the Henry Hub spot price over the prior week and noted that front-month futures also moved down during that span—illustrating how quickly sentiment can change when weather forecasts shift. ^[6]

Those swings don’t just affect traders. They feed directly into global LNG competitiveness because the U.S. export model is tightly linked to Henry Hub pricing.

4) Geopolitics and infrastructure risk: energy markets hate uncertainty

Early Friday, Reuters reported that a blaze at Russia’s Azov Sea port of Temryuk—sparked by what local officials described as a Ukrainian drone attack—was extinguished, with fuel reservoirs being cooled. Reuters also noted the port handles liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) among other products. ^[7]

While that incident is not a direct “natural gas supply outage” headline, it reinforces a broader reality for the entire gas-and-LNG complex: infrastructure risk tends to put a floor under risk premiums, especially when markets are already thin.

The biggest natural gas headlines on Dec. 26, 2025

Beyond price screens, today’s natural gas news flow is being shaped by a set of region-specific stories—each different, but all pointing to the same theme: gas markets are becoming more policy-driven and logistics-constrained.

Australia: gas reform and domestic reservation—ambition meets long contracts

In Australia, the conversation is no longer about whether the east coast gas market needs intervention, but how fast reforms can translate into real supply and pricing outcomes.

A prominent analysis published today highlighted hurdles facing Australia’s push to prioritize domestic supply—particularly the reality that large LNG export contracts extend well into the 2030s, which can delay how quickly reforms bite. The same reporting flagged challenges around bringing on new upstream supply (including debates over regions such as the Beetaloo) and the political complexity of streamlining regulations across jurisdictions. ^[8]

This follows the Australian government’s own Gas Market Review messaging earlier this week, which recommended significant reforms, including a prospective domestic gas reservation policy, improvements to how gas is bought and sold, and streamlined reporting/governance. ^[9]

For global gas watchers, Australia matters because it’s a heavyweight LNG exporter. Any structural change that meaningfully shifts domestic vs. export allocation can ripple into LNG spot availability—though, as today’s coverage emphasizes, contract reality can slow the transmission mechanism.

Russia-China pipeline gas: a reminder that trade flows keep shifting

Separate Reuters reporting carried into today’s news cycle said Gazprom supplied 38.8 bcm of gas to China via the Power of Siberia pipeline in 2025, exceeding the annual contractual target of 38 bcm. ^[10]

The strategic significance: incremental pipeline volumes to Asia can offset some pressures elsewhere in Russia’s gas system—while also reinforcing how Europe and Asia are increasingly distinct pricing and flow theaters in a post-2022 world.

Russia LNG: sanctions continue to reshape long-term supply expectations

Another Reuters item widely recirculating today said Russia has delayed its ambition of producing 100 million tons per year of LNG by several years, citing the effects of Western sanctions on projects and equipment. The report also referenced revised strategy forecasts of 90–105 million tons by 2030 and up to 130 million tons by 2036, alongside discussion of delays at major developments. ^[11]

For today’s spot pricing, that’s not an “immediate outage” story. But for medium-term LNG balance, it’s highly relevant: when expected supply growth shifts rightward on the calendar, future winter risk premia can reappear.

Vietnam: CNG buses and factories watch 2026 supply and pricing risk

In Vietnam, today’s gas story is less about international geopolitics and more about “will the fuel arrive, and at what price?”

Tuoi Tre News reported that PV GAS D said it would continue supplying natural gas to customers, after concerns circulated that supply for CNG production to a trading company could be halted from January 1, 2026—a disruption that businesses warned could impact hundreds of operations and up to 500 CNG buses in Ho Chi Minh City. The report also described industrial customer concerns about potentially having to shift to LNG at higher cost and noted PV GAS D’s comments about declining domestic reserves, priority for power generation when needed, and expanded import/logistics options to stabilize supply. ^[12]

This kind of local supply anxiety is an underappreciated driver of long-term gas demand: if end users lose confidence in price stability or continuity, they start planning fuel-switching—even when gas is technically available.

India: new LNG station adds to the downstream buildout story

India’s gas market continues to be defined by infrastructure buildout—especially at the distribution and transportation layer.

Indian Infrastructure reported today that THINK Gas commissioned an LNG station in Rapthadu, Andhra Pradesh, and described the company’s footprint across multiple states and districts under the “Think Gas” brand. ^[13]

In a global context, these smaller commissioning announcements matter because they are the slow, cumulative mechanism by which LNG import volumes translate into actual end-use demand.

What to watch next

As the calendar flips toward year-end, three near-term catalysts stand out:

• Storage data cadence and expectations: With EIA numbers for the week ended Dec. 26 expected on Dec. 31, the market may remain more reactive to forecast tweaks than usual. ^[14]
• Weather model convergence (or chaos): If forecasts snap colder across high-consumption regions, gas can reprice quickly; if “milder” guidance holds, rallies tend to struggle for follow-through. ^[15]
• Policy and supply headlines outside the U.S.: Australia’s domestic reservation debate, Russia’s LNG delays, and Asia’s evolving downstream demand all feed into LNG availability—and LNG availability increasingly feeds back into regional gas pricing. ^[16]

Natural gas is, as always, a market where physics (weather, molecules, pipelines) meets politics (policy, sanctions, domestic priorities). On December 26, that collision is visible everywhere—from Henry Hub screens to Vietnamese bus depots to Australia’s LNG contract math.

References

1. www.investing.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. www.aga.org, 4. www.eia.gov, 5. www.naturalgasintel.com, 6. www.eia.gov, 7. www.reuters.com, 8. www.theaustralian.com.au, 9. www.dcceew.gov.au, 10. www.reuters.com, 11. www.reuters.com, 12. news.tuoitre.vn, 13. indianinfrastructure.com, 14. www.naturalgasintel.com, 15. www.aga.org, 16. www.dcceew.gov.au

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast gained attention after silver crossed the $75 mark for the first time. Gold also reached a new record. Platinum and palladium followed the same trend. Investors reacted to expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts and global uncertainty. These factors increased demand for precious metals across markets.

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast driven by rate cut expectations

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast remained supported due to expectations of lower U.S. interest rates. Spot gold rose 0.8 percent to $4,516.50 per ounce at 0933 GMT. Gold touched a record of $4,530.60 earlier. U.S. gold futures for February delivery rose 1 percent to $4,547.70.

UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said demand for gold and silver remains strong due to expectations of lower U.S. interest rates. He also said low liquidity is increasing volatility in precious metals markets.

Gold market outlook strengthens on policy trends

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects gold’s strongest yearly performance since 1979. Several factors supported this trend. These include Federal Reserve policy easing, central bank purchases, ETF inflows, and reduced reliance on the U.S. dollar.

Markets expect two interest rate cuts next year. These expectations are based on signals of a more flexible Federal Reserve approach. Gold remains supported as it does not offer yield but benefits from lower rates.

Physical demand trends impact gold pricing

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects physical market activity. Gold discounts in India widened to the highest level in more than six months. In China, discounts narrowed compared to last week. Earlier, China discounts had reached a five-year high.

These changes indicate varied demand conditions across major consumer markets. Pricing remains sensitive to local demand and currency movement.

Silver price surge reshapes gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast highlights silver’s sharp rise. Spot silver rose 4 percent to $74.82 per ounce. It reached an all-time high of $75.14 earlier in the session. Silver prices have risen 158 percent so far this year.

The rise is linked to supply shortages, its classification as a U.S. critical mineral, and industrial demand. Silver continues to attract attention from investors seeking alternatives to gold.

Platinum and palladium join the rally

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also includes movement in platinum and palladium. Spot platinum rose 7.3 percent to $2,382.35 per ounce. It earlier reached a record high of $2,448.25. Palladium rose 8.3 percent to $1,823.76.

Both metals are used in automotive catalytic converters. Prices increased due to supply constraints, tariff uncertainty, and shifting investment interest. Platinum is up around 170 percent this year. Palladium is up more than 90 percent.

Policy changes influence metal markets

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast also reflects policy developments. Staunovo said platinum and palladium markets are smaller than the gold market. Limited investor activity can cause sharp price movement.He also noted that the European Commission’s plan to ease the 2035 ban on combustion engines has supported prices. This policy change increased expectations for continued demand in automotive use.

Weekly performance signals continued strength

Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast shows all precious metals heading for weekly gains. Platinum recorded its strongest weekly rise on record. Market participants continue to track interest rate signals and supply conditions.

Precious metals remain sensitive to global economic signals. Investor focus remains on monetary policy, industrial demand, and geopolitical developments.

FAQs

Q1: Why are gold and silver prices rising today?
Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast shows prices rising due to rate cut expectations, global uncertainty, supply shortages, and increased investment demand across precious metals markets.

Q2: What is the outlook for gold and silver prices?
Gold and silver price today, prediction and forecast suggests prices may remain supported as long as rate cut expectations, central bank buying, and industrial demand continue.

Short-Term Pullback Risk and Support Levels

In the short-term, however, a pullback to test prior resistance as support – the first pullback after the breakout – is a risk. A first, more significant upside target at 127.2.% extension of the prior pullback is at $4,516. That is essentially a match to the high for the week to date, especially given a mild bearish reaction that followed Wednesday’s high. The prior high of $4,381, along with the 10-day average, now at $4,360 and rising, presents a first more significant potential support zone. A bullish reversal ending a pullback higher than $4,381, would suggest sustained strong support.

Current Advance Could Be Early in Larger Leg Up

When considering prior upswings in the price of gold, the current eight-week advance may still be early in the current leg up that began from the October swing low, given gains seen since then. Out of the four prior new trend highs sustained since 2024, time ranges are indicated at 5 and 6 weeks, and then at 11 and 12 weeks. Keep in mind that the first week of a new high breakout has yet to complete. This leaves potential in time and price.

Momentum Strength and Next Upside Targets

In addition to the rising slope of the bull trend, strong bullish momentum is indicated by a successful second breakout through the top of a rising trend channel. This confirms strength in the current advance. At the same time, it shows the price becoming further extended. Nevertheless, the potential for a continuation of the trend with a higher rate of change is suggested by the pattern. The next upside target for gold is at the 161.8% projection of a rising ABCD pattern. Further up is a large confluence zone starting at $4,664 and up to $4,713.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.