• Silver price climbs to near $31.00 despite the US inflation remained hotter-than-expected in September.
• The core CPI accelerated to 3.3% from estimates and the August reading of 3.2%.
• Traders expect the Fed to reduce interest rates by 25 bps next month.

Silver price (XAG/USD) strengthens and jumps to near $31.00 in Thursday’s North American session. The white metal witnessed strong buying interest after the release of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for September.

The CPI report showed that Inflationary pressures grew at a faster-than-expected pace due to a sharp increase in prices of apparel. Also, medical and transportation services became more expensive.

The annual headline inflation decelerated at a slower-than-projected pace to 2.4% from 2.5% in August as the impact of a sharp decline in the cost of energy was offset by a rise in food prices. Economists estimated the headline inflation to have grown by 2.3%. The core CPI – which strips off volatile food and energy prices – accelerated to 3.3% from the estimates and the former release of 3.2%. The monthly headline and core inflation grew faster than projected.

The white metal struggles for direction as market participants are taking time to digest inflationary figures and adjust expectations for the Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate outlook for the remaining year. According to the CME FedWatch tool, a 25-basis points (bps) rate cut in November is highly expected.

Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) is also displaying volatile moves after the US inflation data release.  Going forward, investors will focus on the US Producer Price Index (PPI) data for September, which will be published on Friday.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price weakens after a breakdown of the Double Top formation on a four-hour timeframe. The above-mentioned pattern was activated after the asset broke below the horizontal support plotted from the September 30 low around $31.00, which acts as a resistance now. A bear cross, represented by the 20- and 50-period Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) at $31.60, suggests weakness ahead.

The asset has temporarily found support near the 200 EMA, which trades around $30.50.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has delivered a range shift move, suggesting a bearish momentum.

Silver four-hour chart

XAU/USD Current price: $2,621.68

• United States employment figures revive concerns about the sector’s health.
• Wall Street opened mixed, with only the S&P500 trading in the green.
• XAU/USD’s near-term picture shows buyers continue to hesitate.

Gold price bounced sharply after nearing the $2,600 mark, now trading around the $2,620 level. The US Dollar saw a short-lived spike following the release of United States (US) data, which came opposite to the Federal Reserve (Fed) needs.

On the one hand, inflation in September was hotter than anticipated. The annual Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 2.4%, easing from the previous 2.5% but higher than the 2.3% expected. Core annual CPI  rose 3.3%, above the August reading and the market forecast of 3.2%. On a monthly basis, the CPI was up 0.2% against the 0.1% anticipated by market participants. On the other hand,  Initial Jobless Claims for the week ended October 4 rose to 258K, worse than the 230K expected.

After the dust settled, however, market participants understood the figures were hardly enough to affect future Federal Reserve’s (Fed) decisions. The US Dollar seesawed between gains and losses but seems to be slowly recovering its bullish poise. American stock markets, in the meantime, struggle for direction. Following the upbeat performance of Asian and European indexes, only the S&P500 posts gains.

Looking ahead, market participants will have to wait for US data scheduled for next week, as well as the European Central Bank (ECB) monetary policy announcement.

XAU/USD short-term technical outlook  

From a technical point of view, the daily chart for the XAU/USD pair shows it may soon resume its advance. After falling below a still bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), Gold aims to recover above it. In the meantime, the 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bullish slopes far below the current level. Finally, the Momentum indicator hovers around its 100 line, partially losing its bearish strength, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator turned higher and currently stands at around 55.

The near-term picture is still bearish. XAU/USD is meeting sellers at around its 20 SMA, which extends its slide below a mildly bullish 100 SMA. Technical indicators, in the meantime, offer neutral-to-bearish slopes while developing below their midlines. At this point, a steeper decline below the $2,600 mark seems unlikely, but the odds for a firmer advance in the near term are still low.

Support levels: 2,603.90 2,589.10 2,575.20

Resistance levels: 2,625.40 2,637.10 2,652.90

The CME FedWatch Tool indicates that the likelihood of a 25 bps rate cut in November dropped to 75.9% from 85.2% a day earlier, signaling shifting market sentiment. Additionally, US Treasury yields continued to climb, with the 10-year Treasury note reaching 4.06%, up 5.5 bps. This, coupled with a stronger US Dollar Index (DXY) at 102.90, its highest level since mid-August, weighed heavily on gold prices.

Morning Cues
– S&P and Dow end at record highs
– CPI data awaited in the US tonight
– Asian markets higher, GIFT nifty indicating open in the green of around 125 pts
– DIIs Buy 3509cr, FIIs Sell 4,563cr in Cash
– TCS reports numbers today
– Crude and gold prices continue to fall

— Sonal Bhutra (@sonalbhutra) October 10, 2024

US CPI Report in Focus as Traders Eye Inflation Data

All eyes are now on the upcoming US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which is forecasted to show a decline from 2.5% to 2.3% year-over-year (YoY). Monthly CPI is expected to come in at 0.1%, down from 0.2%. If the data aligns with expectations, it could signal a continuation of the Fed’s dovish stance, potentially providing some relief for gold.

Core CPI is anticipated to remain unchanged at 3.2% YoY. Any deviation from these estimates could either strengthen or weaken the case for future rate cuts, impacting gold prices significantly. Additionally, Initial Jobless Claims data for the week ending October 5 is projected to show 230K new claims, slightly higher than the previous reading of 225K.

Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch

Gold is currently holding above a key support level at $2,605, supported by an upward trendline on the 4-hour chart. As long as the price remains above this trendline, a potential bullish reversal could be in play. Immediate resistance is seen at $2,624, with the next target at $2,636, coinciding with the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA). Breaking above $2,636 could open the door to $2,652.

Gold held at $2,620, pressured by a strong US dollar and China’s vague stimulus plans. Investors await key CPI and PPI data for more clues. October 9th, 2024 pic.twitter.com/spKnecRCdl

— Russell Calkins (@RUSSELLCALKINS) October 9, 2024

However, if the $2,605 support is breached, gold may face increased selling pressure, pushing prices down to $2,594 and potentially $2,573. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 40, indicating neutral sentiment but is approaching oversold territory, which could lead to a short-term rebound.

Key Insights:

• FOMC Impact: The Fed’s Minutes reveal divided opinions on rate cuts, adding pressure on gold.

• CPI Expectations: Upcoming US CPI data will be crucial in determining short-term direction.

• Technical Outlook: $2,605 serves as key support; a break below could trigger further downside.

Overall, the upcoming economic data and the Fed’s stance will play a critical role in shaping gold’s trajectory. Traders should closely monitor the $2,605 support level and $2,624 resistance for potential breakout signals.

The latest IMARC Group report, ” 𝗡𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗚𝗮𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀, 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗱, 𝗖𝗵𝗮𝗿𝘁, 𝗗𝗲𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗱, 𝗠𝗮𝗿𝗸𝗲𝘁 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀, 𝗡𝗲𝘄𝘀, 𝗛𝗶𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗙𝗼𝗿𝗲𝗰𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗗𝗮𝘁𝗮 𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟰 𝗘𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻,” presents a detailed analysis of price trends, offering key insights into global market dynamics. This report includes comprehensive price charts, which trace historical data and highlights major shifts in the market. The analysis delves into the factors driving these trends, including raw material costs, production fluctuations, and geopolitical influences. Moreover, the report examines demand, illustrating how consumer behavior and industrial needs affect overall market dynamics. By exploring the intricate relationship between supply and demand, the prices report uncovers critical factors influencing current and future prices.

For strategic planning, the report provides Natural Gas price forecasts, allowing businesses to anticipate price shifts and make informed decisions about procurement and investment. The forecast draws on historical data, market trends, and key economic indicators, ensuring a reliable outlook for stakeholders. Additionally, the inclusion of the price index offers a broader view of market performance over time, providing a valuable benchmark for evaluating market trends. With these insights, the report equips industry stakeholders with the tools needed to navigate the complex global Natural Gas market and optimize their strategies in response to evolving conditions.

𝗡𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗚𝗮𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗟𝗮𝘀𝘁 𝗤𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗿:

• 𝗖𝗵𝗶𝗻𝗮: 3485 USD/1000 MMBtu

𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝗢𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗻𝗴:

• 𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗵𝗹𝘆 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀: Annual Subscription

• 𝗤𝘂𝗮𝗿𝘁𝗲𝗿𝗹𝘆 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀: Annual Subscription

• 𝗕𝗶𝗮𝗻𝗻𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗹𝘆 𝗨𝗽𝗱𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀: Annual Subscription

The study examines the key factors driving Natural Gas price variations, focusing on shifts in raw material costs, the balance between supply and demand, and the impact of geopolitical influences. It also considers sector-specific developments that play a critical role in shaping market prices. By analysing these elements, the report offers valuable insights into the underlying causes of Natural Gas price fluctuations, helping businesses and investors understand market behaviour more effectively.

In addition, the report provides the latest market updates, ensuring stakeholders are informed about recent fluctuations, regulatory changes, and technological advancements. This comprehensive resource equips decision-makers with the necessary tools to enhance their strategic planning and improve forecasting accuracy. Through this analysis, the report becomes an indispensable asset for anyone looking to navigate the complexities of the Natural Gas market and optimize future strategies.

𝗥𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝗮 𝗦𝗮𝗺𝗽𝗹𝗲 𝗖𝗼𝗽𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁: https://www.imarcgroup.com/natural-gas-pricing-report/requestsample

𝗞𝗲𝘆 𝗛𝗶𝗴𝗵𝗹𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗡𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗚𝗮𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗱

The rising demand for cleaner energy sources is driving the global market as governments and industries seek to reduce carbon emissions, positioning natural gas as a bridge fuel due to its lower carbon output compared to coal and oil. Continual technological advancements in extraction methods, such as hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling, have significantly increased supply, particularly in regions, such as North America. Rising energy consumption, especially in developing economies, is pushing demand further as natural gas is used for electricity generation, heating, and industrial processes. Additionally, the shift towards liquefied natural gas (LNG) is expanding the market, as it allows for easier transportation and access to markets that are not connected by pipelines.

𝗙𝗮𝗰𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗜𝗻𝗳𝗹𝘂𝗲𝗻𝗰𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗡𝗮𝘁𝘂𝗿𝗮𝗹 𝗚𝗮𝘀 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗶𝗻 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗗𝗶𝗳𝗳𝗲𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀

𝗜𝗻 𝗡𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮:

During the last quarter of 2024, there was a substantial increase in natural gas prices in North America due to various factors. Elevated temperatures led to higher air conditioning usage in both commercial and residential buildings, causing an increased need for natural gas. Reduced storage injections and production limitations from maintenance and well completion delays further affected this demand. The growing export market for liquefied natural gas (LNG) has also reduced domestic supply, contributing to increased prices.

𝗜𝗻 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗔𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗣𝗮𝗰𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗰 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻:

Prices in the Asia Pacific area have gone up due to a strong dependence on natural gas for both manufacturing and power generation. Continuing geopolitical tensions continued to decrease the supply of global LNG, ramping up the price increases. China experienced the largest price hikes because of increased industrial demand and high energy usage during the summer.

𝗜𝗻 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀:

Europe experienced a notable increase, primarily caused by political turmoil and difficulties with supply chains. Decreased flow resulted from maintenance work on major pipelines and unexpected shutdowns at critical supply hubs, while global tensions affecting energy trading also played a role. Increasing global interest in LNG, sparked by heatwaves in Asia, redirected supplies away from Europe, resulting in price hikes. Germany faced major price hikes because of its efforts to decrease dependence on Russian gas and challenges with storage reconstruction, resulting in it being the most unpredictable out of all nations.

𝗜𝗻 𝗠𝗘𝗔 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀:

Increased demand and restricted supply led to a notable rise in natural gas costs in the MEA region. The main factors behind the price increase were the growth in industrial activity and the high demand for electricity due to hot temperatures. The region’s focus on transitioning to greener energy sources such as natural gas further raised demand.

𝗦𝗽𝗲𝗮𝗸 𝘁𝗼 𝗔𝗻 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝘁: https://www.imarcgroup.com/request?type=report&id=22409&flag=C

𝗢𝘃𝗲𝗿𝗮𝗹𝗹, 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲 𝗧𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗱 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗥𝗲𝗴𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗣𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗲𝘀 𝗔𝗻𝗮𝗹𝘆𝘀𝗶𝘀:

• 𝗔𝘀𝗶𝗮 𝗣𝗮𝗰𝗶𝗳𝗶𝗰: China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand

• 𝗘𝘂𝗿𝗼𝗽𝗲: Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, Czech Republic, Portugal and Greece

• 𝗡𝗼𝗿𝘁𝗵 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮: United States and Canada

• 𝗟𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗻 𝗔𝗺𝗲𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮: Brazil, Mexico, Argentina, Columbia, Chile, Ecuador, and Peru

• 𝗠𝗶𝗱𝗱𝗹𝗲 𝗘𝗮𝘀𝘁 & 𝗔𝗳𝗿𝗶𝗰𝗮: Saudi Arabia, UAE, Israel, Iran, South Africa, Nigeria, Oman, Kuwait, Qatar, Iraq, Egypt, Algeria, and Morocco

𝗡𝗼𝘁𝗲: 𝗧𝗵𝗲 𝗰𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗿𝘆 𝗹𝗶𝘀𝘁 𝗶𝘀 𝘀𝗲𝗹𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲, 𝗱𝗲𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗹𝗲𝗱 𝗶𝗻𝘀𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘁𝘀 𝗶𝗻𝘁𝗼 𝗮𝗱𝗱𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝘂𝗻𝘁𝗿𝗶𝗲𝘀 𝗰𝗮𝗻 𝗯𝗲 𝗼𝗯𝘁𝗮𝗶𝗻𝗲𝗱 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗲𝗻𝘁𝘀 𝘂𝗽𝗼𝗻 𝗿𝗲𝗾𝘂𝗲𝘀𝘁.

𝗖𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗮𝗰𝘁 𝘂𝘀:

IMARC Group

134 N 4th St. Brooklyn, NY 11249, USA

𝗘𝗺𝗮𝗶𝗹: sales@imarcgroup.com

𝗧𝗲𝗹 𝗡𝗼:(𝗗) +91 120 433 0800

𝗨𝗻𝗶𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗲𝘀: +1-631-791-1145

𝗔𝗯𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝗨𝘀:

IMARC Group is a global management consulting firm that helps the world’s most ambitious changemakers to create a lasting impact. The company provide a comprehensive suite of market entry and expansion services. IMARC offerings include thorough market assessment, feasibility studies, company incorporation assistance, factory setup support, regulatory approvals and licensing navigation, branding, marketing and sales strategies, competitive landscape and benchmarking analyses, pricing and cost research, and procurement research.

This release was published on openPR.

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