Category: Crypto News, News

How Low Can XRP Go? Expert Predicts 55% XRP Price Slump to Just $1

By Published On: November 19, 202515.5 min readViews: 350 Comments on How Low Can XRP Go? Expert Predicts 55% XRP Price Slump to Just $1

XRP price has
broken below the critical $2.20 support level today (Wednesday), November 19,
2025, sliding with the broader cryptocurrency market in what technical analysts
are calling one of the most dangerous formations for XRP holders this year.

The
cryptocurrency currently trades at $2.14, down sharply from recent highs above
$3.60, as it struggles with a confirmed death cross pattern on the daily chart.

Come to my page!

My
technical analysis shows XRP is fighting the $2.20-$2.30 support zone
identified at local lows, and although the price has clearly broken below $2.20
to the current $2.14 level, the market “is not a pharmacy,” meaning prices
don’t react perfectly to technical zones, especially in volatile crypto
markets.

Let’s check together why XRP price is falling today,
what are the current XRP price prediction and why it may fall to $1.25 or even
$1.

The dreaded
death
cross has officially formed on XRP’s daily chart
, with the 50-day
exponential moving average (EMA) crossing below the 200-day EMA, a potent
bearish signal that indicates medium-term selling has overwhelmed long-term
accumulation.

The death
cross formation is appearing not just on XRP
but across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies
on daily
timeframes, suggesting coordinated weakness throughout the crypto market.

How low can XRP price go? According to my technical analysis to $1.25. Source: Tradingview.com

Technical Levels for XRP

Support/Resistance Level

Price Zone

Technical Significance

Current Price

$2.14-$2.18

Below critical support zone

Broken Support

$2.20-$2.30

Former
support, now potential resistance

Psychological Support

$2.00

Round
number with high psychological impact

June 2025 Lows

$1.90

Next
major support if $2.00 breaks

April 2025 Lows

$1.61

Intermediate
support before ultimate target

Ultimate Bearish Target

$1.25

50% decline scenario, yearly minimum

Heavy Resistance Ceiling

$2.55-$2.63

Converged
moving averages creating barrier

Since early
November, long lower wicks have been forming on XRP’s candlesticks, slightly
extending the support zone and showing buyers attempting to defend these
levels.

However,
the clear break below $2.20 with the current price at $2.14 suggests bears are
gaining control and “want to push it lower,” as only a sustained move
below the round $2.00 level and June lows at $1.90 will confirm their deeper
bearish intentions.

How Low Can XRP Go? $1.25 Target in Focus

Based on my
technical analysis, XRP faces potential for
a devastating 50% decline toward the $1.25 level
, representing the
cryptocurrency’s yearly minimum and a zone last tested one year ago during the
October 10, 2024 deleveraging event. This bearish target aligns with the 100%
Fibonacci extension measured from July peaks to October lows and coincides with
critical support that provided a floor during previous market stress.

Master, a
crypto analyst followed by over 53,000 traders on Twitter, shares an even more
bearish outlook: “$XRP Top July 2025 now bear market most likely down to
$1 or so. when capitulation?” His prediction of $1.00 represents an
extreme capitulation scenario that would mark a 54% decline from current levels
and test support not seen since early 2024.

The
intermediate levels to watch include the psychological $2.00 barrier, June 2025
lows at $1.90, and April 2025 lows at $1.61—each representing potential pause
points on the path lower.

XRP Price Predictions:
Bearish vs Bullish Scenarios

Source/Analyst

Timeframe

Price Target

Scenario Type

Master (@MASTERBTCLTC)

Near-term

$1.00

Extreme bearish/capitulation

My Technical Analysis

Short-term

$1.25

50% decline bearish target

FastBull Analysis

Immediate

$2.20

Consolidation/pause level

Changelly

November 2025

$2.11-$2.19

Current range forecast

Changelly

December 2025

$2.15-$2.45

Recovery scenario

Coinpedia

End of 2025

$5.05

Bullish ETF approval case

Standard Chartered

3-year outlook

$8

Long-term bullish

The divergence
between bearish technical projections ($1.00-$1.25) and optimistic fundamental
forecasts ($5.05) reflects the extreme uncertainty currently gripping XRP
markets.

Why XRP Is Going Down?

Whale Selling and Market
Stress Override ETF Optimism

Despite the
successful launch of XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency has plunged 11% as whale
selling and broader market stress overshadow early institutional demand.
“XRP slumps 11% despite ETF inflows as whale selling and market stress
overshadow early institutional demand,” reported Yahoo Finance,
highlighting the disconnect between positive fundamental developments and
negative price action.

Satraj
Bambra, CEO of Rails and Managing Partner at Round13 (running a $100M liquid
fund up 400% since April 2022), explained the persistent market weakness:
“October’s liquidation event was a major catalyst for Bitcoin ‘s dip below
$90K. It created a liquidity vacuum, and when markets are already weak, they
don’t need a fundamental reason to puke; they just need an opening. Macro
uncertainty adds weight, but the chain reaction began with October’s wipeout.
The dead bodies from that event are still floating up.”

Key Factors Driving XRP
Decline

  • Death cross technical breakdown: 50 EMA crossing below
    200 EMA confirms shift to bearish momentum across crypto
  • Whale distribution: Large holders selling
    tokens despite ETF launch, transferring to new investors
  • October liquidation aftermath: Liquidity vacuum with
    “dead bodies still floating up” from deleveraging event.
  • Altcoin underperformance: XRP hit particularly
    hard as Bitcoin dominance rises and liquidity evaporates
  • Supply-in-profit collapse: 58.5% decline leaves
    41.5% of tokens underwater, creating capitulation risk
  • Heavy resistance ceiling: Converged moving
    averages at $2.55-$2.63 capping any rally attempts
  • Broader crypto weakness: $1 trillion wiped from
    total crypto market cap, lowest since early July

Macro Headwinds and
Crypto-Specific Pressures

Niraj Pant,
co-founder of Ritual AI and former General Partner at Polychain (where he led
investment rounds in Offchain Labs, EigenLayer, and Polymarket), provided
comprehensive context on the macro and crypto-specific pressures:

“Macro:
We’ve seen a general tightening of liquidity with fears of an overextension in
AI capex alongside shakier economic data and a hawkish Fed, leading to risk-off
behavior in speculative tech stocks and crypto. Post-government shutdown
ending, we’ve (re)entered a dramatically heightened market environment with
more volatility expected.”

XRP Price Analysis, FAQ

Why is XRP falling today?

XRP is
falling due to a confirmed death cross formation (50 EMA crossing below 200
EMA), break below critical $2.20-$2.30 support, whale selling despite ETF
launch, aftermath of October liquidation event creating liquidity vacuum,
broader altcoin weakness with rising Bitcoin dominance, and 41.5% of XRP supply
now held at a loss triggering capitulation selling.

How low can XRP go?

Technical
analysis suggests XRP could decline to $1.25 (50% drop from recent highs),
which represents the yearly minimum and 100% Fibonacci extension from July
peaks to October lows. Intermediate support exists at $2.00 psychological level
and $1.90 June lows. Crypto analyst Master predicts extreme capitulation to
$1.00, while April 2025 lows at $1.61 provide another potential floor.

What is XRP price
prediction for 2025-2026?

Price
predictions vary dramatically. Bearish scenarios forecast $1.00-$1.25 near-term
targets based on death cross breakdown. Changelly projects $2.11-$2.45 range
through December 2025. Optimistic forecasts cite $5.05 by year-end driven by
ETF approvals and regulatory clarity. Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey
Kendrick projects 73% annual growth over three years, while some bulls target
$10-$37 for the current cycle.

Is XRP in a bear market?

Yes, XRP
has entered bear market territory with a 13.88% monthly decline in November, the
largest since February 2025, and a confirmed death cross pattern on daily
charts. The cryptocurrency has fallen from highs of $2.70-$3.60 to current
levels around $2.14-$2.18, with 41.5% of supply now held at a loss. However,
year-over-year performance remains strong at +285.9%, demonstrating volatility
rather than sustained bear market.

Can XRP reach $5 in 2025?

While AI
forecasts and some analysts project $5.05 by end of 2025 driven by ETF
approvals, partnerships, and regulatory clarity, this requires a dramatic
reversal from current bearish technical structure. XRP would need to recover
140%+ from current $2.14 levels within approximately six weeks. Standard
Chartered’s 73% annual growth projection over three years suggests more
measured appreciation. The $5 scenario remains possible but requires
significant positive catalysts and reversal of death cross breakdown.

XRP price has
broken below the critical $2.20 support level today (Wednesday), November 19,
2025, sliding with the broader cryptocurrency market in what technical analysts
are calling one of the most dangerous formations for XRP holders this year.

The
cryptocurrency currently trades at $2.14, down sharply from recent highs above
$3.60, as it struggles with a confirmed death cross pattern on the daily chart.

My
technical analysis shows XRP is fighting the $2.20-$2.30 support zone
identified at local lows, and although the price has clearly broken below $2.20
to the current $2.14 level, the market “is not a pharmacy,” meaning prices
don’t react perfectly to technical zones, especially in volatile crypto
markets.

Let’s check together why XRP price is falling today,
what are the current XRP price prediction and why it may fall to $1.25 or even
$1.

The dreaded
death
cross has officially formed on XRP’s daily chart
, with the 50-day
exponential moving average (EMA) crossing below the 200-day EMA, a potent
bearish signal that indicates medium-term selling has overwhelmed long-term
accumulation.

The death
cross formation is appearing not just on XRP
but across Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other major cryptocurrencies
on daily
timeframes, suggesting coordinated weakness throughout the crypto market.

How low can XRP price go? According to my technical analysis to $1.25. Source: Tradingview.com

Technical Levels for XRP

Support/Resistance Level

Price Zone

Technical Significance

Current Price

$2.14-$2.18

Below critical support zone

Broken Support

$2.20-$2.30

Former
support, now potential resistance

Psychological Support

$2.00

Round
number with high psychological impact

June 2025 Lows

$1.90

Next
major support if $2.00 breaks

April 2025 Lows

$1.61

Intermediate
support before ultimate target

Ultimate Bearish Target

$1.25

50% decline scenario, yearly minimum

Heavy Resistance Ceiling

$2.55-$2.63

Converged
moving averages creating barrier

Since early
November, long lower wicks have been forming on XRP’s candlesticks, slightly
extending the support zone and showing buyers attempting to defend these
levels.

However,
the clear break below $2.20 with the current price at $2.14 suggests bears are
gaining control and “want to push it lower,” as only a sustained move
below the round $2.00 level and June lows at $1.90 will confirm their deeper
bearish intentions.

How Low Can XRP Go? $1.25 Target in Focus

Based on my
technical analysis, XRP faces potential for
a devastating 50% decline toward the $1.25 level
, representing the
cryptocurrency’s yearly minimum and a zone last tested one year ago during the
October 10, 2024 deleveraging event. This bearish target aligns with the 100%
Fibonacci extension measured from July peaks to October lows and coincides with
critical support that provided a floor during previous market stress.

Master, a
crypto analyst followed by over 53,000 traders on Twitter, shares an even more
bearish outlook: “$XRP Top July 2025 now bear market most likely down to
$1 or so. when capitulation?” His prediction of $1.00 represents an
extreme capitulation scenario that would mark a 54% decline from current levels
and test support not seen since early 2024.

The
intermediate levels to watch include the psychological $2.00 barrier, June 2025
lows at $1.90, and April 2025 lows at $1.61—each representing potential pause
points on the path lower.

XRP Price Predictions:
Bearish vs Bullish Scenarios

Source/Analyst

Timeframe

Price Target

Scenario Type

Master (@MASTERBTCLTC)

Near-term

$1.00

Extreme bearish/capitulation

My Technical Analysis

Short-term

$1.25

50% decline bearish target

FastBull Analysis

Immediate

$2.20

Consolidation/pause level

Changelly

November 2025

$2.11-$2.19

Current range forecast

Changelly

December 2025

$2.15-$2.45

Recovery scenario

Coinpedia

End of 2025

$5.05

Bullish ETF approval case

Standard Chartered

3-year outlook

$8

Long-term bullish

The divergence
between bearish technical projections ($1.00-$1.25) and optimistic fundamental
forecasts ($5.05) reflects the extreme uncertainty currently gripping XRP
markets.

Why XRP Is Going Down?

Whale Selling and Market
Stress Override ETF Optimism

Despite the
successful launch of XRP ETFs, the cryptocurrency has plunged 11% as whale
selling and broader market stress overshadow early institutional demand.
“XRP slumps 11% despite ETF inflows as whale selling and market stress
overshadow early institutional demand,” reported Yahoo Finance,
highlighting the disconnect between positive fundamental developments and
negative price action.

Satraj
Bambra, CEO of Rails and Managing Partner at Round13 (running a $100M liquid
fund up 400% since April 2022), explained the persistent market weakness:
“October’s liquidation event was a major catalyst for Bitcoin ‘s dip below
$90K. It created a liquidity vacuum, and when markets are already weak, they
don’t need a fundamental reason to puke; they just need an opening. Macro
uncertainty adds weight, but the chain reaction began with October’s wipeout.
The dead bodies from that event are still floating up.”

Key Factors Driving XRP
Decline

  • Death cross technical breakdown: 50 EMA crossing below
    200 EMA confirms shift to bearish momentum across crypto
  • Whale distribution: Large holders selling
    tokens despite ETF launch, transferring to new investors
  • October liquidation aftermath: Liquidity vacuum with
    “dead bodies still floating up” from deleveraging event.
  • Altcoin underperformance: XRP hit particularly
    hard as Bitcoin dominance rises and liquidity evaporates
  • Supply-in-profit collapse: 58.5% decline leaves
    41.5% of tokens underwater, creating capitulation risk
  • Heavy resistance ceiling: Converged moving
    averages at $2.55-$2.63 capping any rally attempts
  • Broader crypto weakness: $1 trillion wiped from
    total crypto market cap, lowest since early July

Macro Headwinds and
Crypto-Specific Pressures

Niraj Pant,
co-founder of Ritual AI and former General Partner at Polychain (where he led
investment rounds in Offchain Labs, EigenLayer, and Polymarket), provided
comprehensive context on the macro and crypto-specific pressures:

“Macro:
We’ve seen a general tightening of liquidity with fears of an overextension in
AI capex alongside shakier economic data and a hawkish Fed, leading to risk-off
behavior in speculative tech stocks and crypto. Post-government shutdown
ending, we’ve (re)entered a dramatically heightened market environment with
more volatility expected.”

XRP Price Analysis, FAQ

Why is XRP falling today?

XRP is
falling due to a confirmed death cross formation (50 EMA crossing below 200
EMA), break below critical $2.20-$2.30 support, whale selling despite ETF
launch, aftermath of October liquidation event creating liquidity vacuum,
broader altcoin weakness with rising Bitcoin dominance, and 41.5% of XRP supply
now held at a loss triggering capitulation selling.

How low can XRP go?

Technical
analysis suggests XRP could decline to $1.25 (50% drop from recent highs),
which represents the yearly minimum and 100% Fibonacci extension from July
peaks to October lows. Intermediate support exists at $2.00 psychological level
and $1.90 June lows. Crypto analyst Master predicts extreme capitulation to
$1.00, while April 2025 lows at $1.61 provide another potential floor.

What is XRP price
prediction for 2025-2026?

Price
predictions vary dramatically. Bearish scenarios forecast $1.00-$1.25 near-term
targets based on death cross breakdown. Changelly projects $2.11-$2.45 range
through December 2025. Optimistic forecasts cite $5.05 by year-end driven by
ETF approvals and regulatory clarity. Standard Chartered analyst Geoffrey
Kendrick projects 73% annual growth over three years, while some bulls target
$10-$37 for the current cycle.

Is XRP in a bear market?

Yes, XRP
has entered bear market territory with a 13.88% monthly decline in November, the
largest since February 2025, and a confirmed death cross pattern on daily
charts. The cryptocurrency has fallen from highs of $2.70-$3.60 to current
levels around $2.14-$2.18, with 41.5% of supply now held at a loss. However,
year-over-year performance remains strong at +285.9%, demonstrating volatility
rather than sustained bear market.

Can XRP reach $5 in 2025?

While AI
forecasts and some analysts project $5.05 by end of 2025 driven by ETF
approvals, partnerships, and regulatory clarity, this requires a dramatic
reversal from current bearish technical structure. XRP would need to recover
140%+ from current $2.14 levels within approximately six weeks. Standard
Chartered’s 73% annual growth projection over three years suggests more
measured appreciation. The $5 scenario remains possible but requires
significant positive catalysts and reversal of death cross breakdown.



Source link

banner image

Written by : Editorial team of BIPNs

Main team of content of bipns.com. Any type of content should be approved by us.

Share this article:

Leave A Comment