Extreme bullish speculation contrasts with current reality

A fringe thesis circulating projects 100,000% gains for XRP, implying a price near $2,990 per token. While historical runs (like the 60,000% surge in 2017) fuel such optimism, the market cap implications would exceed global equity benchmarks. For now, realistic targets are more restrained: analysts outline a bearish case at $2.40–$2.65, a neutral case at $3.30–$5.00, and a bullish case at $6–$9+ into 2026, assuming adoption, regulation, and ETF flows materialize.

Outlook on XRP-USD — cautious accumulation or deeper risk?

Ripple’s XRP-USD sits at a crossroads. The bullish structure relies on reclaiming $3.07–$3.13, which would unlock upside to $3.40 and $3.66. Failure to defend $2.95–$2.85 invites a slide to $2.65–$2.40, with worst-case triangle targets near $2.06. Whale distribution, declining ledger activity, and neutral oscillators all lean bearish short term, but oversold signals near $2.65 could attract accumulation. Based on current data, XRP is best viewed as a Hold with tactical Buy zones below $2.80 for those anticipating regulatory and institutional catalysts. Bulls retain medium-term potential, but near-term risks remain skewed to the downside.

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