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Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 1% near the key level of $33.00 during North American trading house on Friday. However, the white metal strives to gain ground as renewed trade tensions between the United States (US) and China are limited the upside in the US Dollar (USD).
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, struggles to extend its early recovery move above the immediate resistance of 99.70.
Historically, global economic tensions improve demand for safe-haven assets, such as Silver. However, it is struggling to find bids as higher US Dollar makes investment in Silver price an expensive bet for investors.
During North American session, US President Donald Trump accused Beijing for non-compliance on the trade agreement in a post on Truth.Social. “The bad news is that China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, has totally violated its agreement with us,” Trump wrote.
Meanwhile, soft US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April has weighed some pressure on the Silver. The US core PCE inflation, a Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, rose by 2.5% on year, as expected, slower than 2.7% in March. Precious metals underperform in a low-inflation environment.
Silver price ranges between $31.65 and $33.70 from over a month. The near-term trend of the white metal is uncertain as it wobbles around the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades near $32.90.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating a sideways trend.
Looking up, the March 28 high of $34.60 will act as key resistance for the metal. On the downside, the April 11 low of $30.90 will be the key support zone.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Natural gas price confirmed its surrender to the bearish correctional bias by reaching below the initial support at $3.600, to settle below the moving average 55, hitting the initial negative target by reaching $3.450.
The stability of stochastic near 20 level will increase the negative pressure on the trading, which assist to renew the negative attempts that might target levels near $3.320, while the price success to regain the bullish bias requires providing a positive close above the barrier near $3.850.
The expected trading range for today is between $3.320 and $3.600
Trend forecast: Bearish temporarily
No change on copper price’s current negativity by its repeated fluctuation below 50%Fibonacci correction level at $4.6600, besides the continuation of suffering negative pressure by stochastic approach from 20 level, therefore, we will keep preferring the negative trading in the near period, which might target $4.5500 reaching the support at $4.4900.
Note that regaining the bullish bias is conditioned by forming a strong bullish rally, to succeed to breach 61.8%Fibonacci correction level at $4.8100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.5000 and $4.6600
Trend forecast: Bearish
Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov confirmed receiving Ukraine’s response to peace talks in Istanbul, while the White House announced a tentative ceasefire proposal from Israel, though its acceptance remains uncertain.
Market participants remained cautious ahead of Friday’s US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. A cooling in inflation could raise expectations for interest rate cuts, potentially weakening the dollar and lifting gold.
Conversely, stronger inflation data could reinforce a hawkish Fed stance, strengthening the dollar and capping gold’s upside. Federal Reserve minutes revealed a “wait-and-see” approach, with policymakers balancing risks to inflation and employment.
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee and San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly suggested two potential rate cuts this year, contingent on continued disinflation and labor market resilience.
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan emphasized balanced risks, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell reiterated that future rate moves hinge on incoming data.
Meanwhile, silver (XAG/USD) prices traded steadily near $33.20, supported by underlying geopolitical uncertainty and consolidation patterns. The market’s focus remains split between inflation data and global tensions, keeping silver’s technical levels in play.
The EURJPY pair kept positive stability, taking advantage of forming extra support at 163.35 level, to begin achieving some of the gains by its rally towards the initial target by hitting 164.20 level.
The positive factors are represented by the continuation of forming main support at 162.00 level, and providing positive momentum by the main indicators, so that confirms the continuation of the positivity, which might target 164.80 level, to attempt to breach the obstacle near 165.20, to reinforce the continuation of the positivity in the upcoming period.
The expected trading range for today is between 163.30 and 165.20
Trend forecast: Bullish
Platinum price continued to resist stochastic negativity by its continuous fluctuation above $1056.00 level, which represents an important support as appears in the above image, as it represents 100% Fibonacci extension, and its stability reinforces the chances of the bullish scenario domination again.
Gathering the positive momentum is important to lead the price begin forming bullish waves to surpass $1100.00 level, then begin achieving new gains by its rally to $1125.00 reaching $1158.00 in the medium period trading.
The expected trading range for today is between $1068.00 and $1100.00
Trend forecast: Bullish
The GBPAUD ended its bullish rally by recording the initial target at 2.1035, facing 161.8%Fibonacci extension level, to form an intraday barrier against the attempts of resuming the bullish attack, which explains the negative rebound to 2.0915.
Note that the attempt of forming extra support at 2.0780 level will reinforce the chances for gathering the required positive momentum, to surpass the mentioned barrier, then begin targeting new bullish stations by its rally towards 2.1085 and 2.1150.
The expected trading range for today is between 2.0865 and 2.1035
Trend forecast: Fluctuated
The EURJPY pair kept positive stability, taking advantage of forming extra support at 163.35 level, to begin achieving some of the gains by its rally towards the initial target by hitting 164.20 level.
The positive factors are represented by the continuation of forming main support at 162.00 level, and providing positive momentum by the main indicators, so that confirms the continuation of the positivity, which might target 164.80 level, to attempt to breach the obstacle near 165.20, to reinforce the continuation of the positivity in the upcoming period.
The expected trading range for today is between 163.30 and 165.20
Trend forecast: Bullish
The EURJPY pair kept positive stability, taking advantage of forming extra support at 163.35 level, to begin achieving some of the gains by its rally towards the initial target by hitting 164.20 level.
The positive factors are represented by the continuation of forming main support at 162.00 level, and providing positive momentum by the main indicators, so that confirms the continuation of the positivity, which might target 164.80 level, to attempt to breach the obstacle near 165.20, to reinforce the continuation of the positivity in the upcoming period.
The expected trading range for today is between 163.30 and 165.20
Trend forecast: Bullish
Copper price delayed the bullish rally due to the negative pressure that comes by a stochastic approach from 50 level, suffering some extra losses by hitting $4.6000 level, attempting to settle above the moving average 55.
The contradiction between the main indicators might force the price to provide sideways trading, but the repeated stability below 6.8%Fibonacci correction level at $4.8100 represents a main factor that confirms the bearish correctional bias dominance, to keep waiting for resuming the decline and targeting $4.5000 level in the near period.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.5000 and $4.7000
Trend forecast: Bearish
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