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Platinum price ended the bearish corrective attack by targeting $1490.00 level, to form strong bullish rebound by its rally towards $1633.00, attempting to reduce the effect of the intraday bearish pressure on the current period.
We couldn’t confirm activating the positive track until providing new positive close above$1605.00 to ease the mission of targeting some positive stations that are located near $1665.00 and $1695.00, while the decline below $1605.00 will force the price to form new bearish waves, attempting to reach $1525.00.
The expected trading range for today is between $1570.00 and $1665.00
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track.
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) prices settled with cautious gains during their last intraday trading, after the stability of the key support of $107,400, gaining bullish momentum that helped it to achieve these gains and surpass the resistance of its EMA50, however the main bearish trend remains the dominant on the trading, especially with its trading alongside supportive trendline, besides the relative strength indicators reaching sever overbought levels compared to the price move, indicating the beginning of forming negative divergence, which intensified the negative pressure on the price.
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Gold price forecast indicates that XAU/USD is trading near $4107.86, slightly up after a sharp correction from Monday’s high of $4381.44 to a low of $4004.28. The yellow metal is consolidating between key pivots at $4100.43 and $4162.93. Traders are focusing on the $4192.86 level, which could signal renewed bullish momentum if broken.
At 10:30 GMT, XAU/USD traded $8.46 higher, or 0.21%. The $4000 level remains an important support area. Market participants are deciding whether this represents a buying opportunity or a short-term bounce before another decline.
If bulls fail to maintain momentum, targets below include $3846.50 and the 50-day moving average at $3741.61. This area now defines the near-term value zone, and a break below it could restore bearish sentiment.
Geopolitical events continue to influence the gold price forecast. The U.S. has imposed new sanctions on Russian oil firms Lukoil and Rosneft. At the same time, trade tensions with China have resurfaced due to Washington’s plan to restrict software-related exports.
These developments are keeping gold’s safe-haven demand steady. According to market analysts, ongoing geopolitical risks may maintain long-term interest in gold, even if short-term reactions remain subdued.
Gold price forecast also depends on upcoming macroeconomic data. Traders await the delayed U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which could guide the Federal Reserve’s next interest rate decision. Markets currently expect a 25-basis-point rate cut. Falling real yields and continued central bank gold buying support a longer-term positive outlook. These factors keep the precious metal attractive despite short-term volatility.
Gold price forecast shows XAU/USD at a technical decision point. Holding above $4004.28 keeps the short-term bullish setup intact. A breakout through $4192.86 could push prices toward the record high of $4381.44.
Failure to hold above $4004.28, however, could send the price into the $3846.50–$3741.61 value zone. Traders waiting for this pullback might find a stronger base, though it risks missing a move if buyers defend the current range.
Currently, gold is trading at $4126.53, with prices expected to stabilize within the $4059.90–$4114.01 range before testing higher resistance levels.
On the 4-hour chart, several indicators shape the gold price forecast:
Trading Plan:
Tomorrow (October 24, 2025):
Gold is expected to trade between $4005.79 and $4202.40, averaging near $4104.09.
Next Week (October 20–26, 2025):
Volatility remains high, with expected lows near $3951.68 and highs around $4441.34.
Next 30 Days (October 2025):
Prices may fluctuate between $3951.68 and $4645.91, averaging $4298.79. Inflation reports and the Fed’s rate decision on October 29 will play a key role.
This gold price forecast is based on:
Will the gold price increase tomorrow?
Gold price movement depends on U.S. data and geopolitical events. Key levels are $4005.79 support and $4202.40 resistance, with potential consolidation and limited upside momentum.
What could cause gold prices to decline next week?
Stronger economic data, easing geopolitical tensions, or a stronger U.S. dollar could lead to short-term declines in gold prices below $3951.68.
Gold has reversed the early Asian dip to near $4,065 on Thursday, battling the $4,100 mark as traders look for fresh developments on the geopolitical and trade front.
Risk-off flows extended into early Thursday as markets reacted negatively to reports of fresh US threats on Chinese products.
Reuters reported that the US is considering a plan to restrict an array of software-powered exports to China, from laptops to jet engines, to retaliate against Beijing’s latest round of rare earth export restrictions.
Meanwhile, renewed geopolitical headlines also hogged the limelight after US President Donald Trump imposed sanctions on Russia’s major oil companies and accused the Russians of a lack of commitment toward ending the war in Ukraine.
Markets also weighed the disappointing earnings reports from US tech giants. Tesla reported below forecast profits, while Netflix tumbled on grim outlook.
“Apple shares fell 1.6% after the tech giant was hit with a complaint to EU antitrust regulators by two civil rights groups on Wednesday,” per Reuters.
These factors overshadow any optimism over a likely US-China trade deal next week, as hinted by US President Donald Trump.
Broad risk aversion helps the US Dollar (USD) regain its safe-haven status, limiting Gold’s recovery momentum. The recent decline in the Pound Sterling (GBP) and the Japanese Yen (JPY) also keeps the sentiment around the Greenback underpinned.
Looking ahead, it remains to be seen if Gold can sustain its recovery, despite the USD’s dominance. This depends on the incoming geopolitical and trade updates in the absence of the US economic data releases.
All eyes turn to Friday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, but an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week is fully priced in. However, traders could continue taking profits on their Gold longs in the lead-up to the US CPI event risk.
Gold continues to defend the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA), now at $4,024.
Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) looks to turn around, currently near 57.
The leading indicator suggests that Gold buyers could likely regain control in the near term.
However, they must recapture the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement (August 19 low to October 20 high) support-turned-resistance at $4,129 to revive the record-setting rally.
The next topside hurdle is seen at the $4,300 round level, followed by the all-time highs of $4,382.
On the flip side, if the 21-day SMA is breached on a daily candlestick closing basis, the 38.2% Fibo level at $3,972 could lend immediate support.
A steeper correction could unfold on a failure to resist above the latter, opening doors toward the 50% Fibo level at $3,847.
Generally speaking, a trade war is an economic conflict between two or more countries due to extreme protectionism on one end. It implies the creation of trade barriers, such as tariffs, which result in counter-barriers, escalating import costs, and hence the cost of living.
An economic conflict between the United States (US) and China began early in 2018, when President Donald Trump set trade barriers on China, claiming unfair commercial practices and intellectual property theft from the Asian giant. China took retaliatory action, imposing tariffs on multiple US goods, such as automobiles and soybeans. Tensions escalated until the two countries signed the US-China Phase One trade deal in January 2020. The agreement required structural reforms and other changes to China’s economic and trade regime and pretended to restore stability and trust between the two nations. However, the Coronavirus pandemic took the focus out of the conflict. Yet, it is worth mentioning that President Joe Biden, who took office after Trump, kept tariffs in place and even added some additional levies.
The return of Donald Trump to the White House as the 47th US President has sparked a fresh wave of tensions between the two countries. During the 2024 election campaign, Trump pledged to impose 60% tariffs on China once he returned to office, which he did on January 20, 2025. With Trump back, the US-China trade war is meant to resume where it was left, with tit-for-tat policies affecting the global economic landscape amid disruptions in global supply chains, resulting in a reduction in spending, particularly investment, and directly feeding into the Consumer Price Index inflation.
The GBPCAD reached the extra support level near 1.0605 in its last negative attack, forming strong barrier against the negative attack, which forces it to form mixed trading by its fluctuation near 1.0635.
Note that the main stability within the bearish channel’s levels and by the stability of the main resistance at 1.0675 makes us wait to gather extra negative momentum, which allows it to break the current support and begin targeting extra bearish stations by reaching 1.0570 followed by the support of the bearish channel’s support at 1.0530.
The expected trading range for today is between 1.0650 and 1.0570
Trend forecast: Bearish
Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher after two days of losses, trading around $48.70 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. Silver prices may further appreciate due to increased safe-haven demand, driven by market caution ahead of the United States (US) inflation data for September due on Friday amid a data blackout. The prolonged US government shutdown delays the key US economic data releases, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), adding uncertainty for financial markets and the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The non-interest-bearing Silver may attract more buyers amid an increased likelihood of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. A Reuters poll suggested that 115 out of 117 economists have predicted that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% in the monetary policy announcement on October 29. For the year, 83 of 117 economists expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice, while 32 anticipate one cut.
Silver prices retreated after reaching an all-time high of $54.86, reached on October 16, as markets weighed overbought concerns. Additionally, the optimism over a potential US-China trade deal improved market sentiment, which weakened the demand for precious metals, including Silver.
US President Donald Trump said late Wednesday that he expects to strike several agreements with Chinese President Xi Jinping during their meeting in South Korea next week. The Trump-Xi discussions are expected to cover a wide range of issues, including US soybean exports, limiting nuclear weapons, and China’s purchases of Russian Oil.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Gold price remained pressured throughout Wednesday, flirting with the $4,000 mark before finding some room to bounce towards the current $4,050 region. The US Dollar (USD) held on to its modest, yet positive momentum throughout the first half of the day, but lost steam after Wall Street’s opening.
Market players were relatively optimistic amid hopes that United States (US) President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, would discuss a trade deal and avoid escalating tensions. Things changed when sources familiar with the matter reported that the White House is considering a plan to restrict globally produced exports to China made with or containing US software.
Other than that, the US government shutdown continues. In the twenty-second consecutive day of stalemate, House Speaker Mike Johnson accused Democrats of “eating up the clock” and making it more difficult to do the necessary things on time.
Meanwhile, the United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported September Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. Headline inflation rose by 3.8% on year, below the 4.0% anticipated. On a monthly basis, prices remained flat after growing by 0.3% in August. Also, the core annual CPI rose 3.5%, down from the previous 3.6% and also below the 3.7% anticipated by market players. Easing inflation put pressure on the Sterling Pound.
From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is at risk of falling further, particularly if the $4,000 threshold gives up. The daily chart shows that the pair bounced from a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while the 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bullish slopes far below the shorter one. At the same time, technical indicators extended their slides, heading south within positive levels.
In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is stuck around a bullish 100 SMA, while the 20 SMA gained downward traction above the current level, providing resistance at around $4,025. Finally, technical indicators stand near oversold readings with uneven strength, still skewing the risk to the downside.
Support levels: 4,000.00 3,986.45 3,972.10
Resistance levels: 4,061.20 4,085.70 4,110.00
October’s double top stalled at a rising channel level, extended by 25% to capture that advance. Today’s push above $3.55 shows minor bullish strength, but a close above $3.46 and $3.45 is needed to confirm the breakout. Without it, the second-day surge fades. Clearing the $3.59 swing high (B) would spark a bullish reversal, building on the rally from the $2.89 swing low (C).
A $3.59 breakout targets the 25% extended channel top, with a rising ABCD pattern pointing to $3.71 as the initial harmonic goal. The $3.57 high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, so surpassing $3.59 would eye the 78.6% level at $3.82 for further upside. Recent channel tests suggest another approach is plausible before the rally exhausts.
The 20-day moving average at $3.25 anchors key dynamic support. Staying above it preserves the near-term bullish bias, even if today’s close weakens. A drop below signals caution, but the structure favors buyers if this floor holds.
The $3.46-$3.45 zone is pivotal – close above to lock in strength and aim for $3.59, or below to test $3.25. Today’s close decides: $3.59 opens $3.71 and $3.82, but a failed breakout keeps sellers active. Momentum tilts upward if support stands—watch the triggers for the next swing.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.