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11 04, 2024

WTI prices are down 0.45% today

By |2024-04-11T18:16:57+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


What is the current oil price today?

WTI futures traded at $85.80 per barrel, as of 9 a.m. ET. Year to date, WTI prices are up by 16.83%.

Brent futures traded around $90.34/bbl, a drop of 0.45% in the last 24 hours. Year to date, Brent prices are up by 14.27%.

What is the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil price today?

WTI futures fell by 0.61% to $85.80/bbl, as of 9 a.m. ET.

WTI oil price chart

West Texas Intermediate prices have drifted lower in 2024, but prices are up 44.59% over the past three years.

WTI crude fell to its 52-week low of $64.00 per barrel on May 3, 2023. It reached its 52-week high of $95.52 on Sep. 27, 2023. That’s 10.18% higher than the current futures price.

Brent crude oil price

Brent futures fell by 0.45% to $90.34/bbl, as of 9 a.m. ET.

Brent crude oil price chart

Brent crude oil is generally subject to the same supply and demand factors that influence WTI crude prices, so the long-term price chart looks extremely similar to the WTI chart.

Brent crude oil prices hit their all-time high of $147.50/bbl during the oil market boom in July 2008. However, WTI futures contract prices dropped to as low as negative $40/bbl on April 20, 2020, driven largely by a lack of U.S. storage options during the COVID-19 pandemic. Brent futures contracts remained well above zero, bottoming at around $25/bbl that day.

Brent crude fell to its 52-week low of $68.20 per barrel on May 3, 2023. It reached its 52-week high of $96.62 on Sep. 27, 2023. That’s 0.06% higher than the current futures price.

What is crude oil?

Crude oil is one of the most important commodities in the world, serving as a key energy source and as a raw material used to produce plastics, chemicals and other products. Nearly all the crude oil imported or produced in the U.S. is refined into petroleum products, including gasoline, diesel fuel and heating oil.

The prices of U.S. WTI crude oil and international Brent crude oil are influenced by several factors that can change the market’s supply and demand balance.

The weather in the U.S. market can drastically alter near-term demand for heating oil and natural gas, sending crude oil prices higher.

Natural disasters and geopolitical conflicts worldwide can disrupt production and create oil supply shortages. The U.S. and global economies experience much higher industrial energy demand during periods of strong economic growth and lower demand during economic downturns. Finally, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries can significantly alter global crude oil supplies by increasing or cutting production.

WTI

WTI crude is a blend of oils extracted from U.S. oilfields in Texas, North Dakota and Louisiana and is delivered to Cushing, Oklahoma.

WTI oil has an American Petroleum Institute gravity of 39.6 degrees, considered “light.” WTI also has a sulfur content of just 0.24%, making it very “sweet.” WTI crude oil is typically the benchmark for U.S. oil prices in the trading world.

Brent crude

Brent crude is a sweet, light blend of oils extracted from the North Sea near Europe.

Brent crude is oil extracted from the Brent, Ekofisk, Forties and Oseberg oil fields. Brent has an API gravity of 38 degrees and a sulfur content of 0.4%, making it slightly heavier and less sweet than WTI. Brent is typically used as a benchmark for international oil markets, such as markets in the Middle East, Europe and Africa.

WTI vs. Brent crude

WTI and Brent crude oil blends are both sweet, light crude oil bends used as benchmarks in financial markets. However, there are five key differences between WTI and Brent:

  • Extraction: WTI is extracted from U.S. oilfields in Texas, North Dakota and Louisiana, while Brent crude is extracted from the North Sea near Europe.
  • Composition: WTI is slightly lighter and sweeter than Brent oil.
  • Geopolitics: WTI prices are more heavily influenced by U.S. politics and policies, while international politics and embargoes have a greater influence on Brent prices.
  • Exchange: Brent crude futures contracts are primarily traded on the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), while WTI futures contracts are primarily traded on the New York Mercantile Exchange (NYMEX).
  • Pricing: WTI and Brent crude oil prices are very highly correlated, but Brent oil has historically traded at a slight pricing premium to WTI.

Brent Crude/WTI spread

The difference between the spot price of Brent crude and WTI crude is called the Brent/WTI spread.

The Brent/WTI spread has historically ranged between $4/bbl and $8/bbl, but it can expand or contract based on factors related to U.S. and international supply and demand conditions. For example, the Brent/WTI spread hit nearly $14/bbl in April 2011 when protests sparked market fears of significant oil supply disruptions in the Middle East.

Crude oil futures prices

One of the most popular ways investors speculate on crude oil and other commodity prices is by trading futures contracts. Futures contracts are agreements to buy or sell a standardized amount of an asset at a specific price on a particular future date.

WTI crude futures

The most popular WTI crude oil futures contracts are traded on the NYMEX. Each CL contract represents 1,000 barrels of oil, and the contracts trade Sunday to Friday from 6 p.m. to 5 p.m. U.S. ET.

Brent crude futures

The most popular Brent Crude Oil futures contracts are traded on the ICE under the symbol B, but investors can also trade the contracts on the CME Globex trading platform under the symbol BZ. Trading hours for Brent futures on CME are the same as WTI futures: Sunday to Friday from 6 p.m. to 5 p.m. U.S. ET. But Brent futures on ICE trade from 8 p.m. to 6 p.m. U.S. ET on ICE business days.

Frequently asked questions (FAQs)

To buy and sell crude oil futures contracts, you must open a brokerage account that offers commodity futures trading. The primary futures contracts for WTI crude oil trades on the NYMEX under CL. The primary futures contracts for Brent crude oil trades on the ICE under the symbol B.

Anyone can buy or sell popular oil stocks simply by opening and funding a standard brokerage account.

Popular oil stocks include global oil majors like Exxon Mobil (XOM), oil and gas exploration and production companies like ConocoPhillips (COP), and oil and gas midstream pipeline companies like Enbridge (ENB).

Saudi Arabian oil is neither WTI, extracted in the U.S., nor Brent, extracted in the North Sea near Europe. Saudi Arabia’s state-owned oil company, Saudi Aramco, uses the Dubai/Oman crude oil benchmark when pricing its oil for delivery to Asia.



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11 04, 2024

Oil prices drop after high US crude stock offsets impact of Middle-East conflict; Brent at $89/bbl

By |2024-04-11T18:16:54+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Oil prices fell on Wednesday, April 10, after US government data showed earlier today that crude oil and fuel inventories rose by much more than expected on weak demand and lower oil exports. US crude stocks climbed by 5.8 million barrels in the week ended April 5, more than double of analysts’ expectations.

Brent crude futures dropped 28 cents, or 0.3 per cent, to $89.14 per barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 35 cents, or 0.4 per cent, to $84.88. In the previous session, both Brent and WTI fell more than one per cent. Coming to domestic prices, crude oil futures last traded 0.18 per cent higher at 7,115 per barrel on the multi commodity exchange (MCX) platform.

Also Read: Oil prices ease for second day over Gaza ceasefire talks, Brent dips to $89: Analysts peg near-term range at $85-95/bbl

What’s dragging crude oil prices?

-Refined products inventories rose unexpectedly with gasoline up by 700,000 barrels and distillate stocks by 1.7 million barrels. The US Energy Information Administration (EIA) data also showed a 2.1 million barrel per day (bpd) drop in oil product supplied, a proxy for fuel demand, and a 2.7 million bpd drop in crude oil exports.

-Separately, the US EIA sharply raised its forecast for crude oil output. It now expects an increase of 280,000 bpd to 13.21 million bpd in 2024 – which is higher from its earlier forecast of a 20,000 bpd increase in output.

-The US consumer price index (CPI) rose 0.4 per cent sequentially–higher than Wall Street estimates which faded away hopes of a rate cut in June, according to data released by the Labor Department’s Bureau of Labor Statistics,

-The commander of the Revolutionary Guard’s navy in Iran said it could close the Strait of Hormuz if necessary. About a fifth of the volume of the world’s total oil consumption passes through the strait daily.

-On Tuesday, Hamas said that an Israeli proposal on a ceasefire did not meet demands of Palestinian militant factions, but it would study the offer further and deliver its response to mediators, according to news agency Reuters.

-A continuing conflict in the Middle-East could drag in other countries, particularly Hamas-backer Iran, the third-largest producer in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) cartel, led by Saudi Arabia.

Also Read: US inflation beats Wall Street estimates, rises 0.4% in March; Fed’s June rate cut hopes fade away

Where are oil prices headed?

The US EIA said it expects Brent crude prices to average $88.55 a barrel in 2024, up from a previous forecast of $87 per barrel. Analysts said that crude oil experienced profit-taking amidst a stable dollar index and an increase in US bond yields. However, concerns regarding potential retaliation from Iran against Israel will push oil prices.

‘’We do not anticipate any significant downside in crude oil shortly. However, we do not foresee Brent crude reaching $100 levels, as we anticipate that OPEC may expand output by 0.5 million barrels per day if the crude oil market continues to be in deficit. Our base case is for crude to trade in a range from $85 to $95 levels in the near future,” said Amit Goel, Co-Founder & Chief Global Strategist, Pace 360.

With demand holding up and growing in CY24, the crude oil market faces a deficit of almost one million bpd, highlighted commodity analysts.

‘’Expectations for the trading session suggest continued volatility in crude oil prices. Support for crude oil stands at $84.05–83.40, with resistance at $85.50-86.20 for today’s session. In terms of INR, crude oil is anticipated to find support around 7,020-6,930, while facing resistance at 7,190-7,280,” said Rahul Kalantri, VP Commodities, Mehta Equities Ltd.

 

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Published: 10 Apr 2024, 10:07 PM IST



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11 04, 2024

Oklahoma sues natural gas companies over price spikes during 2021 winter storm

By |2024-04-11T18:16:52+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — Two Texas-based natural gas companies are being sued by Oklahoma, which alleges they fraudulently reduced gas supplies to send prices soaring during Winter Storm Uri, making huge profits while thousands shivered across the state.

The lawsuits are Oklahoma’s first against natural gas operators over earnings during the 2021 storm. The suits were filed against Dallas-based ET Gathering & Processing, which acquired Enable Midstream Partners in 2021, and Houston-based Symmetry Energy Solutions.

Both lawsuits seek actual and punitive damages, as well as a share of any profits that resulted from wrongdoing. Oklahoma’s Republican attorney general, Gentner Drummond, said his office intends to pursue additional litigation against other companies that may have engaged in market manipulation.

People are also reading…

“I believe the level of fraud perpetrated on Oklahomans during Winter Storm Uri is both staggering and unconscionable,” Drummond said in a statement. “While many companies conducted themselves above board during that trying time, our analysis indicates that some bad actors reaped billions of dollars in ill-gotten gains.”

A Symmetry spokesperson said in a statement that the company “adamantly denies the unfounded allegations in the lawsuit, which it will vigorously defend.” A message seeking comment left with ET was not immediately returned. The lawsuits were filed in Osage County, Oklahoma.

The devastating storm sent temperatures plummeting across the country and left millions of people without power.

Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach filed a similar lawsuit in federal court in December against a natural gas marketer operating in that state. In Texas, which was also hit hard by the deadly storm, the electric utility Griddy Energy reached a settlement with state regulators over crushing electric bills its customers received.

Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.



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11 04, 2024

Corn prices resurrected on low 2024 acreage estimate

By |2024-04-11T18:16:50+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Markets had been bracing for high 2024 corn acreage, but USDA’s farmer-surveyed Prospective Plantings report found that 2024 corn acreage is going to see a bigger decline than what had previously been expected. Farmers only expect to plant 90.0 million acres of corn this spring, down nearly 5% (4.6 million acres) from year ago sowings. Chicago futures prices rose nearly 3% higher ($0.11-$0.13/bushel) immediately following the report on the smaller supply estimate as well as higher-than-expected December through March corn consumption.

Soybean acres are forecast to see a 2.9-million-acre annual increase, rising to 86.5 million acres planted in 2024. That’s going to be the fifth-largest planted soybean acreage in U.S. record books if farmers are able to hit that target in the coming weeks.

“I think it is important to remember that Thursday’s numbers are intentions, not an actual estimate of what will be planted,” according to Farm Futures grain market analyst Jacqueline Holland. “But as I’ve mentioned earlier, some of the trends are telling. The shift towards a 50-50 split for corn and soybean acreage is very apparent this year. Crop budgets for soybeans are currently holding on to very slight profits, while corn budgets are far into the red so growers that opted to wait until this spring to make acreage decisions likely found themselves favoring soybean acres over corn this year.”

The past three Farm Futures grower surveys in August 2023, January 2024 and March 2024 all pointed to a one-to-one acreage shift between corn and soybeans, says Holland, who added that she was a little surprised that today’s Prospective Plantings report did not reflect a similar dynamic. 

Planting intentions

USDA estimates that 2024 corn plantings will reach 90.025 million acres. That’s a 4-million-acre-plus drop compared to 2023’s footprint of 94.641 million acres. It was also noticeably lower than the average trade guess of 91.776 million acres and below the agency’s estimate of 91.000 acres offered at its Agricultural Outlook Forum in February.

“Corn acres fell by 4.6 million while soybeans gained 2.9 million acres on the year,” Holland says. “Farm Futures’ guess was closer to a 2.3-million-acre shift between the two crops. I think that this shows that farmers are still not yet willing to go ‘all in’ on soybean acres ahead of construction wrapping up on crush plants across the Upper Midwest and are waiting for the demand to come closer to the farmgate.”

For soybeans, USDA is expecting 2024 plantings to reach 86.510 million acres. That’s nearly 3 million acres more than 2023’s final tally and very close to the average trade guess of 86.530 million acres. It was also almost 1 million acres lower than the agency’s estimate of 87.500 million acres offered at its Agricultural Outlook Forum in February.

USDA thinks all-wheat plantings will reach 47.498 million acres for the 2023/24 season. That’s more than 2 million acres lower than the prior season’s footprint of 49.575 million acres and slightly above the average analyst estimate of 47.330 million acres. It’s also nearly half a million acres above the agency’s estimate made at its Agricultural Outlook Forum in February.

“While Farm Futures survey respondents had indicated planting fewer spring wheat and durum acres relative to last year, USDA’s Prospective Plantings report found increases in farmer expectations of planted acreage for these crops,” according to Holland. “Spring wheat prices have been competing with soybeans in the Northern Plains over the past few months, so that wasn’t a surprise.”

But the uptick in canola, chickpeas, and edible beans and peas signaled that producers in the Northern Plains have plenty of other options than corn acres to glean profits this year, Holland also points out. Further south, rice and cotton are expected to see an upswing in planted acreage this year, she says.

“I was most surprised to see a downturn in hay acres expected to be harvested this year in Thursday’s report,” Holland says. “Not only did corn lose acres relative to last year, but small grain acreage is also expected to contract compared to 2023. Sorghum, oats, barley, and winter wheat acres were all reduced from last year, giving way to oilseeds and edible legumes.”

USDA will revisit these acreage numbers in June, when farmers will be surveyed based on what they actually planted – if they are finished by that time, Holland also notes, and with every subsequent USDA report throughout the growing season, these estimates will become more reliable.

“So, if you are still convinced that there are going to be more corn acres planted in 2024, there is a good chance you could see that materialize in the June 30 report,” Holland concludes.

Taking stock   

Corn ending stocks moved from 7,396,403 bushels through March 1, 2023, up to 8,347,255 bushels through March 1, 2024. That was slightly below the average trade estimate of 8.427,000 bushels. Of the total, 5.079 million bushels were stored on farm, with the remaining 3.268 million bushels stored off farm.

Soybean ending stocks also increased year-over-year, moving from 1,686,632 bushels through March 1, 2023, up to 1,845,079 bushels through March 1, 2024. That was also slightly higher than the average trade guess of 1,828,000 bushels. Of the total, 933,000 bushels were stored on farm, with the remaining 912,079 bushels stored off farm.

All-wheat ending stocks increased from 941,218 bushels a year ago up to 1,087,449 bushels through March 1, 2024. That was a bit above the average analyst estimate of 1,044,000 bushels. Of the total, 271,930 bushels were stored on farm, with the remaining 815,519 bushels stored off farm.

033824_quarterly_stocks.PNG





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11 04, 2024

Fury at barista’s coffee price hike

By |2024-04-11T18:16:49+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments



An industry leader in Melbourne has called on Australian cafes to “be brave” and boost their coffee prices or risk closing their doors.

St Ali coffee roasters chief executive, Lachlan Ward, told the Herald Sun on Tuesday cafes need to “be brave and adjust up” or risk closing their doors.

“The way we are pricing coffee in Australia is not sustainable,” Mr Ward said.

“Unless Australian cafes start adjusting prices up and charging a fair price for what we are making, the independent cafe won’t exist in the future.”

A survey conducted by The Conversation last month of specialty venues across Australia’s capital cities found the average price of a small takeaway flat white is $4.78.

But, Mr Ward said, Aussies should be paying a minimum $5.50 for the beverage (at St Ali’s South Melbourne outpost, the dine-in cost of a regular flat white is $6.50).

“We have incredible operators and beautiful cafes closing down weekly, we can’t look at cutting prices. Cutting isn’t good for any business,” he said.

‘The way we are pricing coffee in Australia is not sustainable.’ Picture: Linda Higginson

St Ali chief executive Lachlan Ward. Picture: Facebook

Given our national penchant for whinging about coffee prices, Mr Ward’s comments, unsurprisingly, proved divisive among consumers.

One man deemed his remarks “idiotic”, while some said they reflected why they now get their caffeine fix at home.

“LOL! I’m sure it’s delicious but when you grab a coffee from 7/11 or Maccas for change (for the few of us that still use coins) how long do you expect to stay in business? People are cutting costs wherever they can but clearly in your fantasy land you believe they will pay a fortune for your coffee. Good luck with that!” another reader wrote in to the Herald Sun.

One of the key factors keeping coffee prices low in Australia is ‘consumer expectation’. Picture: NCA NewsWire/Nicki Connolly

A third said: “When having a daily coffee becomes a financial consideration rather than a casual enjoyment (due to cost) then sales will drop off quickly – this line is fast approaching.”

“Ordinary middle class people are being squeezed out of any luxuries by elites, government taxes and social engineering,” another complained.

“Consumers will determine the market price. Charge what you want. People will either buy it or not. But don’t complain when you price yourself out of the market.”
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Others, however, said the rising price is par for the course given “costs for cafes to make great coffee have risen exponentially”.

“Cafes are the canary in the coal mine. I don’t think the general population understand the financial squeeze most are under, and they are going broke in record numbers,” one pointed out.

As adjunct senior researcher at the University of South Australia, Emma Felton, wrote for The Conversation, “given the quality of our coffee and its global reputation, it shouldn’t surprise us if we’re soon asked to pay a little bit more for our daily brew”.

“By international standards, Australian coffee prices are low. No one wants to pay more for essentials, least of all right now. But our independent cafes are struggling,” she said.

“By not valuing coffee properly, we risk losing the internationally renowned coffee culture we’ve worked so hard to create, and the phenomenal quality of cup we enjoy.”

Data compiled by The Conversation found the average price of a small takeaway flat white at specialty venues is $4.78. Picture: The Conversation

One of the key factors keeping coffee prices low in Australia, Dr Felton said, is “consumer expectation”.

“For many people coffee is a fundamental part of everyday life, a marker of liveability. Unlike wine or other alcohol, coffee is not considered a luxury or even a treat, where one might expect to pay a little more, or reduce consumption when times are economically tough. We anchor on familiar prices,” she said.

“Because of this, it really hurts cafe owners to put their prices up. In touch with their customer base almost every day, they’re acutely aware of how much inflation can hurt … But specialty cafes face much higher operating costs, and when they’re next to a commodity-grade competitor, customers are typically unwillingly to pay the difference.”

Melbourne Coffee Academy director Charles Skadiang echoed the sentiment in a March interview with Yahoo Finance, pointing to the cost of beer in Australia increasing with indexation.

Mr Skadiang noted there’s far more skill involved in producing a high-quality coffee than pouring a pint.

“The thought of paying $7 for a cup of coffee is outrageous for a lot of people,” he said.

“But the amount of work that goes into it, you’ve got a skilled barista to train someone up to make a great coffee, it takes a lot of time.”



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11 04, 2024

OPEC+ Rules in an Increasingly Tight Oil Market

By |2024-04-11T18:16:47+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The OPEC+ group is firmly back in control of the oil market and has the power to have it extremely tight in the second half of the year should it choose to do so, industry executives and hedge fund managers say.

The market is growing increasingly bullish on oil, expecting robust global demand growth and supply constraints, including OPEC and Russia’s production cuts, to push prices even higher in the summer.    


With Brent oil prices breaking above $90 a barrel, there is room for further upside amid tighter markets and heightened geopolitical risks, investment banks say, not ruling out $100 oil this year.

The trajectory of oil prices over the next year is largely in the hands of the OPEC+ alliance of the top Middle Eastern producers and Russia, according to Sebastian Barrack, head of commodities at hedge fund giant Citadel, which had $61 billion in investment capital as of April 1.



The OPEC+ group has “definitely regained control” of the market, Barrack said at the FT Commodities Global Summit in Lausanne, Switzerland, this week.





If the alliance decides in early June to keep its current cuts after the end of the first half, we could see an “extremely tight” oil market in the second half of the year, Citadel’s executive said, adding that the timing of OPEC+’s potentially eased cuts and their volume “will define where prices go in the next 12 months.” Related: OPEC+ Faces Fork in the Road

Right now, prices are going up, as geopolitical concerns linger in the Middle East, demand holds strong and could turn out stronger than expected, and supply and infrastructure issues hold back production and exports, from Mexico to Russia.

Top traders and forecasters, as well as investment banks, have upgraded their price and demand forecasts in recent weeks.

Oil prices are set to trade in the range between $80 and $100 per barrel this year, Russell Hardy, chief executive at Vitol Group, said at the FT summit this week.

The world’s largest independent oil trader also expects robust global oil demand growth in 2024, at around 1.9 million barrels per day (bpd) higher than in 2023, Hardy said.



If this forecast pans out, this year’s growth in oil consumption will not be too far off the bumper increase in demand in 2023.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) raised its 2024 and 2025 forecasts of global oil consumption by between 400,000 bpd and 500,000 bpd, due to a revision of historical data for 2022 and to the “current market dynamics,” the EIA said in its monthly Short-Term Energy Outlook (STEO) on Tuesday.

Morgan Stanley sees heightened geopolitical risk pushing Brent prices to $94 per barrel in the third quarter as the bank lifted its price forecast by $4 a barrel compared to its previous projection. Last month, Morgan Stanley had already hiked its third-quarter oil price forecast by $10 per barrel, to $90, on the back of expected tighter markets in the summer.

In recent weeks, banks, including JP Morgan, have said that oil prices could hit $100 per barrel by the end of the summer. However, demand destruction could prevent prices from reaching triple digits, JP Morgan says.  

Still, analysts and industry executives believe that OPEC+ would reverse at least part of the cuts if prices run up to $100 as it would look to avoid demand destruction, stronger response to high prices from U.S. shale, and a potential loss of longer-term demand for OPEC+ crude.

If OPEC+ rolls over the cuts beyond June, “we will see a level of tightness in the market that will be very constraining to the market, and high prices will have to go and help destroy demand to solve that problem,” Citadel’s Barrack said at the FT Commodities Global Summit.  

As tempting as it may sound for OPEC to sell oil at $100 a barrel, the cartel may not be willing to risk another inflation shock that could cripple demand. 

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

More Top Reads From Oilprice.com:



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11 04, 2024

Crude oil prices extend gains on escalation in Middle East tensions | Business News

By |2024-04-11T18:16:46+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments



Oil prices extended gains on Thursday, after rising a dollar a barrel in the prior session, as investors braced for a worsening of the Middle East crisis, potentially involving Iran, the third-largest oil producer in OPEC.

Brent crude futures advanced by 30 cents, or 0.3%, to $90.78 a barrel by 0325 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 25 cents, or 0.3%, to $86.46 a barrel.


Both contracts rose more than 1% in the prior session after three sons of a Hamas leader were killed in an Israeli airstrike in Gaza, feeding worries that ceasefire talks between the two sides might stall. Earlier this week, Israel and Hamas began a fresh round of negotiations in their more than six-month-old Gaza war but those discussions have yielded no agreement.

“Prices remain sensitive to geopolitical developments in the Middle East, with market participants pricing for the risks of supply disruptions if tensions were to drag for longer,” said Yeap Jun Rong, market strategist at IG.

“This aids to offset some risk-off sentiments overnight, as markets recalibrate their rate expectations to price out a June rate cut and for rates to be kept high for longer until September,” added Yeap, referring to U.S. interest rates.

Festive offer
Higher-for-longer rates could dampen economic growth and suppress demand for oil.

Minutes from the U.S. Federal Reserve showed officials worried that progress on inflation might have stalled and a longer period of tight monetary policy would be needed to tame inflation in the world’s largest economy.

Investors who had earlier expected a rate cut in June now see September as a likelier timing for the easing cycle to begin, following a third straight stronger-than-forecast reading on consumer inflation.
Yeap added that oil’s upward trend may persist as the Middle East geopolitical situation remains tricky.

The region is on alert for possible Iranian retaliation over a suspected Israeli airstrike on Iran’s embassy in Syria at the start of the month. A Bloomberg report on Wednesday said the U.S. and its allies believe major missile or drone strikes by Iran or its proxies against Israel are imminent.

U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has told Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant that the United States will stand with Israel against any threats by Iran, the U.S. State Department said later on Wednesday.

“The market has become increasingly concerned that the Israel-Hamas war could escalate across the Middle East, putting oil supply at risk,” ANZ analyst Daniel Hynes said.

Oil traders will also be looking out for a monthly oil market report from the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) due later on Thursday, and the International Energy Agency’s oil market report due on Friday.



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11 04, 2024

Oklahoma sues natural gas companies over price spikes during 2021 winter storm | National

By |2024-04-11T18:16:45+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


OKLAHOMA CITY (AP) — Two Texas-based natural gas companies are being sued by Oklahoma, which alleges they fraudulently reduced gas supplies to send prices soaring during Winter Storm Uri, making huge profits while thousands shivered across the state.

The lawsuits are Oklahoma’s first against natural gas operators over earnings during the 2021 storm. The suits were filed against Dallas-based ET Gathering & Processing, which acquired Enable Midstream Partners in 2021, and Houston-based Symmetry Energy Solutions.

Both lawsuits seek actual and punitive damages, as well as a share of any profits that resulted from wrongdoing. Oklahoma’s Republican attorney general, Gentner Drummond, said his office intends to pursue additional litigation against other companies that may have engaged in market manipulation.

“I believe the level of fraud perpetrated on Oklahomans during Winter Storm Uri is both staggering and unconscionable,” Drummond said in a statement. “While many companies conducted themselves above board during that trying time, our analysis indicates that some bad actors reaped billions of dollars in ill-gotten gains.”

A Symmetry spokesperson said in a statement that the company “adamantly denies the unfounded allegations in the lawsuit, which it will vigorously defend.” A message seeking comment left with ET was not immediately returned. The lawsuits were filed in Osage County, Oklahoma.

The devastating storm sent temperatures plummeting across the country and left millions of people without power.

Kansas Attorney General Kris Kobach filed a similar lawsuit in federal court in December against a natural gas marketer operating in that state. In Texas, which was also hit hard by the deadly storm, the electric utility Griddy Energy reached a settlement with state regulators over crushing electric bills its customers received.

Copyright 2024 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without permission.



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11 04, 2024

Crude Oil Forecast Today – 10/04: Takes a Break (Chart)

By |2024-04-11T18:16:43+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


  • Crude oil markets have been rather quiet during the Tuesday trading session, but I think that makes a lot of sense considering that the Consumer Price Index numbers come out on Wednesday.
  • Even though it’s not a direct oil related number, it does give you an idea as to what the Federal Reserve might do.

West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil

The WTI Crude Oil market currently sits just above the $85 level, a large, round, psychologically significant figure that a lot of people will be paying attention to. This was also an area where we had seen significant resistance previously, so I think it makes a certain amount of sense that we would see it come into the picture for potential support. If we were to break down below there, and perhaps more importantly, the Monday candlestick, then we could get a little bit of a deeper correction, perhaps sending the West Texas Intermediate market down to the $82.50 level. After that, then you have the $80 level where the 50-Day EMA currently resides, which I believe is the “floor in the market” at the moment. Buying dips at this point continue to work.

Brent

Brent Oil Forecast Today - 10/04: Takes a Break (Chart)

Brent, or “UK Oil”, continues to look bullish in general, as we had formed a hammer during the Monday session, and then are just simply sitting at the $90 level on Tuesday, suggesting that perhaps we are able to hang on to gain without much concern. Brent also has a lot of the same influences that the WTI market has, so you need to be paying attention to all of the usual suspects.

The biggest one of course is the supply and demand issue, which is starting to show supply struggling to keep up a bit. However, we also need to pay attention to the geopolitical issues in the Middle East, as they will more likely than not come into the fray as well. After that, then you have to keep in mind that central banks around the world cutting interest rates will drive demand higher for energy as industry kicks off again. In other words, it’s very difficult to be a seller of oil. Buying on the dips will continue to be the way forward.

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11 04, 2024

WTI, Brent slip as focus shifts to inflation

By |2024-04-11T18:16:42+02:00April 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The price of gas is displayed at a gas station on January 23, 2023 in Miami, Florida.

Joe Raedle | Getty Images

Crude oil futures fell on Thursday as worries about inflation overshadowed fears of a potential Iranian strike on Israel for the moment.

The West Texas Intermediate contract for May delivery lost 74 cents, or 0.86%, to $85.47 a barrel. The June Brent futures contract fell 50 cents, or 0.55%, to $89.97 a barrel.



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