Platinum price began forming some correctional trading after recording $1348.00 level, attempting to gather the gains by reaching $1275.00, which forms an extra support for the bullish scenario.

The price might be forced to form temporary sideways fluctuation until gathering the extra positive momentum, to ease the mission of reaching $1330.00, then wait to hit the next target near $1368.00, while the risk of changing the main trend will depend on the attempt of the price to decline below 1225.00 and providing repeated negative closes.

The expected trading range for today is between $1255.00 and $1330.00

Trend forecast: Bullish

Coffee prices confirmed their surrender to the bearish bias domination yesterday below the extra support at 345.00, forming a sharp decline, and breaking 38.2%Fionacci correction level at 326.60 to settle near 317.00.

Stochastic attempts to reach the oversold levels will increase the chances for gathering the negative momentum, which makes us prefer more of the negative attempts that target 309.60 level, reaching the next support at 293.50.

The expected trading range for today is between 309.60 and 330.00

Trend forecast: Bearish

This “higher-for-longer” stance dampens demand for non-yielding assets, such as gold. “The Fed remains committed to keeping policy tight until inflation is sustainably at 2%,” the FOMC noted. This shift in tone pushed real yields higher and pressured precious metals across the board.

Silver Tracks Gold Lower, Finds Support Near $35.60

Silver (XAG/USD) mirrored gold’s weakness, dipping to an intraday low of $35.66 before stabilizing near $35.63. Despite the Fed-driven pressure, silver’s downside was limited by broader risk aversion and continued demand for safe-haven assets.

Technical structure remains supported by the 50-day EMA and higher-low formations, while buyers appear to be stepping in at key levels, anticipating a rebound should uncertainty deepen across global markets.

Geopolitical and Trade Risks Underpin Safe-Haven Flows

Despite monetary policy headwinds, gold and silver continue to benefit from global uncertainty. Geopolitical tensions in key regions and trade policy risks—especially the potential for new U.S. tariffs ahead of the July 9 deadline—are fueling cautious positioning across equities and commodities.

Investors remain sensitive to any escalation in global tensions or disruptions in trade flows, which could reignite demand for metals. “We’re in a holding pattern, but safe-haven appetite could return quickly if headlines worsen,” noted a Hong Kong-based metals trader.

The U.S. Dollar Index slipped modestly following the Fed’s policy announcement, offering minor support to gold and silver. A weaker greenback typically benefits dollar-denominated assets, especially when paired with a broad risk-off tone seen in global equities.

• Natural gas has shot through the $4 barrier during the trading session here on Thursday in what will have been pretty thin trading anyways due to the Juneteenth holiday.
• The forecast for next week here in the eastern part of the United States is for roughly 38 degrees Celsius for those of you outside of the country, about 95 to 100 here in the States in Fahrenheit.
• So, the idea being there will be a lot of demand during the heat wave for power.

Natural gas is a major producer of electricity in this country. So again, this time of year typically isn’t this positive for natural gas, but external factors such as that and the concerns about natural gas production in Iran has led to a breakout. Now, I still favor longer term the downside. And I certainly don’t know if I want to chase natural gas in this environment. I suspect as soon as the forecast in the eastern part of the United States start to cool off, which could be a week or so away, this thing will turn right back around and start dropping.

A Potential Fade? Maybe.

So now I’m looking for signs of the market trying to get ahead of that. Unfortunately, natural gas is highly driven by weather forecast in basically about 15 states in the United States. That is a bulk of what moves price. This is a US contract, and a lot of my friends overseas don’t really pay too much attention to that at their own peril. So, you’ll have to stay advised of the temperatures in places like Boston or New York. But really at this point, I think you may have missed the move unless you’re a short term momentum trader. Now you’re looking for exhaustion to start shorting. It’s going to be a difficult market. Natural gas always is. It’s probably one of the hardest markets to trade in because it’s so highly specialized and it can get very thin. So, keep that in mind. But I also like the idea of if you’re patient enough, you can get pretty heavily rewarded when we come back to a more normal temperature.

Ready to trade daily Forex forecast? Here’s a list of some of the best commodities brokers to check out.

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

• Gold price flirts with weekly lows near $3,350 early Friday after a flattish close on Thursday.
• Risk appetite is back on easing Middle East tensions, weighing on safe-havens – Gold price and the US Dollar.  
• Gold price tests critical 21-day SMA support at $3,350, with the daily RSI still bullish.

Gold price is back in the red early Friday, following a mixed close amid holiday-thinned trading on Thursday.

Traders continue to keep a close on the Middle East geopolitical developments and US Federal Reserve (Fed) commentaries for fresh trading incentives.

Gold price consolidates weekly losses

In the absence of top-tier economic data releases from the United States (US) on Friday, Gold price will likely remain at the mercy of the US Dollar (USD) dynamics, fuelled by the broader market sentiment, in the face of the ongoing geopolitical upheaval in the Middle East.

There has been no bad news on the Iran-Israel conflict front so far this Friday, rendering positive for markets and reviving risk flows.

US President Donald Trump reportedly said that he will give Iran a last chance to make a deal to end its nuclear program. Trump noted on Thursday that he would delay his final decision on launching strikes for up to two weeks.

Reports of the US easing its aggression on Iran are lifting higher-yielding assets at the expense of safe havens such as Gold price and the USD.

However, the end-of-the-week flows and the markets’ repositioning in the aftermath of the Fed’s policy announcements could influence the Gold price action as US traders return after the Juneteenth holiday break. Geopolitics will continue to lead the sentiment, primarily.

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

Technically, Gold buyers remain hopeful so long as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) holds above the midline. The leading indicator is currently pointing south, near 52.

Gold price must defend the critical short-term support of the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $3,350 on a daily or weekly closing basis to reinforce buying interest.

If that fails, the 50-day SMA at $3,318 will be put to test. The next downside cap is aligned at $3,297, the 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement (Fibo) level of the April record rally,

Alternatively, Gold price recovery will need a clear break of $3,377, the 23.6% Fibo level of the same ascent to revisit the $3,400 supply zone.

Further upside will challenge the static resistance at $3,440 will be tested.

Buyers will then take on the two-month highs of $3,453.

Bullish Above $3,388

A one-day bullish breakout above today’s high of $3,388 will indicate that support was retained at the 20-Day line. The short-term uptrend of higher swing highs and higher swing lows, beginning from the May swing low, would be expected to continue at that point. Key resistance would then be at the recent high of $3,451, with a decisive breakout above that level signaling a continuation of the short-term uptrend and a bullish reversal, above $3,449, of the recent bearish correction.

Weak Momentum is a Concern

There is a concern that bullish momentum following a recent trendline breakout has been weak. This is evidenced by the failure to hold above the $3,439 lower swing high. Today’s low of $3,347 is near-term support and if it is broken a break of the 20-Day line will have also occurred. Lower price levels for possible support are the 50-Day MA, now at $3,314, and prior support at the prior interim swing low of $3,293. The 50-Day line is a key dynamic trend indicator.

50-Day Moving Average is Key

Gold bounced off support around the 50-Day line on each of the two previous bearish retracements. It should do so again if the intermediate bull trend, starting from the November swing lows, is to be retained. Nonetheless, if drop below the line occurs, support might be seen around the intersection of several trendlines at $3,271, or an interim swing low at $3,2,45.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

ABCD Target Reached

Despite bullish indications, an initial target and therefore potential resistance, marked by a rising ABCD pattern (purple), was hit at $4.08. Just something to be aware of, as a potential resistance zone begins from there and up to $4.17. The higher price point is the completion of a smaller ascending ABCD pattern (orange). In between the two price levels there is the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $4.12. Once there is symmetry in gains between two consecutive upswings, there is the possibility of resistance.

Strong Bullish Momentum

Of course, a rally above today’s high will provide a bullish continuation signal, with the two initial targets being $4.12 and $4.17. A decisive continuation signal above $4.17, however, would show very strong bullish momentum and therefore increase the possibility of reaching an initial higher target zone relatively rapidly.

Measured Moves Show Higher Prices

It is interesting to note that the first measured move from the April swing low (AB, purple) was $0.98 (blue vertical). Given signs of aggressive buying seen this week, the current advance has the potential to match the first rally in the current short-term uptrend. Symmetry in price would be established at that point, and that makes it as a potential target. However, the similarity in the initial speed of this upswing relative to AB, is the clue that the market is providing.

Time Symmetry Potential

There is also the potential for symmetry in time to occur between the two swings. The initial AB advance completed in 12 days with only two instances of a one-day pullback. Notice that the current advance reaches 12 days on June 30. Whether the upside target is reached or not, a continuation of an aggressive rally is indicated and the results following the first one-day lower daily low will provide the next clue. An immediate recovery would validate the potential for a matching measured move.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

• Silver falls for the second day as the US Dollar climbs to 99.15 on geopolitical fears.
• RSI shows weakening momentum; the path of least resistance may shift lower.
• Key support at $36.00, while resistance looms at $36.50 and $37.32 YTD high.

Silver price retreats on Thursday after back-to-back bearish days, as investors seeking safety buy the US Dollar (USD), pushing the US Dollar Index (DXY) to a six-day high of 99.15. Rising tensions in the Middle East grow as the US could be dragged into the conflict. Currently, XAG/USD is trading at $36.37, down nearly 1%.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Silver prices remain upward biased, despite retreating to current levels after reaching a multi-year high of $37.32 on Wednesday. The gray metal hit a low around $36.21; since then, it has recovered, but traders are facing strong resistance at $36.50.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that buyer momentum is fading, suggesting that the path of least resistance is downward in the near term.

With that said, the first support level for XAG/USD would be the $36.00 figure. On further strength, sellers could challenge Silver’s bullishness if they drag prices below the June 12 swing low of $35.46, which clears the path to test the October 30, 2024, high turned support at $34.86.

On the other hand, if XAG/USD prints a daily close above $36.50, the following key resistance levels would be $37.00 and the year-to-date high of $37.32.

XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily

(This story was corrected on June 19 at 21:02 GMT to say in the first bullet point that Silver falls for the second day, not the third)

Micron Technology’s stock price (MU) kept rising in latest intraday trading, amid the dominance of the upward correctional trend in the short term, with ongoing positive pressure due to trading above the 50-day SMA, but countered with the Stochastic reaching overbought levels compared to the stock’s movement.

Therefore we expect more gains for the price, targeting the resistance of $137.00, provided the support of $111.00 holds on.

Today’s price forecast: Bullish

A peak in global oil demand is still on the horizon, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Tuesday, doubling down on its forecast that demand will plateau by the end of the decade. 

China’s oil demand, which increased by a cumulative 6 million barrels per day (bpd) in the decade to 2024, is set to peak earlier than previously expected, the agency said in its annual Oil 2025 report for the medium term. 

While China – the world’s top crude oil importer – accounted for 60% of the global increase in oil consumption in 2015-2024, “the picture to 2030 looks very different,” the IEA said.   

China’s demand is on track to peak in 2027 – two years earlier than previously thought – amid “an extraordinary surge in EV sales, the continued deployment of trucks running on liquefied natural gas (LNG), as well as strong growth in the country’s high-speed rail network, along with structural shifts in its economy.” 

Global oil demand is forecast to rise by 2.5 million bpd from 2024 to 2030, reaching a plateau around 105.5 million bpd by the end of the decade, per the agency’s latest estimates.   

Annual global growth will slow from about 700,000 bpd in 2025 and 2026 “to just a trickle over the next several years, with a small decline expected in 2030, based on today’s policy settings and market trends,” the IEA said. 

The agency expects below-trend economic growth, weighed down by global trade tensions and fiscal imbalances, and accelerating substitution away from oil in the transport and power generation sectors.  

At the same time, the increase in global oil supply is “set to far outpace demand growth in coming years,” according to the agency. 

“Based on the fundamentals, oil markets look set to be well-supplied in the years ahead – but recent events sharply highlight the significant geopolitical risks to oil supply security,” IEA Executive Director Fatih Birol said.  

If no major supply disruptions occur, the oil market will be comfortably supplied through 2030, the agency reckons, but warned that “significant uncertainties remain, especially given rising geopolitical risks and heightened trade tensions.” 

The IEA’s “peak demand on the horizon” narrative once again clashes with OPEC’s view of growing oil demand at least into the 2040s. 

Just last week, OPEC Secretary General, Haitham Al Ghais, said that oil demand would continue growing over the coming decades as the world’s population increases. 

“Simply put, there is no ‘peak in oil demand’ on the horizon,” Al Ghais said at The Global Energy Show Canada in Calgary, Canada.  

By Michael Kern for Oilprice.com

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