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Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Copper price confirmed its surrender in its current period trading to the dominance of the sideways bias, affected by the stability of the barrier near $5.0600, which forces it to delay the attempts of resuming the main bullish attack, to notice its fluctuation near $4.9500 level.
Note that the stochastic contradiction with the main stability within the bullish channel’s levels and attempting to providing negative momentum that might force the price to form some corrective trading, to target the extra support at $4.7500, by breaking this support might force it to suffer extra losses by reaching $4.5800 and $4.4100.
The expected trading range for today is between $4.7500 and $5.0600
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish track
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher after two days of losses, trading around $48.70 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Thursday. Silver prices may further appreciate due to increased safe-haven demand, driven by market caution ahead of the United States (US) inflation data for September due on Friday amid a data blackout. The prolonged US government shutdown delays the key US economic data releases, including Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), adding uncertainty for financial markets and the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The non-interest-bearing Silver may attract more buyers amid an increased likelihood of further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts. A Reuters poll suggested that 115 out of 117 economists have predicted that the Fed will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% in the monetary policy announcement on October 29. For the year, 83 of 117 economists expect the US Federal Reserve to cut interest rates twice, while 32 anticipate one cut.
Silver prices retreated after reaching an all-time high of $54.86, reached on October 16, as markets weighed overbought concerns. Additionally, the optimism over a potential US-China trade deal improved market sentiment, which weakened the demand for precious metals, including Silver.
US President Donald Trump said late Wednesday that he expects to strike several agreements with Chinese President Xi Jinping during their meeting in South Korea next week. The Trump-Xi discussions are expected to cover a wide range of issues, including US soybean exports, limiting nuclear weapons, and China’s purchases of Russian Oil.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Gold price remained pressured throughout Wednesday, flirting with the $4,000 mark before finding some room to bounce towards the current $4,050 region. The US Dollar (USD) held on to its modest, yet positive momentum throughout the first half of the day, but lost steam after Wall Street’s opening.
Market players were relatively optimistic amid hopes that United States (US) President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart, Xi Jinping, would discuss a trade deal and avoid escalating tensions. Things changed when sources familiar with the matter reported that the White House is considering a plan to restrict globally produced exports to China made with or containing US software.
Other than that, the US government shutdown continues. In the twenty-second consecutive day of stalemate, House Speaker Mike Johnson accused Democrats of “eating up the clock” and making it more difficult to do the necessary things on time.
Meanwhile, the United Kingdom (UK) Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported September Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. Headline inflation rose by 3.8% on year, below the 4.0% anticipated. On a monthly basis, prices remained flat after growing by 0.3% in August. Also, the core annual CPI rose 3.5%, down from the previous 3.6% and also below the 3.7% anticipated by market players. Easing inflation put pressure on the Sterling Pound.
From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair is at risk of falling further, particularly if the $4,000 threshold gives up. The daily chart shows that the pair bounced from a bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), while the 100 and 200 SMAs maintain their bullish slopes far below the shorter one. At the same time, technical indicators extended their slides, heading south within positive levels.
In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is stuck around a bullish 100 SMA, while the 20 SMA gained downward traction above the current level, providing resistance at around $4,025. Finally, technical indicators stand near oversold readings with uneven strength, still skewing the risk to the downside.
Support levels: 4,000.00 3,986.45 3,972.10
Resistance levels: 4,061.20 4,085.70 4,110.00
October’s double top stalled at a rising channel level, extended by 25% to capture that advance. Today’s push above $3.55 shows minor bullish strength, but a close above $3.46 and $3.45 is needed to confirm the breakout. Without it, the second-day surge fades. Clearing the $3.59 swing high (B) would spark a bullish reversal, building on the rally from the $2.89 swing low (C).
A $3.59 breakout targets the 25% extended channel top, with a rising ABCD pattern pointing to $3.71 as the initial harmonic goal. The $3.57 high completed a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, so surpassing $3.59 would eye the 78.6% level at $3.82 for further upside. Recent channel tests suggest another approach is plausible before the rally exhausts.
The 20-day moving average at $3.25 anchors key dynamic support. Staying above it preserves the near-term bullish bias, even if today’s close weakens. A drop below signals caution, but the structure favors buyers if this floor holds.
The $3.46-$3.45 zone is pivotal – close above to lock in strength and aim for $3.59, or below to test $3.25. Today’s close decides: $3.59 opens $3.71 and $3.82, but a failed breakout keeps sellers active. Momentum tilts upward if support stands—watch the triggers for the next swing.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Gold, silver, platinum, and palladium prices fell on Wednesday after a steep decline in the previous session. Spot gold was down 1.4% at $4,067.31 per ounce as of 0941 GMT. Earlier, it had risen to $4,161.17. U.S. gold futures for December delivery fell 0.7% to $4,081.30 per ounce.
The U.S. dollar index hovered near a one-week high. A stronger dollar makes bullion more expensive for international buyers. Gold prices dropped 5.3% on Tuesday after a record high of $4,381.21. Prices are up 54% this year due to geopolitical and economic uncertainty, expectations of U.S. rate cuts, and strong ETF inflows.
Ricardo Evangelista, analyst at ActivTrades, said traders booked profits after recent gains pushed gold into overbought territory. On the technical side, gold is supported by the 21-day moving average at $4,005. Investors are waiting for the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report on Friday. Gold benefits from low interest rates because it is a non-yielding asset.
A Reuters poll of economists suggests the Federal Reserve may cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points next week and again in December.
Meanwhile, a planned summit between U.S. President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin was postponed. Uncertainty remains over a possible meeting between Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping. StoneX analyst Rhona O’Connell said any dips could trigger fresh buying interest due to ongoing global uncertainties.
Spot silver fell 0.9% to $48.28 per ounce after a 7.1% drop on Tuesday. In the U.S. market, silver slumped 8% on October 21, the sharpest one-day fall since 2021. Prices are down nearly 12% from their lifetime high of $54.47 per ounce. Analysts attribute the decline to a stronger U.S. dollar, delayed rate cut expectations, and lower industrial demand.
Platinum fell 0.1% to $1,549.53 per ounce. Palladium dropped 1% to $1,394.52 per ounce. Analysts suggest both metals may see fluctuations as markets respond to global economic and geopolitical factors.
Gold futures dropped 0.5% to $4,087.70 per ounce, while spot gold retreated 4% to $4,088.45. ING analysts said profit-taking was the main reason after recent overbought conditions. Easing tensions between the U.S. and China also contributed to the sharp fall, but traders remain cautious ahead of delayed U.S. inflation data and upcoming trade talks involving the U.S., China, and India.
Gold remains up 56% year-to-date. Citigroup downgraded its outlook from “overweight” to a cautious stance due to excessive long positions. Analysts said gold may consolidate around $4,000 per ounce in coming weeks. Long-term fundamentals remain strong because of inflation concerns, central bank buying, and geopolitical tensions.
Oil prices rose on Wednesday due to supply concerns and optimism around U.S.–China trade talks. Brent crude futures gained 1.5% to $62.21 per barrel, and West Texas Intermediate rose 1.6% to $58.12.
Sterling fell 0.3% to $1.3331 after flat inflation data. The U.S. dollar index remained steady at 98.95. FTSE 100 was up 0.6% at 9,486 points.
Why did gold, silver, platinum, and palladium prices fall today?
Prices fell due to profit booking by investors, a stronger U.S. dollar, and easing geopolitical tensions, which reduced immediate buying demand in global markets.
What is the outlook for gold and silver in the near future?
Analysts expect volatility but long-term support from inflation concerns, central bank buying, and geopolitical risks, keeping demand for gold and silver stable.
Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $62.21 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gained 1.6% to $58.12 per barrel. These gains followed a recovery from a five-month low on Monday. Oversupply concerns and weak demand had pressured prices earlier in the week.
Geopolitical tensions contributed to supply-side risks. Reports indicate the planned summit between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin has been postponed. Traders also responded to Western pressure on Asian buyers to reduce Russian crude purchases. This increased concerns about possible disruptions.
Mukesh Sahdev, CEO of XAnalysts, said, “Despite bearish sentiment from oversupply and weak demand, supply disruption risks in Russia, Venezuela, Colombia, and the Middle East prevent oil prices from staying below $60.”
Venezuela remains a focus of geopolitical tension. UN experts condemned recent US military actions in international waters as “extrajudicial executions” and a dangerous escalation.
US and Chinese officials are scheduled to meet in Malaysia this week to discuss economic disputes. Trump expressed optimism on Monday about a fair trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a planned meeting in South Korea next week. ING commodities strategists noted, “Trump’s trade negotiation comments and the cancellation of the Trump–Putin summit are likely supporting the market.”
Oil markets also reacted to US inventory data. Figures from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decline in crude, gasoline, and distillate stocks last week. This added support to prices.
Sterling fell 0.3% to $1.3331 after inflation data remained flat for the third consecutive month. The pound reached a two-week low against the dollar, down from $1.34 on Tuesday. Traders expect the Bank of England may cut interest rates later this year.
The US dollar index remained steady at 98.95. The pound also edged lower against the euro, trading at €1.1485.
In equities, the FTSE 100 rose 0.6% on Wednesday morning to 9,486 points, showing a positive start alongside oil gains.
Q1: Why did oil price today increase?
A1: Oil price today rose due to supply concerns, geopolitical tensions, US–China trade optimism, and plans to refill US strategic petroleum reserves.
Q2: What are the Brent and WTI crude prices today?
A2: Brent crude reached $62.21 per barrel, and WTI crude hit $58.12 per barrel as of Wednesday morning.
Brent crude futures rose 1.5% to $62.21 per barrel. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures gained 1.6% to $58.12 per barrel. These gains followed a recovery from a five-month low on Monday. Oversupply concerns and weak demand had pressured prices earlier in the week.
Geopolitical tensions contributed to supply-side risks. Reports indicate the planned summit between US President Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin has been postponed. Traders also responded to Western pressure on Asian buyers to reduce Russian crude purchases. This increased concerns about possible disruptions.
Mukesh Sahdev, CEO of XAnalysts, said, “Despite bearish sentiment from oversupply and weak demand, supply disruption risks in Russia, Venezuela, Colombia, and the Middle East prevent oil prices from staying below $60.”
Venezuela remains a focus of geopolitical tension. UN experts condemned recent US military actions in international waters as “extrajudicial executions” and a dangerous escalation.
US and Chinese officials are scheduled to meet in Malaysia this week to discuss economic disputes. Trump expressed optimism on Monday about a fair trade deal with Chinese President Xi Jinping during a planned meeting in South Korea next week. ING commodities strategists noted, “Trump’s trade negotiation comments and the cancellation of the Trump–Putin summit are likely supporting the market.”
Oil markets also reacted to US inventory data. Figures from the American Petroleum Institute showed a decline in crude, gasoline, and distillate stocks last week. This added support to prices.
Sterling fell 0.3% to $1.3331 after inflation data remained flat for the third consecutive month. The pound reached a two-week low against the dollar, down from $1.34 on Tuesday. Traders expect the Bank of England may cut interest rates later this year.
The US dollar index remained steady at 98.95. The pound also edged lower against the euro, trading at €1.1485.
In equities, the FTSE 100 rose 0.6% on Wednesday morning to 9,486 points, showing a positive start alongside oil gains.
Q1: Why did oil price today increase?
A1: Oil price today rose due to supply concerns, geopolitical tensions, US–China trade optimism, and plans to refill US strategic petroleum reserves.
Q2: What are the Brent and WTI crude prices today?
A2: Brent crude reached $62.21 per barrel, and WTI crude hit $58.12 per barrel as of Wednesday morning.
Gold bounced up after reaching the target of a Double Top pattern, at $4,005 on Tuesday, but upside attempts have been halted way below previous support, at $4,185, which leaves the immediate bearish trend intact and the $4,000 support area at a short distance.
The announcement that US President Trump will meet its Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping in South Korea next week and the more conciliatory tone of Trump’s latest comments towards the Asian country have boosted hopes of a trade deal, which has improved market sentiment, sending precious metals tumbling.
What goes up has to eventually come down, and Gold is no exception. The precious metal had rallied nearly 35% in the last two months and is now performing a well-awaited correction. The double top at $4,380 and Tuesday’s bearish engulfing candle in the daily chart confirm that view.
The rejection at the $4,160 on Wednesday’s early European session highlights the bearish momentum. The 4-hour RSI is low but not yet at oversold levels, and the USDollar Index is picking up, which adds pressure on the yellow metal and suggests that a retest of the $4,000 support is on the cards.
Further down, the $3945 area, where the pair found support on October 7, 9, and 10, emerges as the next target ahead of the October 2 low, at $3,845. To the upside, the intraday high at the $4,160 area and the October 17 low at $4,185 are closing the path towards the all-time high at $4,380.
Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
The GBPJPY pair confirmed the stability of the bullish scenario by forming a new bullish rally yesterday, achieving the initial target by hitting 203.50 level, to settle above $161.8 Fibonacci extension level at 202.50.
The continuation of providing positive momentum by the main indicators will increase the strength of the bullish track, to expect attacking the barrier at 203.95, and surpassing it will open the way for reaching new stations that might begin from 204.60 and 205.25, while changing the trend and begin the bearish corrective track requires forming sharp decline to settle below the extra support at 201.70.
The expected trading range for today is between 202.60 and 203.95
Trend forecast: Bullish