TLDR

• XRP price could increase by 844% if XRP ETFs capture 50% of Bitcoin ETF inflows over the next two years.
• The U.S. SEC has not yet approved multiple XRP spot ETFs due to the ongoing government shutdown.
• Industry experts predict XRP ETFs could see inflows ranging from $5 billion to $10 billion in the first month.
• Ethereum ETFs received $14.57 billion in inflows within a year, suggesting XRP ETFs could capture similar funds.
• If XRP ETFs attract $13.3 billion in inflows, the XRP market cap could rise by $1.205 trillion, driving the price to $22.48.

XRP ETFs could experience significant growth if they capture just half of Bitcoin ETF inflows over the next two years. Market watchers believe that once the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approves XRP ETFs, they will experience substantial inflows of capital. This could result in significant price movements for XRP. Analysts expect that these inflows could result in a significant surge in XRP’s market capitalization.

Delayed SEC Approval and Market Expectations

The SEC has yet to approve multiple XRP spot ETFs due to the ongoing U.S. government shutdown. Several filings, including those from Grayscale, 21Shares, and Bitwise, have faced delays, with deadlines ranging from October 18 to October 20. However, other firms, such as CoinShares and Franklin Templeton, have later filing deadlines. Despite the setbacks, experts like Oliver Michel, CEO of Tokentus, remain optimistic about future approval once the government shutdown ends.

Industry leaders, including Steven McClurg, CEO of Canary Capital, anticipate that XRP ETFs will attract substantial capital inflows. McClurg predicts inflows ranging between $5 billion $10 billion in the first month after launch. Should this forecast materialize, it would mark a significant milestone for XRP ETFs.

XRP Price Could Soar with ETF Inflows

If XRP ETFs capture 50% of the $26.6 billion in Bitcoin ETF inflows from 2025, it would represent $13.3 billion for XRP. Ethereum ETFs experienced net inflows of $14.57 billion in just over a year. These figures demonstrate that capturing a portion of Bitcoin’s inflows is within reason for XRP ETFs.

However, capital inflows do not always translate directly into price increases. The inflow-to-valuation multiplier often results in larger spikes in market capitalization. For instance, a $61 million capital inflow raised XRP’s market cap by $16.6 billion in May. This multiplier effect is vital to consider when projecting future price movements.

Ever wondered how much money it takes to cause a 16.6B increase in $XRP market cap?

Since I am tracking every trade on all major spot exchanges, I have the exact $ figure

61M USD. Thats the net market buying pressure we saw over the last 13 hours.

So yes, 61M USD of buy… pic.twitter.com/XDt6FMB0g9

— Dom (@traderview2) May 12, 2025

With a conservative multiplier of 90x, XRP’s market cap could increase by $1.205 trillion over two years. This increase would result in a price of $22.48 per XRP, an 844% rise from its current value of $2.38. Such a dramatic price increase shows the potential impact of large inflows into XRP ETFs.

XRP’s current market cap stands at $143 billion. With an additional $1.205 trillion in market cap, XRP could reach a valuation of $1.348 trillion. This would significantly alter the market dynamics for XRP, making it a major contender in the crypto space.

If XRP ETFs capture a fraction of Bitcoin ETF inflows, the price of XRP could soar. As more institutions and investors turn to XRP ETFs, the price could experience unprecedented growth. The upcoming SEC approval will be crucial in determining how much capital XRP ETFs can attract.