Category: Crypto News, News
Tom Lee’s Ethereum Price Forecast Dismantled
Welcome to the US Crypto News Morning Briefing—your essential rundown of the most important developments in crypto for the day ahead.
Grab a coffee as Ethereum takes back the headlines with big predictions flying. Some say the next surge is just around the corner, while others caution that hidden assumptions and long timelines could make the hype more complicated than it seems.
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee recently made headlines with a bold forecast that Ethereum (ETH) could reach $60,000 in the near future.
The crypto executive cited the migration of real-world assets (RWA) onto the blockchain as the primary catalyst for this shift.
“The total size of global financial markets is 200 trillion, maybe more. How much of that ends up on blockchains? According to Larry Fink, the idea is to move 100% of this onto the blockchain. So we’re talking trillions of dollars of assets moving onto layer one blockchains,” he stated.
Lee shared his perspective during an interview, framing Ethereum as a potential global financial settlement layer.
According to Lee, Ethereum’s market cap of around $440 billion pales in comparison to the $200–300 trillion in global financial assets, including stocks, bonds, and real estate.
Even a fraction of these assets, Lee suggests, 0.5% to 1%, moving on-chain could, in his view, multiply Ethereum’s network value several times. This, in his opinion, justifies his $60,000 target.
He also highlighted Ethereum’s strong validator network, decade-long uptime, and alignment with Wall Street’s growing interest in tokenization as key tailwinds supporting long-term growth.
However, crypto analyst BitWu critiqued Lee’s forecast, describing it as overly reliant on what he calls a “typical RWA narrative.” The analyst cautioned that Lee’s model rests on two hidden assumptions:
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That all real-world assets will settle on Ethereum’s mainnet, and,
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That Ethereum’s price will directly reflect settlement volume.
While both assumptions are “reasonable,” BitWu argues, they oversimplify the unique mix of macroeconomic factors, regulatory clarity, and infrastructure maturity that will ultimately determine Ethereum’s trajectory.
“ETH at $60,000 USD is no problem [but not this year]. In about three years, I think it’s possible! Why do I say that? The true breakout point for RWA, I believe may be in 2026-2028, depending on the macroeconomic interest rate cycle + regulatory clarity + maturity of on-chain infrastructure (especially L2 and compliant chains),” BitWu explained.
Written by : Editorial team of BIPNs
Main team of content of bipns.com. Any type of content should be approved by us.
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