Category: Forex News, News
Natural Gas Price Forecast: Hammer Reversal Recaptures 10-Day – Targets $4.88
Support Test Significance
Tuesday’s low tested but held well above the 20-day moving average, yet the 38.2% level and hammer structure provided the true catalyst. Such aggressive buying off a key retracement, combined with immediate recapture of broken technical levels, underscores robust demand and buyer commitment.
Breakout Confirmation
A daily close above Tuesday’s $4.62 high validates today’s breakout and sharply raises odds for bulls to retain control. This sets up a direct challenge of the recent $4.88 swing high, with potential to trigger a higher swing high and bull-trend continuation.
Short-Term Buying Opportunity
The brief dip offered an ideal entry or add zone for traders anticipating $4.57 (today’s low), which will now hold as higher support. As long as that level contains selling, upside momentum should persist.
Key Levels Going Forward
The reclaimed 10-day average must now act as dynamic support; failure there would flash the first bearish warning. A decisive drop below $4.57 would erase the higher-low sequence and invite deeper retest—though one quick violation with swift recovery remains tolerable in a strong trend.
Upside Channel Target
The ascending top channel line—touched at the recent peak—remains the primary overhead objective. Sustained trade above $4.88 opens acceleration toward that measured line and potentially higher extensions.
Outlook
Wednesday’s hammer reversal from 38.2% support and recapture of the 10-day/channel line places buyers firmly back in charge. A close above $4.62 targets $4.88 quickly, with the channel top next. Defend $4.57–$4.46 to keep the bull case intact; only sustained trade below the 10-day average would shift near-term bias lower.
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