Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in key production areas continue to rise. The average price is recorded at 88,700 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices increased by 200 VND/kg, to 88,700 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded a similar increase, reaching 88,700 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices today increased by 100 VND/kg, to 88,300 VND/kg and continue to be the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest purchase price, reaching 88,800 VND/kg, an increase of 100 VND/kg.

Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 88,300-88,800 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 500 VND/kg.

Although there have been two recovery waves, the domestic coffee price level has not yet returned to the threshold of 89,000 VND/kg after the previous sharp decrease.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,101 VND/USD, an increase of 3 VND.

World coffee prices

World coffee prices are clearly differentiated, when Arabica on the New York floor increased sharply and Robusta in the nearest term on the London floor decreased slightly.

On the New York floor, the price of Arabica coffee futures in July 2026 increased by 10.95 US cents/lb, equivalent to 3.95%, to 287.95 US cents/lb. During the session, this contract sometimes touched 290.95 US cents/lb.

Arabica futures for September 2026 increased by 8.95 US cents/lb, equivalent to 3.35%, to 275.95 US cents/lb. December 2026 futures increased by 5.95 US cents/lb, reaching 261.95 US cents/lb.

The March and May 2027 terms increased by 4.55 US cents/lb and 4.80 US cents/lb, respectively, to 256.55 US cents/lb and 256.95 US cents/lb.

On the London exchange, Robusta futures in July 2026 decreased by 9 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.25%, to 3,580 USD/ton.

However, more distant terms simultaneously increased. Robusta in September 2026 increased by 14 USD/ton, to 3,556 USD/ton; November 2026 futures increased by 19 USD/ton, reaching 3,510 USD/ton.

Robusta futures for January 2027 and March 2027 both increased by 20 USD/ton, to 3,473 USD/ton and 3,443 USD/ton, respectively.

Coffee price assessment

According to Barchart, Arabica rose to its highest level in about 6 weeks as rain reappears in Brazil, raising concerns that harvest progress continues to be interrupted.

Rain at harvest time not only causes difficulties for harvesting and drying, but can also cause coffee beans to fall to the ground, reducing seed quality. This risk has a stronger impact on Arabica, a commodity whose supply is heavily dependent on Brazil.

Arabica’s upward momentum is also supported by the continued decrease in standardized inventory on the ICE exchange. According to market data, Arabica inventory decreased to 392,901 bags, down to the lowest level in more than 2 years.

Conversely, Robusta is under pressure as standard inventories on the London exchange have recovered from a 2-year low recorded in mid-May. The resumption of supply reduces concerns about short-term shortages.

However, the decrease of Robusta for the nearest term is relatively small, while long-term terms are still increasing. This development shows that the market has not completely eliminated concerns related to supply in the coming years.

El Niño risk continues to be monitored by coffee businesses. This phenomenon may cause drought and heat in some Robusta growing areas in Vietnam and Indonesia, and also affect rainfall in Brazil during the coffee tree flowering period at the end of the year.

In the opposite direction, the prospect of a large crop in Brazil may limit the prolonged increase. USDA/FAS forecasts that Brazil’s coffee production in the 2026/27 crop year will reach a record level of 71.9 million bags, an increase of about 14% compared to the previous crop year.

Rabobank also raised its global Arabica surplus forecast for the 2026/27 crop year from 7 million bags to 9.5 million bags. Meanwhile, Vietnam’s coffee exports continued to increase, continuing to supplement Robusta supply to the international market.