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18 12, 2025

XAG/USD holds at ATH as bullish structure persists

By |2025-12-18T08:40:37+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver market narrative – Strength rooted in structure, not speculation

Silver continues to trade near all-time highs, showing resilience even as other precious metals experience rotational pullbacks. Unlike gold, which is predominantly driven by monetary policy expectations and geopolitical hedging, silver benefits from a dual demand profile—acting both as a precious metal and a critical industrial input.

This unique positioning allows silver to sustain momentum during periods when gold consolidates. Current price behavior reflects acceptance at elevated levels, not rejection. Rather than sharply selling off from the highs, silver has transitioned into controlled consolidation, a hallmark of strong trending markets.

From a broader macro perspective, silver’s strength remains supported by:

  • Persistent USD softness
  • Elevated inflation uncertainty
  • Expanding industrial demand, particularly from renewable energy, EVs, and electronics

As a result, silver has been able to hold premium pricing, keeping it near record levels while gold digests earlier gains.

Why Silver remains near all-time highs compared to gold

Silver’s outperformance relative to gold is structural, not coincidental.

1. Industrial demand adds a second layer of support

Silver plays a crucial role in:

  • Solar panels
  • Electric vehicles
  • Semiconductors
  • Medical and electronic components

This means silver demand persists even during periods of macro stabilization. Gold, by contrast, relies more heavily on fear-based or policy-driven flows.

2. Supply constraints are tighter in Silver

Silver supply growth remains structurally constrained, with mine output struggling to keep pace with demand. Gold markets are deeper and more liquid, making silver more responsive to demand shocks and allowing trends to persist longer once momentum builds.

3. Silver thrives in reflationary environments

While both metals respond to inflation expectations, silver tends to outperform when growth and inflation risks coexist. Gold typically leads during crisis hedging phases; silver leads during inflationary expansion phases, which better describes the current environment.

How the recent Silver forecast has played out

Previous expectations for silver emphasized continuation rather than reversal, with pullbacks expected to remain corrective as long as structure held.

That view has been validated:

  • Silver pushed into new highs
  • Pullbacks remained shallow
  • Price consolidated near the highs instead of rejecting them
  • No higher-timeframe structural breakdown occurred

This confirms that recent price action reflects acceptance at higher value, not speculative excess.

Technical outlook – Silver respects 4-hour FVG and consolidates

From a technical standpoint, silver continues to validate bullish structure.

After the most recent impulsive rally, XAG/USD retraced into a clearly defined 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG) and reacted precisely as expected. Buyers stepped in aggressively, rejecting lower prices and pushing the market back into balance above the FVG.

This reaction confirms that:

  • The upside move was imbalanced and required re-pricing
  • Buyers remain in control of value
  • The pullback was corrective, not distributive

Following the bounce, silver entered a tight consolidation just below recent highs. Rather than breaking down, price is coiling—suggesting liquidity absorption and position building, not exit.

As long as silver continues to hold above the 4-hour FVG, the probability favors directional expansion, not deeper rotation.

Bullish scenario – Breakout from consolidation

The bullish scenario remains favored if silver:

  • Holds above the 4-hour FVG
  • Maintains acceptance within the consolidation range
  • Breaks and holds above the consolidation high

In this scenario:

  • The FVG acts as a launchpad
  • Momentum can re-expand without revisiting lower demand
  • Silver can push toward fresh all-time highs

This outcome aligns with:

  • Ongoing industrial demand
  • Inflation-sensitive positioning
  • Constrained supply dynamics

A clean upside resolution would reinforce silver’s role as the higher-beta expression of precious metals strength.

Bearish scenario – Deeper rebalancing below FVG

The bearish scenario only develops if silver fails to hold the 4-hour FVG and price begins accepting below it.

If that occurs:

  • The current consolidation resolves lower
  • Price may rotate toward the next lower demand zone
  • A deeper corrective phase unfolds to rebalance prior gains

Importantly, this would still be viewed as rebalancing, not reversal, unless daily structure breaks decisively. As long as silver remains above major breakout levels on the daily chart, downside moves remain corrective in nature.

Silver vs Gold – Structural comparison

Factor

Silver

Gold

Industrial Demand

High

Minimal

Inflation Sensitivity

High

Moderate

Supply Constraints

Tight

More Flexible

Volatility

Higher

Lower

Trend Acceleration

Faster

Slower

This structural advantage explains why silver continues to hold near all-time highs while gold consolidates.

Final thoughts

Silver’s strength is not accidental. It is driven by structural demand, constrained supply, and favorable macro conditions.

The clean reaction from the 4-hour FVG and ongoing consolidation near highs suggest the market is preparing for its next expansion, not rolling over. As long as price holds above key value zones, the broader bullish narrative remains intact.

Silver continues to lead—not lag—the precious metals complex.



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18 12, 2025

Bulls hold control above 1.1728 as price ranges

By |2025-12-18T08:08:41+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/USD market narrative – Consolidation, not reversal

EUR/USD is currently transitioning from impulsive expansion into balance, consolidating above the 1.1728 multi-week high. This behavior reflects acceptance at higher prices, rather than exhaustion or trend failure.

After reclaiming a key structural level, the market has paused to allow two-sided trade — a natural and healthy process in trending environments. Importantly, price has not collapsed back below prior resistance, nor has it shown aggressive distribution. Instead, EUR/USD is oscillating within a defined range, signaling re-pricing rather than rejection.

From a macro perspective, this consolidation is occurring against a backdrop of persistent USD softness. The Federal Reserve’s shift toward rate cuts and a more data-dependent stance has reduced the dollar’s yield advantage, while expectations for aggressive ECB easing remain restrained. This narrowing policy divergence continues to favor EUR/USD on a medium-term basis.

As a result, the current price action should be viewed as digesting gains, not undoing them.

How the previous EUR/USD forecast materialized

Youtube preview

Chart

The prior EUR/USD forecast did not call for immediate continuation higher. Instead, it emphasized that acceptance above the multi-week high would be more important than chasing momentum.

Specifically, the expectation was for:

  • A pullback or consolidation above 1.1728
  • Shallow retracements rather than structural failure
  • A pause that allows the market to rebalance before the next move

That scenario has materialized cleanly.

Following the breakout, EUR/USD pulled back into the highlighted re-pricing zone, held above the multi-week high, and formed higher lows rather than accelerating lower. Sellers failed to force acceptance back below prior resistance, while buyers consistently absorbed downside pressure.

This confirms that the breakout was structural, not false. The current consolidation reflects controlled digestion, aligning with the original expectation that the market would pause before determining its next expansion leg.

In short, the market followed process, not prediction — rewarding patience and structural alignment rather than aggressive positioning.

Technical structure – Balance around key levels

EUR/USD is now trading inside a defined range, with both buyers and sellers actively participating. In this environment, the most important reference is no longer the highs or lows — but equilibrium, or the middle of the range.

Equilibrium represents fair value. How price behaves around this level reveals intent.

Bullish scenario – Strength returns above equilibrium

The bullish scenario re-engages if EUR/USD breaks above the equilibrium level and holds above it.

Acceptance above the midpoint of the range signals that buyers are willing to transact at premium prices, not just defend the lows. In strong trends, equilibrium often acts as a launchpad, not resistance.

If price reclaims equilibrium and stays above it:

  • Higher-timeframe bullish structure remains intact.
  • Liquidity below has already been absorbed.
  • Momentum can re-expand without revisiting range lows.
  • USD weakness and narrowing rate differentials reinforce upside pressure.

Bullish expectation:

Rotation toward the range high, followed by a potential continuation toward new multi-week highs if momentum builds.

Bearish scenario – Deeper rebalancing below equilibrium

The bearish scenario develops if EUR/USD fails to reclaim equilibrium and consistently trades below the midpoint of the range.

In this case, equilibrium acts as resistance, suggesting sellers control fair value. This would likely lead to:

  • Further rotation toward the lower boundary of the range.
  • A deeper corrective move into prior demand.
  • Short-term bearish momentum.

However, it is critical to distinguish correction from reversal. Even a sustained move below equilibrium would still be considered rebalancing, unless broader daily structure breaks decisively.

Final thoughts

EUR/USD is not weakening — it is pausing with structure intact.

The market is currently balanced, and equilibrium is the line that separates continuation from deeper correction. Acceptance above it favors renewed strength, while failure keeps price rotational.

Until that decision is made, patience remains the edge.

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18 12, 2025

LIVE BLOG: Snicko in spotlight again, England six down

By |2025-12-18T07:59:31+02:00December 18, 2025|Dietary Supplements News, News|0 Comments


Follow all the action from the second day of the NRMA Insurance Men’s Ashes third Test in Adelaide

Full scorecard and wicket replays here

Third Test session times

First Session: 10am – 12noon (10.30am – 12.30pm AEDT; 11.30pm – 1.30am GMT)

 

Second Session: 12.40pm – 2.40pm (1.10pm – 3.10pm AEDT; 2.10am – 4.10am GMT)

 

Third Session: 3pm – 5pm (3.30pm – 5.30pm AEDT; 4.30am – 6.30am GMT)

 

*An extra 30 minutes is available to complete daily overs

2025-26 NRMA Insurance Men’s Ashes

First Test: Australia won by eight wickets

Second Test: Australia won by eight wickets

Third Test: December 17-21: Adelaide Oval, 10:30am AEDT

Fourth Test: December 26-30: MCG, Melbourne, 10:30am AEDT

Fifth Test: January 4-8: SCG, Sydney, 10:30am AEDT

Australia squad (second Test only): Steve Smith (c), Scott Boland, Alex Carey, Brendan Doggett, Cameron Green, Travis Head, Josh Inglis, Marnus Labuschagne, Nathan Lyon, Michael Neser, Mitchell Starc, Jake Weatherald, Beau Webster

England squad: Ben Stokes (c), Harry Brook (vc), Jofra Archer, Gus Atkinson, Shoaib Bashir, Jacob Bethell, Brydon Carse, Zak Crawley, Ben Duckett, Will Jacks, Ollie Pope, Matthew Potts, Joe Root, Jamie Smith (wk), Josh Tongue, Mark Wood



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18 12, 2025

SOL Slips Near $123 as Traders Watch $120–$122 Support — Forecast and Key News for Dec. 17, 2025

By |2025-12-18T07:52:18+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Dec. 17, 2025 — Solana’s U.S. dollar pair (SOL-USD) is trading around the $123 area as the broader crypto market remains cautious and risk-sensitive, while Solana-specific headlines range from a major network stress test (a large DDoS attack) to fresh security research around post-quantum signatures. [1]

Multiple pricing feeds show SOL down roughly ~3.6% to ~3.8% over the past 24 hours, with heavy turnover and an unusually wide intraday range — a setup that has kept short-term “breakout or breakdown” talk front and center in today’s technical commentary. [2]

SOL-USD price today (Dec. 17, 2025): live snapshot

At the time of writing, widely followed trackers place Solana around $123:

  • Price: ~$123 [3]
  • 24h change: about -3.6% to -3.8% depending on venue/data source [4]
  • 24h volume: roughly $5.4B–$5.9B [5]
  • Market cap: about $69.2B; ranked #7 on CoinMarketCap [6]
  • Circulating supply: ~562.0M SOL (CoinMarketCap figure) [7]
  • Intraday range (example feed):high ~$133.9 / low ~$121.4 on Investing.com’s daily data line for Dec. 17 [8]

Context: CoinGecko also shows SOL down about ~11% over the past 7 days, highlighting that the latest slide is part of a broader December pullback rather than a single-candle move. [9]

Why is Solana (SOL-USD) moving today? Key news and narratives dated Dec. 17, 2025

Today’s SOL price action is being pulled by two forces at once: (1) a risk-off crypto tape and (2) Solana-specific headlines that are, paradoxically, long-term constructive even as price chops lower in the short term.

1) The macro tape is still pressuring crypto risk

Reuters reports crypto investors have become more cautious after the market’s downturn from October highs, with greater emphasis on hedged/active strategies and risk management tools. That kind of positioning shift can reduce dip-buying urgency in large-cap alts like SOL. [10]

(Separate market coverage also points to crypto behaving more like a risk asset than a gold-like hedge in this phase, which can keep pressure on majors when sentiment turns defensive.) [11]

2) Solana “stress test” headlines: week-long DDoS attack, but no downtime

A widely discussed Solana story on Dec. 17 is the network’s ability to remain operational through a massive DDoS attack. Unchained reports the attack lasted over a week and peaked around 6 Tbps, yet the network appeared “unimpacted” and saw zero downtime or performance degradation in that account. [12]

Unchained also notes Solana co-founder Anatoly Yakovenko publicly framed the attack as “bullish” in the sense that an attacker was allegedly spending heavily to generate traffic without taking the chain down—adding to the narrative that Solana’s infrastructure resilience has improved. [13]

Why it matters for SOL-USD: In past cycles, Solana’s reliability has been a major investor talking point. Stories that emphasize resilience can strengthen long-term confidence, but they don’t always translate into immediate upside if the overall market is risk-off.

3) Post-quantum security enters the conversation: “quantum-resistant signatures” on testnet

Another major Dec. 17 headline: Cointelegraph (via TradingView) reports the Solana Foundation partnered with Project Eleven for a quantum computing threat assessment and prototyped a Solana testnet using post-quantum digital signatures, claiming end-to-end “quantum-resistant transactions” can be practical and scalable. [14]

BeInCrypto similarly reports Solana deployed post-quantum signatures on a testnet as a proactive security measure amid growing industry focus on quantum readiness. [15]

Why it matters for the forecast: This is not a “next week” price catalyst in most models, but it supports a longer-term investment narrative: Solana positioning itself as infrastructure that can evolve with future security standards.

4) Institutional rails keep expanding: Visa’s USDC settlement over Solana

Although announced Dec. 16, Visa’s move is part of what traders are still digesting on Dec. 17 because it directly references Solana in a TradFi settlement context. Visa says initial U.S. banking participants Cross River Bank and Lead Bank have begun settling with Visa in USDC over the Solana blockchain, with broader availability planned through 2026. [16]

Why it matters for SOL-USD: Even when SOL token price doesn’t respond immediately, the “Solana as payments/settlement infrastructure” storyline is strengthened when a global network like Visa names Solana as a settlement rail in an official release.

5) Tokenization momentum (recent context still relevant today)

Earlier this month, Reuters reported J.P. Morgan arranged a $50 million short-term debt deal for Galaxy Digital on Solana’s blockchain, with USDC used in the flow—another signal of institutional experimentation on Solana. [17]

Separately, State Street Investment Management and Galaxy Asset Management announced plans (Dec. 10) for the State Street Galaxy Onchain Liquidity Sweep Fund (SWEEP), anticipating ~$200 million seed from Ondo Finance and an early 2026 debut on Solana, using stablecoins (including PYUSD) for subscriptions and redemptions. [18]

Galaxy’s own research recap from Breakpoint week framed these types of announcements as evidence of ecosystem maturation and increasing institutional traction around the “internet capital markets” thesis. [19]

SOL-USD technical analysis today: the key levels analysts are highlighting (Dec. 17)

Today’s technical commentary is unusually aligned on one point: SOL is coiling, and the next big move likely depends on whether support breaks or holds.

The support zone: $120–$122 is the market’s “line in the sand”

  • Crypto.news describes SOL compressed near $122 support, warning repeated retests can weaken support and that a breakdown could open a move toward $100. [20]
  • Brave New Coin similarly emphasizes $120 as a critical support zone, describing price compression in the $120–$130 area and highlighting downside risk if $120 fails. [21]

The “range floor” many are watching: ~$124–$126

  • Altcoin Buzz notes support near $124.5 being tested amid weak momentum and EMA resistance overhead. [22]
  • A NewsBTC technical write-up syndicated on CryptoRank points to supports around $126 and $124, describing SOL trading below ~$130 with resistance around $132. [23]

Overhead resistance: $130–$132 first, then $135+

  • CryptoRank/NewsBTC flags the $130 and $132 area as the near-term hurdle, with $132 highlighted as a trendline-type resistance in its framing. [24]
  • Altcoin Buzz similarly references overhead moving-average resistance and identifies a mid-range area that has stalled price action. [25]

Takeaway: Market structure is “compressed.” In practice, that often means traders watch for a decisive move below ~$120–$122 (bearish expansion) or a reclaim above ~$132 (bullish relief rally). [26]

Solana price forecast (SOL-USD): outlook for the next 24 hours, this week, and into early 2026

No forecast is guaranteed—crypto is notoriously headline- and liquidity-driven—but today’s mix of price structure and news flow lends itself to scenario-based expectations.

Base case (near-term): choppy range trading while SOL holds $120–$122

Given the tight compression highlighted by multiple analysts, a common near-term path is continued sideways-to-choppy trade as long as SOL holds the widely watched support band. [27]

In this base case, traders often look for mean reversion toward the $130–$132 area (the first meaningful resistance cluster) rather than an immediate trend reversal. [28]

Bullish scenario: reclaim $132, then aim for mid-$130s and higher

A bullish break typically requires SOL to:

  1. Clear ~$130, and
  2. Flip ~$132 from resistance into support (a level repeatedly cited in today’s analysis). [29]

If that happens, some technical roadmaps start pointing toward $135 and beyond (with higher resistance levels mentioned in certain write-ups), though follow-through will likely depend on whether the broader crypto market stabilizes. [30]

Bearish scenario: lose $120–$122 and momentum targets $100 psychology

If SOL loses the $120–$122 support area decisively, analysts highlighting the compression pattern argue the move could accelerate, with $100 often cited as a psychological downside target from the current structure. [31]

This scenario becomes more plausible if macro-driven crypto weakness persists and risk appetite remains subdued. [32]

What “forecast models” are saying today (and why they differ)

A number of widely circulated SOL price prediction pages updated around this period broadly cluster around “low $120s to low/mid $130s” for late December, but they vary meaningfully on timing and volatility assumptions.

  • Changelly projects a December 2025 range roughly $126.57 to $133.90, with an average near $130.24. [33]
  • CoinCodex suggests SOL around $131.09 by Dec. 18, 2025, and presents a higher target around $145.94 by mid-January 2026 in its forward path. [34]

Important nuance: These models can lag real-time developments (macro shocks, security headlines, liquidity events) and may not “understand” Solana-specific catalysts like Visa settlement rails or post-quantum testnets in a fundamental sense. Treat them as reference points, not promises. [35]

What to watch next for SOL-USD (the short checklist)

If you’re tracking SOL-USD into the end of 2025, today’s coverage suggests five practical watch items:

  1. Support integrity: does SOL continue defending $120–$122, or do repeated tests finally break? [36]
  2. Resistance clearance: can SOL reclaim $130–$132 and hold it? [37]
  3. Network confidence headlines: follow-ups on the DDoS story and any additional technical disclosures about mitigations. [38]
  4. Institutional adoption signals: progress or additional partners around Visa’s USDC settlement rail on Solana. [39]
  5. Macro risk sentiment: whether the broader crypto market continues to de-risk (which tends to hit alts) or starts to recover. [40]

Bottom line

On Dec. 17, 2025, Solana USD (SOL-USD) sits at a technically sensitive spot near $123, with analysts largely converging on a simple framework: $120–$122 is key support; $130–$132 is the first major resistance. [41]

Meanwhile, Solana’s news cycle is unusually infrastructure-heavy—DDoS resilience, post-quantum signature experiments, and large institutional rails name-checking Solana for settlement—suggesting the ecosystem story remains active even as price stays tied to a cautious, risk-off crypto tape. [42]

This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency prices can change rapidly, and different data providers may show slightly different prices due to exchange and methodology differences. [43]

References

1. coinmarketcap.com, 2. coinmarketcap.com, 3. coinmarketcap.com, 4. coinmarketcap.com, 5. coinmarketcap.com, 6. coinmarketcap.com, 7. coinmarketcap.com, 8. www.investing.com, 9. www.coingecko.com, 10. www.reuters.com, 11. www.barrons.com, 12. unchainedcrypto.com, 13. unchainedcrypto.com, 14. www.tradingview.com, 15. beincrypto.com, 16. usa.visa.com, 17. www.reuters.com, 18. investors.statestreet.com, 19. www.galaxy.com, 20. crypto.news, 21. bravenewcoin.com, 22. www.altcoinbuzz.io, 23. cryptorank.io, 24. cryptorank.io, 25. www.altcoinbuzz.io, 26. crypto.news, 27. crypto.news, 28. cryptorank.io, 29. cryptorank.io, 30. cryptorank.io, 31. crypto.news, 32. www.reuters.com, 33. changelly.com, 34. coincodex.com, 35. usa.visa.com, 36. crypto.news, 37. cryptorank.io, 38. unchainedcrypto.com, 39. usa.visa.com, 40. www.reuters.com, 41. coinmarketcap.com, 42. unchainedcrypto.com, 43. coinmarketcap.com

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18 12, 2025

Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Tight Four-Day Range – Highest Close Since October Looms

By |2025-12-18T06:39:33+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Range Top Resistance

A new higher swing high for the short-term advance at $4,353 was reached last Friday, resulting in three tight days of consolidation near that high. Wednesday’s high of $4,349 marked the third recent test of that resistance zone. A decisive breakout above triggers resolution of the four-day range and continuation of the short-term uptrend. Retained bullish momentum thereafter positions gold for a new trend high breakout above $4,381.

Bull Trend Confirmation

The bull trend in gold has been rebounding from an October retracement low of $3,886 with strength confirmed by breakouts above the 20-day and 10-day averages, subsequently defended as support during pullbacks. The advance also delivered a second bull breakout of two rising trend channels—one long-term and the other measuring the advance begun in March 2024—after the first October attempt failed and produced the brief bearish correction.

Dynamic Support Confluence

Gold is expected to resolve to the upside if it remains above the key dynamic support area. The 10-day average at $4,256 is rising and about to advance above the top of the shorter channel. Momentum has been lacking overall during the recent advance, but momentum could be triggered once the 10-day average meets up with price. In its current location, it represents potential support along with the top channel line and near-term uptrend line, which cross in a day. Three indicators identifying a similar potential support area strengthens its significance either as support or a pivot that breaks to the downside.

Outlook

Gold’s persistent tight range near the $4,353 high and advancing averages keep the bull case dominant with buyers positioned to deliver the strongest close in months. Clearance of $4,353–$4,381 unlocks new record territory; hold the converging 10-day/channel/uptrend support on any weakness and the path of least resistance stays higher.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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18 12, 2025

GBP/USD forecast as odds of BoE interest rate cut jump on Polymarket

By |2025-12-18T06:07:36+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBP/USD exchange rate dropped by 0.75% on Wednesday after the UK published encouraging consumer inflation data. Sterling dropped to a low of 1.3327, down from this week’s high of 1.3460.

Bank of England to cut rates as UK inflation falls

The GBP/USD exchange rate pulled back and erased some of the recent gains as investors reacted to the latest UK inflation data. This also explains why the UK bond yields dropped as the FTSE 100 Index rose.

A report by the Office of National Statistics (ONS) showed that the headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) dropped from 3.5% in October to 3.2% in November. 

UK’s inflation dropped by minus 0.2% on a MoM basis after rising by 0.3% in the previous month.

Meanwhile, core CPI, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, dropped by 0.1% on a MoM basis, bringing the annual inflation figure to 3.2%.

More data shows that the retail price index (RPI) dropped from 4.3% to 3.8%, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) dropped from 3.6% to 3.4%.

These numbers mean that the country’s inflation is moving in the right direction, a move that confirms that the Bank of England will cut interest rates by 0.25% in the final meeting of the year on Thursday this week.

The BoE has delivered several interest rate cuts in the past few months, moving from a high 5.25% in August 2024 to the current 4%. As such, a cut will bring the headline interest rates to 3.75%, even as the inflation remains above 2%.

The bank will cut rates as the economy has remained under pressure in the past few months. For example, a report released on Tuesday showed that the unemployment rate rose to 5.1% from the previous 5.0%. The average earnings with bonus dropped to 4.7% from the previous 4.9%.

US consumer inflation data 

The next important catalyst for the GBP/USD exchange rate will be the upcoming US consumer inflation report, which will come out on Thursday.

Economists polled by Reuters and Bloomberg expect the upcoming US inflation report will come in at 3.0%, much higher than the Federal Reserve’s target of 2.0%.

Data compiled by Polymarket also places the odds of inflation coming in at 3.0% rising to 44%. It is followed by 3.1%, which is at 42%.

The US inflation report comes a week after the Federal Reserve delivered the third interest rate cut of the year and pointed to one more in 2026. 

GBP/USD technical analysis 

GBP/USD
GBPUSD chart |Source: TradingView 

The daily timeframe chart shows that the GBP/USD exchange rate rose from the psychological level of 1.3000 in November to a high of 1.3460.

It pulled back to a low 1.3327, its lowest level on October 10. It has dropped to the 50-day and 100-day Exponential Moving Averages.

The pair has formed an inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, which is a common bullish reversal sign. Therefore, the pair will likely rebound as bulls target the next psychological level at 1.3500. A move above that level will point to more gains, potentially to the year-to-date high of 1.3725

The post GBP/USD forecast as odds of BoE interest rate cut jump on Polymarket appeared first on Invezz

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18 12, 2025

ETHUSD Plummets to $2810: Is Another Drop Ahead for Ethereum USD?

By |2025-12-18T05:50:35+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Ethereum USD (ETHUSD) has seen a sharp drop to $2810.69, a significant decrease of $153.71 since opening. This downturn, reflected by a 5.19% drop today, raises questions about the market’s next move for this top cryptocurrency.

Current Price Movement and Volatility

Ethereum USD has just hit $2810.69, recording a notable decline of 5.19% today. The intraday low touched $2790.01, while the high reached $3028.99. With a market cap of approximately $354 billion, Ethereum’s trading volume climbed to 369,841,310, surpassing its average volume of 291,012,931. This surge in volume indicates growing market interest amidst volatility.

Technical Indicators Signal Bearish Sentiment

Several technical indicators suggest a bearish trend for Ethereum USD. The RSI stands at 40.89, indicating potential oversold conditions. The MACD, at -86.59 with a histogram of 36.25, further supports a bearish outlook. Meanwhile, the ADX at 38.15 shows a strong trend, reinforcing current market conditions.

Forecasts and Future Outlooks

ETHUSD’s monthly forecast predicts a potential dip to $2644.67, aligning with current bearish signals. However, a quarterly forecast of $3457.34 suggests possible recovery in the medium term. Long-term predictions show promising growth, with a yearly target of $3367.76 and a five-year forecast of $4809.89. Forecasts can change due to macroeconomic shifts, regulations, or unexpected events affecting the crypto market.

Market Sentiment and News Impact

Recent coverage by Yahoo Finance highlights broader market declines impacting Ethereum. With major cryptos experiencing downturns, Ethereum’s recent price action reflects broader market jitters. The fluctuating sentiment underscores caution, and traders are closely monitoring global economic pointers and regulatory updates for cues.

Final Thoughts

Ethereum USD’s recent price drop highlights significant market volatility. While technical indicators lean bearish, the forecast suggests mixed signals with potential for mid-term recovery. Traders should stay informed, considering factors like economic policy changes or regulatory shifts that could alter the crypto landscape drastically.

FAQs

What is the current price of ETHUSD?

As of the latest data, the price of ETHUSD is $2810.69 after a decline of 5.19% today, dropping by $153.71 from its previous close of $2964.4.
ETHUSD

What are the key technical indicators for Ethereum USD?

Key indicators include an RSI of 40.89, MACD at -86.59, and ADX at 38.15, all pointing to a bearish sentiment in the current market conditions for ETHUSD.

What are the future price forecasts for ETHUSD?

The monthly forecast is $2644.67, while the quarterly forecast is $3457.34. Long-term projections expect ETHUSD to reach $3367.76 annually and $4809.89 in five years.

How does recent news influence the ETHUSD price?

Recent news coverage indicates broader market declines, impacting Ethereum USD and reflecting general market uncertainty. Economic policies and regulations are closely watched for potential impacts.

Is Ethereum USD expected to recover soon?

While current technical indicators show a bearish trend, the mid-term forecast suggests a possible recovery. Traders should keep an eye on macroeconomic and regulatory developments.

Disclaimer:


Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. This content is for informational purposes only.
The Forecast Prediction Model is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.
Meyka AI PTY LTD provides market data and sentiment analysis, not financial advice.
Always do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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18 12, 2025

Coinbase Unveils Prediction Markets, Stock Trading and Solana DeFi Integration

By |2025-12-18T04:43:52+02:00December 18, 2025|News, NFT News|0 Comments


In brief

  • Coinbase will allow customers to trade stocks that aren’t tokenized.
  • The firm will also offer access to Kalshi-powered prediction markets.
  • The exchange’s app now supports novel assets on Solana.

Coinbase signaled on Wednesday that its platform is expanding beyond digital assets, with U.S. customers gaining access to traditional stock trading as part of a sweeping update.

In a livestreamed event, the exchange detailed changes to over a dozen new and existing products, ranging from prediction markets to decentralized finance on Solana, as well as an end-to-end platform for creating digital representations of real-world assets.

As a commission-free brokerage, Coinbase said it will support thousands of equities and exchange-traded funds in the coming months, which trade five days a week. The company also plans to introduce perpetual futures tied to stocks outside the U.S. next year.

The offering mirrors services offered by competitors like Kraken and Robinhood, which Coinbase described as an “important milestone toward enabling tokenized stocks.” Coinbase also plans to debut a service allowing institutions to tokenize assets.

In an interview with Decrypt, Coinbase Head of Trading Scott Shapiro said the company hopes to offer access to tokenized stock trading in the coming quarter. He noted that Coinbase’s stock offering, from the get-go, is compatible with Circle’s USDC stablecoin.

“There’s still a lot of work to do,” he said, explaining that the tokenization timeline is largely dependent on guidance being crafted by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. “The government shutdown obviously didn’t help.”

Shapiro said that Coinbase’s model for tokenization will allow market participants to “wrap and unwrap” traditional shares, which can move across various blockchains and applications while “the underlying stock is still custodied in a safe place.”

Following Robinhood’s support of Kalshi-powered prediction markets this summer, Coinbase indicated that its entry into space will also tap the Polymarket competitor. The company noted that it plans to integrate additional prediction market platforms in the future.

The company said that it will also allow U.S. customers to trade perpetual futures, which allow traders to indefinitely hold leveraged positions tied to digital assets. In July, Coinbase began offering perpetual-style futures for Bitcoin and Ethereum.

The company said that customers can now trade any asset that’s supported on a Solana-based decentralized exchange directly within Coinbase’s mobile app. The feature was teased in August, when Coinbase first offered access to tokens on its Ethereum layer-2 network, Base.

“With millions of assets on Base and Solana now available by default in the main Coinbase app, we’ll continue expanding to further networks over time,” a company blog post stated.

Coinbase highlighted that its Base app, a rebrand of the company’s self-custody wallet, has become available in 140 countries. The app allows users to earn from posts and play games, blending social elements with features that crypto users have grown accustomed to.

The company said its “system update” also entails an AI-powered advisor for wealth management that can help customers build portfolios or digest news.

Finally, the exchange said that it would offer a service allowing companies to create custom stablecoins, allowing them to put their “brand front-and-center in every transaction.” That dovetails with x402, an internet standard stablecoin payments that can be used to power AI agent payments, the exchange added.

Analysts at investment bank Compass Point estimated this week that Coinbase could take in $230 million annually from prediction markets. However, analysts at investment bank Mizuho also warned that a significant portion of users are likely to sell crypto to fund wagers.

Coinbase shares changed hands around $244 on Wednesday, according to Yahoo Finance. The company’s stock price has declined around nearly 2% year-to-date, as it continues to lay the groundwork for its vision for the future of finance.

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18 12, 2025

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Quick Reclaim of 200-Day – Counter-Trend Rally Begins

By |2025-12-18T04:38:37+02:00December 18, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


False Breakdown Context

Tuesday’s decline was confirmed with a daily close below both dynamic trend indicators, but Wednesday’s swift response turned it into a potential false breakdown. The completion of the key Fibonacci retracement, together with this quick reclaim, suggests a counter-trend rally may have started. Tuesday marked the seventh consecutive day of lower daily highs and lows that followed a minor three-year high of $5.02 reached earlier this month.

Prior Breakdown Recap

The 50-day average was broken a week ago Tuesday, followed by a drop through the lower trendline of a rising channel that accelerated the decline to the 200-day average. Sharp moves commonly follow failed breakouts, and the rapid recovery on Wednesday fits that classic pattern.

Short-Term Resistance Cluster

The most obvious potential resistance zone if natural gas continues strengthening short-term spans from a November swing low of $4.09 up to the 50% retracement at $4.32. Included within that band is the 50-day average at $4.26 currently, while the falling 20-day average at $4.34 will soon enter the range. The 38.2% Fibonacci retracement also sits inside at $4.15. A swing back to test prior support areas as resistance is a natural progression following the breakdown of an advancing trend channel.

Confirmation Levels

Key near-term support now rests at Wednesday’s low of $3.69; a drop below shows weakness rather than additional strength. A rally above Monday’s high of $3.92 further confirms the bullish reversal and raises odds that the higher resistance zone gets tested on this bounce.

Outlook

Natural gas has flipped from a confirmed breakdown of the 200-day average with Tuesday’s close below the average, to a potential false breakdown with the rapid reclaim of the 200-day average and trendline off the 61.8% Fib completion. Hold $3.69 and push above $3.92 to target $4.09–$4.32; failure to defend current lows re-exposes deeper correction, while the counter-trend rally case stays favored until proven otherwise.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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18 12, 2025

Bitcoin Slips Near $86,000 as ETF Outflows and Risk-Off Mood Shape the Forecast

By |2025-12-18T03:48:35+02:00December 18, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Bitcoin’s USD price (BTC-USD) is trading in a tense range on December 17, 2025, as traders weigh conflicting signals: persistent U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF outflows, a still-uncertain Federal Reserve rate path, and evidence that institutional interest remains real—but increasingly selective.

As of writing, Bitcoin (BTC-USD) is around $86,108, down about 1.6% versus the prior close, after printing an intraday high near $90,187 and low near $85,355.

That level keeps BTC well below its October peak (around the mid-$126,000s), and it helps explain why “year-end rebound” headlines are being met with skepticism across both crypto-native and traditional markets. [1]

Bitcoin price today: BTC-USD holds the mid-$80,000s after a volatile December

While price action has been choppy, several market reads describe Bitcoin as range-bound rather than in free-fall.

  • Investing.com reported BTC trading above $88,000 earlier Wednesday (U.S. morning), but noted gains were limited by ongoing ETF outflows and uncertainty around the Fed’s interest-rate outlook. [2]
  • Glassnode’s Dec. 17 “Week On-Chain” analysis similarly framed Bitcoin as “trapped” under heavy overhead supply, with price recently rejected near ~$93k and drifting lower—behavior consistent with a market leaning more toward time-based consolidation than a clean trend reversal. [3]

In other words: BTC-USD is still moving fast (as it always can), but the bigger story today is the tug-of-war between structural support and overhead selling pressure.

What’s moving Bitcoin today: the 3 biggest drivers in the news on Dec. 17, 2025

1) Spot Bitcoin ETF flows: outflows are back in focus

One of the most watched BTC-USD drivers in late 2025 remains spot ETF flow momentum—and the latest data has turned into a clear headline.

Farside Investors data shows U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a net outflow of about $277.2 million on Dec. 16, with IBIT at -$210.7 million, while FBTC showed +$26.7 million (and several others were negative or flat). [4]

That matters because multiple market notes argue ETF demand is now the “swing factor” for Bitcoin—especially as other sources of incremental buying have slowed (more on that below). [5]

2) Macro uncertainty: Fed path and inflation data are driving risk appetite

Bitcoin has increasingly traded like a high-beta risk asset in 2025—moving with (and sometimes exaggerating) shifts in broader risk sentiment.

Investing.com explicitly pointed to:

  • Mixed labor-market signals complicating expectations for the pace of future Fed cuts, and
  • U.S. inflation data due Thursday as the next key macro catalyst. [6]

That “macro-first” framing also shows up in on-chain commentary: Glassnode described weak ETF flows, thin spot liquidity, and defensive positioning leaving BTC sensitive to macro catalysts. [7]

3) Post-drawdown positioning: investors are more cautious, leverage is being managed

A Reuters analysis published today says the recent downturn has pushed investors toward risk-managed strategies, highlighting a broader shift: crypto exposure is increasingly expressed through ETFs, options, and structured tools, rather than pure directional bets. [8]

Reuters also emphasized how the downturn hit some of the most “hyped” corners of the market—particularly bitcoin-treasury companies, whose premiums have compressed sharply as BTC fell from its October highs. [9]

BTC-USD forecast: key support and resistance levels analysts are watching

Forecasts for Bitcoin tend to cluster around levels—because in crypto, narratives often change at specific prices.

Here are the most-cited BTC-USD zones in today’s analysis:

Support zone: $81,000–$82,000 (then $80,000 as the line in the sand)

  • Glassnode identifies support near ~$81k and discusses the “True Market Mean” around $81.3k as a level defended by patient buyers. [10]
  • DailyForex calls $80,000 the market’s “floor” in the current setup. [11]
  • Barron’s cited a view that BTC could test $80,000–$82,000 if risk aversion persists. [12]

Why this area matters: If Bitcoin loses the low-$80Ks, the market conversation can quickly shift from “consolidation” to “breakdown.”

Resistance zone: $93,000–$95,000 (then $100,000+)

  • Glassnode highlights rejection near ~$93k and flags that failure to reclaim ~$95k keeps upside constrained. [13]
  • DailyForex places resistance near $95,000 (around the 50-day EMA), with $100,000 as the next psychological test if bulls regain control. [14]

Why this area matters: A clean break above ~$95k would reduce the “overhead supply” pressure narrative and could shift market tone quickly back toward $100k debates.

Short-term Bitcoin price prediction: 3 scenarios for the days ahead

No one can forecast Bitcoin perfectly—especially in a market where macro headlines can reprice risk in minutes. But today’s research largely points to scenario planning.

Scenario A: Range holds (most consistent with today’s positioning)

If ETF flows remain mixed and macro data doesn’t surprise, analysts describing BTC as “range-bound” see price oscillating between low-$80Ks support and mid-$90Ks resistance into year-end. [15]

Glassnode also notes large December options expiries (including Dec. 26) may contribute to “pinning” behavior that reinforces range trading. [16]

Scenario B: Bear break below $80,000

A decisive move below $80k is the level where several forecasts get harsher. DailyForex suggests that a breakdown could open the door to much deeper downside targets (with $65k mentioned as a potential level in that scenario). [17]

Scenario C: Bull reclaim above $95,000

If macro risk sentiment improves and ETF flows stabilize, a move above ~$95k is widely treated as the “regain momentum” trigger, with $100k the next major psychological battleground. [18]

Longer-term Bitcoin forecast: what major institutions and analysts are projecting for 2026+

Long-range BTC-USD forecasts vary wildly—but a few calls are dominating the December conversation because they come with clear assumptions about where demand will come from next.

Standard Chartered: $150,000 by end-2026, $500,000 by 2030 (but slower than previously expected)

Reuters’ Live Markets report (Dec. 10) said Standard Chartered’s Geoff Kendrick cut 2025 and 2026 forecasts in half, now expecting around $100,000 by end-2025 and $150,000 by end-2026, while still keeping a longer-run view that Bitcoin could reach $500,000 by 2030. [19]

Investing.com’s coverage adds important color: Kendrick argued the recent drawdown is steep but “within historical norms,” and that future upside is expected to be driven largely by ETF inflows, with bitcoin-treasury-company buying no longer assumed to be a reliable incremental support. [20]

That same demand-shift theme is echoed in Reuters’ broader Dec. 17 analysis: the crypto market is “maturing,” with more structured tools and more nuanced exposure replacing the earlier era of reflexive leverage. [21]

Media and retail-facing forecasts: $200,000 in 2026 is possible—but increasingly framed as a “high bar”

The Motley Fool’s Dec. 17 piece explicitly questions whether BTC can hit $200,000 in 2026, calling the “more than doubling” required from current levels a tall task and pointing to more cautious outlooks after the late-2025 pullback. [22]

While these aren’t bank research notes, they’re indicative of a broader shift in tone: fewer “straight line up” calls, more probability-weighted framing around macro conditions, ETF flows, and risk sentiment.

The bigger story behind today’s BTC-USD price: Bitcoin is institutional—but it still trades on risk

One of the most important through-lines in today’s reporting is the idea that Bitcoin has become more “institutional” in market structure—without necessarily becoming less volatile.

Reuters highlighted ongoing institutional involvement (including endowments and sovereign wealth funds) even as investors get more cautious after the drawdown. [23]

At the same time, crypto’s relationship with broader tech-and-risk narratives continues to show up in coverage. Barron’s described Bitcoin as behaving less like gold and more like a risk-sensitive asset tied to broader market sentiment, while warning of downside tests if risk aversion persists. [24]

What to watch next for Bitcoin (BTC-USD)

If you’re tracking Bitcoin price today with an eye on the forecast, the next catalysts most cited in today’s reporting are:

  • U.S. inflation data (Thursday) and how it reshapes rate-cut expectations [25]
  • Daily spot Bitcoin ETF flow data, especially whether outflows continue or reverse [26]
  • Whether BTC holds $81k–$80k support (a level cited across multiple analyses) [27]
  • Whether BTC can reclaim ~$95k resistance, which several analysts treat as the momentum reset point [28]

References

1. www.reuters.com, 2. www.investing.com, 3. insights.glassnode.com, 4. farside.co.uk, 5. www.investing.com, 6. www.investing.com, 7. insights.glassnode.com, 8. www.reuters.com, 9. www.reuters.com, 10. insights.glassnode.com, 11. www.dailyforex.com, 12. www.barrons.com, 13. insights.glassnode.com, 14. www.dailyforex.com, 15. insights.glassnode.com, 16. insights.glassnode.com, 17. www.dailyforex.com, 18. www.dailyforex.com, 19. www.reuters.com, 20. www.investing.com, 21. www.reuters.com, 22. www.fool.com, 23. www.reuters.com, 24. www.barrons.com, 25. www.investing.com, 26. farside.co.uk, 27. insights.glassnode.com, 28. insights.glassnode.com

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