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11 12, 2025

Platinum price is waiting to surpass the barrier – Forecast today – 11-12-2025

By |2025-12-11T11:16:12+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Platinum price surrendered to the sideways bias dominance, to fluctuate slowly near$1660.00 level, affected by the stability at $1695.00 barrier, which obstructs the chances of resuming the main bullish attack.

 

The price might keep providing sideways trading, however the stability above the extra support of $1605.00 supports the chances of renewing the bullish attempts, therefore, we will keep waiting for breaching the current barrier, to open the way for recording new gains that might begin at $1715.00 and $1745.00.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $1635.00 and $1695.00

 

Trend forecast: Sideways until achieving the breach

 





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11 12, 2025

The EURJPY repeats the positive stability– Forecast today – 11-12-2025

By |2025-12-11T10:44:07+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Platinum price surrendered to the sideways bias dominance, to fluctuate slowly near$1660.00 level, affected by the stability at $1695.00 barrier, which obstructs the chances of resuming the main bullish attack.

 

The price might keep providing sideways trading, however the stability above the extra support of $1605.00 supports the chances of renewing the bullish attempts, therefore, we will keep waiting for breaching the current barrier, to open the way for recording new gains that might begin at $1715.00 and $1745.00.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $1635.00 and $1695.00

 

Trend forecast: Sideways until achieving the breach

 



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11 12, 2025

Precision probiotics from kimchi and collagen companions

By |2025-12-11T10:37:06+02:00December 11, 2025|Dietary Supplements News, News|0 Comments


Spotlighted in Innova Market Insights’ Top Trends for 2025, the “Taste the Glow” consumer trend embodies the expansion of beauty-related claims into food and beverage products. Key advances in the field include a precision probiotic isolated from kimchi to target skin conditions. Meanwhile, collagen remains a leading inclusion, boosted by complementary ingredients like OptiMSM that improves skin thickness and hydration.

As drivers of demand behind functional beauty ingredients, the majority of Gen Z and Millennial consumers surveyed by Innova Market Insights say that they want to buy food, beverage, or supplement products for their personal appearance. Younger consumers crave functional soft drinks, tea, and chocolate, and are highly receptive to novelty and creative packaging.

Nutrition Insight speaks with Bioiberica, AB-Biotics, Balchem Human Nutrition & Health, and ADM on the latest market insights and scientific advances propelling ingestible beauty. 

Trends in beauty-from-within

Around two-thirds of consumers now recognize skin health as a key indicator of overall health, highlights Mónica Gomez Navarro, marketing manager of Branded Ingredients at Bioiberica.

“This helps explain why demand for skin-focused products is expanding beyond the traditional demographic of older women, with consumers across age groups and genders actively seeking out products that allow them to both feel and look their best.”

Gomez Navarro adds that the fundamentals of popular nutricosmetic formats tend to remain consistent, even as specific ingredients or benefits fall in and out of fashion. “Consumers want what they’ve always wanted: convenience, reassurance, and enjoyment.”

“Right now, the hottest formats fulfilling these needs are products like fortified teas, yogurts, and other dairy products that lend themselves to a moment of ‘me’ time. Quick and easy options like fortified gummies also remain firm favorites.”

Woman taking probiotic supplement Biotics are increasingly paired with complementary nutrients that have established roles in skin function.Miquel Bonachera, co-founder at AB-Biotics, observes that biotics are increasingly paired with complementary nutrients that have established roles in skin function. “Probiotics or postbiotics combined with zinc, support skin maintenance, while pairings with niacin or vitamin C target oxidative stress and antioxidant defense.”

“Hyaluronic acid also appears frequently in hydration-focused formulations. There’s also a growing interest in psychobiotics combined with melatonin in markets where it’s permitted, as brands and consumers alike recognize the role of stress management in holistic skin care.”

In terms of geographic activity, Bonachera says Asia-Pacific continues to lead in innovation due to strong consumer awareness of inside-out beauty approaches. Holistic formulations addressing both appearance and emotional well-being are rapidly growing in North America, while European demand maintains its focus on regulatory compliance and evidence-backed ingredients.

Boosting collagen function

While the beauty-from-within market as a whole is booming, Jessica Arnaly, senior marketing and business development manager at Balchem Human Nutrition & Health highlights that collagen’s mainstay status is sustained by “especially strong growth.”

She says Balchem’s OptiMSM is a “perfect complement” to collagen for skin health. “Our methylsulfonylmethane (MSM) ingredient is a source of organic sulfur that aids collagen formation and other key building blocks of skin, like dermatan sulfate and hyaluronic acid.”

“It also supports the body’s network of defenses through production of glutathione, a crucial antioxidant that helps support the immune system via methylation and other epigenetic processes. All this helps keep our hair, nails, and skin looking their best as we age.”

A recent, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial compared the effects of 12 weeks of daily supplementation with either collagen alone, collagen plus MSM, or placebo on various skin parameters. 

Arnaly says the results were significant: “While the group receiving collagen showed a noticeable improvement in skin density and wrinkle depth compared to both their baseline and the placebo, participants who received both MSM and collagen experienced additional and enhanced skin benefits.”

“Skin roughness was reduced in both supplement groups, but to a greater extent in those receiving both MSM and collagen,” she continues. “Additionally, only participants taking collagen plus MSM showed increased skin thickness and hydration.”

Combining collagen with MSM, OptiMSM is ideal for inclusion in increasingly popular functional food and beverage products marketed as “GLP-1 receptor agonist companions.”While avoiding clumping and residue, Arnaly touts OptiMSM as ideal for inclusion in increasingly popular functional food and beverage products marketed as “GLP-1 receptor agonist companions.” Products of this type are nutritionally dense foods or supplements designed to minimize skin issues that can occur as a result of rapid weight loss. 

“This can include deflation, dehydration, and sagging — symptoms often referred to as ‘Ozempic face,’” she notes. “Thanks to its skin firmness benefits, OptiMSM makes an effective addition to any food and beverage solution that aims to support users throughout their GLP-1 journey.”

Glow with hyaluronic acid

Bioiberica spotlights a recently published peer-reviewed study published in Dermatology and Therapy supporting the skin health benefits of its hyaluronic acid matrix ingredient, Dermial. 

Featuring a high concentration of hyaluronic acid (>60%), collagen, and other glycosaminoglycans, including dermatan sulfate, Dermial is marketed as the first hyaluronic acid matrix ingredient for beauty-from-within. 

“The results showed its powerful regenerative and moisturizing properties, alongside a unique ‘glow’ effect, all of which was achieved at six weeks with the low daily dose of 60 mg per day,” says Gomez Navarro.

The trial involved 60 healthy female participants aged 35–65 with signs of natural skin aging, who were assigned either a daily supplement of 60 mg of Dermial or a placebo. At six and 12 weeks, researchers observed significant improvements in skin wrinkles and smoothness (at six weeks), as well as roughness and pH balance (at 12 weeks), compared with the placebo group.  

“Participants in the Dermial supplement group also displayed a significant increase in skin brightness and hydration, as well as decreased scaliness and skin temperature at six and 12 weeks,” Gomez Navarro elaborates.

“Participants over 55 years old showed significant improvements across many skin barrier function parameters and skin properties, including brightness or glow, hydration, deformability, smoothness, roughness, scaliness, and temperature.”

Bioiberica has created concept formulations for yogurts and milk beverages featuring Dermial — trending formats that demonstrate the ingredient’s stability and adaptability, even when subject to pasteurization or ultra-heat treatment.

Growing attention to gut-skin axis

Studies investigating ingestible beauty options through the gut-skin axis are on the rise, indicating opportunities to leverage microbiome-supporting solutions

“The most recent introduction to our postbiotics suite, Lactobacillus gasseri CP2305, has clinical evidence demonstrating outcomes associated with stress management, mood support, and sleep quality in addition to support for specific demographics,” says Vaughn DuBow, senior director, Product Portfolio Marketing, Health & Wellness at ADM.

He details that research on healthy young women (average age of 21.5 years) experiencing premenstrual symptoms indicate that supplementing with L. gasseri CP2305 postbiotic may help improve skin appearance. “The data also shows L. gasseri CP2305 postbiotic may support positive moods, reduce stress or anxiety, help improve vaginal discharge, and help reduce occasional constipation for these healthy young women.”

This research also finds that the effects of L. gasseri CP2305 postbiotic on skin appearance and vaginal discharge may be mediated through the hypothalamus-pituitary-gonadal axis. “During the premenstrual period, supplementation with L. gasseri CP2305 postbiotic maintained estradiol levels and increased progesterone during the luteal phase,” notes DuBow.

ADM has also explored probiotic blends that address tailored skin health concerns with probiotics Bifidobacterium longum CECT7347 (ES1), B. animalis subsp. lactis CECT8145 (BPL1), and L. casei CECT9104 (BPL4). DuBow says the blend may help support relief for dry, itchy skin and help improve skin health.

“We have also assessed our Smooth Skin Formulation containing ES1, BPL1, and L. rhamnosus CECT8361 (BPL15), with findings showing it may support overall skin health, gut microbiome diversity, and clear and healthy skin.”

ADM’s beauty and wellness library is continuously expanding its range of bioactives and other plant-derived compounds. “A key example is our recently published study on Novasoy. The triple-blind, randomized, parallel, placebo-controlled pilot study examined, in postmenopausal women, the effects of oral soy isoflavone supplementation (Novasoy 400) for 12 weeks, compared to a placebo,” says DuBow

“Although statistical differences between groups were not reported, preliminary findings revealed a correlation between women who produced higher levels of S-equol (a gut-derived metabolite formed from soy isoflavones) and positive effects on skin under-eye smoothness, skin hydration, and barrier function. Further research would elucidate these findings.”

More on functional biotics

AB-Biotics’ AB-Sakei 65 is a probiotic ingredient that taps into the gut-skin axis, details Bonachera. “AB-Sakei 65 consists of our proprietary strain, L. sakei proBio65 — isolated from kimchi, is designed specifically for people managing sensitive or reactive skin and experiencing dryness, tightness, or occasional flare-prone discomfort.” 

It works by modulating systemic immune activity associated with skin barrier balance as seen in clinical trials where AB-Sakei 65 was associated with reduced levels of the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-4 and IL-6, as well as the allergen specific antibody IgE.

Additionally, Bonachera notes people taking the probiotic showed reduced levels of molecules that are associated with the severity and discomfort of flare-ups in sensitive and atopic-prone skin. 

“In addition to these immune-related findings, participants receiving AB-Sakei 65 also saw improvements in skin hydration parameters, including moisture and sebum balance,” he adds.

Looking at future product development, he anticipates research will focus on a more integrated approach that explores how internal and external solutions work together. “As consumer understanding of the skin microbiome deepens, we’re seeing growing interest in combining ingestible products with topical applications built on the same scientific principles.”

“This creates a natural opportunity for us to explore cosmetic formats that complement our oral solutions, particularly using inactivated strains that offer the stability and texture compatibility that topical formulations demand.”



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11 12, 2025

Why is SOL falling today?

By |2025-12-11T10:28:21+02:00December 11, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Solana (SOL) price is trading below $130 at the time of writing on Thursday, after being rejected at the upper boundary of its falling wedge pattern. The broader market weakness following the Federal Reserve’s hawkish rate cut has added to downside momentum. Additionally, SOL’s on-chain data suggest further downside, with rising sell-side dominance.

Fed’s cautious rate cut weighs on riskier assets

The broader crypto market softened after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday. In a widely expected move, the US Federal Reserve (Fed) lowered interest rates by 25 basis points to 3.50%-3.75% at the end of its two-day policy meeting but signaled a likely pause in January. 

Adding to the cautious tone, policymakers projected only a one-quarter-percentage-point cut in 2026, the same outlook as in September, which tempered market expectations and contributed to short-term pressure on risk assets. This hawkish rate cut and the Fed’s cautious stance triggered a slight risk-off sentiment, weighing on riskier assets, with major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple, and Solana trading lower as of Thursday.

On-chain data shows bearish signs 

CryptoQuant data, as shown in the graph below, highlights selling pressure on Solana. The Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) for SOL turned negative on Wednesday. This indicator measures the cumulative difference between market buy and sell volumes over three months. When the 90-day CVD is positive and increasing, it suggests the Taker Buy Dominant Phase, while a negative and decreasing value indicates the Taker Sell Dominant Phase.

SOL Spot Taker CVD chart. Source: CryptoQuant

CryptoQuant’s Futures Average Order Size indicator — which tracks the average size of executed SOL futures trades — shows a rise in smaller order sizes, signaling increased retail activity in the market that does not bode well with the SOL price.

Solana Futures Average Order Size indicator chart. Source: CryptoQuant

Solana Price Forecast: SOL faces rejection from key level

Solana price faced rejection from the upper trendline boundary of the falling wedge pattern (drawn ) on Wednesday. As of Thursday, SOL is down 3.87% to around $130.99.

If SOL continues its downward trend, it could extend the decline toward the November 21 low of $121.66.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily reads 40, below its neutral level of 50 and pointing downward, indicating bearish momentum. 

SOL/USDT daily chart 

However, if SOL recovers, it could extend the recovery toward the 50-day EMA at $151.60.

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11 12, 2025

$4,250 remains a tough nut to crack for XAU/USD buyers

By |2025-12-11T09:15:06+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Gold is testing bearish commitments at the $4,250 psychological level on Thursday, pausing a two-day uptrend as markets weigh a less hawkish than feared US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy announcements.   

Gold awaits US jobs data after the Fed verdict

Gold extended its overnight advance into early Asian trading on Thursday before witnessing a profit-taking pullback as sellers jumped in once again at the $4,250 level.

Non-yielding assets such as Gold built on its recent bullish momentum after the Fed delivered on the expected 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut to 3.5%-3.75% on Wednesday.

Despite the widely anticipated rate cut, the US Dollar was slammed across the board alongside the US Treasury bond yields as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at his post-meeting press conference stuck to a cautious tone, disappointing those who had been positioned for a more hawkish one.

Markets continued to price in two more rate cuts next year, against the Fed’s median expectation for a single quarter-percentage-point cut next year, powering Gold at the expense of the Greenback.

Traders picked up on the Fed’s concerns over a slowing labor market, lending further support to the bright metal.

Now, with the critical Fed event risk out of the way, the focus turns toward the US employment data, with the Jobless Claims eagerly wait for fresh insights on the state of the labor market ahead of next week’s delayed Nonfarm Payrolls releases.

Gold price technical analysis: Daily chart

In the daily chart, XAU/USD trades at $4,225.19. The 21-, 50-, 100- and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) climb in bullish alignment, with the shorter ones above the longer ones. Price holds above all these references, reinforcing buyers’ control. The Relative Strength Index (14) prints at 61.83, positive and shy of overbought. Measured from the $4,381.17 high to the $3,885.84 low, the 61.8% retracement at $4,191.95 has been reclaimed, while the 78.6% retracement at $4,275.16 caps the topside.

On dips, the 21-day SMA at $4,157.88 offers initial support, with the 50-day at $4,105.76 cushioning deeper pullbacks. Momentum stays firm while the RSI holds above 50; a loss of the 21-day average could slow the rally and send price toward the 50-day SMA.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool)

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



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11 12, 2025

GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Eases as Traders Anticipate BoE Cut Next Week

By |2025-12-11T08:43:08+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • The GBP/USD forecast slightly edges lower despite the dollar weakness led by the dovish Fed tone.
  • Lower US yields and broad greenback weakness continue to put a risk floor under GBP/USD.
  • Pound stays vulnerable with growing expectations of a BoE rate cut next week.

The GBP/USD price is trading lower near 1.3365 on Thursday ahead of the London session, pressured by a modest rebound in the US dollar following Wednesday’s Federal Reserve meeting. Despite the pullback, the downside remains limited as the Fed ultimately delivered a dovish tone, encouraging investors to sell the greenback into any strength.

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The Fed cuts the rate by 25 bps for the third straight meeting. However, the voting split, with two members favoring a pause and Trump-appointed Stephen Miran requesting a more substantial move, reflects the growing division within the committee.

In Powell’s press conference, he emphasized that policymakers need time to assess the impact of the easing on the economy. Meanwhile, the Fed projected only one cut in 2026, but traders are speculating on two more cuts, especially after Powell flagged the downside risk to the labor market.  The shift in tone triggered a broad dollar sell-off, with the Dollar Index falling to the lowest level since October 21, while the GBP/USD marked a fresh top at 1.3391 before falling.

US yields also slid after the Fed announced fresh Treasury bill purchases, starting from December 12, initiating $40 billion program to stabilize liquidity. The earlier-than-expected balance sheet expansion plan weighed on the yields, adding more pressure on the dollar.

However, the GBP outlook remains complex amid the Bank of England’s easing expectations. Markets now price in an 88% probability of a BoE rate cut next week, following a series of softer UK data that signals easing inflationary pressure. The divergence, with the Fed being flexible and the BoE moving sooner than expected, is limiting the GBP/USD from extending its rally despite dollar weakness.

The broad market sentiment remains cautious as the GBP/USD is left to balance between the dovish Fed and the vulnerability in the pound linked to the BoE. Traders now await the US initial Jobless Claims data due in Thursday’s New York Session for intraday direction.

GBP/USD Technical Forecast: Correction Before Bullish Continuation

GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Eases as Traders Anticipate BoE Cut Next Week
GBP/USD 4-hour chart

The GBP/USD 4-hour chart shows the price drifting slowly towards the 20-period MA at around 1.3350. The RSI is off the overbought zone but remains stable, indicating a temporary choppiness before an upside continuation.

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However, breaching the 20-period MA could push the price further down towards the 50-period MA at 1.3330, ahead of the demand zone around 1.3275. On the upside, today’s top at 1.3391 remains a key resistance ahead of 1.3420.

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11 12, 2025

Is ADA Breakout Signaling a Strong Reversal Amid NIGHT Token Buzz?

By |2025-12-11T08:27:21+02:00December 11, 2025|Crypto News, News|0 Comments

Cardano is back in the headlines after its privacy-focused sidechain, Midnight, secured a listing on Binance for its native token, NIGHT. The listing gained attention because NIGHT was featured on Binance Alpha’s front page and came with airdrop perks for eligible users. The move coincides with renewed momentum for ADA.

As per the Coingecko data, the token has risen nearly +10% over the past week and is trading around $0.4325.

Binance Wallet confirmed that Binance Alpha listed NIGHT on December 9. Binance added that supporting the token aligns with its goal of promoting “rational privacy,” a core principle behind Midnight’s design.

The project aims to provide users with private transactions while still meeting regulatory standards that many older privacy networks struggle with.

Midnight operates as a hybrid model, offering confidentiality without compromising compliance. This approach sets it apart from traditional privacy-focused chains. Interest in Midnight’s launch has spread across major exchanges. Bybit, OKX, Bitpanda, MEXC, and Gate.io all confirmed plans to list NIGHT.

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Crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted on X that the increasing supply of Cardano (ADA) entering circulation is putting downward pressure on its price, pointing to potential short-term weakness for the network’s native token.

Meanwhile, Cardano’s ADA broke through a key downtrend this week. The move has sparked renewed optimism among traders after months of declining prices.

The move came shortly after crypto analyst Captain Faibik reported a confirmed breakout on X, noting, “$ADA #Cardano Major trendline Breakout is Confirmed.. +10% Profit so far in a few hours..”

Cardano (ADA) is showing signs of a potential trend reversal on the 4-hour chart.

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The price has broken above a long-standing descending trendline that has kept the market under pressure since early October.

The breakout candle is strong and clean, signaling solid buying interest. ADA moved sharply from the $0.43–$0.44 range and is now trading above a level that had repeatedly blocked upward attempts in recent weeks.

The chart also highlights a shift in momentum. After a stretch of lower highs and lower lows, ADA formed a rounded bottom pattern through late November and early December.

This breakout confirms that buyers have gained control for the first time in two months.

Volume is rising around the breakout, adding credibility to the move and suggesting that the upward push has underlying strength.

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11 12, 2025

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Wedge Breakdown + Weekly Reversal Points to 50-Day

By |2025-12-11T07:13:45+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Classic Support-to-Resistance Flip

The 20-day average at $4.68—decisively broken on Tuesday—was tested and rejected as resistance Wednesday with the session high of $4.70, delivering textbook bearish behavior where prior dynamic support transforms into overhead supply. Yesterday’s daily close below that average locked in the breakdown, immediately shifting focus to the 50-day average as the next prominent dynamic support line on the downside path.

Ascending Wedge Breakdown Adds Conviction

Compounding the bearish case, the lower boundary line of the ascending wedge pattern was violated as well, providing additional technical confirmation for the corrective thrust. Although a brief bounce could materialize before natural gas presses lower, the overall trajectory suggests it will eventually unfold that way after the hard sell-off that followed last week’s $5.50 high.

10-Day Average Role in the Reversal

That $5.50 peak looks to have completed the short-term trend for now, with the decisive selling immediately after and the failure of a key trend indicator like the 20-day average tipping the scales heavily toward bears. Any potential bounce in the near term may encounter resistance at higher price levels, including not just the 20-day average but also the 10-day line at $4.87. Monday’s low found support right around that average, only for Tuesday’s high to meet it as resistance, again illustrating how prior dynamic support is now showing as resistance and providing even further evidence for the bears.

Weekly Reversal Takes Shape

Further bearish alignment appears on the weekly chart, where a one-week reversal has already triggered this week and there is a good chance the close will confirm the breakdown below last week’s low of $4.76. The weekly trend has held strong since the October higher swing low at $2.89, marking seven straight weeks up. This represents the first decisive breakdown of a prior week’s low since then, a development that underscores the shift in sentiment.

Channel Dynamics Reveal Overextension

The relationship to a couple of rising trend channels provides further indications that the price of natural gas got severely overextended and was due for this bearish correction. Bullish momentum had accelerated sharply following a reclaim of the 200-day average, culminating in natural gas breaking out of a trend channel where the top channel line connects directly to the early-October swing high at $3.59. Then, on the new high day last week, there was a sharp breakout above the top channel line (200%) of the second channel—but that has proven to be a false breakout, as the swift reversal now validates.

Outlook

Natural gas continues to exhibit clear bearish control with the 20-day breakdown, wedge violation, and emerging weekly reversal all pointing to further downside toward the 50-day average. While a bounce testing the 10-day or 20-day as resistance fits the pattern, the overextended advance demands correction until excess unwinds—defense at the 50-day would signal possible stabilization, but momentum stays firmly with sellers for now.



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11 12, 2025

After the Fed rate cut, can Euro extend the breakout?

By |2025-12-11T06:42:10+02:00December 11, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/USD extends higher after the Fed cut: Dollar weakens as markets reprice 2026 path

EUR/USD traded sharply higher following the Federal Reserve’s December rate cut, a move that financial markets had largely priced in—but the reaction shows that the tone of Powell’s press conference carried even more weight.

Instead of signaling a one-and-done scenario, the Fed emphasized:

  • Slowing labor market momentum
  • Inflation progress continuing steadily
  • Openness to additional easing if conditions soften further

This pushed markets into a deeper dovish repricing, sending Treasury yields lower and undermining USD strength. EUR/USD immediately capitalized, breaking above previous swing highs and tapping levels not seen in weeks.

Why the Euro is strengthening after the Fed cut

Even though the ECB is not aggressively hawkish, the euro benefits from:

  1. A softer USD environment driven by slower expected U.S. growth
  2. Improving Eurozone sentiment indicators in PMI and confidence surveys
  3. Reduced recession probability in Europe heading into Q1 2026

The result: EUR/USD has shifted into a clearer bullish trend structure, supported by both fundamentals and technicals.

News drivers affecting EUR/USD (post-cut)

1. Fed rate cut (completed)

  • Target rate: 3.75% → 3.50% equivalent path
  • USD sold off broadly
  • Market now pricing another cut in 2026 if inflation continues to ease

Impact: Bearish USD → bullish EUR/USD

2. FOMC economic projections

  • Growth forecasts trimmed
  • Core inflation projections moved slightly lower
  • Fed’s median dot plot shows policy drifting toward a more accommodative stance

Impact: Reinforces downside pressure on the USD

3. Fed press conference

Powell acknowledged slowing demand and hinted that the balance of risks is shifting. He avoided sounding restrictive—this alone added fuel to EUR/USD buyers.

Impact: Encourages further EUR/USD upside unless future data reverses sentiment

Technical outlook

Your 4H charts show a newly formed bullish Fair Value Gap (FVG) following the impulsive rally post-FOMC. Price is currently sitting above the multi-week high around 1.1728, but short-term exhaustion is visible.

The rally has extended aggressively, suggesting that a corrective move into the 4H FVG is possible before continuation. The broader daily structure remains bullish, with clean displacement and a shift toward higher highs.

Bullish scenario: FVG tap → Continuation toward 1.1800–1.1850

A bullish continuation remains the higher-probability path if:

  • Price retraces into the 4H bullish FVG (1.1650–1.1675 zone)
  • Buyers defend the imbalance
  • We see a higher-low structure form on the H1/H4

Upside targets:

  • 1.1728 (multi-week high retest)
  • 1.1800 psychological level
  • 1.1850 extension target

A dovish Fed + structural breakout supports this idea.

Bearish scenario: Failure at 1.1728 → Deeper pullback

A corrective decline may unfold if:

  • EUR/USD rejects strongly from the multi-week high
  • The 4H FVG fails to hold on the first retest
  • Risk sentiment strengthens in favor of USD (e.g., strong NFP, hawkish Fed speakers later this month)

Downside levels:

  • 1.1650 FVG low
  • 1.1600 liquidity pocket
  • 1.1550 deeper structural retracement

This would not break the overall bullish narrative but would reset the trend.

Final thoughts

The December Fed rate cut has already reshaped USD expectations. With the door open for further easing and the U.S. economy cooling, EUR/USD now has fundamental backing for medium-term upside—provided the Eurozone doesn’t weaken sharply in upcoming data.

Technically, the market wants a pullback. Fundamentally, the dollar wants to soften.

Put together, EUR/USD favors buy-the-dip conditions into the 4H FVG unless macro data flips the narrative.

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11 12, 2025

Key Missing Tools Limiting US Pre-Market Review

By |2025-12-11T06:34:46+02:00December 11, 2025|Dietary Supplements News, News|0 Comments






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