Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in the domestic market recorded a more positive development. The average price reached 89,300 VND/kg, an increase of 100 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices increased by 100 VND/kg, to 89,300 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded a similar increase, bringing the purchase price to 89,300 VND/kg.

In the old Dak Nong area, coffee prices reached 89,400 VND/kg, an increase of 100 VND/kg and continued to be the highest level among the surveyed areas.

Lam Dong alone maintained the same level of 89,000 VND/kg, the lowest in the market.

Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 89,000-8,400 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 400 VND/kg.

The increase on June 22 took place after domestic coffee prices simultaneously decreased by 700 VND/kg in the previous update. However, the current price level is still below the threshold of 9,000 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 26,092 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

As of the update on June 22, the world coffee market has not had the closing results of the new trading session. The price list currently still reflects developments from the last weekend sessions.

On the London exchange, Robusta coffee futures for July 2026 stood at 3,640 USD/ton, down 45 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.22% compared to the previous session.

Robusta for September 2026 futures was at 3,592 USD/ton, down 37 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.02%. For November 2026 futures, it fell 32 USD/ton, to 3,555 USD/ton.

For further terms, Robusta in January 2027 stood at 3,522 USD/ton, down 23 USD/ton; March 2027 term reached 3,493 USD/ton, down 21 USD/ton.

For Arabica, the New York Stock Exchange closed trading on June 19 on the occasion of the Juneteenth. Therefore, the price list on June 22 still retains the results of the trading session on June 18.

Accordingly, Arabica for July 2026 delivery stood at 275.10 US cents/lb, down 2.75 cents/lb, equivalent to 0.99%. September 2026 delivery reached 267.80 US cents/lb, down 4.10 cents/lb.

Arabica December 2026 futures stood at 257.90 US cents/lb, down 5.25 cents/lb; March 2027 futures reached 254.40 US cents/lb, down 5.45 cents/lb.

Coffee price assessment

Domestic coffee prices recovered slightly after a decrease of 700 VND/kg, but the increase of 100 VND/kg shows that market sentiment is still quite cautious.

In the world market, coffee prices have been under adjustment pressure after a period of strong increase. The rise in the USD price has promoted the liquidation of buying positions, especially for Arabica.

A strong USD often puts pressure on commodities valued in this currency, because it increases purchase costs for importers using other currencies.

Weather in Brazil continues to be a factor monitored by the market. The previous prolonged rain has raised concerns that harvest progress will be slowed down, affecting coffee harvesting, drying and quality.

However, forecasts that key coffee growing areas of Brazil will switch to drier weather have somewhat eased concerns about harvesting, creating pressure on prices.

Coffee inventory on the ICE exchange is sending mixed signals. Arabica inventory decreased to 394.267 bags, the lowest level in more than 2 years, thereby creating a certain support for prices.

Meanwhile, Robusta inventories increased to more than 4,000 lots, after hitting a 2-year low in mid-May. The amount of standard goods added may limit Robusta’s price increase.

Large output prospects also continue to put pressure on the market. USDA/FAS forecasts that Brazil’s coffee production in the 2026/27 crop year may reach a record level of 71.9 million bags, an increase of about 14% compared to the previous crop year.

Rabobank also raised its global Arabica surplus forecast for the 2026/27 crop year from 7 million bags to 9.5 million bags. Our country’s increased coffee exports also supplement Robusta supply to the market.

On the supporting side, El Niño is forecast to become very strong by the end of 2026, increasing weather risks for coffee producing regions in South America and Asia. NOAA currently assesses the possibility of El Niño reaching a very strong level in the period from November 2026 to January 2027 at 63%.