Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in key production areas simultaneously decreased. The average price was recorded at 89,200 VND/kg, down 600 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices decreased by 600 VND/kg, down to 89,200 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded a similar decrease, bringing the purchase price back to 89,200 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices today decreased by 600 VND/kg, down to 88,800 VND/kg and continue to be the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

The old Dak Nong area had the highest purchase price, reaching 89,300 VND/kg, but decreased more sharply than the remaining areas, with a decrease of 700 VND/kg.

Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 88,800-89,300 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 500 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,076 VND/USD, down 15 VND.

World coffee prices

World coffee prices fluctuated in opposite directions in the most recent trading session. Arabica on the New York exchange increased, while Robusta on the London exchange simultaneously decreased for all terms.

On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract fell 63 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.74%, to 3,564 USD/ton.

Robusta futures in November 2026 decreased by 60 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.68%, to 3,510 USD/ton. The January 2027 term decreased by 54 USD/ton, to 3,467 USD/ton.

Robusta futures for March 2027 decreased by 51 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.47%, to 3,429 USD/ton.

The July 2026 contract was recorded at 3,761/ton, down 56 USD/ton. However, the trading volume of this term is only 2 lots because the contract has approached maturity, so it does not fully reflect the general diễn biến of the market.

On the New York floor, Arabica futures in September 2026 increased by 4.60 US cents/lb, equivalent to 1.68%, to 277.80 US cents/lb.

Arabica futures in December 2026 increased by 2.50 US cents/lb, reaching 263.40 US cents/lb. March 2027 futures increased by 2.10 US cents/lb, to 258.70 US cents/lb.

May 2027 futures increased by 1.90 US cents/lb, equivalent to 0.74%, reaching 258.90 US cents/lb.

Coffee price assessment

According to financial data firm Barchart, Arabica prices rose sharply as heavy rains in Brazil continued to slow harvest progress.

Meteorological company Somar Meteorologia said that Minas Gerais state, Brazil’s largest coffee producing region, recorded 31.3 mm of rainfall in the week ending June 28. This level is equivalent to 1.956% of the historical average of the same period.

Heavy rain in the middle of harvest season can hinder coffee harvesting, transportation and drying. Coffee beans exposed to prolonged humidity also face the risk of declining quality, thereby creating support for Arabica prices.

In addition to weather factors, standard Arabica inventories on the US Intercontinental Exchange continued to decrease. Arabica inventories fell to 380,534 bags, the lowest in about 2 years and 3 months.

The decrease in available Arabica supply on the exchange made the market more sensitive to unfavorable information about the Brazilian harvest. This is one of the reasons why Arabica maintained its upward momentum even though Robusta turned down.

In the opposite direction, Robusta is under pressure as inventory on the European Intercontinental Exchange increased to 4,053 lots, the highest level in about 2 months and 3 weeks.

Previously, Robusta inventory had decreased to 3,631 lots on May 15, the lowest level in 2 years. The addition of standard goods somewhat reduced concerns about short-term supply shortages.

Robusta supply from Vietnam is also trending upwards. The Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture forecasts that Vietnam’s coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year will reach 32.5 million bags, an increase thanks to production expansion after a period of high coffee prices.

Year-end weather risks are still a factor being monitored by businesses. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration assesses that there is a 63% chance that El Niño will reach very strong intensity in the period from November 2026 to January 2027.

El Niño may change the rainfall pattern in Brazil during the coffee tree flowering period in September and October, and also affect production conditions in Robusta growing areas in Asia. However, the level of impact depends on the actual developments in each region.

In terms of pressure, the Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture forecasts that Brazil may produce 66.7 million bags of coffee in the 2026-2027 crop year. The Dutch bank Rabobank also forecasts that the global Arabica market will continue to have a surplus.

In general, Arabica prices are being supported by heavy rain in Brazil and standard inventories are falling sharply. Meanwhile, Robusta is under pressure from recovery inventories and the prospect of increased Vietnamese supply.