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Meanwhile, Silver is also seeing strong gains, trading at $119.13 with a 1.96% rise, as safe-haven demand grows amid global uncertainties and US dollar weakness.
On the geopolitical front, concerns about US tariffs have returned after Germany, the Eurozone’s largest economy, lowered its growth forecasts for this year and next. Meanwhile, the tension is also rising in the Middle East, as US President Donald Trump warned Iran to come to the table on nuclear weapons, or face stronger attacks. Iran fired back, threatening the US, Israel, and their allies.
Meanwhile, Russia keeps hitting Ukrainian cities, with a recent drone strike on a passenger train killing five people. All this uncertainty, along with some selling of the US dollar, is keeping Gold in demand.
On the US front, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged after its two-day meeting, as most expected. Two Fed officials, Stephen Miran and Christopher Waller, wanted a small cut instead. Fed Chair Jerome Powell said inflation is still higher than the 2% target, but markets barely reacted. Meanwhile, worries are growing that the Fed may not be fully independent, with a DOJ investigation into Powell and efforts to remove Governor Lisa Cook raising concerns about political pressure.
For now, traders expect rates to stay steady through this quarter and possibly until Powell’s term ends in May, though two cuts are priced in for 2026. This outlook is keeping the US Dollar from gaining much and giving Gold a boost, as investors favor the safe-haven metal. All eyes are now on Thursday’s jobless claims data for fresh market movement.
The British pound initially fell a bit during the trading session on Wednesday but continues to see the 210 yen level as an area of support. I like this pair a lot, and I do think that it is probably only a matter of time before we start buying again.
Short-term pullbacks offer enough value that I definitely like watching for a bounce that I can take advantage of the continued longer-term uptrend. The 215-yen level is an area I would be watching as well.
As a side note, the United States government has come out and explicitly denied any intervention in the Japanese yen, so we will see how that plays out. The US dollar against the Japanese yen has been hammered, but in that same time frame, we have only seen the British pound test the bottom of the recent consolidation.
I think this is a sign that this pair is going to remain rather resilient. The 50-day EMA sits just below the 210-yen level as well, so I think all of this comes together to offer value each and every time we drop.
If we can break above the 215-yen level, that really gets this pair going, but I think in the short term, this is a buy the dip, maybe sell the rip type of situation where we take advantage of a well-defined 500-point range. If we were to break down below the 50-day EMA, then we might have to reset closer to 208. This is a level that I would be very interested in as well.
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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
Natural gas price continued providing weak sideways trading, affected by the contradiction between the main indicators besides forming a significant obstacle against the attempts to renew the bullish attack, fluctuating near $3.850.
There is a chance for forming new bearish waves, to press on the moving average 55 at $3.450, and surpassing it might extend the losses towards $3.050, facing the extension of historical support, while the price success in surpassing $4.000 level and holding above it will allow it to renew the bullish attempts, to expect targeting $4.220 and $4.450 level.
The expected trading range for today is between $3.450 and $4.050
Trend forecast: Bearish
The EURJPY pair repeated providing sideways trading since yesterday, due to the contradiction between the main indicators, to keep its stability near 183.45, taking advantage of forming extra support at 182.70 level.
In general, the stability above the main bullish channel’s support at 182.15 makes us wait for gathering bullish momentum to allow it to surpass 184.00 barrier, to confirm its readiness to record extra gains that might begin at 184.55 and 184.85.
The expected trading range for today is between 182.80 and 184.00
Trend forecast: Bullish
Copper price repeatedly provided sideways trading in the last period, affected by the contradiction between the main indicators, which forces it to settle below $5.9700 barrier, which obstructs the chances of resuming the bullish trend.
All that confirms the price surrender to sideways trading, to keep waiting to achieve the required breach, to open the way for recording new gains by its rally towards $6.1200 reaching the next target at $6.2400.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.7500 and $6.1200
Trend forecast: Sideways until achieving the breach
– Written by
Ben Hughes
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Dips as Trump Comments Slow Dollar Slide
The Pound to US Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) edged lower during Wednesday’s European session, easing after briefly touching its strongest levels in nearly four years.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading close to $1.3786, down roughly 0.4% from the start of the day’s trade.
After tumbling to fresh multi-year lows late on Tuesday, the US Dollar (USD) found some footing on Wednesday, recovering a fraction of its recent losses.
The greenback has faced sustained selling pressure over the past ten days, shedding around 3% since mid-January. Confidence in the currency has been undermined by ongoing uncertainty surrounding US trade, foreign and economic policy.
Losses deepened overnight after President Donald Trump appeared to welcome the Dollar’s decline, describing the move as ‘great’ and suggesting the currency should be allowed to ‘find its own level’.
By Wednesday morning, however, some USD investors began to reassess positions as attention shifted to the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision.
While no change in policy is expected from the Fed at its first meeting of the year, the prospect of firmer guidance was enough to lend the Dollar some modest support.
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The Pound (GBP) struggled to hold its ground against most major counterparts on Wednesday.
With no significant UK economic releases on the calendar, Sterling found itself short of fresh drivers, leaving it vulnerable to shifts in broader market sentiment.
Adding to the pressure, expectations for Bank of England (BoE) interest rates were nudged slightly lower, despite a run of stronger-than-forecast UK data releases last week.
As the week progresses, the Pound to US Dollar exchange rate could regain upward momentum if political risks in Washington intensify.
Ongoing disputes between Senate Democrats and Republicans over Department of Homeland Security funding mean a partial government shutdown appears increasingly likely when current funding expires on Saturday. Such concerns are continuing to inflate the US Dollar’s risk premium.
Meanwhile, with the UK data calendar remaining thin, movements in Sterling are likely to stay closely tied to wider global market dynamics.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
Natural gas price repeatedly provided negative close below the broken support at $4.100 level, forming a new resistance against the current trading, and stochastic attempt to provide negative momentum by reaching below 50 level will force the price to form new bearish waves, reaching $3.450 and surpassing it might force it to decline towards $3.220, to test high liquidity grab zones.
While the rally above $4.100 and providing bullish close will increase the chances of forming new bullish waves, to attempt to reach $3.370 initially, then waiting for targeting %38.2 Fibonacci correction level near $4.750.
The expected trading range for today is between $3.450 and $4.100
Trend forecast: Bearish
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Silver price (XAG/USD) continues its winning streak for the fifth consecutive session, trading around $115.10 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Wednesday. Safe-haven silver rises toward its January 26 record high of $117.74 as investors shifted into defensive assets.
Precious metals, including Silver attract investors following President Donald Trump’s remarks that he is unconcerned about the USD’s recent slide, strengthened expectations that the administration is comfortable with a weaker greenback to boost export competitiveness.
Ongoing policy uncertainty in Washington, including tariff threats and challenges to the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) independence, along with the “Sell America” narrative, continues to dominate sentiment, further supporting gains in precious metals.
The Federal Reserve is expected to leave rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% after its two-day meeting on Wednesday, following three straight cuts in 2025. Attention will turn to the post-meeting press conference for signals on the policy path ahead.
Citi Commodities Research global head Maximillian J. Layton said that Silver is poised to extend its outperformance after breaking above $100.00 per troy ounce. Layton said bullish drivers, including elevated geopolitical risks and renewed concerns over Federal Reserve independence, are likely to persist in the near term. Citi has raised its three-month Silver price forecast to $150.00 from $100.00 previously, per Dow Jones Newswires.
In China, a pure-play Silver fund halted trading after a surge in demand drove its premium far above the value of its underlying assets. Silver has attracted strong retail interest as prices continue to rally, prompting manufacturers to shift production from jewelry toward one-kilogram Silver bars.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
The Euro has finally made a decision to break out. However, the one problem is that it did it the day before a FOMC press conference. Still a bullish look though.
The Euro has actually done something for once. This is a pair that as an analyst it is very painful to cover at times because it has a history of doing a lot of nothing, jumping for a few weeks, and then doing more nothing. That being said, we have broken above an area on the EUR/USD currency pair that I have had circled since about September 17. This was when Jerome Powell’s press conference really rattled the market. Well, we are above there now, which is a very good sign for the Euro.
When you take the technical analysis from the consolidation area, it is 450 pips, give or take a few. That suggests that we could go to the 1.23 level. So I look at this and I realize that it is an area that has mattered more than once. This is an area that has been a significant top multiple times going back about a decade, and then you can see that there is action all the way back to 2015, and even 2012 and 2010. In other words, it is an area that the market likes.
I think that might be where we head because technical analysis suggests that, momentum suggests that, but I don’t think we have all clear quite yet. Quite frankly, we have a press conference after the FOMC decision on Wednesday and Jerome Powell could really throw a monkey wrench into this not even meaning to. If he starts talking about sticky inflation, that has people pushing back the time frame of Federal Reserve cuts even further.
So, we will have to see how that plays out. I think a pullback towards the 1.18 level or maybe 1.1850 offers a bit of an opportunity, but you have to see the bounce first. Again, it wouldn’t surprise me for this pair to go to 1.23. We have probably seen it 10 to 12 times in my career, so it is a familiar level.
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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.