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Today, traders had a chance to take a look at the Retail Sales report for August. The report indicated that Retail Sales increased by +1.2% month-over-month, compared to analyst forecast of +0.8%.
NAHB Housing Market Index declined from 35 in August to 32 in September, compared to analyst consensus of 32. Higher interest rates put pressure on builder sentiment.
The nearest resistance level for U.S. Dollar Index is located in the 99.85 – 100.00 range. In case U.S. Dollar Index manages to settle above the 100.00 level, it will head towards the next resistance, which is located in the 100.50 – 100.65 range.
The GBPJPY pair activated with stochastic positivity since yesterday, forming some bullish corrective waves to recover some losses to reach 209.45, noting that the stability below 210.40 barrier confirms the continuation of the negativity in the upcoming trading, which makes us wait for gathering negative momentum, to begin targeting negative stations by reaching 208.10 followed by 206.85.
While breaching the previously mentioned barrier and holding above it will reinforce the chances of building a new bullish trend, expecting 211.50 and 212.10 level initially.
The expected trading range for today is between 208.10 and 210.00
Trend forecast: Bearish
The EUR/JPY pair is quietly trying to find a bottom. With the Bank of Japan on Friday, this could be an interesting setup.
The euro has bounced a bit against the Japanese yen, as we have seen broad yen weakness over the last day or two. This pair has found the ¥178 level as a potential floor in the market, and that might be something worth watching because, quite frankly, this market has been sold off just as aggressively as all the other yen-denominated pairs.
With traders now thinking that the Japanese are going to tighten aggressively, and with intervention floating around the markets as well, it is not a huge surprise to see that we fell here. The Stochastic Oscillator says we are in oversold conditions. We are starting to turn in the other direction, but the real determinant here will be the Bank of Japan decision on Friday.
That in and of itself will not be the surprise. The surprise will probably come in the form of the press conference or even the statement. If they sound overly hawkish, that could be ugly for this pair and anything else denominated in yen.
But having said that, it is worth noting that the Japanese debt load is massive. It is the largest one in the developed world, and therefore higher interest rates really come at a price for the Japanese. This is a situation where they have to show markets that they are willing to defend their currency, but at the same time, they are going to have to deal with higher rates on that massive debt load. It makes the Americans look quite frugal, to be honest with you.
So, I am watching this one. I am looking for a little bit of a rise. We have seen the U.S. dollar pop up against the Japanese yen and break a little bit of structure over the last couple of days. So, we will see if this one can follow.
Begin trading our daily forecasts and analysis. Here is a list of Forex brokers in Japan to work with.
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions
As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire
Domestic coffee prices
Coffee prices today in the domestic market increased again, averaging an increase of 200,000 VND/kg. According to giacaphe. com, coffee prices on September 15th averaged at 95,400 VND/kg, anchored in the price range of 94,900-95,500 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 95,400 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 94. 900 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg.
The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest price in the whole region at 95,500 VND/kg.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 25,790 VND/USD.
World coffee prices
In the world market, coffee prices reversed to decrease.
According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract anchored at 3,505 USD/ton, holding at 10 USD/ton. In the opposite direction, the November 2026 futures were listed at 3,481 USD/ton, down 54 USD/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 was listed in the price range of 3,420 – 3,450 USD/ton, down the most by 72 USD/ton.
Similarly, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract reversed to decrease by 7.7 cents/lb, holding at the 299.65 cent/lb mark. The December 2026 term is offered to the market at 283.65 cents/lb, down 6.85 cents/lb. Further forwards are anchored in the 270.20 – 275.05 cent/lb range, a decrease of 5.55-6.25 cents/lb.

Assessments and forecasts
Coffee prices closed down yesterday due to favorable farming conditions in Brazil and Vietnam. Rainfall higher than normal in Brazil during the current important flowering period may support the 2026/27 coffee harvest, thereby becoming a factor putting downward pressure on prices.
In Vietnam, abundant rainfall has improved soil moisture and may support the coffee fruit development process in the Central Highlands region, the largest coffee production region in the country.
In the first trading session of the week, Arabica prices fell to a 2.5-month low due to negative impacts from Thursday’s session last week, when Cecafe said Brazil’s total coffee exports in August increased by 31% over the same period last year, to 4.155 million bags, a record high in August. Arabica exports in August increased by 26%, to 2.87 million bags, while Robusta exports increased by 54%, to 953,592 bags. Brazilian coffee is being brought to the export market as the harvest in this country ends.
EUR/USD traded at 1.1548 on the 4-hour chart after a sharp decline from the 1.1645 level. Price is below both moving averages and a descending trendline and the latest move has price trading below the 1.1554–1.1559 resistance level. This structure remains bearish despite a pause of sellers at support.
The level to watch first is 1.1556. A break above this level opens 1.1573, then 1.1589 and 1.1604. Support is found at 1.1523, but should selling pressure return, 1.1501 and 1.1484 will become more relevant.
RSI is showing an initial recovery from oversold, but still remains in the lower range, which shows the correction is likely still a correction. My view for now is slightly bearish while EUR/USD is trading below 1.1556-1.1573. A break above 1.1589 calls for a revision of this view. A break below 1.1523 argues more selling pressure should be expected to drive the price lower.
Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.
Oil prices continued to rise yesterday.
The article covers the following subjects:
Yesterday, oil continued to climb, reaching the second bullish target of 100.75. It also exceeded the September 11th high and approached the Target Zone 3 at 103.27–102.40.
Currently, the price is correcting lower. If the correction persists, the asset may fall to support A at 97.73–97.30. Consider long trades near this zone, with the first target at 99.71 and the second one around 102.09.
Buy near support A at 97.73–97.30. TakeProfit: 99.71, 102.09. StopLoss: 96.19.
Bulls have managed to keep the gold price above the support zone of 4,286–4,276. Now, the price is correcting higher. If the correction extends today, the price may increase to resistance level A at 4,373–4,362. Consider short trades near this zone, with the first target at 4,313 and the second one around 4,253.
If the gold price breaks above resistance A, it may rise to resistance B at 4,433–4,417.
Sell near resistance A at 4,373–4,362. TakeProfit: 4,313, 4,253. StopLoss: 4,400.
The euro is trading within a short-term downtrend. After breaking through the key support zone of 1.1585–1.1572, the price began to consolidate. Consequently, a correction can be expected. If a correction unfolds and the price tests the resistance zone A at 1.1615–1.1607, one may consider short trades, with the first target at 1.1569 and the second around 1.1523.
If, following the consolidation, the price continues to fall and breaks below this week’s low, the resistance zones should be reassessed.
Sell near resistance A at 1.1615–1.1607. TakeProfit: 1.1569, 1.1523. StopLoss: 1.1636.
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The USD/JPY pair continues to be in the headlines, as both central banks will have something to say this week.
The U.S. dollar continues to rise against the Japanese yen as we see a lot of questions asked about where to go next. This makes sense that we are struggling here because, quite frankly, the Federal Reserve comes out with an interest rate decision on Wednesday and, more importantly, a press conference. The Bank of Japan will be out late Thursday in North America, early Friday in Asia, with an interest rate decision as well.
This pair will be on the minds of traders even more so than it had been recently, with the overall intervention.
The question at this point in time is not so much whether or not the Federal Reserve will hike; there is roughly a 92% possibility according to the FedWatch tool. The reality is that the short-term structure is turning bullish again, with resistance at ¥156. It is also worth noting that the stochastic oscillator is starting to cross in the oversold condition.
The technical setup, bouncing off ¥153, looks good. The question is, how does the market read both of these central banks? Therefore, it is going to be a very volatile market.
If we can clear the 156.33 level, I think at that point in time momentum will start to pick up to the upside. It does pay you at the end of every session, and if Kevin Warsh sounds more hawkish than dovish during the press conference, that pay differential may really start to be the driver again.
So ultimately, I am looking at this as a potential trade that I can add to a longer existing core position.
A lot will come down to that and, of course, whether or not the Bank of Japan looks like it is actually going to enter a tightening cycle. We are a long way from this being a negative carry for the dollar.
But we’ll see. We have a lot to think about over the next couple of days. I’ll be watching that area just above ¥156 to see if things are changing. Alternatively, if we were to break down below the ¥152 level, that would be a very bad look.
Want to trade our USD/JPY forex analysis and predictions? Here’s a list of forex brokers in Japan to check out.
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions
As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire
The EURUSD pair declined in its latest intraday trading, erasing most of its early gains for today affected by the stability of the key support at 1.1530, gaining some bullish momentum and helped it to face negative pressure, amid the dominance of the bearish corrective trend on the short-term basis, with the continuation of the negative pressure that comes from its trading below EMA50, besides the emergence of the negative signals from the relative strength indicators, after reaching overbought levels exaggeratedly compared to the price move, which suggest the return of the last decline.
The EURJPY pair kept providing bullish corrective trading since yesterday, benefiting from stochastic’ attempt of surpassing 50 level, recovering some losses by approaching the initial barrier at 179.10 level.
The contradiction of the main indicators might push it to provide mixed trading, the stability below the main barrier at 180.80 makes us keep the main bearish trend. Gaining negative momentum makes us expect forming bearish waves to target 178.40 and 177.35 level.
The expected trading range for today is between 178.40 and 179.65
Trend forecast: Fluctuating
Platinum price remains confined until this moment between $1705.00 support, while $1840.00 level keeps forming strong barrier against the attempts of activating the bullish trend.
We recommend monitoring the price behavior for today and waiting for surpassing one of the mentioned levels, to detect the expected targets in the near trading, surpassing the barrier and holding above it will support the dominance of the bullish scenario, which might target $1880.00 and $1960.00 level initially, while breaking the support and holding below it will turn the price to the bearish track, which forces it to suffer several losses by reaching $1655.00 initially.
The expected trading range for today is between $1710.00 and $1840.00
Trend forecast: Sideways