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An internal uptrend line, that has been an area of support for the correction, broke today with a drop below the prior corrective low of $3.32. If support fails to stop the descent near the long-term trendline, lower targets become possible. There is another support zone lower from $2.95 to $2.86. It begins with an 88.6% Fibonacci retracement and ends at an interim swing low from April. That April low was followed by a sharp rally. Within the range, there is also a prior interim swing low at $2.89, and a quarterly low, that aligns with a 100% projected target for a falling ABCD pattern, for a combined four levels establishing the price zone.
Given the long-term nature of the quarterly pattern, support would be expected above $2.89 at a maximum. A quarterly bullish reversal triggered in Q4 2025, establishing a high quarterly high and higher low. Plus, the breakout was confirmed with a 2025 closing above the Q3 high.
This week confirmed the breakdown from the 200-day average on January 5, as it was successfully tested as resistance before Friday’s decline, on both Thursday and Wednesday. It suggests that buyers are staying on the sidelines until perceived value improves. At a minimum, this improves the chance that the rising trendline is eventually tested as support before the correction completes.
Another perspective is applied when considering the breakout of a large bullish falling wedge in October. The current decline is the first pullback following that breakout. Once a bottom is found another sharp advance could follow given the volatility spike on both the rally and decline after the breakout.
If you’d like to know more about what drives natural gas prices, please visit our educational area.
With this being said, the market will, of course, remain a little bit noisy, but if we can break to the upside and finally clear the 158 yen level, we could really take off. At that point, I think we could go looking to the 160 yen level, which is an area where the Bank of Japan intervened ages ago.
Short-term pullbacks will end up being buying opportunities, I believe, and as a result, the support levels that I’m watching include the 50-day EMA and the 155 yen level. These are areas that I think will remain very important, but I think it is difficult to break down below.
If we were to break down below that area, then you could have a lot of problems for the US dollar, and I think you have a situation where if that does in fact happen, the 152 yen level might be your next target.
Ultimately, though, despite the fact that the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates and the Federal Reserve has cut, you still have a pretty wide gap between the two, and therefore, if you’re looking for the carry trade to play out, you are looking for the US dollar to remain somewhat resilient against the Japanese yen. Beyond that, the US dollar itself is fairly resilient, mainly due to the fact that the economic numbers coming out of America are stubbornly strong, so even if the Federal Reserve does cut it can only do so in a limited way.
Want to trade our USD/JPY forex analysis and predictions? Here’s a list of forex brokers in Japan to check out.
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.
Copper Price is moving higher again, extending its rally as metals head toward a fourth straight weekly gain. The rise reflects a mix of tight global supply, steady demand expectations tied to electrification, and renewed investor interest in base metals. Even as some buyers pull back at record levels, the broader market trend remains positive, keeping Copper Price firmly in focus for traders, manufacturers, and long-term investors.
This latest move comes at a time when copper is no longer just an industrial metal. It is now widely seen as a strategic asset linked to electric vehicles, renewable energy, grid upgrades, and global infrastructure plans. As prices climb, market participants are asking simple but important questions. Why is copper rising now? Who is buying, and where could prices go next?
Let us explore every angle of this story in a clear, easy, and investor-friendly way.
Copper Price traded higher in recent sessions, pushing metals toward their fourth weekly advance in a row. On global exchanges, benchmark copper contracts climbed as investors reacted to a blend of supply constraints and long-term demand optimism.
On the London Metal Exchange, copper prices have hovered near multi-year highs, supported by strong speculative interest and lower visible inventories. Futures markets show that traders are increasingly positioning for further upside, even as short-term profit-taking appears at higher levels.
A market-focused post from FXCMOfficial highlighted the strength of metals and the role of macro trends driving this move:
So what is pushing prices higher week after week? The answer lies in both supply and demand, with a strong dose of sentiment in between.
Copper prices have already climbed sharply over the past year, and yet the rally continues. This may sound surprising, but several forces are working together.
First, global copper supply remains tight. Many major mines are facing lower ore grades, rising costs, and operational challenges. New projects take years to develop, and investment has lagged behind future demand needs.
Second, energy transition demand is growing steadily. Copper is essential for electric vehicles, charging stations, solar panels, wind turbines, and power grids. Each electric car uses roughly three to four times more copper than a traditional vehicle.
Third, financial investors are returning to metals as a hedge against inflation and supply risk. With interest rate expectations stabilizing in key economies, capital is flowing back into commodities.
A widely shared market comment from N_fozz captured this mood among traders watching copper charts closely:
China remains the world’s largest consumer of copper, accounting for more than half of global demand. According to Bloomberg reporting, Chinese industrial buyers have recently stepped back from the market after prices touched record levels. This pause is not unusual.
When prices rise too quickly, fabricators often delay purchases, waiting for pullbacks. However, this does not mean demand has disappeared. It simply shifts in time.
Why does this matter for Copper Price?
Because even with some short-term caution from China, global demand remains strong enough to keep prices supported. Analysts note that inventories in China are not excessive, and any improvement in construction or manufacturing activity could quickly revive buying.
This balance between cautious buyers and tight supply is one reason prices are holding firm instead of collapsing.
Looking ahead, many banks and research firms expect the Copper Price to remain elevated over the medium to long term. Forecasts vary, but several credible projections suggest copper could trade between nine thousand five hundred dollars and eleven thousand dollars per tonne over the next one to three years.
Some longer-term outlooks even point to higher levels later in the decade if supply fails to keep pace with demand from electrification and digital infrastructure.
Why are forecasts so optimistic?
Because copper demand is not just cyclical anymore. It is structural.
Power grids need upgrades. Renewable energy capacity is expanding. Electric vehicles are gaining market share. All of this requires copper.
This is why copper has become part of many AI Stock research frameworks, where analysts link metal demand to data centers, automation, and smart infrastructure growth.
One of the strongest signals supporting copper prices is low inventory levels. Stocks tracked by major exchanges remain near historically tight ranges relative to global consumption.
Low inventories mean that even small supply disruptions can push prices higher. Weather issues, labor strikes, or transport problems can all have outsized effects in such an environment.
This tightness also encourages financial players to stay long, reinforcing price momentum.
Technical analysts point to several key levels shaping short-term Copper Price action. Support zones are forming near recent breakout levels, while resistance sits close to record highs.
Momentum indicators suggest that while prices may pause or consolidate, the broader trend remains upward. This is why many short-term traders are using advanced trading tools to manage risk while staying exposed to the upside.
A technical-focused post from Share_Talk added to this discussion by highlighting copper’s chart strength:
Copper is not moving alone. Aluminum, nickel, and zinc have also shown strength, suggesting a broader metals rally rather than an isolated move. This adds confidence to the copper story, as cross-metal support often signals healthy demand expectations.
At the same time, copper remains the bellwether. When copper rises, it often reflects optimism about global growth and infrastructure spending.
For investors, rising Copper Price levels create both opportunity and risk. Mining stocks often benefit from higher prices, especially those with strong balance sheets and low costs. However, valuations can move quickly, so careful analysis is essential.
Some investors are now combining fundamental research with AI stock analysis to better understand supply-demand models and price sensitivity.
For manufacturers, higher copper prices mean higher input costs. This can pressure margins unless costs are passed on to consumers.
This is the big question. While prices are high, many analysts argue that the market is simply pricing in future scarcity. Unlike past cycles, supply growth is limited, and demand drivers are long-lasting.
Could prices pull back in the short term? Yes.
Is the long-term trend still positive? Many believe so.
Copper Price continues to rise as metals head for a fourth straight weekly gain, supported by tight supply, structural demand, and renewed investor interest. Even with some caution from China at record levels, the market remains balanced in a way that favors higher prices over time.
For investors, copper is no longer just an industrial input. It is a strategic metal tied to the future of energy, transport, and technology. As long as supply struggles to keep up, copper prices are likely to stay firm, keeping this metal at the center of global market conversations.
The copper story is not over. In many ways, it is only beginning.
The Copper Price is rising due to tight global supply, low inventories, and strong long-term demand from electric vehicles, renewable energy, and power grid upgrades. Investor interest in metals has also increased.
China has slowed short-term copper buying after prices reached record levels. However, long-term demand remains strong, and buyers usually return when prices stabilize or when inventory needs rise.
Most analysts expect the Copper Price to stay elevated. Forecasts suggest prices could trade between nine thousand five hundred and eleven thousand dollars per tonne if supply remains tight and demand continues to grow.
Low copper inventories mean there is less buffer against supply disruptions. Even small production issues can push prices higher, which helps support strong copper prices in the market.
Copper often performs well during metal rallies because it reflects global economic activity and infrastructure growth. However, investors should consider market volatility and do proper research before investing.
Disclaimer
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades near 1.1650 after closing in negative territory on Thursday. While investors prepare for the release of the key December employment data from the US, the pair’s technical outlook suggests that the bearish bias stays intact.
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies this week. Euro was the weakest against the Australian Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.70% | 0.36% | 0.39% | 0.95% | -0.10% | 0.47% | 0.99% | |
| EUR | -0.70% | -0.34% | -0.26% | 0.25% | -0.79% | -0.23% | 0.29% | |
| GBP | -0.36% | 0.34% | -0.02% | 0.60% | -0.45% | 0.11% | 0.63% | |
| JPY | -0.39% | 0.26% | 0.02% | 0.53% | -0.52% | 0.04% | 0.60% | |
| CAD | -0.95% | -0.25% | -0.60% | -0.53% | -0.89% | -0.49% | 0.04% | |
| AUD | 0.10% | 0.79% | 0.45% | 0.52% | 0.89% | 0.57% | 1.10% | |
| NZD | -0.47% | 0.23% | -0.11% | -0.04% | 0.49% | -0.57% | 0.52% | |
| CHF | -0.99% | -0.29% | -0.63% | -0.60% | -0.04% | -1.10% | -0.52% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
The US Dollar (USD) benefited from the cautious market mood and a modest increase in the US Treasury bond yields on Thursday, causing EUR/USD to stretch lower.
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) in the US are forecast to rise by 60,000 in December following the 64,000 increase recorded in November. In this period, the Unemployment Rate is expected to edge lower to 4.5% from 4.6%.
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets see a less than 15% chance of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in January and price in about a 40% probability of a 25 basis points rate cut in March.
A significant positive surprise, with an NFP print of 80,000 or higher, could feed into expectations for two consecutive Fed policy holds in January and March. In this scenario, the USD could preserve its strength heading into the weekend and cause EUR/USD to extend its weekly slide. Conversely, investors could lean toward a rate cut in March and open the door for a recovery in the pair, if the employment report highlights worsening conditions in the labor market, with an uptick in the Unemployment Rate and an NFP reading of 30,000 or lower.
In the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD trades at 1.1647. The 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) slopes lower beneath the 50- and 100-period measures, while the pair trades below all four key averages. The 100-period SMA softens and the 200-period one edges higher but remains above spot, maintaining overhead pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) prints 32 (near oversold), signaling bearish momentum. A descending trend line from 1.1801 caps rebounds, with resistance marked at 1.1712.
Measured from the 1.1503 low to the 1.1800 high, the 50% retracement stands at 1.1652 and is being tested as support. A clear break would expose the 61.8% retracement at 1.1617 and 1.1600 (static level), while rebounds could stall beneath the descending trend line as long as the short-term SMAs continue to slope lower.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool)
The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day.
EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy.
The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa.
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control.
Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.
Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency.
A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall.
Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy.
Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period.
If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
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The GBPJPY pair lost the bullish momentum due to stochastic exit from the overbought level, which forces it to delay the bullish attack by reaching below 211.30 level, which keeps forming an important obstacle against the bullish attempts.
We expect providing new mixed trading with a chance of attacking the minor bullish channel’s support at 210.10, breaking this support makes us expect targeting extra corrective stations that might begin at 209.45 and 208.80, while the trading rally above the obstacle will increase the chances of recording new gains by targeting 212.55 and 213.75 level.
The expected trading range for today is between 210.10 and 211.50
Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish trend
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher after two days of losses, trading around $77.20 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Friday. The prices of the precious metals, including Silver hold ground as traders adopt caution ahead of key US jobs data amid elevated geopolitical tensions.
Traders await the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which is expected to offer further insight into labor market conditions and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) policy outlook. December NFP is forecast to show job gains of 60,000, down from 64,000 in November.
The dollar-denominated Silver could face further challenges as the US Dollar (USD) strengthens following the release of US weekly labor market data. The US Department of Labor (DOL) reported on Thursday that Initial Jobless Claims rose modestly to 208,000 in the week ended January 3, slightly below market expectations of 210,000 but above the previous week’s revised 200,000.
Meanwhile, the grey metal remains on track for a weekly gain of over 6%, underpinned by rising geopolitical tensions that have boosted safe-haven demand. President Trump warned of a forceful response to any Iranian violence against protesters, following recent US actions in Venezuela and threats to use military force to seize control of Greenland.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
EUR/JPY has recovered its recent losses registered in the previous session, trading around 183.20 during the Asian hours on Friday. The technical analysis of the daily chart suggests that the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54 (neutral) signals steady momentum after easing from overbought. RSI edging higher toward the mid-50s supports stabilization without signaling a stretch.
The 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises to 181.43, underpinning the medium-term uptrend. The nine-day EMA has slipped and now caps intraday advances, pointing to consolidation above the 50-day line. The backdrop favors dip-buying while the rising medium-term average holds.
A close back above the nine-day EMA at 183.34 would improve near-term traction toward overhead barriers around the all-time high of 184.95, which was recorded on December 22, aligned with the psychological level of 185.00.
Failure to reclaim the short-term average would leave the cross vulnerable to a deeper mean-reversion phase. The EUR/JPY cross may navigate the region around the initial support at the four-week low of 181.57, recorded on December 17, followed by the 50-day EMA at 181.43. Holding above the medium-term average preserves the broader bullish bias.
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.05% | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.14% | 0.00% | |
| EUR | 0.05% | 0.06% | 0.20% | 0.14% | 0.12% | 0.18% | 0.05% | |
| GBP | -0.02% | -0.06% | 0.15% | 0.08% | 0.05% | 0.12% | -0.02% | |
| JPY | -0.16% | -0.20% | -0.15% | -0.05% | -0.09% | -0.03% | -0.16% | |
| CAD | -0.10% | -0.14% | -0.08% | 0.05% | -0.04% | 0.03% | -0.10% | |
| AUD | -0.07% | -0.12% | -0.05% | 0.09% | 0.04% | 0.07% | -0.07% | |
| NZD | -0.14% | -0.18% | -0.12% | 0.03% | -0.03% | -0.07% | -0.13% | |
| CHF | -0.00% | -0.05% | 0.02% | 0.16% | 0.10% | 0.07% | 0.13% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
The British pound, of course, has drifted a little bit lower. We are in an area of consolidation. I don’t think that changes today. You could, in theory, see a little bit of a bounce when we get closer to 1.34, but really, I think this is the domain of short-term traders more than anything else, with 1.35 being a bit of a magnet for price.
The Bank of England is expected to cut rates as well, but it is expected to do so in a much slower and gradual manner than the market once thought, hence the British pound’s strength over the last couple of months. I think this is a currency that, relatively speaking, at least will fare better than many others against the greenback.
The euro has climbed slightly against the British pound as we continue our bounce from the 200-day EMA, but I will direct you to my analysis from a couple of days ago. I think we’re going to start drifting towards the 0.8720 area and then maybe see some exhaustion that we can start shorting again.
While the Bank of England is expected to cut rates, it’s doing so at a much slower pace, and this, of course, is in comparison to the ECB, which is basically on hold, so we already know that the interest rate differential will continue to favor the pound for some time. That doesn’t necessarily mean that we fall apart. I just think that you’re going to continue to see more of a rally and then a fade type of situation going forward.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
The British pound continues to consolidate on Thursday, as we are waiting for the all-important Non-Farm Payroll numbers in the United States.
The non-farm payroll announcement, while in and of itself isn’t particularly interesting and not even particularly accurate, will have a major influence on what people think the Federal Reserve will do. The unemployment rate in America is expected to be 4.5%. The non-farm employment change is supposed to be an addition of 66,000 jobs.
With that being the case, I think it comes down to the number. The higher the number, the better off the US dollar does because we have a situation here where the Bank of England is cutting but is doing so slowly, and if the Federal Reserve has a reason to pause, then that means the dollar is mispriced.
That being said, in the short term, it looks like we’re still range-bound. It will be interesting to see if we can break out of this little rectangle. A move above 1.36 would be bullish, especially if the US dollar is falling against everything else. In that case, then yes, the GBP rises here.
On the other hand, if we break down below the 50-day EMA currently right at the 1.3367 level, then I think you start to see the dollar strengthen against the pound quite a bit, maybe even a couple of handles.
Ready to trade our daily GBP/USD Forex forecast? Here’s some of the best forex broker UK reviews to check out.
Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.