Measured Moves Indicate Higher Targets

The chart highlights measured moves that preceded the triangle breakout, producing targets that match percentage gains of 11.4% and 18.4%, or price increases of $356 and $543. Using the $3,423 high as the breakout level, projected measured move targets sit at $3,779 and $3,966 based on price. These align with the continuation potential implied by the triangle formation.

Near-Term Objectives in Focus

Gold is now advancing toward the first target zone at $3,563 to $3,603, derived from a long-term 223.6% Fibonacci extension and a rising ABCD projection. Given the strength of the current trend, this zone may not provide significant resistance, though interim pauses cannot be ruled out. Key support rests at the prior breakout point of $3,500, followed by former swing highs at $3,451 and $3,439. Holding above these levels maintains the breakout structure and preserves bullish momentum.

Additional Resistance Levels Ahead

Beyond the $3,603 zone, traders should watch for potential resistance around $3,664 to $3,668, where two indicators converge. While the higher measured move target near $3,966 could be reached longer term, shorter-term resistance zones may provide reaction points and consolidation phases along the way.

Long-Term Bullish Outlook Confirmed

Gold confirmed a long-term bullish breakout last week, closing at its highest monthly level ever after overcoming resistance from the past two months. The last comparable rally out of consolidation produced four consecutive weeks of gains. With this being the first week of a new breakout phase, historical precedent suggests further upside is favored before the current move exhausts.

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