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Gold (XAU/USD) Price Forecast: Reversal Signals Build Near 200-Day

Spot gold weekly chart shows long-term bullish structure

Resistance Confluence at trendline and 50-Day Moving Average

Key near-term resistance is a lower swing high at $4,589. A decisive advance above that level will trigger a bullish reversal of the short-term decline. Also, the 20-day moving average would be reclaimed, as it is now at $4,589 and falling. Nonetheless, the more significant next price level is indicated by the 50-day moving average.

It was successfully tested as resistance to the prior two advances. It converged with the downtrend line today, forming a key confluence resistance zone. Therefore, a bullish trend reversal signal will trigger above that average, currently near $4,631. Since the apex of a symmetrical triangle is shown around June 11, gold may trigger an upside breakout above the 50-day average before then.

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Recovery Targets Point Toward Higher-Timeframe Resistance

Following the successful reclaim of the 50-day average, gold targets a lower swing high at $4,774 and the 100-day moving average, now near $4,804. A sustained advance above the lower swing high will trigger a bullish reversal and likely continuation of the advance toward higher resistance levels not yet tested in the current corrective phase.

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