Stocks moved below their late-Feb high recently and while they are trying to get back above it, the fact that they finally did move below the said high already makes the current situation different.

Was that the final top for stocks? If so, it could have been the case that gold (and bitcoin, which soared recently as well) we pushed higher on the wave of the overall dovish and bullish sentiment.

And as stocks move lower, gold might plunge as well.

All right, so what is gold likely to do now?

It’s extremely overbought, so it’s likely to decline – regardless of the breakout and the fact that the medium-term outlook for gold might have just changed to bullish.

Why? Because even if it is the case that gold is going to soar substantially in the following months – despite everything happening on other markets – it’s still likely to correct to the previous highs and verify them as support. Even in the bullish scenario.

And then the real test will take place. Will gold really be able to hold above the previous highs in terms of the closing prices?

If it does, it might be off to new highs shortly thereafter. If it doesn’t, it’s a long way down from there.