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27 03, 2024

Bitcoin Price Forecast: Faces Resistance, Potential Bearish Reversal

By |2024-03-27T00:42:15+02:00March 27, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Extended Price Could Lead to Further Correction

From the most recent swing low of 38,501 in January, Bitcoin rallied 35,335 points or 91.8% to the recent 73,836 record high. That rally occurred over 51 trading days and it put Bitcoin slightly above the prior record high established in November 2021. Subsequently, a head and shoulders top triggered in the relative strength index momentum oscillator (RSI). Also of note is the angle of ascent during Bitcoins advance off the September 2023 lows. You can see how the slope of trendlines defining dynamic support for the uptrend increased over time as the new record high was approached.

Three Trendlines Reflect Overbought Condition

Rising Generally, it is not uncommon to see a notable correction following three trendlines with progressively higher angles defining dynamic support for a trend. Three progressively higher uptrend lines can be seen on the chart as the new trend high is approached. The recent correction to the 60,771-swing low tested support of the third trendline and price was rejected to the upside. If it approached again, it may not hold given the signs of extended price that are showing up, including the RSI, and rising trendlines.

Rally Above Today’s High Maintains Bullish Posture

Nonetheless, a bearish scenario starts to be negated if there is a daily close above today’s high of 71,583. That would be a sign of strength that could lead to an advance above the recent record high. The next higher target would then be 77,270 and 81,910 if it keeps rising. Each is derived from Fibonacci ratio analysis as there is no price history to utilize given the new record high territory.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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27 03, 2024

Osmosis, dYdX, Synthetix Spearhead DeFi Development Surge, Uniswap Trails Behind

By |2024-03-27T00:34:55+02:00March 27, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Amidst a broader market rebound, several DeFi-related projects appear to be bustling with development activity.

Topping the list is Cosmos-based decentralized exchange Osmosis, which experienced a notable surge in development activity, emerging as the leading DeFi project over the past month.

Osmosis Leads DeFi Development

According to the data shared by Santiment, Osmosis recorded more than 169 GitHub commits within the previous 30 days.

The crypto analytic platform’s latest compilation of “developer activity” was based on aggregating all unique GitHub activity documented in the records of each project and then calculating the average number of these actions to provide a comprehensive overview.

Osmosis underwent a significant rebound in terms of total value locked in November 2023. Data from DeFiLlama revealed that Osmosis surged by over 239% in a span of just four months from $73.43 million to the press time TVL of $245.81 million.

The major part of the increase in activity largely stems from increased interest in airdrop farming on infrastructure associated with Cosmos across the broader digital assets sector, with Osmosis emerging as the worthy DEX on the network.

Other Actively Developed Projects

Following closely behind, dYdX, a decentralized perpetual exchange, secured the second position with 145 commits, whereas Synthetix, a derivatives liquidity protocol, ranked third with 116 commits.

The decentralized perpetual exchange, dYdX, witnessed a similar uptick in March, rising from $346.34 million to $521.2 million in less than a month. Earlier this year, dYdX briefly surpassed market leader Uniswap in daily transaction volume after it announced a strategic migration from the Ethereum blockchain to the Cosmos ecosystem.

Derivatives liquidity protocol, Synthetix is also not far behind when it comes to TVL recovery this year surging by almost 30% $768.63 million to $990.8 million YTD.

On the other hand, Uniswap is lagging far behind, capturing the sixth position on Santiment’s list despite an over 60% increase in its TVL from $3.71 billion to $6.02 billion. The platform recently unveiled three new features in a bid to enhance the swapping experience for its users – the Uniswap Extension, Limit Orders, and Data & Insights.



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26 03, 2024

Is Ripple Toast? Legal Expert Weighs In on SEC’s “Explosive” Motion

By |2024-03-26T23:55:53+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Lee Hepner, senior legal counsel at the American Economic Liberties Project, has opined that Ripple is in a precarious position after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed its motion for roughly $2 billion in penalties and fines against the company. 

“Ripple might not be toast yet, but they’re in the toaster,” the legal analyst said. 

Hepner described the SEC’s motion as “explosive” since it includes details of how the company’s “reckless disregard for law” persisted even after a federal court found them liable. 

The SEC pointed to the fact that Ripple continued illegal offers and sales of unregistered securities to investors even after the SEC filed its lawsuit against the company in December 2020. Moreover, Ripple did not cease these activities even after the court found them liable. 

Last year, the court ruled that the San Francisco-based company violated federal securities laws in directly selling the controversial XRP token to institutional investors. At the same time, the ruling stated that secondary sales did not constitute an unregistered offer. 

Hepner has opined that the motion is a “compelling and thorough account of Ripple’s misconduct and refusal to take responsibility.”

As reported by U.Today, the SEC has argued that the massive fines and penalties are necessary to deter future violations, compensate harmed investors, and punish Ripple for its illegal sales of XRP. Key factors supporting these remedies include Ripple’s violation history, reckless conduct, and the non-isolated nature of its offenses.

At the same time, Stuart Alderoty, Ripple’s chief lawyer, has slammed the SEC for remaining “bent on wanting to punish and intimidate” his company. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse decried regulatory overreach and recalled the SEC’s recent setbacks in courts. Meanwhile, Ripple co-founder Chris Larsen went as fast as describing the SEC as “unhinged.”

Ripple is expected to file its response to the SEC’s $2 billion request in April.  





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26 03, 2024

Private survey of oil inventories shows huge headline crude build vs. draw expected

By |2024-03-26T23:09:48+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Oil prices had slumped during the Tuesday US session, and they are extending a little lower after this data.

Numbers via Twitter:

Expectations I had seen centred on:

  • Headline crude -1.3mn barrels
  • Distillates -1.7 mn bbls
  • Gasoline +0.5 mn

This data point is from a privately-conducted survey by the American Petroleum Institute (API):

  • It’s a survey of oil storage facilities and companies

The official report is due Wednesday morning US time. The two reports are quite different. The official government data comes from the US Energy Information Administration (EIA):

  • Its based on data from the Department of Energy and other government agencies
  • Whereas information on total crude oil storage levels and variations from the previous week’s levels are both provided by the API report, the EIA report also provides statistics on inputs and outputs from refineries, as well as other significant indicators of the status of the oil market, and storage levels for various grades of crude oil, such as light, medium, and heavy.
  • the EIA report is held to be more accurate and comprehensive than the survey from the API



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26 03, 2024

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY Forecasts – U.S. Dollar Rebounds From Session Lows

By |2024-03-26T22:23:58+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


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26 03, 2024

CB Consumer Confidence Falls To 104.7, Missing Analyst Expectations

By |2024-03-26T21:37:54+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The report showed that confidence rose among consumers aged 55 and over but declined for younger consumers. The only income group that reported lower confidence in March was the $50,000 – $99,999 income group.

The Conference Board commented: “Consumers remained concerned with elevated price levels, which predominated write-in responses. March’s write-in responses showed an uptick in concerns about food and gas prices […]”

U.S. Dollar Index settled near the 104.15 level as traders reacted to the CB Consumer Confidence report. From a big picture point of view, U.S. dollar continues to move away from multi-week highs as traders take some profits off the table after the recent rally.

Gold is trading near the $2185 level after an unsuccessful attempt to settle above the psychologically important $2200 level. Gold traders stay focused on rising geopolitical tensions, so it remains to be seen whether CB Consumer Confidence data will have any impact on gold market dynamics.

SP500 settled near the 5240 level after the release of the weaker-than-expected report.  The tech-heavy NASDAQ continued its attempts to climb above the key resistance level at 18,400.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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26 03, 2024

A tiny startup that sells backpacks takes on the SEC with a crypto airdrop lawsuit – DL News

By |2024-03-26T21:32:14+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


  • The DeFi Education Fund and a small leather-goods retailer in Texas have sued the SEC.
  • The retailer, Beba, once used an airdrop to distribute tokens that function as loyalty points.
  • Among other things, the plaintiffs are asking the SEC to state that airdrops are not securities transactions.

Battered by a US crackdown, the crypto industry is tired of playing defence against the Securities and Exchange Commission.

That’s why the DeFi Education Fund has been trying for months to find the perfect plaintiff with both the standing and backbone to take on Gary Gensler’s crypto-hostile agency.

“The difficulty is always finding the right plaintiff who wants to take on SEC,” said Amanda Tuminelli, chief legal officer at the fund, one of several Washington-based crypto advocacy organisations. “You’re poking the bear by putting your name on a complaint.”

Tuminelli soon found the model firm: an apparel company founded by two brothers based in Waco, Texas.

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On Monday, the pair sued the SEC in federal court in Texas over the regulator’s treatment of airdrops and its failure to create rules specific to the crypto industry.

The company, Beba, sells bags and wallets made by a pair of Kenyan craftspeople, according to its website.

But it also dabbles in crypto: it has released NFTs, and it recently airdropped a token to people who had used other crypto services. Anyone who holds 200 of its eponymous tokens can purchase one of the company’s duffel bags at a discount.

“Beba fears making efforts to ensure there is a robust secondary market for BEBA tokens itself because it fears the SEC will be even more likely to bring an enforcement action against it if it does so,” the lawsuit reads.

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The SEC ratcheted up its enforcement of the industry after the November 2022 collapse of crypto exchange FTX. It has since sued dozens of companies for alleged violations of securities laws, from the tiny Barnbridge DAO to giants like Coinbase and Binance.

As a result, Gensler has become one of the most vilified figures in crypto. The SEC chair maintains that most tokens are akin to stocks and bonds, and therefore subject to existing securities laws.

But the industry has howled that he regulates by enforcement, making up the rules lawsuit by lawsuit.

The DeFi Education Fund had to find “good guys” — potential plaintiffs “who are doing everything they can to get regulatory clarity, and are being open and transparent about the way they’re doing it,” Tuminelli told DL News in September.

Tuminelli met one of the founders of Beba at a crypto conference.

“We were like, ‘That’s a very cool backpack, where’d you get that from?’” She recalled. “We got to know him and their company.”

She soon learned that Beba’s leaders were thinking about using digital assets as a way to market and increase their audience.

”We were like, ‘OK, well, if you’re interested in doing that, we have a way that you could potentially get a court order declaring that what you’re doing is legal, before you have to worry about the SEC coming after you,’” she said.

Beba is seeking a declaration that its airdrop and its token are not securities. Additionally, it’s challenging what it says is the SEC’s refusal to follow the Administrative Procedure Act, an arcane law that dictates how regulators can issue new rules.

“We’re actually saying that the SEC clearly has a rule written down somewhere at their agency,” Tuminelli said, “that shows there’s some policy that they have in place that they’re enforcing, and they have refused to write that down, and that is a violation of the APA.”

The SEC has argued that distributing tokens creates an “investment contract” between the issuer and the buyer — a key criteria for declaring an asset a security.

Airdrops are one of several ways that crypto projects distribute newly issued tokens. After a boom in so-called initial coin offerings in 2017, airdrops became the preferred method.

The hint of an airdrop to early users could spur activity on a nascent protocol.

The DeFi Education Fund argues that free airdrops cannot be investment contracts, as recipients don’t pay for the tokens, and often aren’t even expecting them.

That isn’t to say it is conceding that initial coin offerings, or ICOs, are, Tuminelli said.

“We’re really taking no position on ICOs,” she said. “That’s a different release mechanism, and I think airdrops present a cleaner question for the court.”

The SEC has 60 days to respond to the lawsuit.

Aleks Gilbert is DL News’ New York-based DeFi correspondent. You can reach him at aleks@dlnews.com.



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26 03, 2024

“Rich Dad, Poor Dad” Author Says It’s “Possible” That Bitcoin Is a Scam

By |2024-03-26T20:52:07+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


In a recent post on the X social media platform, controversial investment guru Robert Kiyosaki, who is best known as the author of “Rich Dad, Poor Dad,” did not rule out that Bitcoin, the flagship cryptocurrency, could be a scam and a Ponzi scheme. 

“Yes. It is possible Bitcoin is a scam and a Ponzi scheme,”  Kiyosaki. 

Despite admitting that he is concerned about Bitcoin potentially being a Ponzi scheme, he argues that it would still be no different from fiat currencies such as the US dollar and the euro. 

Kiyosaki has also acknowledged that the price of Bitcoin could eventually go to zero, but he has also said that the same applies to fiat currencies. 

Still, the financial expert remains bullish on the largest cryptocurrency, recently predicting that the price of the flagship cryptocurrency could surge to as high as $300,000 in 2024. 

According to his latest post, his optimism stems from Metcalfe’s Law, which many see as a model of value for Bitcoin. The law, which focuses on network effects, posits that the value of a certain network increases with the number of its users. In the context of Bitcoin, proponents of Metcalfe’s Law argue that as more individuals adopt and use Bitcoin, its value will increase due to the growing network effect.

Kiyosaki predicts that most of the cryptocurrency tokens that come off of the Ethereum platform will die because they lack a strong network. “That would like you belonging to a cell phone network with only you,” Kiyosaki noted. 

The entrepreneur claims that he sees Bitcoin as “the perfect asset at the right time.” Kiyosaki regrets not buying more Bitcoin earlier at lower prices. 

At press time, the largest cryptocurrency by market cap is trading at $70,467, according to CoinGecko data.    





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26 03, 2024

US set to sell a record $67 billion of 5-year notes

By |2024-03-26T20:05:55+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Yesterday’s US 2-year sale tailed and given the $67 billion size, there is a good risk this one could as well.

The last six 5 year auctions have had 3 stop throughs and 3 tails, though the tails were larger at 1.6 bps on average.

BMO notes that: The
2s/5s/10s cash butterfly is trading at the cheaper end of the range since
late-2023 which enhances the relative value case for 5s versus the wings.



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26 03, 2024

DeFi group, apparel company sue SEC over crypto token classification

By |2024-03-26T20:01:04+02:00March 26, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The DeFi Education Fund and Texas-based apparel company Beba have filed a lawsuit against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission demanding a legal declaration that their $BEBA token airdrops are not securities.

The legal action seeks to resolve the contentious issue of crypto token regulation and compel the SEC to follow the Administrative Procedure Act in its rule-making.

This case could potentially establish a legal precedent for the classification of crypto tokens, highlighting the ongoing dispute between the cryptocurrency industry and regulatory authorities.

The lawsuit centers on the argument that the $BEBA token, which holders can use to purchase exclusive merchandise from Beba’s online store, does not fulfill the Howey Test’s criteria for an investment contract.

The DeFi Education Fund and Beba claim that token airdrops are distributed for free, do not involve a common enterprise, and do not offer profits based on the efforts of third parties.

With the SEC given a 60-day window to respond, the commission has yet to issue a statement regarding the lawsuit.

The SEC’s current regulatory stance has been met with criticism from the crypto community, which accuses the agency of lacking transparency in rule-making and excessively relying on enforcement actions to establish policy. 



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