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12 03, 2024

ICYMI – MicroStrategy bought another 12,000 Bitcoin

By |2024-03-12T03:00:43+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


MicroStrategy have been big buyers prior to and during the recent run up:

MicroStrategy splashed out nearly $822 million:

  • added about 12,000 more bitcoin to its stash
  • purchases between Feb. 26 and March 10, at an average of $68,477 per bitcoin
  • bring MicroStrategy’s holdings to 205,000 bitcoin

BTC update, daily candles:

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.



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12 03, 2024

MultiversX to Launch Derivatives Trading on March 11th — TradingView News

By |2024-03-12T02:23:35+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Coindar

Decentralized trading of derivatives now live on MultiversX.

Refer to the official tweet by EGLD:

Decentralized trading of derivatives now live on #MultiversX.

Enabling complex strategies, exposure hedging, a wider range of assets and liquidity deepening – with all the benefits of being on-chain.@ash_perp 🟢🔥 https://t.co/OqE1R8mS6Y

Mar 11, 2024

EGLD Info

MultiversX (formerly Elrond) is a technology ecosystem for the new internet. Its smart contracts execution platform is capable of 15,000 TPS, 5s latency and $0.001 tx cost, focused on fintech, DeFi and IoT.

MultiversX money & DeFi app Maiar offers an intuitive first-time experience with blockchain, offering progressive security and a gamified approach to unlocking more useful features.

The MultiversX Proof of Stake economic model has a limited supply; its token is named eGold to convey the notion of digital store of value to the next billion users.





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12 03, 2024

AUD to USD Forecast: RBA Outlook and US CPI Report to Steer Near-Term Trends

By |2024-03-12T02:14:25+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


A larger-than-expected rise in US nonfarm payrolls in February suggests a robust demand environment. Softer US wage growth and a higher unemployment rate created market uncertainty before the report.

A hotter-than-expected CPI Report may force the Fed to delay an interest rate cut. A higher-for-longer rate path may impact disposable income. Downward trends in disposable income could curb consumer spending and dampen demand-driven inflation.

Short-Term Forecast

Near-term AUD/USD trends will hinge on the US CPI Report. Hotter-than-expected US inflation numbers could impact buyer demand for the AUD/USD. Delays to Fed rate cuts could tilt monetary policy divergence toward the US dollar.

AUD/USD Price Action

Daily Chart

The AUD/USD remained above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, sending bullish price signals.

An Aussie dollar break above the $0.66162 resistance level would support a move toward the $0.67286 resistance level.

Australian economic data and the US CPI Report need consideration.

However, a drop below the 200-day and 50-day EMAs would give the bears a run at the $0.64900 support level.

A 14-period Daily RSI reading of 61.85 suggests an AUD/USD return to the $0.67 handle before entering overbought territory.

 

4-Hourly Chart

The AUD/USD sat above the 50-day and 200-day EMAs, affirming the bullish price signals.

A breakout from the $0.66162 resistance level would give the bull a run at the $0.67286 resistance level.

However, a break below the $0.66 handle would bring the 50-day and 200-day EMAs into play.

The 14-period 4-Hourly RSI at 67.93 indicates an AUD/USD move to the $0.67 handle before entering overbought territory.

 



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12 03, 2024

Barclays forecasts lower bond prices and higher yields for US Treasuries

By |2024-03-12T01:28:22+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Barclays are bearish US government bonds, citing multiple reasons to expect lower prices, higher yield, ahead:

  • recent rally is over stretched: “The rally over the last few weeks seems excessive and we recommend shorting 10y US Treasuries”
  • says bullishness on the US 10yr is “odd” given the barrage of strong economic data that suggests rates will remain higher for longer: “While the Fed still seems to be sticking to its baseline of cuts starting this year, the case for a meaningful easing cycle has weakened in our view raising the risk of the Fed forecasting a shallower easing cycle.”
  • adds that the few softer data points are misleading, analysts at Barclays say the risks are skewed toward the economy surprising to the upside
  • increase in supply of US Treasuries, the Federal Reserve trying to offload its government bond portfolio also suggest higher yields to come

This article was written by Eamonn Sheridan at www.forexlive.com.



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12 03, 2024

Team Behind Top Lending Protocol Launches Suilend on Sui

By |2024-03-12T00:51:31+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands, March 11th, 2024, Chainwire

The Suilend lending protocol is Solend’s first venture outside of the Solana ecosystem underscoring confidence in Sui’s technology

Suilend, Solend’s first expansion outside the Solana ecosystem, officially launched today on the Sui Network. Solend, which boasts over $200 million in total value locked (TVL) across 170,000+ users with support for 70+ assets, now brings its unparalleled DeFi expertise and experience building industry-leading lending protocols to the Sui ecosystem in a move that adds to the quickly expanding depth of the Sui ecosystem. 

Discussing the launch, Rooter, the pseudonymous Founder of Solend, said, “Developing on Ethereum and Solana felt like building a cathedral with chisels and hammers. That’s not to say you can’t build great things — cathedrals are some of the most beautiful human achievements. But we want to build rocket ships, and for that, you need advanced tools like laser cutters and welders. That’s what Sui and Move offer with better developer tools.”

The announcement follows hot on the heels of Bluefin, a burgeoning DEX with daily volumes exceeding $100 million, committing exclusively to Sui over Arbitrum for its V2 development and unveiling its roadmap into 2024.

Security is a distinct focus for participants in the DeFi space, and with the launch of Solend on Sui, the protocol is leveraging a network in Sui that has industry-leading security. By launching on Sui, Solend capitalizes on the inherent security features integrated into the Move language, which provides built-in protections for its smart contracts. Additionally, partnerships with leading blockchain security firms, Zellic and Ottersec, entail rigorous audits of projects like Suilend, ensuring adherence to the highest security standards.

Suilend will also benefit from Sui’s parallel processing for most transactions. Sui boasts the lowest levels of latency in the industry and facilitates horizontal scaling, achieving a peak throughput of up to 297,000 transactions per second and a time-to-finality of approximately 480 milliseconds. 

“We are delighted to welcome a protocol with the background of performance and success of Suilend to the Sui ecosystem,” said Greg Siourounis, Managing Director of the Sui Foundation. “Sui’s blistering transaction speeds, infinite scalability and pervasive efficiency are tailor-made for DeFi projects like Suilend, and we look forward to watching their continued growth and success on Sui.”

This strategic move comes as Sui recently surpassed the $500 million Total Value Locked (TVL) milestone, firmly establishing itself within the top 10 DeFi ecosystems globally. Over the past month alone, a staggering $310 million in assets has migrated from Ethereum to Sui via Wormhole, eclipsing all other blockchain transfers combined, signaling the growing trust in the ecosystem’s DeFi capabilities.

Contact

Sui Foundation
[email protected]



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12 03, 2024

Silver Price Forecast: Uptrend Continuation or Retracement Ahead?

By |2024-03-12T00:42:20+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Advance Stalls off Last Week’s High

Last week resistance was seen around the prior swing high of 24.61 from December 22. That price area was noted previously as a possible target as it was clearly resistance in the past. The question now is whether silver continues to progress its uptrend, or it retraces first? Certainly, the chance for a pullback has increased following last week’s price action.

Nevertheless, a decisive rally above last week’s high of 24.64 may see silver hit a higher target before a retracement. The next higher target is around 24.81. That is where the rising ABCD pattern (magenta) completes a 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the pattern. That is the third target from the pattern as each of the lower levels have already been exceeded to the upside.

Bigger Picture Bullish

In the bigger picture there is an initial higher target in silver up around 27.15. That is where a larger rising ABCD pattern completes (green). Given the recent impulse rally seen in silver this higher target looks reasonable. Therefore, traders will be watching for bullish reversal off retracement lows during weakness. A drop below last Friday’s low of 24.17 will signal a pullback.

The 8-Day MA is at 23.83 followed by the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 23.73. The last solid resistance level that was broken is down at 23.50 (B), right near the 50% retracement at 23.46. If a retracement does come before new trend highs these price levels are where support might be seen, that leads to a bullish reversal.

Finally, another mention about the monthly chart. A bullish reversal was triggered initially this month. The upside follow-through has indicated strong demand pointing to eventual higher prices.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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11 03, 2024

Bitcoin (BTC) Soars Above $71K, Logs New Record Peak

By |2024-03-11T23:56:26+02:00March 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Bitcoin has shattered previous records by reaching a new all-time high of $71,092 on the Bitstamp exchange. 

This milestone comes as the cryptocurrency market continues to gain mainstream acceptance and attract significant investment from both retail and institutional investors following the approval of a slew of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January. 

Before reaching its new peak, Bitcoin recorded its highest weekly candle close ever at $69,062 on Bitstamp. 

In the meantime, the price of Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency recently surged above the $4,000 level.    

More than $300 million worth of liquidations 

The recent price volatility has also led to significant market liquidations, with a total of $336.22 million liquidated In the past 24 hours alone, according to CoinGlass data. 

The majority of these liquidations were long positions, totaling $224.73 million. Short positions accounted for $111.49 million of the liquidations.

Over the last hour, the total market liquidations amounted to $39.68 million, demonstrating the high volatility in the cryptocurrency market. The majority of these liquidations were from short positions, totaling $37.65 million. Long position liquidations were significantly lower, at $2.03 million.

Over the past four hours, OKX led the exchanges in liquidations, with $19.95 million. Of this, $2.99 million were long positions, and a notable $16.96 million were short positions, comprising 85.03% of its total liquidations. Bitmex followed, with total liquidations amounting to $8.71 million, all of which were short positions. Lastly, Binance saw liquidations totaling $6.74 million, with $2.12 million in long positions and $4.63 million in short positions.



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11 03, 2024

Forexlive Americas FX news wrap 11 Mar. Quiet start to the trading week ahead of CPI data.

By |2024-03-11T23:10:52+02:00March 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The forex market was quiet ahead of the US CPI data which will be released tomorrow at 8:30 AM ET.

The JPY is ending the day as the strongest of the major currencies. The GBP is the strongest. Looking at the GBPUSD, it fell in the NY afternoon session and in the process fell below the high from December 2023 at 1.2827 and has returned to the old high of the swing area between 1.2788 and 1.2800. The low for the day today has reached 1.2794 within that swing area.

Going into the new trading day, a move below 1.2788 would likely lead to more selling on the disappointment from the failed break higher last week. Be aware.

US stocks were mostly lower with only the Dow 30 moving higher on the day. The broader S&P, Nasdaq and small cap Russell 2000 all fell.

The final numbers showed:

  • Dow industrial average up 46.97 points or 0.12% at 38769.67
  • S&P index -5.75 points or -0.11% at 5117.1
  • Nasdaq index -65.85 points or -0.41% at 16019.26
  • Russell 2000 fell -16.83 points or -0.81% at 2065.80

Shares of Meta fell over 4.4% on the back of comments made on CNBC from former Pres. Trump on how the company was the enemy of the people. Nvidia (-2.00%), Super Micro Computers (-5.24%), Amazon (-1.93%), Celcius (-4.42%), AMD (-4.34%), Arm Holding (-3.61%) all had oversized losses.

In the US debt market today Yiields are ending the day higher with the shorter end leading the way. The longer end was little changed. The U.S. Treasury Successfullyauctioned off $56 billion of three-year notes under the WI level at the time of the auction ,I.e. with a negative tail. The snapshot of the yield curve shows:

  • 2-year yield 4.538%, +5.2 basis points
  • 5-year yield 4.088%, +2.6 basis points
  • 10 year yield 4.0 90%, +1.0 basis points
  • 30-year yield 4.261% unchanged

Looking at other markets:

  • Bitcoin is trading just above the $72,000 level at $72,058.That is up 4.4% on the day. The high price reached $72,910. The low price was at $67,120 in volatile trading.
  • Crude oil was lower earlier in the day but is trading up $0.10 or 0.12% at $70.11 currently. At session lows the price was trading at $76.79.

The US CPI data will be released at 8:30 AM ET tomorrow.

What are economists expecting?

Core CPI jumped in January and it’s expected to give some of that back in February, though the bias is towards uncertainty. For the numbers excluding food and autos, CPI is expected at:

  • +0.3% m/m vs +0.4% prior
  • +3.7% y/y vs +3.9% prior
  • Estimates range from 3.6% to 3.9%

As for the headline, the consensus is:

  • +0.4% m/m vs +0.3% prior
  • 3.1% y/y vs +3.1% prior
  • Estimates range from 2.9% to 3.2%



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11 03, 2024

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Further Testing Support Levels

By |2024-03-11T22:24:42+02:00March 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Next Lower Support at 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of 1.71

If natural gas does break below the current support area it likely heads towards the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.71. Certainly, that would indicate a failure of the 20-Day MA to maintain support. Also, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement is at 1.63. Notice that the short-term 8-Day MA line has turned down since Friday, thereby providing an indication of weakness. An initial rising ABCD pattern completed last week at the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion target of 2.02. Last week’s high was 2.01. The subsequent reaction of price tells us it is done. Therefore, the market needs to set up for the next potential advance. A retracement low may still be established near today’s low, or a drop to lower price levels comes first.

Bullish Reversal Anticipated Once Retracement is Complete

Nonetheless, the recent swing low from February 20 is a solid low and there remains the possibility that the rally off that low will continue once the developing up trending pattern expands with a new swing low. In other words, the price swings within the developing uptrend becomes larger. Today’s low may be that bottom or the lower levels noted above may be hit first. In general, staying above the 20-Day line shows greater underlying strength than trading and closing below the line.

Breakout Above 1.84 is Bullish

Regardless of the above analysis, a decisive breakout above today’s high of 1.84 provides a bullish signal. If it holds natural gas should rally into last week’s high zone to test it as resistance. An upside breakout above last week’s high of 2.01 confirms strength and thereafter a higher potential target comes into view. The next higher key target has been identified around 2.23. That is where the December swing low was and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of an internal downswing. The 50-MA was also at that price earlier but it has come down some to 2.22.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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11 03, 2024

Bitcoin ETFs spark DeFi revival, institutional investors show interest in crypto derivatives – Synthetix’ Matt Losquadro

By |2024-03-11T21:49:58+02:00March 11, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The digital asset ecosystem entered a new era of legitimacy with the January launch of the first spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on the U.S. market, and record inflows continue to highlight the increasing appeal of the up-and-coming asset class that is helping to redefine how global financial markets operate.

 

Decentralized finance (DeFi) has been seeing a steady increase in adoption over the past four years and recently saw an uptick in activity that aligned with the launch of the Bitcoin ETFs. This was highlighted by an increase in the total value locked (TVL) across DeFi, which surpassed $100 billion on Friday for the first time since May 2022, according to data from DeFiLlama. 

 

To get an insider take on how the launch of the spot BTC ETFs is impacting the DeFi ecosystem, Kitco Crypto spoke with Matt Losquadro, a Core Contributor at Synthetix, a decentralized liquidity provisioning protocol that enables the creation of synthetic assets, offering unique derivatives and exposure to real-world assets on the blockchain.

 

“The SEC’s greenlighting of the spot Bitcoin ETFs marked a pivotal moment igniting widespread attention toward cryptocurrency,” Losquadro said. “With these ETFs, investors now have access to a fully regulated avenue for tapping into the potential of Bitcoin, fueling a surge in mainstream interest in the digital asset space.”

 

With Bitcoin’s price now trading at all-time highs, he said the more “seasoned crypto investors are poised to rekindle their interest in exploring diverse trading options, including derivatives.”

 

“In recent days, the crypto derivatives volume has been surging,” he noted. “As per Laevitas, a Swiss-based data tracking platform, transactions totaling $374 billion in crypto futures, perpetual futures, and options contracts occurred within a single day.”

 

“Sophisticated retail investors are drawn to derivatives due to their potential for amplified gains (through leverage) and ability to hedge against risks in the volatile cryptocurrency market,” Losquadro said. “Retail traders often engage in derivatives trading to speculate on price movements, manage their portfolios, or execute more complex trading strategies.”

 

He also noted that “Fund managers and institutional investors are increasingly dabbling in decentralized derivatives as centralized products are under more scrutiny than ever.”

 

“The BTC ETF has significantly benefited the overall cryptocurrency market, contributing to its robust growth,” Losquadro said. “Anticipated milestones like the BTC halving and the potential approval of a spot ETH ETF are poised to further stimulate market activity and potentially usher in the continued bull run.”

 

Other tokens of interest

 

Losquadro noted that while Bitcoin is “the leader of the crypto market, it’s common for other tokens to mirror its movements.”

 

“The crypto market is interconnected, meaning that the value of a single cryptocurrency can prompt comparable fluctuations in others, influenced by factors like investor sentiment, market trends, and trading behaviors,” he said. “Interest in derivatives for altcoins has also increased. We’re seeing significant demand both on Synthetix Perps and elsewhere.”

 

DeFi revival

 

With the entry of fund managers and institutional investors to the crypto scene, Losquadro said DeFi stands poised to see a new wave of adoption as newcomers to the crypto scene start to explore all that the decentralized marketplace has to offer. 

 

“The envisioned potential of DeFi is at a critical juncture. While the emergence of DeFi last cycle was about establishing financial primitives on-chain, the user experience was not ready for mass adoption,” he said. “We are now seeing a wave of consumer-focused apps building on top of the DeFi infrastructure that has been built over the last several years.” 

 

“The improved app-level UX combined with user-centric Layer 2’s like Base will enable a new wave of users to enter the space, maturing the DeFi market overall and powering the next leg of innovation,” he said. “The increasing attraction of decentralized derivatives to fund managers and traders in recent months indicates that this burgeoning sector could emerge as a major catalyst for expansion within the broader DeFi ecosystem.”

 

With Bitcoin currently experiencing a strong uptrend, Losquadro said there is a lot of interest in longing the market, as investors have seen its price increase 72% since the start of February and know that historically, the top crypto experiences a major price increase once it surpasses the all-time high from the previous market cycle. 

 

“In bullish market conditions, there tends to be heightened interest in going long on the market, with traders aiming to capitalize on rising prices,” he said. “This is because traders anticipate ongoing asset value increases, leading them to prefer long positions, where they buy assets with the expectation of selling them at a higher price later on.” 

 

“Currently, it appears that bullish trends are setting in, particularly in light of the approval of ETFs, increasing curiosity about novel on-chain protocols, and the shift of users from centralized exchanges to the decentralized landscape through Base,” he added. 

 

While things have started to look better for DeFi recently, the ecosystem still has a long way to go to achieve what it is capable of, he said. 

 

“Despite being in its early stages, DeFi has not yet fully delivered on its fundamental promise of providing democratized financial opportunities in a transparent and permissionless manner,” he said. “Even the most advanced decentralized protocols often rely on centralized infrastructure to introduce new products, introducing custodial and regulatory risks. Crypto’s dirty secret is that most people are still using centralized exchanges to interface with tokens designed to be decentralized.”

 

Derivatives’ role in the crypto market

 

While many in the crypto community dislike derivative products, seeing them as primary contributors in pushing the global financial system to the brink of catastrophe in 2008, Losquadro said they play a vital role for all markets, including cryptocurrencies, as they keep traders actively engaged and help provide more liquidity. 

 

“A healthy derivatives market can be attractive to professional traders and institutional investors; this increased activity helps keep the market alive and liquid,” he said. 

 

“A bull run is characterized by rising prices, demand outweighing supply, and high market confidence,” he added. “When it comes to the derivatives market’s specific role in the next crypto bull run, liquidity is the key component. Synthetix has been well aware of the role that liquidity plays and has continued to prioritize it in all market conditions.” 

 

But Losquadro acknowledged they are not without their drawbacks. “The current framework for developing derivatives typically follows a top-down approach, rather than empowering individuals to create these financial instruments themselves,” he noted.

 

“Both traditional financial institutions and crypto companies are constraining the organic emergence of innovative products within DeFi, resulting in a lack of the permissionless infrastructure necessary to foster genuine financial innovation,” he said. “Synthetix V3 empowers individuals to construct and introduce derivative products through accessible and decentralized tools for creating derivatives, which are open-source and permissionless.”

 

Base layer-two network 

 

Synthetix, which originally launched on the Ethereum network, recently expanded to Base, a layer-two network backed by Coinbase that offers significantly lower transaction costs than Ethereum mainnet. 

 

“The recent Synthetix launch was platformed on one focal mission – to enable anyone to deploy permissionless derivatives products seamlessly and with access to the necessary liquidity needed to launch these products successfully,” Losquadro said. “When deciding on an L2 to launch/build on, Base was a clear frontrunner for a multitude of reasons.” 

 

He noted that Base “shares the same infrastructure as Optimism (OP),” and said, “Within the Optimism superchain system, all individual chains utilize the same technology and code.”

 

“It felt fitting to round out the Synthetix V3 update by deploying the first major perpetuals protocol on Base Mainnet,” he added. “Base was also intriguing due to its goal to create an environment that is easy to build on and its potential for driving new users onchain. Base serves as a gateway for the millions of Coinbase users and by deploying Synthetix on Base, we aim to generate increased trading volume for Synthetix perps across the Ethereum ecosystem.”

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.



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