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Nonetheless, a continuation of the decline will be signaled by a drop below Thursday’s low. That would put natural gas on track to reach the next lower target zone near the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the prior advance at $2.69. From there, a rebound or consolidation could develop, as the potential counter-trend rally would have more room to unfold after a deeper decline.
Otherwise, if signs of support continue near the current price zone, there remains a chance for an upside move towards the higher swing low at $3.02 and the 50-day moving average at approximately $3.09. The 50-day moving average appears to be the more useful trend indicator given the recent trend structure. It clearly failed as support last week as natural gas fell sharply. Therefore, there is a good chance it will act as dynamic resistance, at least during the first leg up of any recovery.
If you’d like to know more about how to trade natural gas, please visit our educational area.
Silver price (XAG/USD) trades 1.33% lower to near $58.00 during the European trading session on Thursday. The white metal faces selling pressure as elevated energy prices due to renewed aggression between the United States (US) and Iran have de-anchored inflation expectations again.
The scenario of higher global price rise projections forces central banks to support tight monetary conditions, which bodes poorly for non-yielding assets, such as Silver.
The resurgence of the Middle East war seems unlikely to cease anytime soon, as US President Donald Trump has threatened to widen attacks on Iranian infrastructure next week if the nation doesn’t come to the table for negotiations.
We’re going to knock out all their bridges unless they get to the table and negotiate,” Trump says in an interview with Fox News on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, traders have trimmed hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) bets as US inflation has cooled down at both retail and wholesale levels. Both the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) reports for June have shown that price pressures cooled down significantly.
The CME FedWatch tool shows that the odds of the Fed delivering an interest rate hike in the meeting later this month have dropped significantly to 10.2% from 31% recorded a week ago.
Bias: XAG/USD trades lower at around $57, maintaining a bearish near-term tone as it holds below the 20-period exponential moving average (EMA) at $60.75. The price action remains pressured by this overhead dynamic resistance, suggesting that rallies are likely to be capped while spot silver trades under the EMA.
Momentum: Momentum, reflected by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35.98, stays weak but above oversold territory, hinting at persistent selling pressure rather than a decisive exhaustion of the downtrend.
Resistance: On the topside, immediate resistance is located at the 20-day EMA around $60.75, which is the key barrier bulls would need to reclaim to ease the current bearish bias and open the way for a more sustained recovery. Above the 20-day EMA, the Silver price could advance towards the July 6 high of $61.37, followed by the June 22 high of $67.17.
Support: On the downside, the major support level for the Silver price is the June 24 low at $55.63; failing to hold the same would expose it to the psychological level at $50.00.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
5
UK Stock Market Forecast Today (July 16): The UK stock market is expected to open lower today, with IG futures predicting the FTSE 100 Index expected to drop nearly 31.5 points (0.3%). The investors sentiments could move cautiously due to escalating Middle East tensions and volatile situation on global inflation. However, a fresh 0.1% growth print in official UK GDP data may help cushion the downside.
Expected Market Outlook
| Index | Expected Opening | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | Flat to Slightly Lower | Cautious |
| FTSE 250 | Slightly Weak | Mixed |
| FTSE All-Share | Stable | Neutral |
The FTSE 100 on the London Stock Exchange (LSE) is trading lower today, which may hover near the 10,516 level. The market faces downward pressure as rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drive oil prices higher, while slowing Chinese economic growth continues to weigh on mining stocks.
| Index | Value | Change | High | Low | Prev Close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | 10,515.92 | -13.47 (-0.13%) | 10,546.16 | 10,443.59 | 10,529.39 |
| FTSE 250 | 23,462.39 | +55.56 (+0.24%) | 23,501.91 | 23,325.42 | 23,406.83 |
| FTSE 350 | 5,718.24 | -5.08 (-0.09%) | 5,733.84 | 5,679.74 | 5,723.32 |
| FTSE All-Share | 5,656.23 | -4.88 (-0.09%) | 5,671.62 | 5,618.51 | 5,661.11 |
| FTSE AIM UK 50 Index | 4,097.20 | +28.48 (+0.70%) | 4,109.66 | 4,060.31 | 4,068.72 |
| FTSE AIM 100 Index | 3,547.75 | +3.67 (+0.10%) | 3,556.67 | 3,521.17 | 3,544.08 |
| FTSE AIM All-Share | 765.74 | +0.16 (+0.02%) | 767.47 | 761.93 | 765.58 |
There are various domestic and foreign influences that are supposed to impact today’s market movement. The primary one is related to events in the Middle East region. The continuing disputes between the US and Iran led to the volatility on oil markets due to fears regarding potential disruptions in the supplies.
However, along with this issue, investors look at the recently released inflation figures in the US, making expectations for a more moderate approach of the Federal Reserve in coming months stronger. Currency rates, yields and company’s profits will also have a market impact today.
Investors are expected to closely monitor the performance of Britain’s major benchmark indices throughout the trading day.
| Index | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | Tracks the UK’s largest listed companies |
| FTSE 250 | Reflects domestic economic sentiment |
| FTSE All-Share | Broad measure of UK equities |
| AIM All-Share | Focuses on emerging growth companies |
Today’s trading session is expected to revolve around several major themes.
Together, these factors are likely to determine whether investors adopt a risk-on or risk-off approach during the session.
Several heavyweight companies could remain in focus as market conditions evolve.
Investors should prepare for another headline-driven trading session.
While easing inflation has improved optimism about future monetary policy, geopolitical developments remain the biggest source of uncertainty. Any significant movement in crude oil prices or escalation in Middle East tensions could quickly influence investor sentiment across European markets.
Market experts also advise monitoring economic data releases, corporate earnings and currency movements throughout the day, as these factors could determine whether the FTSE 100 extends gains or slips into negative territory before the close.
Disclaimer: The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. The Sunday Guardian suggests that readers consult with a certified financial advisor before making any investment or money-related decisions. The stock market involves significant risk.
Copper price continued forming bullish trading, as the negative pressure repeated at $6.3000, attempting to find a chance for recording extra gains in the near period, and the price needs to provide a new close above the current barrier, to reinforce the chances of forming a new bullish rally, to expect reaching $6.4800 followed by $6.5400.
Note that the main indicators will support the bullish scenario in the current trading, to keep waiting for recording the previously suggested expected gains, while the risk of the price return to the bearish corrective trend requires a sharp decline, to settle below $5.9500 level.
The expected trading range for today is between $6.2500 and $4.4800
Trend forecast: Bullish
Domestic coffee prices today
Coffee prices today in the domestic market rebounded in key production areas. The average price was recorded at 97,200 VND/kg, a simultaneous increase of 1,200 VND/kg compared to the previous update.
In Dak Lak, coffee prices increased by 1,200 VND/kg, to 97,200 VND/kg. In Gia Lai, coffee prices also increased by 1,200 VND/kg, hovering at 97,200 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, coffee prices today reached 96,700 VND/kg, an increase of 1,200 VND/kg. This is the lowest level among the surveyed areas.
The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest purchase price, reaching 97,300 VND/kg, an increase of 1,200 VND/kg compared to the previous update.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,040 VND/USD, unchanged compared to the closing session.
World coffee prices
World coffee prices increased and decreased interspersed in the updated table on July 15. While red color covered the New York Arabica exchange, the London Robusta exchange increased and decreased depending on the term.
On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract increased by 15 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.39%, to 3,849 USD/ton.
During the session, this contract at one point reached 4,033 USD/ton but then narrowed down, sometimes falling back to 3,795 USD/ton. Trading volume reached 11,691 lots.
Robusta for November 2026 delivery increased by 4 USD/ton, equivalent to 0.11%, to the 3,800 USD/ton mark.
The January and March 2027 terms decreased by 4 USD/ton and 11 USD/ton respectively, to 3,762 USD/ton and 3,725 USD/ton.
The July 2026 Robusta contract stood at 3,871 USD/ton, up 11 USD/ton.
On the New York exchange, Arabica continued its decline in all terms. September 2026 Arabica futures fell 3.90 US cents/lb, or 1.18%, to 326.1 US cents/lb.
Arabica December 2026 futures fell 3.05 US cents/lb, or 0.98%, to 308.00 US cents/lb.
The March and May 2027 terms decreased by 3.35 US cents/lb and 3.60 US cents/lb respectively, to 301.4 US cents/lb and 299.2 US cents/lb.
The July 2026 Arabica contract reached 337.2 US cents/lb, down 4.2 US cents/lb. However, this term has lower trading volume than long-term contracts because it is near maturity.
Coffee price assessment
Coffee prices closed in opposite directions after setting a 5.5-month high last week, coffee prices continuously fluctuated strongly in a wide range due to reduced market liquidity, making price movements very erratic.
The strengthening of the Brazilian real has contributed to supporting coffee prices. In Tuesday’s trading session, the real rose to its highest level in 3.5 weeks against the USD, reducing the export sales momentum of Brazilian farmers.
Price fluctuations became even stronger due to poor liquidity trading conditions. After the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) twice increased margins for coffee futures contracts last week, market liquidity decreased significantly. Many commodity investment funds closed down positions, leading to strong ups and downs in one direction.
10
UK Stock Market Forecast Today (July 15): The UK stock market is expected to begin trading cautiously on Tuesday, July 15, as investors digest a mix of encouraging economic signals and rising geopolitical risks. Softer US inflation data has strengthened expectations that major central banks could ease monetary policy later this year, offering some support to global equities.
However, renewed tensions between the US and Iran, coupled with higher crude oil prices and uncertainty surrounding energy supplies through the Strait of Hormuz, continue to cloud market sentiment.
Market participants expect the FTSE indices to witness a relatively muted start despite positive cues from Wall Street.
Investors remain caught between two opposing forces. On one hand, easing inflation has revived hopes that interest rates could begin falling in the coming months. On the other hand, escalating geopolitical tensions have pushed oil prices higher, raising concerns that inflationary pressures may persist.
The result is likely to be another session where defensive sectors outperform while investors avoid taking aggressive positions until there is greater clarity on global developments.
Expected Market Outlook
| Index | Expected Opening | Market Sentiment |
|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | Flat to Slightly Lower | Cautious |
| FTSE 250 | Slightly Weak | Mixed |
| FTSE All-Share | Stable | Neutral |
The UK stock market is expected to open on a cautious note on Wednesday, July 15, after mixed global market cues and rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Investors will closely monitor oil prices, inflation expectations and corporate earnings for fresh direction.
On Tuesday, the FTSE 100 closed at 10,529.39, gaining 31.10 points (0.30%), while the FTSE 250 finished almost unchanged at 23,406.83, reflecting a lack of strong risk appetite despite optimism over softer US inflation data.
Market participants are now watching whether the FTSE 100 can hold above the 10,500 level. Analysts expect the index to trade in the 10,480-10,560 range during today’s session, with energy, mining and banking stocks likely to remain in focus amid volatile commodity prices and ongoing developments in the US-Iran conflict.
The FTSE 100 ended Tuesday’s session in positive territory, recovering from early losses as strong gains in banking shares and easing US inflation concerns boosted investor sentiment. However, continued geopolitical tensions in the Middle East kept overall market optimism in check. The domestically focused FTSE 250 finished nearly unchanged, reflecting cautious investor positioning ahead of fresh economic data and corporate earnings.
| Index | Closing Level (July 14) | Day Change | % Change | Key Driver |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | 10,529.39 | +31.10 pts | +0.30% | Banking stocks rallied after strong US bank earnings; softer US inflation supported sentiment. |
| FTSE 250 | 23,406.83 | Flat | 0.00% | Mid-cap stocks traded cautiously amid geopolitical uncertainty. |
Market Snapshot:
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Previous FTSE 100 Close | 10,529.39 |
| Intraday Low | 10,422.98 |
| Daily Gain | 31.10 points |
| Daily Percentage Gain | 0.30% |
| FTSE 250 Close | 23,406.83 |
| Brent Crude (Approx.) | Above $87 per barrel |
| UK 10-Year Gilt Yield | Above 5% |
Several domestic and international factors are expected to shape today’s market performance.
The biggest concern remains developments in the Middle East. Continued tensions involving the United States and Iran have kept oil markets volatile, increasing concerns about supply disruptions and higher energy costs.
At the same time, investors are analysing fresh inflation data from the United States, which has strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could adopt a less aggressive policy stance later this year.
Currency movements, bond yields and corporate earnings will also remain important market drivers during today’s session.
Investors are expected to closely monitor the performance of Britain’s major benchmark indices throughout the trading day.
| Index | Why It Matters |
|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | Tracks the UK’s largest listed companies |
| FTSE 250 | Reflects domestic economic sentiment |
| FTSE All-Share | Broad measure of UK equities |
| AIM All-Share | Focuses on emerging growth companies |
Today’s trading session is expected to revolve around several major themes.
Together, these factors are likely to determine whether investors adopt a risk-on or risk-off approach during the session.
Several heavyweight companies could remain in focus as market conditions evolve.
| Company | Why Investors Are Watching |
|---|---|
| BP | Oil price gains |
| Shell | Energy sector strength |
| Rolls-Royce | Defence and aerospace demand |
| BAE Systems | Geopolitical tensions |
| HSBC | Interest-rate expectations |
| Barclays | Banking sector performance |
| Rio Tinto | Commodity prices |
| Glencore | Mining demand |
| AstraZeneca | Defensive buying interest |
Investors should prepare for another headline-driven trading session.
While easing inflation has improved optimism about future monetary policy, geopolitical developments remain the biggest source of uncertainty. Any significant movement in crude oil prices or escalation in Middle East tensions could quickly influence investor sentiment across European markets.
Market experts also advise monitoring economic data releases, corporate earnings and currency movements throughout the day, as these factors could determine whether the FTSE 100 extends gains or slips into negative territory before the close.
WTI crude oil trades near $80 as US-Iran tensions fuel supply concerns. See today’s oil price forecast, key support and resistance levels, and what’s driving WTI prices.
Crude oil from West Texas Intermediate reached prices of US$79.75. US-Iran relations destabilizing put pressure on crude oil supply from the Middle East. This unstable situation increased geopolitical risk, pushing West Texas Intermediate oil to its $80 per barrel.
Along with the geopolitical risk, OPEX+ producing oil stockpiles and global demand for oil receding helped keep pressure on prices. This leads the market to guess West Texas Intermediate oil prices and if they will break the $80 threshold.
The primary reason for the price increase has been the destabilization of the Middle East and the US and Iran military action. This directly affects the Strait of Hormuz and oil tankers and shipments. The Strait of Hormuz is a vital trade route as it carries 20% of the global oil exports.
Due to Middle East shipping disruptions, Asian oil refiners have had to look for alternative oil supplies and increased US oil exports, increasing global energy spot prices. Global supply has decreased making crude oil costs increase. The Gulf shipping situation is more of a Brent crude concern, easing WTI crude prices.
The price of oil has increased globally, but OPEC+ has decreased oil production costs. Therefore, the cost of oil has increased globally while OPEC+ gradually restores their oil stockpiles. On the flip side, both OPEC and the International Energy Agency see demand for oil decreasing, which could push today’s oil prices to a surplus.
Oil fundamentals are supported by drawdowns in inventories despite rising production.
Global onshore crude inventories continued to decrease in June. Drawdowns in OECD stockpiles and Chinese inventories were recorded. In the United States, commercial crude inventories decreased during the last reporting week. Gasoline inventories also decreased due to refiners working to fulfill peak summer demand.
These drawdowns indicate the market continues to need stored crude to fulfill demand and offset supply disruptions. This leaves prices vulnerable to further supply disruptions in the Middle East.
WTI is testing key Fibonacci resistance levels after a major rebound from $67.00.

Short-term momentum is improving as prices have reclaimed the 50-period EMA. The RSI is holding near 68, indicating bullish momentum but also the potential for an overbought market.
A sustained break above $80.33 would target the $83.37 resistance, and then the $87.36 resistance would likely come into play.
The potential for profit taking would be triggered by a failure to hold above $78.35. Stronger support is located near $73.26.
Rapidly escalating tensions in the U.S. and Iran combined with concerns of supply disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz continue to place upward pressure on WTI.
Near demand constraints from the OPEC+ production increases and declining global demand continue to place a ceiling on WTI prices.
Decreasing global inventories and crude demand from refiners are placing near term support on crude prices.
$80.33 resistance and $78.35 support levels should be closely monitored for the next move in WTI.
no change on the Natural gas price trend despite its recent sideways trading by its stability near $2.900, due to stability below $3.350 resistance, besides the continuation of providing negative momentum by the main indicators, specifically by stochastic move below level 50.
All that makes us keep the bearish scenario, to expect reaching $2.820 level soon, and surpassing it will let the price reach $2.620 support to monitor its behavior and detect the suggested targets in the upcoming trading.
The expected trading range for today is between $2.820 and $3.050
Trend forecast: Bearish
Copper price ended yesterday’s trading by forming bullish waves, to settle near the initial barrier at $6.3000 level, affected by the positivity of the main indicators, specifically by stochastic reach to 80 level as appears in the above image.
The suggested scenario depends on the upcoming four hours’ close, the stability below the barrier will reinforce the chances of forming bearish corrective trading, to target $6.1200 reaching $5.9500, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will provide a chance for recording some extra gains by its rally towards $6.4800.
The expected trading range for today is between $6.1200 and $6.3800
Trend forecast: Bearish
Copper price ended yesterday’s trading by forming bullish waves, to settle near the initial barrier at $6.3000 level, affected by the positivity of the main indicators, specifically by stochastic reach to 80 level as appears in the above image.
The suggested scenario depends on the upcoming four hours’ close, the stability below the barrier will reinforce the chances of forming bearish corrective trading, to target $6.1200 reaching $5.9500, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will provide a chance for recording some extra gains by its rally towards $6.4800.
The expected trading range for today is between $6.1200 and $6.3800
Trend forecast: Bearish