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Natural gas price touched 4.186$ level yesterday followed by surrendering to stochastic intraday negativity, to notice retesting 3.950$ support line and settling above it to confirm keeping the previously suggested bullish bias.
Now, stochastic attempt to gather the positive momentum will increase the chances of rallying towards 4.240$ to form the first target for the current trades, while surpassing it might extend trades towards 4.500$ recorded high direct.
The expected trading range for today is between 3.900$ and 4.240$
Trend forecast: Bullish
Copper price surrendered to the stability of 4.6800$ barrier to force it to activate the bearish track again by crawling below 50% Fibonacci correction level and settling near 4.4900$.
Stochastic attempt to provide the negative momentum increases the negative pressures, to expect suffering additional losses by moving towards 4.4100$ followed by reaching the MA55 at 4.3200$.
The expected trading range for today is between 4.4100$ and 4.5600$
Trend forecast: Bearish
Silver (XAG/USD) struggles to capitalize on the previous day’s modest gains and oscillates in a narrow trading band, below the $32.00 round-figure mark during the Asian session on Thursday. The white metal, meanwhile, holds above the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) pivotal support, currently pegged near the $31.30-$31.25 zone, or a two-week low touched on Tuesday.
From a technical perspective, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above the $33.00 mark and the subsequent downfall favor bearish traders. Moreover, oscillators on the daily chart have just started gaining negative traction and support prospects for an extension of a one-week-old downtrend. The XAG/USD might then weaken further below the $31.00 round-figure mark, towards testing the next relevant support near the $30.25 region.
The downward trajectory could extend further towards the $30.00 psychological mark. A convincing break below the latter will suggest that the XAG/USD has topped out in the near term and pave the way for a further depreciating move towards the $29.55-$29.50 horizontal zone en route to the $29.00 round figure and December 2024 swing low, around the $28.80-$28.75 area.
On the flip side, any positive move beyond the $32.00 mark is likely to confront some resistance near the $32.40-$32.45 region. Some follow-through buying should allow the XAG/USD to make a fresh attempt toward conquering the $33.00 round figure. A sustained strength beyond the latter could lift the commodity towards the monthly swing high, around the $33.40 area touched on February 14, and aim towards reclaiming the $34.00 mark.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Brent oil price provided new negative trades to approach our first waited target at 72.20$, and continues to move inside the main bearish channel that appears on the chart, which supports the chances of continuing the bearish trend on the intraday and short-term basis, supported by the EMA50.
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Gold price (XAU/USD) trades with mild gains around $2,920 during the early Asian session on Thursday. Trade tensions and economic uncertainty continue to drive demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
Late Wednesday, US President Donald Trump reiterated his insistence on 25% tariffs on Canada and Mexico, as well as adding the European Union (EU) to the mixed list of countries from which he will penalize US consumers for importing. Trump added that tariffs on Canada and Mexico will go into effect on April 2.
Market players will closely watch the developments surrounding further Trump’s tariff policies. The tariff uncertainty could boost the safe-haven flows, benefiting the precious metal.
On the other hand, Trump’s plans for higher tariffs have raised inflation worries at the US Federal Reserve (Fed), which might convince the US central bank to keep interest rates higher for longer. This, in turn, might cap the upside for the precious metal as higher interest rates tarnish non-yielding gold’s appeal.
Additionally, analysts suggest that the pullback is part of a normal profit-taking cycle, with long-term bullish remains in place. “We continue to see an overall upward trend,” said David Meger, director of metals trading at High Ridge Futures. “This appears to be routine profit-booking rather than a shift in sentiment,” Meger added.
Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
If support remains above $3.91, natural gas may rise. Although a breakout above today’s high will show strength, an advance above Tuesday’s high at $4.19 would be a clearer bullish sign. Nonetheless, natural gas would be rising into a potential resistance zone that stopped the last two advances at $4.37 and $4.48, respectively. The rising internal trendline marks dynamic support for the uptrend and a bearish signal would be indicated on a decisive drop below that line.
Moreover, it would increase the risk that this week’s low of $3.91 fails as support and the price of natural gas goes down further. Since resistance was seen at the top of a large rising trend channel in the current advance and for the prior swing high, there is the possibility that the next lower trendline is eventually tested as support.
Either way, that possibility could lead to a notable bearish correction towards lower potential support levels. It is notable that since the 50-Day MA was reclaimed two weeks ago and there has not yet been a pullback to test the 50-Day line as support. That makes the 50-Day MA around $4.69 a potential target. But there are other price levels near the 50-Day line, which can be considered as well.
Although the 50% retracement at $3.73 is the next lower target if natural gas falls below $3.91, lower price levels converge between the 50% retracement and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $3.56. The 50-Day MA is included within that price area, as well as the 20-Day MA at $3.33, plus a weekly low at $3.55.
For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.
Following a slide towards $2,891 right after Wall Street’s opening, Gold price regained the $2,900 mark and trades around $2,910 as the United States (US) President Donald Trump offers a press conference.
The US Dollar (USD) spent the day within familiar levels, seesawing between gains and losses, slightly firmer across the FX board throughout the first half of the day amid a risk-averse environment. An improved mood, however, is weighing on the American currency, as the rally in government bonds stalled and yields recovered some of yesterday’s losses. The 10-year Treasury note currently offers 4.30%, up 2 basis points (bps) in the day.
Market players shrugged off discouraging US macroeconomic data released on Tuesday, as Consumer Confidence plummeted according to the CB monthly survey. Yet, at the same time, investors stand on their toes ahead of trade-related headlines. The US government is not only working with tariffs but also with potential rate mineral deals with Russia and Ukraine.
Looking ahead, the US will publish next Friday the January Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) favorite inflation gauge. Annual inflation, as measured by the PCE index, is foreseen at 2.5%, down from the 2.6% posted in December, while the core reading is also seen declining, from 2.8% to 2.6%. Such figures should be seen as good news and revive speculation the Fed could deliver a rate cut in the first semester of the year.
From a technical point of view, the XAU/USD pair’s daily chart shows buyers are still taking their chances on dips. The pair bounced from around a firmly bullish 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) which extends its advance beyond also bullish 100 and 200 SMAs. At the same time, technical indicators have pared their corrective slides from overbought levels and stabilized above their midlines, supporting the dominant bullish trend.
The near-term picture, however, shows a limited bullish potential. In the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD recovered twice from intraday dips below a bullish 100 SMA but remains below a mildly bearish 20 SMA. Finally, technical indicators remain below their midlines, although recovering modestly, not enough to anticipate additional gains. Gold needs to run past 2,936.20 to recover its near-term bullish poise.
Support levels: 2,903.80 2,879.95 2,863.60
Resistance levels: 2,921.50 2,636.20 2,949.45
Boeing’s company’s stock price (BA) fell in the intraday levels while trying to gather positive momentum to rise anew, amid the dominance of the upward correctional trend in the short term, while leaning on the support of the 50-day SMA, as the RSI reached oversold levels compared to the stock’s movements, hinting at positive divergence.
Therefore we expect the stock to return higher, targeting the pivotal resistance of $192.63, provided the support of $173.13 holds on.
Trend forecast today: Likely Bullish
Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its three-day losing streak, trading near $31.80 per troy ounce during the European session on Wednesday. Technical analysis on the daily chart indicates a developing bearish outlook, with the metal trading below the lower boundary of its ascending channel pattern.
Silver price also trades below the nine-day and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling weakened short-term momentum. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back above the 50 mark, indicating that bullish sentiment remains intact. Upcoming price action will provide clearer insight into the price’s directional trend.
To the downside, the XAG/USD pair may find initial support at the psychological level of $31.00. A decisive break below this mark could strengthen the bearish outlook, potentially pushing Silver’s price toward the five-month low of $28.74, last seen on December 19.
Silver price could encounter initial resistance at the 14-day EMA around $32.12, followed by the nine-day EMA near $32.19. A move back into the ascending channel pattern would restore the bullish outlook, potentially pushing the pair toward the four-month high of $33.40. A breakout above this level would strengthen the bullish bias, opening the door for the metal price to test the ascending channel’s upper boundary near $35.00.
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Oil Price Forecast Turns Bullish Amid U.S. Inventory Surprise
Oil markets got a jolt this week as prices ticked up in Asian trading on Wednesday, February 25, 2025. The rally came after a surprise drop in U.S. oil inventories, offering a glimmer of hope to traders who’ve been watching prices slide to two-month lows. Brent oil futures climbed 0.3% to $73.27 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures gained 0.4% to $69.17 a barrel. This uptick follows a rough patch—both contracts shed about $2 on Tuesday alone, rattled by shaky economic signals from the U.S. and Germany.
But don’t pop the champagne just yet. The oil price forecast remains clouded by bigger worries. A cooling global economy and threats of Trump tariffs are keeping traders on edge. Could this inventory draw signal tighter supplies ahead, or will demand fears and trade tensions drag prices back down? Let’s unpack what’s driving the oil price forecast today and what it means for markets.
The American Petroleum Institute (API) dropped a bombshell Tuesday evening: U.S. oil inventories shrank by 0.6 million barrels for the week ending February 21. Analysts had braced for a 2.3-million-barrel build, so this unexpected draw flipped the script. It’s a small shift, sure, but in a market nursing losses, it’s enough to spark chatter about a tighter supply outlook.
Official data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), due later today, will either confirm or contradict the API’s findings. Historically, API numbers often foreshadow EIA reports, so traders are cautiously optimistic. If the trend holds, the oil price forecast could see a short-term lift as supply concerns ease. Still, with 2024 marked by oversupply fears, this lone data point isn’t enough to rewrite the broader narrative—yet.
Zoom out, and the picture gets murkier. The oil price forecast isn’t just about barrels in storage—it’s about demand, and that’s where the trouble brews. Tuesday’s $2 price drop wasn’t random; it followed weak economic data from two heavyweights: the U.S. and Germany. In the U.S., consumer confidence took a hit in February, hinting at slower spending in a nation that drives global growth. Across the Atlantic, Germany’s GDP contracted again, signaling trouble for Europe’s biggest economy.
Why does this matter? When wallets tighten, oil demand softens. Cars stay parked, factories slow, and shipping stalls. The oil price forecast hinges on economic health, and right now, the pulse is weak. Add in Trump tariffs, and you’ve got a recipe for uncertainty that’s tough to swallow. Prices might be up today, but the market’s jittery, and for good reason.
Speaking of Trump tariffs, they’re the elephant in the room. President Donald Trump has been rattling sabers, threatening new trade barriers that could shake up global commerce. This week, he floated tariffs on copper and confirmed duties on Mexico and Canada will kick in next week. China, a massive oil importer, remains a prime target too. If Trump tariffs hit hard, they could choke China’s economy—and its thirst for crude.
The oil price forecast doesn’t like unpredictability, and Trump tariffs bring plenty of it. A trade war could slow global growth, shrink demand, and send oil prices tumbling. Tuesday’s two-month low reflects that fear. Yet, Wednesday’s rebound shows markets are still digesting the news, balancing tariff threats against supply-side surprises like the inventory draw. Traders are stuck in a tug-of-war, and the outcome’s anyone’s guess.
Let’s zoom in on the trading action. Brent oil futures expiring in April nudged up to $73.27 a barrel—a modest 0.3% gain. Meanwhile, WTI crude futures hit $69.17 a barrel, up 0.4%. These are the benchmarks investors watch, and their moves shape the oil price forecast daily. Tuesday’s $2 plunge stung, but Wednesday’s recovery suggests some resilience.
For context, Brent reflects global oil dynamics, sourced from the North Sea, while WTI tracks U.S.-centric trends. Both are futures contracts, meaning traders bet on where prices are headed—say, Brent Oil Futures’s price in April. The inventory draw boosted both, but economic headwinds and Trump tariffs could cap gains. The oil price forecast here is a tightrope walk between supply hope and demand dread.
Alt Text: A chart showing the latest oil price forecast with Brent and WTI futures rising after a U.S. inventory draw.
This week’s a big one for data nerds. Thursday brings U.S. fourth-quarter GDP numbers, a snapshot of how the world’s biggest economy fared late last year. Friday ups the ante with the PCE price index—the Federal Reserve’s go-to inflation gauge—plus German inflation figures. These releases will either fuel or douse the oil price forecast.
If GDP disappoints, expect demand worries to deepen, dragging oil prices lower. A hot PCE reading could stoke fears of tighter Fed policy, another blow to growth. German inflation, meanwhile, hints at Europe’s trajectory. The oil price forecast thrives on clarity, but these reports might just muddy the waters further. Traders are glued to their screens, and for good reason.
China’s a linchpin in this story. As the world’s top oil importer, its demand swings markets. Trump tariffs targeting Beijing could kneecap its economy, curbing crude purchases. The news of potential copper tariffs this week only amps up the pressure. If China stumbles, the oil price forecast takes a hit—fewer barrels shipped means lower prices.
But it’s not all doom. China’s been diversifying supply chains and boosting domestic production. Still, Trump tariffs loom large, and any slowdown there ripples globally. The oil price forecast can’t ignore this giant, especially with trade tensions heating up.
Step back to 2024, and oil’s had a tough go. Prices started the year with promise but slumped as supply piled up and demand softened. The API’s latest draw is a blip against that backdrop—0.6 million barrels shaved off a glut doesn’t erase months of oversupply angst. The oil price forecast for 2025 hinges on whether this week’s uptick is a turning point or a false dawn.
Trump tariffs didn’t help last year either. Threats turned into action, rattling markets and fueling economic unease. Pair that with a global growth slowdown, and you see why oil’s nursing losses. The question now: can a tighter U.S. supply outlook shift the oil price forecast, or are we stuck in a rut?
For Markets.com readers, the oil price forecast isn’t just news—it’s opportunity. Brent and WTI futures are tradable instruments, and every tick matters. A bullish forecast might mean buying in, betting on tighter supplies. A bearish one, driven by Trump tariffs or weak GDP, could signal a sell-off. Timing’s everything, and this week’s data dump will test traders’ nerves.
Oil’s volatility draws a crowd. It’s tied to inflation, currencies, and equities—when oil moves, markets feel it. The oil price forecast gives you the edge, whether you’re hedging or speculating. With Trump tariffs in play, that edge feels sharper than ever.
Beyond the U.S. and China, demand’s faltering elsewhere. Germany’s GDP woes signal a European slowdown, a red flag for oil consumption. Emerging markets, too, face headwinds as Trump tariffs threaten trade flows. The oil price forecast doesn’t live in a vacuum—global growth sets the tone.
Yet, there’s nuance. Warmer weather could cut heating oil use, while a manufacturing rebound might lift diesel demand. The oil price forecast weighs these variables, but right now, the scale tips toward caution. Economic jitters and trade friction aren’t fading anytime soon.
The U.S. inventory drop stole headlines, but supply’s a global game. OPEC’s sitting tight, with no big cuts announced. Non-OPEC producers like Canada and Brazil keep pumping, adding barrels to the mix. The oil price forecast can’t ignore this flood, even if U.S. stocks dip.
Wednesday’s API data sparked hope, but it’s a drop in the bucket—literally. A 0.6-million-barrel draw pales against yearly trends. The oil price forecast needs more than one-off surprises to turn bullish long-term. Trump tariffs could shift supply chains, too, but that’s a slow burn.
Markets run on emotion as much as data. Right now, sentiment’s split. The inventory draw offers hope—maybe supplies won’t drown prices after all. But Trump tariffs and economic gloom fuel fear, keeping bulls in check. The oil price forecast reflects this push-pull, with Wednesday’s gains a tentative step forward.
Social media’s buzzing too. Posts on X show traders debating: “Is this a dead cat bounce, or the start of something?” Sentiment’s fragile, and the oil price forecast hangs in the balance. One bad GDP print could tip it.
Let’s double-click on Trump tariffs. Copper’s in the crosshairs now, but oil’s not immune. Tariffs on Mexico and Canada, set for next week, could hike transport costs—think higher gasoline prices at the pump. China’s the big domino, though. If Trump tariffs slam its factories, crude demand drops fast.
The oil price forecast has to factor this in. Trade wars don’t just hit GDP—they hit oil directly. Look at 2018: tariffs sparked volatility, and prices yo-yoed. History says Trump tariffs mean turbulence, and 2025’s shaping up the same.
Experts are split. Some see the inventory draw as a lifeline, nudging the oil price forecast up short-term. Others warn Trump tariffs and economic data could swamp any gains. “We’re in wait-and-see mode,” one analyst told Markets.com. “Friday’s PCE could be the decider.”
Data backs both sides. Brent’s $73.27 and WTI’s $69.17 show resilience, but Tuesday’s $2 drop screams caution. The oil price forecast isn’t crystal clear—it’s a puzzle, and this week’s pieces are still falling into place.
So, where do you stand? If you’re trading Brent or WTI on Markets.com, this week’s a rollercoaster. The oil price forecast suggests upside if EIA confirms the draw and GDP holds steady. But Trump tariffs and inflation data could flip the script. Stay nimble—oil’s never dull.
Check the Brent and WTI futures pages on Markets.com for live updates. The oil price forecast evolves daily, and timing’s your edge. Whether you’re in for the long haul or a quick scalp, this market’s got room to run—or stumble.
Oil’s at a crossroads. Wednesday’s rally off a two-month low feels good, but the oil price forecast isn’t set in stone. A U.S. inventory draw offers a lifeline, yet Trump tariffs and economic jitters loom large. With GDP, PCE, and German inflation data dropping soon, clarity’s coming—fast.
For now, Brent and WTI futures are holding firm, but the oil price forecast teeters. Will supply tighten enough to lift prices, or will demand fears and trade tensions win out? Stick with Markets.com’s News section—we’ll keep you posted as the oil price forecast unfolds.
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