Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in key production areas simultaneously decreased. The average price was recorded at 89,200 VND/kg, down 600 VND/kg compared to the previous update.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices decreased by 600 VND/kg, down to 89,200 VND/kg. Gia Lai also recorded a similar decrease, bringing the purchase price back to 89,200 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices today decreased by 600 VND/kg, down to 88,800 VND/kg and continue to be the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

The old Dak Nong area had the highest purchase price, reaching 89,300 VND/kg, but decreased more sharply than the remaining areas, with a decrease of 700 VND/kg.

Thus, domestic coffee prices currently range from 88,800-89,300 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 500 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 26,076 VND/USD, down 15 VND.

World coffee prices

World coffee prices fluctuated in opposite directions in the most recent trading session. Arabica on the New York exchange increased, while Robusta on the London exchange simultaneously decreased for all terms.

On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract fell 63 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.74%, to 3,564 USD/ton.

Robusta futures in November 2026 decreased by 60 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.68%, to 3,510 USD/ton. The January 2027 term decreased by 54 USD/ton, to 3,467 USD/ton.

Robusta futures for March 2027 decreased by 51 USD/ton, equivalent to 1.47%, to 3,429 USD/ton.

The July 2026 contract was recorded at 3,761/ton, down 56 USD/ton. However, the trading volume of this term is only 2 lots because the contract has approached maturity, so it does not fully reflect the general diễn biến of the market.

On the New York floor, Arabica futures in September 2026 increased by 4.60 US cents/lb, equivalent to 1.68%, to 277.80 US cents/lb.

Arabica futures in December 2026 increased by 2.50 US cents/lb, reaching 263.40 US cents/lb. March 2027 futures increased by 2.10 US cents/lb, to 258.70 US cents/lb.

May 2027 futures increased by 1.90 US cents/lb, equivalent to 0.74%, reaching 258.90 US cents/lb.

Coffee price assessment

According to financial data firm Barchart, Arabica prices rose sharply as heavy rains in Brazil continued to slow harvest progress.

Meteorological company Somar Meteorologia said that Minas Gerais state, Brazil’s largest coffee producing region, recorded 31.3 mm of rainfall in the week ending June 28. This level is equivalent to 1.956% of the historical average of the same period.

Heavy rain in the middle of harvest season can hinder coffee harvesting, transportation and drying. Coffee beans exposed to prolonged humidity also face the risk of declining quality, thereby creating support for Arabica prices.

In addition to weather factors, standard Arabica inventories on the US Intercontinental Exchange continued to decrease. Arabica inventories fell to 380,534 bags, the lowest in about 2 years and 3 months.

The decrease in available Arabica supply on the exchange made the market more sensitive to unfavorable information about the Brazilian harvest. This is one of the reasons why Arabica maintained its upward momentum even though Robusta turned down.

In the opposite direction, Robusta is under pressure as inventory on the European Intercontinental Exchange increased to 4,053 lots, the highest level in about 2 months and 3 weeks.

Previously, Robusta inventory had decreased to 3,631 lots on May 15, the lowest level in 2 years. The addition of standard goods somewhat reduced concerns about short-term supply shortages.

Robusta supply from Vietnam is also trending upwards. The Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture forecasts that Vietnam’s coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year will reach 32.5 million bags, an increase thanks to production expansion after a period of high coffee prices.

Year-end weather risks are still a factor being monitored by businesses. The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration assesses that there is a 63% chance that El Niño will reach very strong intensity in the period from November 2026 to January 2027.

El Niño may change the rainfall pattern in Brazil during the coffee tree flowering period in September and October, and also affect production conditions in Robusta growing areas in Asia. However, the level of impact depends on the actual developments in each region.

In terms of pressure, the Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture forecasts that Brazil may produce 66.7 million bags of coffee in the 2026-2027 crop year. The Dutch bank Rabobank also forecasts that the global Arabica market will continue to have a surplus.

In general, Arabica prices are being supported by heavy rain in Brazil and standard inventories are falling sharply. Meanwhile, Robusta is under pressure from recovery inventories and the prospect of increased Vietnamese supply.

Copper price is affected by the positivity of the main indicators since yesterday, specifically by forming extra support by the moving average 55 at $5.9500, which obstructs the bearish corrective attempts, forming new sideways fluctuations by its stability near $6.1000.

The sideways fluctuations remains the dominance in today’s trading until gathering the negative momentum, confirming the importance of its stability at $6.3000 level, to motivate forming bearish waves to target $5.8200 and $5.7100.

The expected trading range for today is between $5.9500 and $6.2000

Trend forecast: Fluctuating

The EURJPY pair confirmed delaying the negative attempts, with the positive momentum that comes from the main indicators, to attempt to record some gains by reaching 185.35.

Note that the continuation of facing positive pressures, by the attempt of forming an initial support at 184.20 level, which might help it to reinforce the chances of recording extra gains by targeting 185.85 level, while the return of the fluctuation below 184.20 will reinforce the chances of forming new bearish trading, to expect reaching 183.50 level initially, attempting to reach the next support at 182.90.

The expected trading range for today is between 184.40 and 185.80

Trend forecast: Bullish 

Copper price is affected by the positivity of the main indicators since yesterday, specifically by forming extra support by the moving average 55 at $5.9500, which obstructs the bearish corrective attempts, forming new sideways fluctuations by its stability near $6.1000.

The sideways fluctuations remains the dominance in today’s trading until gathering the negative momentum, confirming the importance of its stability at $6.3000 level, to motivate forming bearish waves to target $5.8200 and $5.7100.

The expected trading range for today is between $5.9500 and $6.2000

Trend forecast: Fluctuating

Weekly Chart Reinforces Key Technical Levels

The weekly chart provides additional perspective, as the lows of the past couple of weeks have been finding support near the 50-week moving average, now near $63.64. This reinforces the potential for a durable support zone. Conversely, a decisive break below that area would strengthen the bearish outlook by confirming a loss of long-term support. The 50-week moving average has held as support since it was reclaimed in March 2024, except for a couple of weeks in April 2025 when price briefly traded below it.

Resistance Levels Hold the Key

Key near-term resistance is represented by the 20-day moving average near $70.16 and the recent lower swing high at $71.56. If those levels can be recovered, silver would have an opportunity to reclaim the long-term trend indicators and improve the broader outlook. Until then, however, the bias remains tilted to the downside.

If you’d like to know more about how to trade gold and silver, please visit our educational area.

The EURJPY pair formed some bearish trading, however it didn’t settle for longtime by its stability above 183.40, forming several bullish waves by targeting 184.85 barrier, to settle near 184.20.

In spite of the stability of the price below 184.85 barrier, however the contradiction of the main indicators might force it to provide unstable mixed trading, to keep waiting for gathering extra negative momentum, which allows it to renew the pressure on the mentioned barrier, where breaking it will extend the trading towards the negative stations near 182.90 and 182.20.

The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.60

Trend forecast: Fluctuating within the bearish trend

The continuation of the contradiction between the main indicators led to delay the negative attempts of platinum, to form some bullish corrective waves by reaching $1625.00, by the above image, we notice the stability of the trading within minor bearish channel levels, to confirm the stability of the bearish scenario by its stability below the initial resistance at $1745.00.

And that makes us wait for gathering extra negative momentum, which allows it renew the negative attempts that might target $1555.00 and $1510.00, while breaching the resistance and holding above it will provide extra chances for recovering more losses by its rally $1775.00 reaching the next barrier near $1855.00.

The expected trading range for today is between $1515.00 and $1680.00

Trend forecast: Bearish

Will oil prices go up?

It’s impossible to forecast oil prices with detailed precision. Many different elements affect the market, but ultimately it boils down to supply and demand. When worries about economic recession, war, and other large-scale disruptions increase, oil’s path can shift fast.

How oil prices translate to gas pump prices

Gas prices at the pump don’t only track crude oil. They also include what it takes to refine and move that fuel, the taxes layered on top, and the extra markup your local station adds to stay in business.

Since crude oil generally makes up a majority of the per-gallon cost, changes in its price have an outsized impact. When oil surges, gas prices typically rise in tandem. But when oil retreats, gas prices often lag on the way down, a trend sometimes described as “rockets and feathers.”

The role of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

In case of emergency, the U.S. has a store of crude oil known as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Its primary purpose is energy security in case of disaster (think sanctions, severe storm damage, even war). But it can also go a long way toward softening crippling price hikes during supply shocks.

It’s not a long-term answer and is more meant to provide temporary relief, assisting consumers and keeping critical parts of the economy running, like key industries, emergency services, public transportation, etc.

How oil and natural gas prices are linked

Both oil and natural gas are key sources of the energy we use every day. Because of this, a big change in oil prices can affect natural gas. For example, if oil prices increase, some industries may swap natural gas for some segments of their operations where possible, which increases demand for natural gas.

Historical performance of oil

To gauge oil’s performance, we often turn to two benchmarks:

• Brent crude oil, the main global oil benchmark.
• West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the main benchmark of North America

Between these two, Brent better represents global oil performance because it prices much of the world’s traded crude. And, it’s often the best way to track historical oil performance. In fact, even the U.S. Energy Information Administration now uses Brent as its primary reference in its Annual Energy Outlook.

Looking at the Brent benchmark across several decades, oil has been anything but steady. It’s seen spikes due to factors such as wars and supply cuts, and it’s also seen crashes from global recessions and an oversupply (called a “glut”). For example:

• The early 1970s brought the first big oil shock when the Middle East cut exports and imposed an embargo on the U.S. and others during the Yom Kippur War.
• Prices dropped in the mid-1980s for reasons such as lower demand and more non-OPEC oil producers entering the industry.
• Prices spiked again in 2008 with increased global demand, but it soon plummeted alongside the global financial crisis.
• During the 2020 COVID lockdown, oil demand collapsed like never before—bringing prices below $20 per barrel.

All to say, oil’s historical performance has been anything but smooth. Again, it’s hugely affected by wars, recessions, OPEC whims, evolving energy initiatives and policies, and much more.

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