Silver price didn’t show any strong move since morning, to continue fluctuating around 32.60$, thus, no change to the expected bullish trend for today, which depends on the price stability above 32.25$, reminding you that our targets begin at 32.86$ and extend to 33.35$ after breaching the previous level.
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Silver price struggles around $32.70 ahead of the US NFP data for February.
The US employment data will influence market speculation for the Fed’s monetary policy outlook.
The Silver price remains supported by global trade war tensions.
Silver price (XAG/USD) faces selling pressure near $32.70 in European trading hours on Friday. The white metal trades cautiously ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for February, which will be published at 13:30 GMT.
The US NFP data will significantly influence market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy outlook. Upbeat labor market data would boost market speculation that the Fed will keep interest rates steady in the current range of 4.25%-4.50% for longer. On the contrary, soft numbers would weaken them.
Technically, a restrictive interest rate stance from the Fed bodes poorly for precious metals, such as Silver.
The US NFP report is expected to show that the employers hired 160K workers, higher than 143K recorded in January. The Unemployment Rate is seen steady at 4%. Investors will also focus on the Average Hourly Earnings data, a key measure of wage growth, which is estimated to have grown steadily by 4.1% year-on-year.
Ahead of the US NFP data, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, posts a fresh four-month low near 103.60. 10-year US Treasury yields drops to near 4.27%.
Meanwhile, global trade war tensions continue to offer support to the Silver price. On Thursday, US President Donald Trump confirmed tariff exemptions on products compliant with the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) till April 2. Trump imposed 25% tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico on Tuesday.
Silver technical analysis
Silver price strives to hold the key resistance of $32.40 plotted from the December 12 high. The asset trades above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $32.00, suggesting that the near-term trend is bullish.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a sideways trend.
Looking down, the upward-sloping trendline from the August 8 low of $26.45 will act as key support for the Silver price around $30.00. While, the February 14 high of $33.40 will be the key barrier.
Silver daily chart
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
The EURJPY pair approached the second target at 161.65, while the negative momentum that the major indicators started to provide by the MA55 that forms additional barrier at 160.90 and stochastic attempt to exit the overbought areas pushed the price to activate the correctional decline to settle near 159.50.
We expect to form some sideways trades to attempt to hold above the additional support at 158.85, while gathering the additional positive momentum will push the price to start forming bullish waves to target 160.20 soon, followed by attempting to confirm breaching the MA55 to ease the mission of recording new gains on the near-term and medium term basis.
The expected trading range for today is between 159.00 and 161.20
Copper price ended the last bullish rally by facing 4.8100$ resistance line, to form temporary negative rebound towards 4.7100$, while the main stability within the bullish channel and forming continuous additional support at 4.5400$ will increase the chances of activating the bullish track on the near-term basis.
We assure the importance of gathering the additional positive momentum to manage to surpass the current resistance and open the way to record additional gains that might extend towards 4.8800$ followed by reaching the bullish channel’s resistance line near 4.9600$.
The expected trading range for today is between 4.6500$ and 4.9100$
Copper price ended the last bullish rally by facing 4.8100$ resistance line, to form temporary negative rebound towards 4.7100$, while the main stability within the bullish channel and forming continuous additional support at 4.5400$ will increase the chances of activating the bullish track on the near-term basis.
We assure the importance of gathering the additional positive momentum to manage to surpass the current resistance and open the way to record additional gains that might extend towards 4.8800$ followed by reaching the bullish channel’s resistance line near 4.9600$.
The expected trading range for today is between 4.6500$ and 4.9100$
Brent oil price trades are confined within bearish pennant pattern that appears on the chart, thus, the price needs to break this pattern’s support line at 69.30$ to activate the negative effect of the mentioned pattern followed by rallying to resume the expected main bearish trend on the intraday and short-term basis.
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Silver holds near $32.50, with buyers unable to push past key resistance.
Next upside targets: $33.00, February 20 high of $33.20, and cycle high of $33.39.
A break below $32.00 could expose $31.50 and the 100-day SMA at $31.21.
Silver price consolidates, snapping three days of gains, trading near the $32.50 area, with buyers failing to prolong their advance to challenge the last cycle high of $33.39. At the time of writing, XAG/USD is virtually unchanged as the Friday’s Asian session begins.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
Silver (XAG/USD) remains sideways near $32.50 with neither buyers nor the sellers unable to decisively push the grey’s metal quote upwards or downwards. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows that momentum remains flat, yet buyers have the upper hand.
That said the XAG/USD first resistance would be $33.00, followed by key levels such as the February 20 high of $33.20 and the February 14 cycle high of $33.39. Conversely, if XAG/USd falls beneath $32.00, the next support would be the $31.50, ahead of the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $31.21. Further weakness could expose $31.00, with additional support at the 200-day SMA near $30.48.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
Polygon’s currency price (MATICUSDT) inched lower in the intraday levels, confirming the breach of the pivotal support of $0.286, amid the dominance of the main downward trend in the medium term, while trading alongside the secondary short-term trend line, with negative pressure from trading below the 50-day SMA, coupled with negative signals from the RSI.
Therefore we expect the price to decline and target the support of $0.149, provided it settles firmly below the resistance of $0.286.
A new trend high of $4.55 was reached on Tuesday and the day ended with natural gas in a relatively weak position in the lower half of the day’s trading range. Moreover, the closing price was the second highest level for the bull trend, but it was not the highest.
That is not a convincing response to a new bull breakout as it shows short-term weakness, rather than improving strength. Then, on Wednesday a new closing daily high was established at $4.52. And Wednesday’s high of $4.52 completed another test of resistance around a top trend channel line that marked a resistance zone for the three most recent rallies.
Top Channel Line Remains Resistance
Previous attempts to break out above the channel line have failed. This would seem to put greater weight on the possibility of a bearish retracement rather than a bullish continuation. Nonetheless, the behavior of natural gas around key near-term price levels mentioned above will provide clues.
Although demand remains relatively strong given the two days of consolidation that further tested resistance around the channel line, a sustained upside breakout and a continuation of the bull trend may have greater success following a pullback first, or a longer rest in consolidation.
Bullish Weekly Price Action
On the weekly time frame natural gas showed strength this week. This week’s rally began following an initial bearish move to test support at a confluence zone that is marked by several indicators. Of significance is the 50-Day MA, now at $3.77. That line was joined by the 20-Day MA and a 50% retracement level. It was the first real test of support at the 50-Day line since it was reclaimed on February 13.
Copper price confirmed its surrender to the previously suggested positivity by settling within the bullish channel frequently and surpassing 4.6800$ barrier now, to notice the beginning of recording the positive targets by touching 4.7800$ now.
The continuous positive momentum provided by the major indicators will increase the efficiency of the bullish track, to expect attacking 4.8100$ recorded high soon, while surpassing it will start targeting new positive stations by rallying towards 4.9100$ and face the bullish channel’s resistance line.
The expected trading range for today is between 4.6800$ and 4.9100$
