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14 11, 2025

XAG/USD remains near 54.00 due to improved market sentiment

By |2025-11-14T07:29:28+02:00November 14, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver price (XAG/USD) continues its winning streak for the fifth successive session, nearing the all-time high of $54.86, which was recorded on October 16, and is currently trading around $54.00 per troy ounce during the early European hours on Thursday.

The upside of the safe-haven Silver could be limited as market sentiment improves amid the end of the United States (US) government shutdown. US President Donald Trump signed the government funding bill on Thursday, marking the official end of the longest government shutdown in US history. The bill requires the Government to resume normal operations and call for direct payment for individuals to purchase healthcare.

The non-interest-bearing Silver gained support amid uncertainty over the US economic outlook and Federal Reserve (Fed) policy direction. Weaker-than-expected private labor data for October strengthened expectations of potential Fed policy easing, as the ADP Employment Change report on Tuesday indicated an average weekly job loss of 11,250 in the four weeks to October 25.

However, the likelihood of the Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December faded following recent hawkish Fedspeak. The CME FedWatch Tool shows markets pricing in nearly a 60% chance of a 25-basis-point Fed rate cut in December, down from 67% a day ago.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic addressed economic trends at the Atlanta Economic Club on Wednesday. Bostic cautioned that easing policy too soon could “feed the inflation beast,” while noting that a sharp downturn in the labor market is unlikely in the near term.

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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14 11, 2025

XAU/USD climbs above $4,150 as US shutdown ends

By |2025-11-14T05:27:53+02:00November 14, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Gold price (XAU/USD) trades in positive territory near $4,185 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal drifts higher as traders anticipate that the reopening of the US government will restore the flow of economic data and reinforce bets of further US interest rate cuts.

A record shutdown in US history ended on Thursday after Trump signed a funding bill to reopen the government. The House of Representatives approved the bill earlier Thursday in a 222-209 vote, with nearly every Republican and a handful of Democrats voting for it. The expectation that US economic data released after the end of the shutdown will reveal US labor market weakness could weigh on the US Dollar (USD) and lift the USD-denominated commodity price in the near term. 

On Thursday, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said that the government would publish the October employment data, but without the Unemployment Rate due to the lack of a household survey that month.

On the other hand, the cautious tone from the Fed officials could undermine the yellow metal. Boston Fed President Susan Collins used cautious language to express her opinion on policy, saying that it will likely be appropriate to keep policy rates at the current level for some time to balance the inflation and employment risks in this highly uncertain environment. 

Meanwhile, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic on Wednesday and Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack on Thursday have also expressed a preference for holding rates steady.

Markets are now pricing in a more than 51% chance that the Fed will cut its benchmark overnight borrowing rate by a quarter percentage point at its December meeting, down from 62.9% odds that markets priced in a day ago, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Gold FAQs

Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.

Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.

Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.

The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.



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14 11, 2025

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Small Rising Channel Tests Major Resistance

By |2025-11-14T01:25:25+02:00November 14, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Small Channel Formation

Recent action has traced out a small rising parallel channel with wedge-like characteristics—potentially bearish on downside resolution. No trigger has appeared yet, but today’s peak precisely hit multiple resistance layers: the small channel top line, 175% extension of the broader rising trend channel, and 88.6% Fibonacci retracement.

Resistance Confluence Risk

This precise alignment elevates the odds of a bearish correction. Still, recognition of the 175% channel line allows for possible additional grinding higher while hugging that dynamic resistance.

Next Upside Objective

Continuation beyond current levels targets the 200% projection of the rising ABCD pattern, doubling the length of the initial AB leg for the CD advance.

Primary Support Framework

The 10-day average at $4.37—rising sharply—serves as the most reliable dynamic support. The small channel’s lower line and 150% extension of the larger channel provide secondary context, but the 10-day level will dictate the correction’s demand profile.

Weekly Trend Status

Natural gas nears completion of its fourth straight week of higher highs and higher lows, underscoring the bull trend’s persistence despite short-term extension.

Correction Imminence

Short-term overextension signals a correction of some magnitude is likely overdue, even if price sustains briefly higher. The downside risk grows, though recent bullish behavior suggests any pullback will reload for resumption.



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13 11, 2025

Natural Gas Price Outlook – Natural Gas Continues to Levitate

By |2025-11-13T23:24:22+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural Gas Technical Analysis

The natural gas market has gone back and forth during the course of the trading session here on Thursday, as we are hovering around the $4.50 level. Ultimately, this is a market that I think, given enough time, will have to have some type of pullback after this shot higher, but it’s worth noting that we are trading the December contract, and that, of course, has a major influence on how the price behaves. After all, the heating demand in the Northeastern part of the United States, as well as Northern Europe, will be picking up during December, so it does make sense that we have a little bit of elevated pricing at the moment.

The question at this point is going to be whether or not we can continue to see this type of momentum or if we get some type of pullback. I suspect that a pullback at this point in time ends up being a buying opportunity, especially if we can get down to somewhere close to the $4 level. I do not like the idea of trying to chase the market all the way up here. Ultimately, this is a scenario where you’re looking for value. You just don’t have it after this type of run, but clearly this is a one-way trade. You should not be trying to short this market, trying to pick a top. I can’t think of a worse trade out there at the moment.



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13 11, 2025

Goldman Sachs price soars – Forecast today

By |2025-11-13T21:23:25+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Goldman Sachs Group, Inc (GS) surged higher in its latest intraday trading, successfully breaking above the key resistance level of $816.12. The stock continues to receive positive support from trading above its 50-day simple moving average, within a short-term uptrend and along an ascending support line. In addition, positive signals are appearing on the relative strength indicators, despite remaining in overbought territory.

 

Therefore, we expect the stock price to rise in its upcoming trading sessions, particularly as long as it remains above $816.12, targeting the first resistance level at $880.75.

 

Today’s price forecast: Bullish.





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13 11, 2025

XAU/USD loses steam, battles around $4,200

By |2025-11-13T19:22:17+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


XAU/USD Current price: $4,207.20

  • The United States government ended the longest shutdown on record.
  • Wall Street suffers after flirting with record highs, underpinning Gold.
  • XAU/USD loses upward momentum, risk remains skewed to the upside.

Gold price peaked on Thursday at $4,245 a troy ounce, a fresh three-week high, but it trimmed part of its intraday gains and currently hovers around $4,200. The XAU/USD pair surged throughout the first half of the day, amid the US Dollar (USD) edging sharply lower on the back of headlines indicating that the United States (US) government had resumed its activities after passing a funding bill that will cover the period until January 30.

Optimism eased during European trading hours, pushing XAU/USD below the $4,200 mark. However, the soft tone of Wall Street, hinting at fresh market concerns, helped the bright metal recover some ground.

US indexes turned south with the Dow Jones Industrial Average retreating from fresh record highs, down roughly 400 points at the time of writing. The heavy tech-weighted Nasdaq Composite is the worst performer, down 1.76% amid weakness among tech shares, amid worries about those being overvalued.

Other than that, market participants are concerned about the upcoming flood of US economic data after a forty-three-day silence, and the potential impact of such figures on the December Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision. Odds for a December interest rate cut fell after Chair Jerome Powell noted that the movement should not be taken for granted, following the October meeting. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds for a December cut stand at 53.6%, while those for a no-change outcome account for 46.4%.

XAU/USD short-term technical outlook

Technical Analysis:

The XAU/USD pair trades at $4,207.20, and the 4-hour chart shows fading upward strength, although a well-limited downward scope. The 20-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) stands at $4,164, providing dynamic support as it rises above the 100- and 200-period SMAs, with all three indicators sloping higher, in line with the dominant bullish trend. At the same time, the Momentum indicator fades above its 100 line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator eases from overbought readings, but still stands at 66, in line with buyers’ dominance. Trend-following bias would remain intact while the metal respects the rising 20-period SMA, with pullbacks expected to be shallow if buyers defend that zone.

In the daily chart, XAU/USD is developing above all its moving averages, with a flat 20-day SMA holding above the bullish 100- and 200-day SMAs. The mentioned 20-day SMA provides support at $4,076. At the same time, the Momentum indicator holds above its midline, but aims marginally higher, while the RSI indicator flattens around 64. Buyers should retain control as long as the 20-day SMA holds, with scope to extend its advance towards the $4,300 threshold once the price surpasses the intraday high at $4,245.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool)



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13 11, 2025

The GBPCHF keeps its negative stability– Forecast today – 12-11-2025

By |2025-11-13T17:21:20+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The GBPCHF ended the bullish corrective rebound by providing new close below the minor bearish channel’s resistance at 1.0620, forming sharp decline and its stability near 1.0515, confirming the stability of the previously suggested bearish scenario.

 

Note that the beginning of providing extra negative momentum by stochastic reaching below 50 level will increase the chances of resuming the negative attack, to keep waiting for targeting 1.0475 level reaching 161.8%Fibonacci extension level at 1.0455, to face the support of the bearish channel as appears in the above image.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 1.0560 and 1.0475

 

Trend forecast: Bearish





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13 11, 2025

Platinum price surges above the barrier– Forecast today – 13-11-2025

By |2025-11-13T11:18:22+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The (Brent) price settled with sharp losses in its last intraday trading, affected by the negative pressure due to its trading below EMA50, and the dominance of the main bullish trend on the short-term basis, to break the key support at $62.75, intensifying the negative pressure on the price, on the other hand, we notice the emergence of positive overlapping signals on the relative strength indicators, after reaching oversold levels, which might reduce its upcoming losses.

 

 

 

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13 11, 2025

XAU/USD battles $4,200 as buyers refuse to give up yet

By |2025-11-13T09:17:45+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Gold is trading close to three-week highs early Thursday, challenging offers near the $4,200 level.    

Gold awaits clarity on US data publication

Despite the retreat, Gold remains the most sought after investment asset so far this week.

Concerns prevail over the health of the United States (US) economy in the face of uncertainty over data publication, even as the government is set to reopen after the House of Representatives voted 222-209 to end the record shutdown.

This comes after White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said Wednesday, the federal jobs and inflation reports for October may never get calculated and released due to the shutdown.

Meanwhile, several economists believe that the missed September data will be published as early as next week, while urging the US Labor Department to prioritize November employment, CPI data post-shutdown, per Reuters.

The lack of clarity on the resumption of the statistics prompts markets to trade cautiously, lending some support to safe-haven US Dollar (USD), in turn, capping the Gold price upside.

However, any pullback in Gold will likely be short-lived as markets continue to predict an 25 basis points (bps) interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) next month, according to 80% of economists polled by Reuters.

Looking ahead, Gold traders will continue to closely scrutinize speeches from Fed officials as the central bank appears divided on the next rate move amid weakening labor market conditions and the inflation dilemma.

Gold price technical analysis

Daily chart

As observed on the daily chart, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hold firm near 64, as of writing.

The leading indicator, thus, suggests that upside risks remain intact for Gold.

Buyers need a daily candlestick closing above the $4,200 mark to accelerate further toward the $4,250 psychological level.

Acceptance above the latter will open the door for a retest of the record high at $4,382.

Alternatively, any pullback will likely find support at the previous resistance of $4,129, the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level of the parabolic rise to the record high that began on August 19.

The next downside target is seen at the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) of $4,087, below which the $4,050 psychological level will be challenged.



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13 11, 2025

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Holds Gains as Momentum Wanes

By |2025-11-13T01:13:21+02:00November 13, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Dynamic Support Structure

The 10-day average has climbed sharply to $4.31, now above the lows of the past seven sessions. This elevated dynamic line suggests any near-term pullback may stay shallow and recover quickly, while a decisive break below it would signal meaningful short-term weakening.

Deeper Downside Levels

A drop beneath the seven-day low of $4.18 would further confirm bearish pressure. Should the 10-day fail, the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $3.94 aligns with the original top channel line as the next major support zone. The rising 20-day average, soon to surpass that channel line and approach the $3.94 area, may add confluence.

Resistance Cluster

Strength persists despite multiple overhead hurdles, including the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $4.41, the cleared 150% channel extension, and now the emerging test of the 175% channel line. Natural gas continues to absorb supply while pushing higher.

Weekly and Consolidation Context

This marks the fourth straight week of higher weekly highs and lows. Over the past eight sessions, bullish momentum has moderated into a small rising consolidation channel—defined by a newly drawn lower boundary line tracking recent price action. Sustained trade above the 10-day average can extend this pattern.

Momentum Requirement

To maintain upside potential and realistically challenge the 2025 $4.90 peak, bullish momentum must accelerate. Failure to do so heightens pullback risk within the current tight structure.

Outlook

Natural gas remains in a bullish posture as long as the 10-day average at $4.31 and rising consolidation channel hold. A close above $4.58 would target the 175% channel extension and keep $4.90 viable. Any decisive drop below $4.31–$4.18 opens the path to $3.94 support; the 20-day average will provide the next critical decision point on deeper correction.



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