1. Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline Has Been Shut

One of the most important developments for the oil market is the temporary shutdown of Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline.

The pipeline normally provides Saudi Arabia with an alternative route to export crude through the Red Sea, reducing its dependence on the Strait of Hormuz.

Following attacks, Saudi Arabia temporarily shut the pipeline while emergency teams assessed the damage. Reuters reported that the outage could threaten as much as 4% of global oil supply if it persists.

The importance of the pipeline has increased because shipping through the Strait of Hormuz has already been severely disrupted.

According to Reuters, Saudi crude production had fallen to around 6.2 million barrels per day in August, compared with 10.9 million barrels per day in February.

That leaves the market with less room to absorb another supply shock.

2. Strait of Hormuz Risks Remain

The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the most important variables for the oil market.

Shipping activity through the strait has fallen significantly, while a vessel was reportedly hit by a projectile during the weekend. Reuters reported that only four outbound and 10 inbound vessels were recorded over the weekend, compared with a recent 10-day average of around 14 daily transits.

Any further reduction in tanker traffic could increase the geopolitical premium embedded in crude prices.

For WTI traders, this means that headlines surrounding the Gulf can produce significant intraday volatility.

3. Iran-Gulf Talks Have Been Postponed

The market had been hoping that diplomatic discussions could provide a path towards reopening safer shipping routes.

However, Oman’s foreign minister confirmed that a planned meeting between Iran and Gulf countries had been postponed.

That reduces the probability of an immediate de-escalation and leaves the oil market focused on physical supply rather than diplomatic progress.

4. Houthi Activity Is Increasing Supply Risks

The risk is no longer limited to the Strait of Hormuz.

Houthi forces have intensified their activities around the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb, creating another obstacle for oil transportation.

Reuters reported that the Houthi advance along Yemen’s Red Sea coastline is increasing pressure on Saudi oil exports and global shipping routes.

This creates a dangerous scenario for the oil market: multiple export routes are facing simultaneous geopolitical risks.

2026.09.14 2026.09.14
Short-Term Analysis for Oil, Gold, and EURUSD for 14.09.2026

Alex Rodionovhttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-rodionov/

Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.

Gold continues to trade under selling pressure.

Major Takeaways

• USCrude: Oil has reached the first bullish target set for trades opened at support A of 96.45–96.01.
• XAUUSD: Gold may fall further toward 4,282.
• EURUSD: The euro is piercing support B of 1.1585–1.1572.

Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis

The oil price is maintaining a short-term uptrend. On Friday, the asset tested support A at 96.45–96.01. As a result, bulls managed to hold this zone. Today, the price opened with a gap and reached the first bullish target of 98.40.

Consequently, some of the remaining long trades can be shifted to the breakeven point and held until the second target of 100.75 is reached. If oil breaks below support A, the correction will extend toward support B of 94.27–93.61.

USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the long trades opened at support A of 96.45–96.01. TakeProfit: 98.40, 100.75. StopLoss: at breakeven.

Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis

Gold remains under selling pressure. Last week, the price reached the first bearish target of 4,367. The second target is at 4,282. This level lies within the Gold Zone of 4,286–4,276. Therefore, if the price breaks below this zone, it may slide further to the Target Zone 2 of 4,158–4,135.

XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the short trades opened at resistance B of 4,451–4,436. TakeProfit: 4,282. StopLoss: at breakeven.

Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis

After reaching the first bullish target set for trades opened at support B of 1.1585–1.1572, the euro price reversed lower. Today, it is attempting to break below support B. If it settles below this zone, the trend will turn bearish. In that case, consider short trades tomorrow, targeting the lower Target Zone of 1.1459–1.1434.

If the euro price returns to support B and forms a buy pattern, consider long trades, with the first target at 1.1642 and the second one at the August 21 high of 1.1711.

EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Watch the market.

Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.

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Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

But as things stand right now, it looks like the natural gas market is stuck between $3 on the top and somewhere right around $2.80 on the bottom. The 50-day EMA is flat, and the 200-day EMA sits above the $3 level, but it is drifting lower.

Ultimately, this, at least from what I can tell, still looks very range-bound. As a result, I have to play it that way. This time of year, we start to shift from bearish seasonality to neutral, and this is an interesting time of year because longer-term traders quite often will be putting their positions on.

Ultimately, we are going to need to see a significant drawdown in storage to make things change. We have not really seen that yet, and at last count, we were still running at about 5% above the five-year average as far as storage is concerned. So, there are still some bearish headwinds, but we are starting to think about winter.

Despite the stability of platinum price above $1705.00 support level, it faced negative pressure by stochastic attempt to reach the oversold levels, and forming a strong obstacle at 1840.00 level against the current trading pushed it to form new sideways moves by its stability near $1790.00.

Note that the continuation of providing negative momentum by the main indicators might push the price to renew the pressure on the previously mentioned support, to monitor its behavior to detect the suggested targets in the upcoming trading.

The expected trading range for today is between $1705.00 and $1840.00

Trend forecast: Fluctuating within the bullish trend

Despite the weakness of natural gas price’s last trading, its stability above the support level of $2.620 makes us keep the bullish trend, to notice its rally to settle near $2.880 level.

Note that stochastic stability above 50 level will increase the chances of gathering positive momentum in the current trading to form new bullish waves, paving the way towards surpassing $2.920 level and reaching the next target at $3.100. 

The expected trading range for today is between $2.760 and $3.100

Trend forecast: Bullish

After a volatile week, the silver price prediction from UBS remains $70 for December and $80 for September 2027.

The Silver price recovered to $64.48 an ounce on Friday, clawing back less than a third of Thursday’s losses.

The 1.64% rebound still left XAG/USD down 2.6% over the week, with the metal needing a sustained recovery to reach UBS’s forecasts.

The bank’s silver price forecast starts at $70 in December 2026, rises to $75 in March and June 2027, then reaches $80 that September.

UBS has retained its earlier September projections, with December’s $70 estimate around 8.6% above Friday’s close and September 2027’s $80 target 24% higher.

View full size

Can silver build on Friday’s rebound?

Silver prices gained despite US core inflation accelerating to 0.3% month-on-month in August from 0.2% in July.

UBS had already anticipated a rate rise before those figures arrived.

The bank said on 10 September: “Our economists’ base case is that the Fed will raise its policy rate by 25bps. Given current market expectations, the hike itself should have a relatively limited impact.”

Its focus was the accompanying message: “More important will be whether markets interpret the decision and the tone of the subsequent press conference as leaning hawkish or dovish.”

In its currency outlook, UBS added: “In our base case, we do not expect a hawkish hike that would provide broad support for the dollar.”

That leaves room, in our view, for silver to recover even if US rates rise, provided the dollar does not strengthen materially.

The Fed’s 15–16 September meeting will test that reading, with most of Thursday’s silver losses still unrecovered.

Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.

2026.09.11 2026.09.11
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 11.09.26–18.09.26

Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/

Major Takeaways

• Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 92.50 with a target of 115.50–125.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 92.50. Stop Loss: below 91.00, Take Profit: 115.50–125.50.
• Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 92.50 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 78.58–67.00. A sell signal: the level of 92.50 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 94.00, Take Profit: 78.58–67.00.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above 92.50 with a target of 115.50–125.50.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below 92.50 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 78.58–67.00.

Analysis

On the weekly chart, a descending correction has likely finished developing as the second wave of larger degree (2) and an ascending third wave (3) is forming. On the daily chart, apparently, the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) has formed, a local correction has been completed as wave 2 of (3), and the third wave 3 of (3) is unfolding. Wave i of 3 continues developing on the H4 chart; within it, wave (iii) of i is unfolding. If the presumption is correct, WTI will continue to rise to 115.50–125.50. The level of 92.50 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 78.58–67.00.

This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode

The CADCHF confirmed the bullish scenario by providing repeated bullish closes above the support level of 0.5770, forming several bullish waves and recording clear gains by its stability near 0.5880.

The attempt to provide positive momentum by the main indicators makes us prefer more bullish attempts, which might target 0.5910 barrier, where surpassing it will confirm that the price will enter a new positive pace by its rally towards 0.5945 reaching 0.6000.

The expected trading range for today is between 0.5850 and 0.5910

Trend forecast: Bullish

Domestic coffee prices

Coffee prices today in the domestic market turned down by 500 VND/kg. According to giacaphe. com, coffee prices on September 12 averaged at 95. 200 VND/kg, anchored in the price range of 94. 700-95. 300 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 95. 200 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 94. 700 VND/kg, down 500 VND/kg.

The old Dak Nong area also decreased by 500 VND/kg, recording a level of 95. 300 VND/kg.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank was recorded at 25,700 VND/USD, down 10 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

In the world market, coffee prices continuously fluctuate in rotation.

According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract today decreased by 29 USD/ton, anchored at 3,495 USD/ton. At the same decrease, the November 2026 futures were listed at 3, 525 USD/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 increased and decreased alternately, listed in the price range of 3,482 – 3,508 USD/ton.

Meanwhile, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract continued to decline by 1.65 cents/lb (equivalent to 0.52%), down to 313.65 cents/lb. The December 2026 term fell even deeper by 2.45 cents/lb, bringing it to the market at a price of 285.70 cents/lb. Further forwards anchored in the 272.20 – 277.20 cent/lb range, down from 2.25-2.45 cents/lb.

Assessments and forecasts

Arabica coffee prices fell in yesterday’s trading session, fluctuating around the 7-week low set on Thursday.

Coffee prices fell after the Brazilian Coffee Exporters Association (Cecafe) said late Thursday that Brazil’s total coffee exports in August increased by 31% year-on-year, to 4.155 million bags, a record high in August. Arabica exports in August increased by 26%, to 2.87 million bags, while Robusta exports increased by 54%, to 953,592 bags. Brazilian coffee is being put on the export market as the harvest in this country is completed.

In another development, the Brazilian Ministry of Commerce said on Tuesday that the country’s coffee exports in August increased by 44.6% year-on-year, to 206,618 tons, the highest level in 8 months.

Arabica coffee prices fell after the International Coffee Organization (ICO) forecast that global coffee production would reach a record level and the market would fall into a state of oversupply. ICO said that global coffee production in the 2025/26 crop year increased by 4.4% over the same period, reaching a record level of 183.6 million bags, while consumption decreased by 0.9% to 180.6 million bags. This caused the global coffee market to have a surplus of 3 million bags, marking the first supply surplus in 5 years.

In addition, higher rainfall than normal in Brazil may promote the flowering process for next year’s coffee crop, thereby becoming a factor putting downward pressure on prices.

Robusta coffee prices are supported by concerns that heavy rain in the Central Highlands of Vietnam, the largest coffee producing region in the country, could flood farms and damage coffee crops. This makes supply negatively affected, which could push coffee prices up.

2026.09.11 2026.09.11
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 11.09.26–18.09.26

Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/

Major Takeaways

• Main scenario: Once the correction has been completed, consider long positions above 4,174.78 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the local correction ends and the price settles above 4,174.78. Stop Loss: below 4,105.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00.
• Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 4,174.78 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,954.50–3,720.00. A sell signal: the level of 4,174.78 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,245.00, Take Profit: 3,954.50–3,720.00.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions above the level of 4,174.78 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00 once the correction ends.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below 4,174.78 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,954.50–3,720.00.

Analysis

An ascending third wave of larger degree (3) is presumably developing on the weekly chart. Within it, a descending correction has been completed as the fourth wave of smaller degree 4 of (3). Apparently, the fifth wave 5 of (3) started developing on the daily chart, with wave i of 5 forming as its part. On the H4 chart, wave (iii) of i of 5 has formed, and a local correction is nearing completion as wave (iv) of i, with wave c of (iv) forming as its part. If the presumption is correct, XAU/USD will continue to rise to the levels of 4,900.00–5,610.00 after the correction ends. The level of 4,174.78 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,954.50–3,720.00.

This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode