The 2-year yield continues to be very strong at the moment as we are within 24 hours or so of the Federal Reserve making an interest rate decision and having a press conference that could give us the tone for the next several weeks, if not months, of what’s going to happen with the U.S. dollar and yields.
Domestic coffee prices
Coffee prices today in the domestic market increased again, averaging an increase of 200,000 VND/kg. According to giacaphe. com, coffee prices on September 15th averaged at 95,400 VND/kg, anchored in the price range of 94,900-95,500 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 95,400 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 94. 900 VND/kg, an increase of 200 VND/kg.
The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest price in the whole region at 95,500 VND/kg.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 25,790 VND/USD.
World coffee prices
In the world market, coffee prices mostly increased, except for the September 2026 term at the Arabica exchange.
According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract is anchored at 3,405 USD/ton, an increase of 10 USD/ton. At the same increase, the November 2026 futures are listed at 3,535 USD/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 is listed in the price range of 3,492 – 3,515 USD/ton, an increase of 7-10 USD/ton.
Meanwhile, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract reversed to decrease by 6.3 cents/lb, holding at 307.35 cents/lb. The December 2026 term is offered to the market at 290.50 cents/lb, up 4.8 cents/lb. Further forwards are anchored in the 275.75 – 281.30 cent/lb range, an increase of 3.55-4.10 cents/lb.
Assessments and forecasts
Coffee prices recovered after falling at the beginning of Monday’s trading session and closed the session up thanks to technical buying activity. Short-supplemented buying by funds appeared in Monday’s session after coffee prices experienced 3 consecutive weeks of decline, pushing the market into a serious oversold state.
Arabica coffee prices initially fell sharply to a 2.5-month low on Monday due to negative impacts from Thursday last week, when Cecafe said Brazil’s total coffee exports in August increased by 31% year-on-year, to 4.155 million bags, a record high in August.
Arabica exports in August increased by 26%, to 2.87 million bags, while Robusta exports increased by 54%, to 953.592 bags. Brazilian coffee is being brought to the export market as the harvest season in this country ends.
Coffee prices have been under pressure in the past 3 weeks due to the prospect of abundant global supply. The International Coffee Organization (ICO) forecasts that global coffee production will reach a record level and the market will have a surplus supply. ICO said that global coffee production in the 2025/26 crop year increased by 4.4% compared to the same period, reaching a record level of 183.6 million bags, while consumption decreased by 0.9% to 180.6 million bags. This caused the global coffee market to have a surplus of 3 million bags, marking the first surplus supply in 5 years.
The US dollar continues to see noisy trading against the Japanese yen as we start the week.
The U.S. dollar has rallied just a touch during the trading session on Monday as we continue to build a little bit of a basing pattern against the Japanese yen.
This is very interesting because the 10-year yield in the United States has just broken above the 5% level, and that is going to influence a lot of things at the same time. The Bank of Japan does have an interest rate decision on Thursday, expected to be a hike. The Federal Reserve is expected to hike on Wednesday, so it’s more or less a wash.
How traders look at the speech in the press conference after these central bank decisions will determine what the forward path is. As things stand right now, the bond market is suggesting more rate hikes in America are coming, and I think a lot of traders are starting to come around to that realization.
Now, the Bank of Japan has intervened multiple times, but all that’s done is offer U.S. dollars at a discount. They will find that the market is bigger than what they can control. The best they can do is slow things down. Generally speaking, they will need the Federal Reserve to bail them out to fight this for the longer term.
The question at this point is, does the ¥153 level hold as support? So far, it looks like it’s trying to. The other question is, can we break above the ¥156 level? Because if we can, that could be the beginning of something somewhat significant.
I do believe that the interest rate differential continues to be a major issue here. If that’s going to be the case, we’ve got a scenario where traders continue to look at the U.S. dollar with interest, especially as we are in the oversold part of the stochastic oscillator and starting to see momentum to the upside while interest rates continue to climb.
Want to trade our USD/JPY forex analysis and predictions? Here’s a list of forex brokers in Japan to check out.
Christopher Lewis is a technical analyst and market commentator at DailyForex with more than two decades of trading experience in Forex and other leveraged markets. Based in Columbus, Ohio, he specializes in chart-based analysis of major currency pairs, stock indices, commodities, and energy markets, focusing on clear support and resistance levels, trend structure, and risk management. Christopher produces daily written and video analysis for traders who rely on technical setups to navigate volatile market conditions
As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire
Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for US Crude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.
The euro has broken through the support zone B at 1.1585–1.1572.
The article covers the following subjects:
The price of oil is trading within a short-term uptrend, rising from the support zone A at 96.45–96.01. The primary bullish target is the September 11 high.
If the price settles above the September 11 high, the rally may continue toward the Target Zone 3 at 103.27–102.40. Should the oil price decline and break below support A, the correction will extend toward support B at 94.27–93.61.
Hold part of the long trades opened at support A at 96.45–96.01. TakeProfit: 98.40, 100.75. StopLoss: at breakeven.
Yesterday, gold prices fell further. As a result, the metal reached the second bearish target set for the trades opened at resistance B at 4,451–4,436. This target was the September 2nd low of 4,282. Additionally, the price tested the Gold Zone of 4,286–4,276. If it breaks below this zone, the decline will likely continue to the Target Zone 2 at 4,158–4,135.
Consider short trades during pullbacks at resistance A at 4,373–4,362 or resistance B at 4,433–4,417.
Sell near resistance A at 4,373–4,362. TakeProfit: 4,313, 4,253. StopLoss: 4,400.
The euro has breached the support zone B at 1.1585–1.1572. As a result, the short-term trend has turned downward. The new bearish target is the lower Target Zone of 1.1459–1.1434.
Consider short trades during a pullback from resistance A at 1.1615–1.1607, with the first target at 1.1569 and the second at 1.1523.
Sell near resistance A at 1.1615–1.1607. TakeProfit: 1.1569, 1.1523. StopLoss: 1.1636.
Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.
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The pair attempted to benefit from the Stochastic indicator’s move out of oversold territory by forming some corrective bullish waves, with the price currently fluctuating near 178.55. This rebound does not pose any threat to the bearish scenario, supported by the stability of the key resistance at 180.80, in addition to the formation of 179.45 as an additional barrier against further bearish trading.
Accordingly, we will continue to wait for the price to gather additional bearish momentum, which would strengthen the chances of attacking 177.35 soon and then attempting to pressure the next support at 176.70.
The expected trading range for today is between 177.35 and 179.40
Trend forecast: Bearish
The pair’s bearish outlook remains unchanged despite forming some recent bullish waves and stabilizing near 205.60, as it continues to hold below the key resistance at 210.40. The conflicting signals from the main indicators may force the price to extend its mixed trading, with a possibility of retesting the resistance in the near term.
However, if the price succeeds in gathering bearish momentum, it could form strong bearish waves, breaking below 206.85 and then attempting to reach the main bearish targets at 205.90 and 205.10.
The expected trading range for today is between 207.80 and 209.45
Trend forecast: Fluctuating
The pair ended its corrective bullish rebound after encountering resistance near 0.8605 and stabilizing below it, maintaining its overall movement within the bearish channel shown on the attached chart.
The main indicators have also started providing bearish momentum, supporting the continuation of the negative scenario. The price is currently stabilizing near 0.8550, and we expect it to resume its bearish attack soon, targeting 0.8520 and then 0.8480.
The expected trading range for today is between 0.8520 and 0.8575
Trend forecast: Bearish
The Silver price recovered to $64.48 an ounce on Friday, clawing back less than a third of Thursday’s losses.
The 1.64% rebound still left XAG/USD down 2.6% over the week, with the metal needing a sustained recovery to reach UBS’s forecasts.
The bank’s silver price forecast starts at $70 in December 2026, rises to $75 in March and June 2027, then reaches $80 that September.
UBS has retained its earlier September projections, with December’s $70 estimate around 8.6% above Friday’s close and September 2027’s $80 target 24% higher.
Silver prices gained despite US core inflation accelerating to 0.3% month-on-month in August from 0.2% in July.
UBS had already anticipated a rate rise before those figures arrived.
The bank said on 10 September: “Our economists’ base case is that the Fed will raise its policy rate by 25bps. Given current market expectations, the hike itself should have a relatively limited impact.”
Its focus was the accompanying message: “More important will be whether markets interpret the decision and the tone of the subsequent press conference as leaning hawkish or dovish.”
In its currency outlook, UBS added: “In our base case, we do not expect a hawkish hike that would provide broad support for the dollar.”
That leaves room, in our view, for silver to recover even if US rates rise, provided the dollar does not strengthen materially.
The Fed’s 15–16 September meeting will test that reading, with most of Thursday’s silver losses still unrecovered.
Our currency coverage draws on live market data, official economic releases and published bank research.
– Written by
Frank Davies
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Could Rising UK Unemployment Push Sterling Lower?
The Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate fell on Monday, with expectations of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike this week lending support to the ‘Greenback’.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at $1.3473, down 0.4% on the day.
The US Dollar (USD) gained ground on Monday as traders moved into the ‘Greenback’ ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement on Wednesday evening.
The prospect of an interest rate hike from the Fed, which markets widely anticipate at this week’s meeting, helped bolster demand for the US currency.
The safe-haven US Dollar also benefited from growing risk aversion.
Tensions in the Middle East intensified as Yemen’s Houthi rebels stepped up attacks on Saudi Arabian energy infrastructure, unsettling financial markets.
The Pound (GBP) struggled for direction on Monday, with Sterling traders keeping their powder dry ahead of a packed week of UK economic developments.
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With few domestic releases expected to influence trading at the start of the week, focus shifted towards the heavier run of data and events ahead.
Among the key releases on the agenda were the latest UK labour market figures, consumer price index, Bank of England (BoE) interest rate decision and retail sales data.
With several potential catalysts approaching, GBP traders were reluctant to take sizeable positions.
This left the Pound subdued as the new trading week got underway.
Looking forward, Tuesday’s UK employment figures are set to give Sterling its first major test of the week, as traders assess what the data could reveal about the strength of the labour market.
UK unemployment is forecast to edge higher from 4.9% to 5% in the three months to July, while wage growth including bonuses is expected to have slowed over the same period.
Signs of a weakening jobs market could put further pressure on the Pound, particularly with the Bank of England’s interest rate decision due later in the week.
Across the Atlantic, the US economic calendar is relatively quiet on Tuesday.
This could leave USD more exposed to shifts in risk appetite, with a risk-off environment potentially providing support for the ‘Greenback’.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
Domestic coffee prices
Coffee prices today in the domestic market are trending sideways. According to giacaphe. com, coffee prices on September 14th averaged at 95. 200 VND/kg, anchored in the price range of 94. 700-95. 300 VND/kg.
In Gia Lai and Dak Lak, coffee prices are recorded at 95,200 VND/kg.
In Lam Dong, the listed coffee price is at 94,700 VND/kg.
The old Dak Nong area recorded a level of 95. 300 VND/kg.
The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 25,700 VND/USD.
World coffee prices
In the world market, coffee prices remained unchanged for all terms.
According to Barchart, the September 2026 Robusta contract is anchored at $3,495/ton. In the same direction, the November 2026 term is listed at $3,525/ton. The term from January 2027 to May 2027 is listed in the $3,482 – $3,508/ton price range.
Meanwhile, the September 2026 Arabica futures contract held at 313.65 cents/lb. The December 2026 futures were offered to the market at 285.70 cents/lb. Further forwards were anchored in the 272.20 – 277.20 cents/lb range.
Assessments and forecasts
Traders are planning to bring a large amount of Arabica coffee from Brazil – the world’s largest coffee producer – to certified warehouses of the Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), where inventories have fallen to their lowest level in 26 years, thereby pushing coffee prices up.
Arabica coffee contracts operated by ICE Futures U.S., acting as the global reference price for the coffee market, hit a 6-month high in July, exceeding 3.5 USD/pound. Prices remain around this level despite market forecasts that supply will be significantly surplus in the 2026/27 crop year.
Industry experts believe that the main reason why coffee prices remain high, currently around 3 USD/pound, is that Arabica coffee inventories on the ICE exchange are low. About 70% of these inventories are stored in Antwerp, Belgium.
The amount of coffee from Brazil brought to ICE warehouses is likely to cause certified inventory to increase more than 2 times. This is an indicator that has a major impact on coffee prices, because it clearly reflects the surplus of coffee ready to be delivered on the exchange.
Many investment funds use algorithms programmed to automatically sell when stocks on the exchange increase and buy when stocks decrease.
