Natural Gas (NATGAS) Moved Sharply on Sep 7: Inventories, the Dollar, or Geopolitics?

• Natural gas futures advanced due to projected above-average late-summer temperatures.
• LNG feedgas intake rebounded strongly, driven by firm international winter demand.
• Technical indicators show a MACD buy signal and overbought Williams %R conditions.

TradingKeyMon, Sep 7

The EURUSD price rose in its latest intraday trading, benefiting from the emergence of the positive signals from the relative strength indicators, attempting to recover some of its previous losses, amid the dominance of the main bearish trend on the short-term basis, with its trading alongside minor trend line that supports this path, besides the continued negative pressure due to its trading below EMA50, which represents a dynamic resistance that reduces the chances of a full recovery on the near-term basis, especially with the relative strength indicators entering exaggerated overbought levels compared to the price move, indicating a quick pullback for the positive momentum.

Today’s platinum prices in Arcot are ₹54,600 (10g), ₹5,46,000 (100g),
and ₹54,60,000 (1kg). Throughout September, rates moved considerably. The highest
value for 100g was ₹5,76,000, and the lowest
₹5,25,300. For 1kg, prices were within
₹52,53,000 to ₹57,60,000.

A variety of factors drive platinum prices, such as production volumes, demand trends,
and global political developments. The metal’s industrial role, especially in cars and
electronics, adds pressure. Currency fluctuations, notably involving the US dollar, as
well as inflation and central bank policy, also steer market movements.

2026.09.25 2026.09.25
WTI Crude Oil: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.09.26–02.10.26

Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/

Major Takeaways

• Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 88.00 with a target of 115.50–125.50. A buy signal: the price holds above 88.00. Stop Loss: below 86.50, Take Profit: 115.50–125.50.
• Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 88.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.30–67.00. A sell signal: the level of 88.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 89.50, Take Profit: 79.30–67.00.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above 88.00 with a target of 115.50–125.50.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below 88.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.30–67.00.

Analysis

On the weekly chart, a descending correction has likely finished developing as the second wave of larger degree (2) and an ascending third wave (3) is forming. On the daily chart, apparently, the first wave of smaller degree 1 of (3) has formed, a local correction has been completed as wave 2 of (3), the third wave 3 of (3) is unfolding, and wave i of 3 continues to form. Wave (iii) of i is forming on the H4 chart, within which wave v of (iii) is unfolding. If the presumption is correct, WTI will continue to rise to 115.50–125.50. The level of 88.00 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 79.30–67.00.

This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode

2026.09.25 2026.09.25
XAU/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 25.09.26–02.10.26

Alex Geutahttps://www.litefinance.org/blog/authors/alex-geuta/

Major Takeaways

• Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 3,960.00 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00. A buy signal: the price holds above 3,960.00. Stop Loss: below 3,890.00, Take Profit: 4,900.00–5,610.00.
• Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below 3,960.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62. A sell signal: the level of 3,960.00 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 4,030.00, Take Profit: 3,720.00–3,290.62.

Main Scenario

Consider long positions from corrections above 3,960.00 with a target of 4,900.00–5,610.00.

Alternative Scenario

Breakout and consolidation below 3,960.00 will allow the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62.

Analysis

An ascending third wave of larger degree (3) is presumably developing on the weekly chart. Within it, a descending correction has been completed as the fourth wave of smaller degree 4 of (3). Apparently, the fifth wave 5 of (3) has started developing on the daily chart, with wave i of 5 forming as its part. The H4 chart shows that wave (iii) of i of 5 has formed, a local correction is complete as wave (iv) of i, and wave (v) of i has likely started unfolding. If the presumption is correct, XAU/USD will continue to rise to 4,900.00–5,610.00. The level of 3,960.00 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the asset to continue declining to the levels of 3,720.00–3,290.62.

This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time. 

Price chart of XAUUSD in real time mode

In Finland, the cost of a grocery basket is forecast by the research organization Pellervo Economic Research (PTT) to increase by an average of 1.5% in 2026 and 2.5% in 2027. YLE News reported this, citing PTT calculations.

Risks to coffee prices

PTT expects the price of coffee to rise somewhat compared with its current level. Senior agricultural economist Päivi Kujala noted that there is no upward price pressure this year, but the risks concern next year.

The El Niño weather phenomenon may affect coffee harvests in Africa and South America. If drought reduces the harvest, coffee prices will rise, Kujala explained. In Finland, coffee had become more expensive for several years, with prices peaking in 2025, when they rose by almost one-third compared with 2024. Prices later stabilized, so a similarly sharp increase is not currently forecast.

More current news is available on the UA.News Telegram channel Telegram.

Beef will remain expensive

According to PTT’s assessment, beef prices in Finland will remain high but will not rise further. Due to the high cost of beef, consumers are more often choosing chicken and pork; analysts expect this trend to continue.

Kujala said there had been pressure to raise beef producers’ prices in order to offset rising production costs. At the same time, PTT forecasts that both producer prices and retail prices will remain at their current levels. Food prices are also partly affected by the war in the Middle East, which raises the cost of energy and fertilizers and, accordingly, food production costs.

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The major support zone is $4,319.61 to $4,230.51. It has been tested successfully three times since early September. The first resistance zone is $4,384.59 to $4,405.59. Sitting inside this zone is the main top at $4,399.67.

Trader reaction to the resistance cluster at $4,317.93 to $4,319.61 is likely to set the tone on Friday. A sustained move over $4,319.61 could generate the upside momentum needed to challenge $4,384.59 to $4,405.59. A sustained move under the 50-day MA would indicate that sellers are still in control with $4,230.51 the next potential target.

What to Watch

Gold has buyers after a third successful test of the support zone since early September. The 50-day at $4,317.93 and the 50% level at $4,319.61 are sitting directly above the market. That cluster is where Friday’s session gets decided.

The dollar eased Friday but is still up more than 1% for the week with back-to-back weekly gains. Treasury yields are off Thursday’s highs without reversing the move. Crude is lower on the Hormuz-talks headline. Gold is bouncing on the combination. University of Michigan and durable-goods data are the next inputs. The bond market has been repricing on strong numbers all week. Friday’s data tells the market whether the repricing continues or the week ends with a pause.

If you’d like to know more about how to trade gold, please visit our educational area.