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15 04, 2026

Forecast update for EURUSD -14-04-2026.

By |2026-04-15T05:42:07+02:00April 15, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural gas price continued providing strong bearish pressures on the support level at $2.620, due to the negative momentum by the main indicators, which makes us wait for breaking the required breakout, to begin targeting extra negative stations by reaching $2.390 and $2.250 initially.

 

The stability of the moving average 55 above the initial resistance towards $3.170 confirms the trading confinement within the negative track, to keep waiting for achieving the negative targets, waiting for the next close to detect the suggested targets in the upcoming trading.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $2.390 and $2.820

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 

 





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15 04, 2026

Japan’s Verbal Intervention Supports Yen. Forecast as of 14.04.2026

By |2026-04-15T05:34:09+02:00April 15, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Japan had no need to intervene in currency markets to force USD/JPY bulls to retreat. Verbal interventions were enough. The government bought itself some time and is now reaping the benefits of the US dollar’s weakness. Let’s discuss this topic and make a trading plan.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • USD/JPY quotes decline due to a weaker dollar.
  • The Bank of Japan does not plan to raise interest rates in April.
  • The yen is not being used as a funding currency.
  • Short trades can be considered as long as the USD/JPY pair remains below 159.5.

Weekly Fundamental Forecast for Yen

Investors are increasingly driven by sentiment, reacting to reports of a potential new round of US–Iran negotiations. As a result, the greenback is facing some pressure as a safe-haven asset. On the other hand, oil prices remain high, which is hampering USD/JPY bears. Japan is heavily dependent on energy exports, and its economy will suffer more from geopolitical tensions than the US economy.

The bullish oil market has prompted Japanese analysts to lower earnings forecasts for 113 TOPIX-listed companies. The outlook for US companies looks much better, and capital flows from Asia to the US could become a key driver of the USDJPY rally.

Performance of Carry Trade Strategy

Source: Bloomberg.

Meanwhile, the yen is no longer being used as a funding currency in carry trades. Japanese bond yields are at high levels amid expectations of tighter monetary policy. However, carry trades require low volatility to generate profits properly. Volatility, on the other hand, remains high due to geopolitical tensions.

At the same time, Kazuo Ueda’s dovish rhetoric has disappointed USD/JPY bears. The Bank of Japan governor stated that the regulator would closely monitor developments in the Middle East. However, he did not signal an overnight rate hike at the upcoming BoJ meeting, despite having previously hinted at a tightening of monetary policy. Markets interpreted this as a setback to tightening expectations, with the perceived probability of an April rate hike falling from 55% to 32%.

Probability of Monetary Tightening by BoJ in April

Source: Bloomberg.

Kazuo Ueda has chosen the right moment for his remarks. The US dollar is weakening amid hopes for a resumption of talks between Washington and Tehran. With this in mind, bears could be deprived of an important advantage, and USD/JPY quotes will continue to fall.

The Bank of Japan’s reluctance to continue its cycle of monetary tightening is good news for the Japanese government. Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi criticized her staff for saying that lower import prices could be achieved by tightening monetary policy.

The authorities got what they wanted. Through verbal interventions, they tempered USD/JPY bulls without spending a single penny. The government bought time and is now reaping the benefits of the US dollar’s weakness amid the de-escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and the resulting decline in demand for the greenback as a safe-haven asset. Another issue is that oil prices remain elevated, which will slow down the Japanese economy.

Weekly USDJPY Trading Plan

The USD/JPY pair is likely to consolidate within the 158.5–160 range. Only a breakout above or below this range will allow the pair to define its further direction. As long as quotes remain below 159.5, short trades can be opened.


This forecast is based on the analysis of fundamental factors, including official statements from financial institutions and regulators, various geopolitical and economic developments, and statistical data. Historical market data are also considered.

Price chart of USDJPY in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.

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15 04, 2026

Platinum price paves the way for a new rise– Forecast today – 14-4-2026

By |2026-04-15T01:41:07+02:00April 15, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Copper price resumed the bullish trend, taking advantage of the continuation of providing positive momentum by the main indicators, to reach $5.9700 barrier, followed by recording the suggested target in the previous report.

 

The price attempt to support this barrier supports the chances of targeting new positive stations confirms the importance of waiting for confirming the breach, to avoid any unexpected corrective rebound, while the extra positive stations that are located at $6.0850 reaching $6.2300 level.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $5.8800 and $6.0850

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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15 04, 2026

Credit Agricole Euro To Dollar Forecast 2026: EUR/USD To Slide To 1.13 By 2027

By |2026-04-15T01:32:58+02:00April 15, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate strengthened to 5-week highs at 1.1740 last week before dipping back below the 1.17 level as Middle East developments dominated.

Brent crude dipped sharply after the US and Iran announced a cease-fire, but there was renewed upward pressure on prices on Monday as peace talks failed to secure a breakthrough.

Credit Agricole still sees downward risks for the Euro due to energy stresses and has an end-2026 EUR/USD forecast of 1.13.

Events surrounding the Iran conflict will remain a key short-term market influence. The bank still considers that the Euro will remain vulnerable in the short term amid risks of fresh escalation surrounding the Iran conflict. Crucially, the bank notes that the Euro-Zone economy remains vulnerable from an energy shock, especially if prices increase further.

From a longer-term perspective, Credit Agricole calculates that fair value for EUR/USD based on underlying fundamentals is currently around 1.11 which will tend to act as a barrier to Euro gains.

Even with an element of unease surrounding investor appetite for US assets, Credit Agricole still expects that the dollar will remain the dominant reserve currency.

foreign exchange rates

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14 04, 2026

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD nears $79 as Dollar slides on soft PPI

By |2026-04-14T21:40:03+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver (XAG/USD) surges on Tuesday, trading around $78.80 at the time of writing, up 4.16% on the day as strong buying interest pushed Silver to a daily high of $79.32. The white metal rebounds sharply after touching lows near $72.60 on Monday, benefiting from a broad weakening of the US Dollar (USD) and improving market sentiment.

Precious metals are gaining ground as investors also react to softer-than-expected inflation data in the United States (US). The Producer Price Index (PPI) published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics earlier in the day, shows that annual producer inflation rose by 4% in March, below market expectations of 4.6%, while the monthly reading increased by 0.5%, also missing forecasts. The weaker figures are helping to dampen hawkish speculations about the future Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy, which is providing support for non-interest-bearing assets such as Silver.

At the same time, the US Dollar remains under pressure across currency markets. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the performance of the Greenback against a basket of major currencies, declines toward six-week lows as traders adjust their expectations for US interest rates following the softer inflation figures.

Geopolitical developments are also shaping market sentiment. Reports suggesting the possibility of renewed negotiations between the US and Iran are boosting risk appetite after tensions escalated earlier in the week. According to Reuters, diplomatic efforts could lead to a new round of talks in Islamabad in the coming days, raising hopes of a potential de-escalation following the breakdown of previous discussions.

These developments come after US President Donald Trump indicated that Iranian officials had reached out to seek a possible agreement, suggesting that diplomatic channels remain open despite ongoing disagreements over Iran’s nuclear program.

In this context, the combination of a weaker US Dollar, softer inflation signals and easing geopolitical tensions is reinforcing demand for precious metals, allowing Silver to extend its recovery.

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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14 04, 2026

The EURJPY keeps rising– Forecast today – 14-4-2026

By |2026-04-14T21:31:44+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Copper price resumed the bullish trend, taking advantage of the continuation of providing positive momentum by the main indicators, to reach $5.9700 barrier, followed by recording the suggested target in the previous report.

 

The price attempt to support this barrier supports the chances of targeting new positive stations confirms the importance of waiting for confirming the breach, to avoid any unexpected corrective rebound, while the extra positive stations that are located at $6.0850 reaching $6.2300 level.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $5.8800 and $6.0850

 

Trend forecast: Bullish



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14 04, 2026

Coffee prices on April 14: Increasing trend, Arabica reaches highest level

By |2026-04-14T17:39:05+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Domestic coffee prices

The domestic coffee market on April 14 continued to increase, extending the recovery period.

According to surveys in key growing areas of the Central Highlands, coffee prices simultaneously increased by 500 – 600 VND/kg, bringing the average price level of the whole region to the threshold of 86,500 VND/kg.

In Dak Nong province (old), the purchase price recorded the highest increase of 600 VND/kg, pushing the price to the highest in the region at 86,600 VND/kg.

Dak Lak and Gia Lai two localities increased by another 500 VND/kg, bringing the price to the highest level of 86,550 VND/kg.

With the same increase of 500 VND, Lam Dong province listed it at 86,500 VND/kg.

World coffee prices

On the international market, futures exchanges rebounded after the weekend session remained unchanged. On the New York exchange, Arabica futures for May 2026 opened at 300.85 cents/lb. Further forwards offered prices at the threshold of 268.4 cents/lb – 296.25 cents/lb.

In the same period, the London exchange also witnessed the Robusta line increasing in price, standing at 3,351 USD/ton. Further terms fluctuated around 3,106 USD/ton – 3,254 USD/ton.

Coffee prices are trending upwards, with Arabica coffee reaching its highest level in 2 weeks. The reason is that rainfall in Brazil is lower than average, which could reduce yields and push prices up. Tight Robusta supply also supports prices.

Market outlook

The closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted global transportation and tightened coffee supply. This increased transportation, insurance and fuel costs, thereby increasing costs for coffee importers and roasters.

Last week, Arabica prices fell to a 4-week low due to expectations for a record crop in Brazil. Coffee exports increased sharply from Vietnam – the world’s largest robusta producer, putting pressure on robusta prices.

According to data from the General Statistics Office, Vietnam’s coffee exports in the first quarter of 2026 increased by 14% compared to the same period, reaching 585,000 tons. In 2025, exports increased by 17.5%, reaching 1.58 million tons. The output of the 2025/26 crop is expected to increase by 6%, to 1.76 million tons (294 million bags), the highest level in 4 years.

Coffee prices were also supported by information that Brazil’s green coffee exports in February decreased by 27% year-on-year, to 2.3 million bags. The Brazilian Ministry of Commerce also said that exports in March decreased by 31%, to 151,000 tons.

The US Department of Agriculture (USDA – FAS) forecasts that Brazil’s output will decrease by 3.1% to 63 million sacks, while Vietnam will increase by 6.2% to 30.8 million sacks (the highest in 4 years). Inventory at the end of the 2025-2026 crop year is expected to decrease by 5.4%, to 20.148 million sacks.





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14 04, 2026

EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Remains close to near 187.50, fresh record highs

By |2026-04-14T17:30:10+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/JPY halts its three-day winning streak, inching lower after reaching all-time highs and trading around 187.40 during the European hours on Tuesday. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates the currency cross is trending higher within an ascending channel, signaling a persistent bullish bias.

The EUR/JPY cross maintains a bullish near-term bias as it holds above both the nine-day and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). The alignment of the short-term above the long-term EMA suggests persistent upward pressure.

The Relative Strength Index (14) at 70.10 shows overbought conditions, hinting that upside momentum is strong but vulnerable to a corrective pause.

The EUR/JPY cross may target the immediate resistance at the all-time high of 187.54, recorded on April 14, followed by the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 187.80.

On the downside, the primary support lies at the nine-day EMA of 185.92. A move below this level could weaken the short-term price momentum, exposing the lower ascending channel boundary around 185.00, followed by the 50-day EMA at 184.07.

EUR/JPY: Daily Chart

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the New Zealand Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.15% -0.17% -0.21% -0.15% -0.04% -0.35% -0.28%
EUR 0.15% -0.02% -0.04% 0.00% 0.11% -0.21% -0.14%
GBP 0.17% 0.02% -0.02% 0.06% 0.12% -0.18% -0.13%
JPY 0.21% 0.04% 0.02% 0.06% 0.17% -0.14% -0.09%
CAD 0.15% -0.00% -0.06% -0.06% 0.11% -0.18% -0.14%
AUD 0.04% -0.11% -0.12% -0.17% -0.11% -0.30% -0.26%
NZD 0.35% 0.21% 0.18% 0.14% 0.18% 0.30% 0.05%
CHF 0.28% 0.14% 0.13% 0.09% 0.14% 0.26% -0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

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14 04, 2026

The CADCHF begins to decline– Forecast today – 14-4-2026

By |2026-04-14T13:37:53+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural gas price continued providing strong bearish pressures on the support level at $2.620, due to the negative momentum by the main indicators, which makes us wait for breaking the required breakout, to begin targeting extra negative stations by reaching $2.390 and $2.250 initially.

 

The stability of the moving average 55 above the initial resistance towards $3.170 confirms the trading confinement within the negative track, to keep waiting for achieving the negative targets, waiting for the next close to detect the suggested targets in the upcoming trading.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $2.390 and $2.820

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 

 





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14 04, 2026

GBP/USD Forecast: Seems poised to climb amid US-Iran optimism

By |2026-04-14T13:29:04+02:00April 14, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBP/USD pair is seen building on the previous day’s strong move up of around 125-pips and gaining some follow-through traction on Tuesday. This marks the seventh straight day of a positive move and lifts spot prices to the 1.3535-1.3540 region, or the highest since February 26, during the first half of the European session. Despite failed US-Iran peace talks over the weekend, investors continue to move towards riskier assets amid hopes that the door for diplomacy remains open and that negotiations would continue. This, in turn, undermines the safe-haven US Dollar (USD) and acts as a tailwind for the currency pair.

US Vice President JD Vance struck a cautiously optimistic tone on negotiations with Iran and suggested during an interview on Fox News that meaningful progress has been made even as talks have yet to deliver a breakthrough. Vance further added that the framework for a comprehensive agreement is achievable if Iran is willing to take the next step. Moreover, Reuters reported that negotiating teams from the US and Iran could return to Islamabad for another round of peace talks this week. The optimism, along with the uncertainty over future interest rate moves by the US Federal Reserve (Fed), drag the USD to its lowest level since early March and remains supportive of the bid tone surrounding the GBP/USD pair.

Signs of de-escalation of tensions in the Middle East keep Crude Oil prices depressed, easing inflationary fears and reviving bets for a potential interest rate cut by the Fed this year. Investors, however, remain worried about external energy shocks stemming from the instability in the Strait of Hormuz. In fact, US President Donald Trump said that the US Navy blockade on the strategic waterway has officially started, while Iran responded with threats on all ports in the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. This limits the downside for the black liquid, fueling worries about a possible spike in inflation. This, in turn, keeps the USD bulls on the sidelines and backs the case for a further appreciating move for the GBP/USD pair.

Meanwhile, market participants have ramped up bets on the Bank of England (BoE) tightening and are pricing in roughly three 25 basis points (bps) rate hikes in 2026, potentially starting in April, amid renewed inflation concerns. This marks a significant divergence in comparison to Fed expectations and validates the near-term positive outlook for the GBP/USD pair. Traders now look forward to the release of the US Producer Price Index (PPI), which, along with speeches from a slew of influential FOMC members, will drive the USD demand and provide some impetus to the currency pair. Nevertheless, the fundamental backdrop seems tilted in favor of bulls, suggesting that any corrective slide is likely to be bought into.

GBP/USD 4-hour chart

Technical Analysis:

The overnight move beyond the 1.3500 psychological mark comes on top of the recent breakout through the 200-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart and favors the GBP/USD bulls. Adding to this, a positive Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) reading suggests firm upside momentum. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 70 indicates that conditions are edging toward overbought, which could slow the advance rather than immediately reverse it.

On the topside, initial resistance is aligned with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the January-March fall, at 1.3867. On the downside, immediate support is seen at the 50% retracement at 1.3512, followed by the 38.2% level at 1.3429, while the 200-period SMA is near 1.3351 and the 23.6% Fibo. retracement at 1.3325 underpins the broader bullish structure ahead of stronger backing at 1.3158.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

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