The GBPJPY pair approached the extra target at 218.10 by its last bullish rally, but its neediness to the bullish momentum by stochastic attempt to exit the overbought level that pushed it to form corrective rebound, to settle near 217.00.

The continuation of the trading fluctuation below the barrier at 118.10 makes us expect forming corrective trading, to target 216.30 level reaching the extra support near 215.45, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will open the way for resuming the bullish trend, reminding you that the stability of the next main target near 218.65 level.

The expected trading range for today is between 216.55 and 218.10

Trend forecast: Fluctuated within the bullish trend

Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in the domestic market continue to be maintained in the high zone after the previous strong increase. The average price is recorded at 98,300 VND/kg.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 98,200 VND/kg. In Gia Lai, coffee prices reached 98,300 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices today are at 97,900 VND/kg. This is the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

The old Dak Nong area recorded the highest purchase price, reaching 98,400 VND/kg.

Thus, domestic coffee prices currently fluctuate from 97,900-98,400 VND/kg. The gap between the region with the highest and lowest prices is 500 VND/kg.

The domestic coffee price level is currently still close to the 100,000 VND/kg mark, significantly higher than the price range recorded at the beginning of July.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 26,074 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

World coffee prices remain at high levels after a strong increase in the previous session. Both Robusta on the London exchange and Arabica on the New York exchange are maintaining high prices compared to the beginning of the month.

On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract stood at 4,043 USD/ton. This is a high price after this contract increased by more than 300 USD/ton in the previous session.

Robusta for November 2026 delivery reached 4,002 USD/ton. The January and March 2027 delivery terms were at 3,967 USD/ton and 3,933 USD/ton respectively.

The July 2026 Robusta contract reached 4,063 USD/ton. However, this term has low trading volume because it is close to maturity, so the September contract reflects the market trend more clearly.

On the New York exchange, Arabica September 2026 futures stood at 347.90 US cents/lb. This is also the high price range after the strong market increase.

Arabica futures in December 2026 reached 328.20 US cents/lb. The March and May 2027 terms are at 321.00 US cents/lb and 318.30 US cents/lb, respectively.

Arabica contract in July 2026 reached 356.95 US cents/lb, but this term also had lower trading volume than long-term contracts because it was near maturity.

Coffee price assessment

Domestic coffee prices continue to remain high after the previous strong increase. This development is accompanied by the fact that Robusta and Arabica prices in the world market are still anchored at high levels.

In the short term, the coffee market is fluctuating strongly due to the intertwined impact between profit-taking activities, buying force returning after deep declines and cautious psychology in the face of weather risks in large production areas.

The fact that Arabica and Robusta prices are still standing at a high level shows that the market has not yet emerged from a sensitive state after strong fluctuations. With the domestic market, the world price maintaining at a high level continues to affect buying and selling sentiment, especially when the buying level has approached the 100,000 VND/kg mark.

However, too strong uptrends often come with technical correction risks. After coffee prices increase rapidly, profit-taking activities may appear in the market, causing prices to fluctuate sharply in the following sessions.

From a global supply-demand perspective, a report by the International Coffee Organization (ICO) shows that the coffee market has been affected by expectations of improved supply in recent times. This is a factor that may limit the upward momentum of coffee prices in the medium term.

For Brazil, the Foreign Agricultural Services Agency of the US Department of Agriculture (USDA/FAS) said that the Brazilian National Supply Company (CONAB) forecasts Brazil’s coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year to reach 66.7 million bags, an increase of 18% compared to 2025.

Brazil is the world’s largest Arabica producer. Therefore, the prospect of a large crop in this country is still an important factor that could put pressure on Arabica prices, although the short-term market is still sensitive to weather risks and harvest progress.

Rabobank of the Netherlands also assessed that the expectation of a large coffee crop in Brazil may put pressure on global prices, in the context of generally favorable weather conditions for crop development.

For Robusta, the USDA/FAS report forecasts that Vietnam’s coffee production in the 2026-2027 crop year will increase to 32.5 million bags converted to green beans, thanks to production expansion after a period of high coffee prices.

However, in the short term, prices may still fluctuate strongly due to export demand, inventory and developments on international exchanges.

Will oil prices go up?

It’s impossible to forecast oil prices with detailed precision. Many different elements affect the market, but ultimately it boils down to supply and demand. When worries about economic recession, war, and other large-scale disruptions increase, oil’s path can shift fast.

How oil prices translate to gas pump prices

Gas prices at the pump don’t only track crude oil. They also include what it takes to refine and move that fuel, the taxes layered on top, and the extra markup your local station adds to stay in business.

Since crude oil generally makes up a majority of the per-gallon cost, changes in its price have an outsized impact. When oil surges, gas prices typically rise in tandem. But when oil retreats, gas prices often lag on the way down, a trend sometimes described as “rockets and feathers.”

The role of the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

In case of emergency, the U.S. has a store of crude oil known as the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Its primary purpose is energy security in case of disaster (think sanctions, severe storm damage, even war). But it can also go a long way toward softening crippling price hikes during supply shocks.

It’s not a long-term answer and is more meant to provide temporary relief, assisting consumers and keeping critical parts of the economy running, like key industries, emergency services, public transportation, etc.

How oil and natural gas prices are linked

Both oil and natural gas are key sources of the energy we use every day. Because of this, a big change in oil prices can affect natural gas. For example, if oil prices increase, some industries may swap natural gas for some segments of their operations where possible, which increases demand for natural gas.

Historical performance of oil

To gauge oil’s performance, we often turn to two benchmarks:

• Brent crude oil, the main global oil benchmark.
• West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the main benchmark of North America

Between these two, Brent better represents global oil performance because it prices much of the world’s traded crude. And, it’s often the best way to track historical oil performance. In fact, even the U.S. Energy Information Administration now uses Brent as its primary reference in its Annual Energy Outlook.

Looking at the Brent benchmark across several decades, oil has been anything but steady. It’s seen spikes due to factors such as wars and supply cuts, and it’s also seen crashes from global recessions and an oversupply (called a “glut”). For example:

• The early 1970s brought the first big oil shock when the Middle East cut exports and imposed an embargo on the U.S. and others during the Yom Kippur War.
• Prices dropped in the mid-1980s for reasons such as lower demand and more non-OPEC oil producers entering the industry.
• Prices spiked again in 2008 with increased global demand, but it soon plummeted alongside the global financial crisis.
• During the 2020 COVID lockdown, oil demand collapsed like never before—bringing prices below $20 per barrel.

All to say, oil’s historical performance has been anything but smooth. Again, it’s hugely affected by wars, recessions, OPEC whims, evolving energy initiatives and policies, and much more.

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