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10 11, 2026

The EURJPY fends Off stochastic’s negative pressure – Forecast today – 10-11-2026

By |2026-11-10T08:40:39+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The pair ended its recent bearish attempts after touching the 176.15 level, before beginning to form some upward corrective waves and advancing toward 177.30. This indicates that it is currently resisting negative pressure, increasing the chances of renewed pressure on the resistance barrier near 178.10.

 

We would like to note that breaking above the targeted barrier and holding above it would open the way toward new bullish targets at 178.70 and 179.40. However, renewed bearish momentum would require the price to break below the support level at 174.95 and hold below it.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 176.40 and 178.10

 

Trend forecast: Correctively bullish



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10 11, 2026

Copper price fluctuates below the resistance – Forecast today – 10-11-2026

By |2026-11-10T08:27:38+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


 

Copper continued to post upward corrective trades, but its repeated positioning below the additional barrier at $6.4200 supports the dominance of the bearish bias in the near and medium terms. We currently emphasize the importance of gathering negative momentum, which could facilitate a move toward the bearish targets, starting at $6.2100 and extending to the support level at $6.1000.

 

On the other hand, breaking above the aforementioned barrier and holding above it would confirm the continuation of the bullish corrective scenario, giving the price an opportunity to achieve further gains by gradually advancing toward $6.4900, followed by the next resistance level near $6.6100.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $6.2100 and $6.4000

 

Trend forecast: Bearish





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10 11, 2026

U.S. Dollar Retreats As Oil Dives 4%: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By |2026-11-10T04:39:56+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

DXY 091126 4h Chart

U.S. Dollar Index is losing ground as traders focus on the strong pullback in the oil markets, which is driven by Iran deal hopes. Demand for safe-haven assets declined, which was bearish for the American currency.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to settle below the 50 MA at 101.81. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will move towards the next support, which is located in the 101.50 – 101.65 range. A successful test of the support at 101.50 – 101.65 will open the way to the test of the next support level at 100.85 – 101.00.

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10 11, 2026

Today’s agricultural news (November 10): Coffee prices rise slightly.

By |2026-11-10T04:27:02+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Domestic pepper prices in key producing areas remained unchanged compared to the previous session, staying within the range of 135,500 – 138,000 VND/kg.

Specifically, Dak Lak continues to lead the country with a purchase price of 138,000 VND/kg. In Lam Dong province, the price of pepper is recorded at 137,000 VND/kg.

In Ho Chi Minh City, the price remained at 136,000 VND/kg. Meanwhile, Gia Lai and Dong Nai provinces traded at 135,500 VND/kg.

Illustration photo: 24h.com.vn

On the world market, the International Pepper Community (IPC) reports that pepper prices in key producing countries are generally stable.

Indonesian black pepper prices are currently at $6,799 per ton. Brazil maintains ASTA 570 black pepper prices at $5,700 per ton, while Malaysia continues to lead the surveyed group with $9,100 per ton.

For Vietnam, the export price of black pepper (500 g/l) remained at US$5,950/ton, while the price for the 550 g/l variety reached US$5,995/ton.

In the white pepper segment, Indonesia maintained a price of $9,285/ton, Malaysia reached $12,000/ton, and Vietnam kept its price at $8,450/ton.

According to data from the International Trade Centre (ITC), in the first nine months of 2026, the US imported 68,797 tons of pepper, worth $524 million.

Compared to the same period in 2025, import volume increased by 7.1%, equivalent to an increase of 4,538 tons, while value increased by 6.9%. However, compared to the first nine months of 2024, import volume is still 5.9% lower, indicating that demand in the US market has not fully returned to the levels of two years ago.

Notably, Vietnam continues to be the largest supplier of pepper to the US with a volume of 54,939 tons, a 23.3% increase compared to the same period last year, equivalent to an increase of 10,389 tons.

As a result, Vietnam’s pepper market share in the US increased from 69.3% to 79.9%, equivalent to an improvement of approximately 10.6 percentage points.

This means that for every 10 tons of US pepper imported in the first nine months of the year, nearly 8 tons came from Vietnam.

Vietnam’s export growth has significantly outpaced the overall US import growth rate, thereby offsetting declines from some competing sources.

These figures show that Vietnam’s position in the US market continues to strengthen, especially as two major suppliers, India and Indonesia, both recorded a decrease in exports to this market.

However, the increase in market share also means that Vietnamese businesses need to focus on maintaining quality, meeting import standards, and ensuring a stable supply to retain their competitive advantage.  

The forecast for pepper prices tomorrow, November 11th, suggests they may remain around current levels if international export prices remain stable and purchasing activity does not experience significant fluctuations. Some localities may see slight adjustments if demand increases, but there is insufficient basis to confirm that the market will enter a new, strong upward trend.

* Coffee prices in the Central Highlands region have increased slightly, fluctuating between 85,000 and 85,300 VND/kg.

Accordingly, traders in Lam Dong province are buying coffee at the highest price of 85,300 VND/kg, an increase of 600 VND/kg compared to the previous session. Similarly, the price of coffee in Dak Lak province is 85,000 VND/kg, an increase of 500 VND/kg compared to the previous session.

Coffee prices in Gia Lai province are trading at 85,000 VND/kg, an increase of 500 VND/kg compared to the previous session.

According to data from the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association, Vietnam exported approximately 1.8 million tons of coffee in the 2025-2026 crop year, generating about US$8.5 billion in export revenue. This represents a 21% increase in volume and a 1% increase in value compared to the 2024-2025 crop year. This is the highest export value ever recorded for the industry. Of this total, green coffee bean exports reached 1.65 million tons, generating nearly US$7 billion in export revenue, a 21.4% increase in volume but a 1.5% decrease in value compared to the 2024-2025 crop year.

Illustration photo: 24h.com.vn

On the London exchange, robusta coffee futures for January 2027 delivery rose by $66/tonne, or 2.1%, to $3,270/tonne. The March 2027 contract also increased by $50/tonne, or 1.6%, reaching $3,243/tonne.

Robusta coffee’s recovery comes after a period of sharp price declines, and is supported by position adjustments by investors in the futures market.

Conversely, arabica prices on the New York exchange continued to face selling pressure. The December 2026 contract fell 7.2 US cents/pound, or 2.5%, to 280 US cents/pound.

The March 2027 contract fell 1.9% to 271.65 US cents per pound, while the May 2027 contract declined to 267.7 US cents per pound.  

According to Reuters, Citi’s commodity research division continues to maintain a cautious view on the outlook for coffee prices, particularly arabica.

This bank forecasts that the price of arabica coffee futures on the ICE exchange could fall to $2.50 per pound in the next three months and continue to decline to $2.25 per pound within 12 months.

Compared to the $2.80/pound price of the December 2026 arabica contract last week, these forecasts are lower by approximately 10.7% and 19.6%, respectively.

Citi believes the market is approaching a turning point, with the possibility of another downward correction before the end of 2026.

One of the bases for this assessment is the prospect of increased supply in Brazil and Vietnam. Citi has raised its estimate for Vietnamese coffee production by 2 million bags, while Brazilian coffee exports continue to remain at high levels.  

Coffee price forecast for tomorrow, November 11th: The domestic market may continue to trade sideways or experience a slight correction if the supply of new crop coffee increases rapidly. Conversely, the recovery of international robusta prices and purchasing demand from export businesses could support prices. This is a conditional assessment and not yet a confirmed trading price.



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10 11, 2026

MUFG USD/JPY Forecast: 156-159 After Japan Discloses July Intervention

By |2026-11-10T00:38:42+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

USD/JPY Forecast: MUFG Sees 156-159 as Japan Discloses Record July Intervention

MUFG expects the dollar to trade at 156-159 yen this week as Japan details July’s record intervention and traders weigh the odds of a December rate rise.

Japan bought a record ¥7.98 trillion in a single day to support the yen on 30 July, the Ministry of Finance disclosed on Monday. The US Dollar to Japanese Yen exchange rate was priced at 158.36 on Monday, within half a yen of the previous week’s high of 158.76.

Latest-Exchange Rates:

Dollar to Yen (USD/JPY): 158.01658 (-0.30%)

Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.120175 (+0.55%)
Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.341425 (+0.46%)

The ministry’s quarterly breakdown shows how heavily Japan concentrated its dollar sales. It bought another ¥5.55 trillion on 31 July and ¥1.87 trillion on 3 August. The first day accounted for over half the ¥15.40 trillion spent that quarter. The ministry specified no exchange rate that would trigger another purchase.

MUFG’s Tokyo head of global markets research, Teppei Ino, expects the dollar to trade between 156 and 159 yen this week. His forecast first appeared in Japanese on Friday, before the US jobs report and Monday’s intervention disclosure. The English translation appeared on 9 November.

“The US stance against further yen weakness is unlikely to change materially after the midterm elections. The current environment therefore offers little incentive to take on fresh short-yen risk. We continue to think the USD/JPY will struggle to break above its recent highs above 158.50.”

US hiring revives the case for a December Fed rise

Last week’s trading showed how quickly the dollar could lose ground above 158. Ino wrote: “From European trading on 3 November, strong US economic data added to dollar buying and yen selling, pushing the pair to a weekly high of 158.76. The vote count progressed during Tokyo trading on 4 November, and dollar selling intensified as Democrats secured majorities in both the House and Senate, briefly sending the USD/JPY to below 157.50.”

Thursday’s semiconductor sell-off pushed the dollar below 157.50 again. Ino noted: “However, safe-haven demand for the dollar limited the decline in the USD/JPY.”

Friday’s US payrolls figures gave investors another reason to hold dollars. US payrolls rose by 165,000 in October, including 159,000 private-sector jobs. Revisions added 84,000 to the combined August and September totals. MUFG senior currency analyst Lee Hardman set out the change in the pace of hiring on Monday.

“There has been a clear pick-up in employment growth over the last three months which has averaged 137k/month compared to only 28k/month in the prior three months.”

Hardman argues that a growing labour force has eased wage pressure despite faster hiring. He wrote: “Stronger employment growth has been offset by a pick-up in the labour force preventing a tightening of labour market conditions. At the same time, average hourly earnings growth continues to remain close to year-to-date lows on an annual basis at 3.1% despite the stronger monthly reading of 0.4% in October.”

Markets priced in around 20 basis points of Fed tightening for December after the report, according to Hardman. Tuesday’s US consumer price figures could decide how much of that survives. He also saw a risk to the dollar from Wall Street: “The main risk of delay would be if US financial conditions continued to tighten significantly heading into year-end triggered by a deeper sell-off in AI-related investments.”

Japan’s policymakers weigh the cost of waiting

The Bank of Japan held its policy rate at 1.25% in October, while judging that underlying inflation had reached a level consistent with its 2% target. Its Summary of Opinions, due on Tuesday, should show how long board members want to assess the impact of earlier increases before voting for another.

Japan’s factory prices offer one reason to consider raising rates sooner. “We expect October domestic corporate goods prices to rise +0.3% mom, the first rise in three months. This would convert to +6.6% yoy, slightly decelerating from +6.8% in September,” wrote Goldman Sachs economists Yuriko Tanaka and Tomohiro Ota.

Goldman found that special payments accounted for much of September’s unusually strong earnings growth. “Nominal cash wage growth accelerated sharply to +4.6% yoy in September, from +3.9% in August (market consensus: +3.8%). Overall basic wage growth printed at +3.7% yoy (August: +3.8%). Meanwhile, special wages increased by +32.6%, pushing up the overall print by +1 pp.”

What this means for USD/JPY

Ino expects competing views at the BoJ to matter for the yen well before the December vote. “The recent equity selloff has already prompted some market participants to question whether the BOJ will raise rates in December, with market pricing for a hike falling to around 50%.”

Thursday brings a speech by board member Toichiro Asada, who opposed the September rate increase. “Asada, who identifies with the reflationist camp, could reinforce the growing view that the BOJ may hold rates again in December. That would likely increase yen selling pressure against the dollar.”

A cautious message from Asada would carry more weight for USD/JPY if Tuesday’s US inflation release also reinforced expectations of a Fed increase. That would favour another test of 158.76. A soft US reading would leave less support for the dollar, particularly if the BoJ discussion shows wider backing for an increase in Japanese rates.

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10 11, 2026

Agricultural commodity prices today, November 9, 2026: Coffee prices gradually stabilize, pepper prices reverse direction; Russia promotes cross-border payment systems in Africa.

By |2026-11-10T00:25:43+02:00November 10, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Coffee prices today, November 9, 2026

World coffee prices rose significantly for robusta, while arabica prices fell quite sharply.

Last week, robusta coffee futures contracts for January 2027 delivery rose 2.1% ($66/ton) to $3,270/ton. Contracts for March 2027 delivery increased 1.6% ($50/ton), reaching $3,243/ton.

Conversely, on the New York exchange, the price of Arabica coffee futures for December 2026 delivery fell quite sharply by 2.5% (7.2 US cents/pound), to 280 US cents/pound. The March 2027 contract decreased by 1.9% (5.2 US cents/pound), reaching 271.65 US cents/pound; the May 2027 contract decreased by 1.9% (5.05 US cents/pound), to 267.7 US cents/pound.

Assessing market trends, experts believe the current upward momentum reflects positive technical signals as buying pressure from international investment funds returns after the correction at the beginning of the month. However, pressure from the new harvest season gradually entering the market could create a tug-of-war in price range.

In particular, robusta coffee prices have been rising continuously since the second half of last week. One of the factors supporting robusta prices is the downward revision of India ‘s coffee production forecast. The Indian Coffee Board has lowered its forecast for the 2026-2027 crop year from 400,000 tons to 380,000 tons, a 5% decrease, due to the impact of lower-than-normal monsoon rainfall.

This revised forecast raises concerns about global coffee supply. However, the market is still monitoring the progress of the harvest in Vietnam, a factor that could help increase robusta supply in the coming weeks.

In contrast to the upward trend in robusta coffee prices, arabica coffee prices have fallen quite sharply. Among the fundamental factors closely monitored by the international market are the appreciation of the US dollar against the Brazilian Real and expectations of increased Brazilian coffee supply for export.

In a report published this week, consulting firm Hedgepoint Global Markets highlighted that the sharp fluctuations in the Brazilian exchange rate since the end of October have boosted trading activity, helping to improve producers’ selling prices in local currency, despite falling international coffee prices. According to the firm, between October 23 and 26, the nearest-term arabica contract fell 2.1% in USD per 60kg bag, but its value in Brazilian Real increased by 6.5%.

Exchange rate movements have become more noteworthy amid market expectations of accelerated Brazilian coffee exports. Market intelligence analysts at Hedgepoint Global Markets believe that the depreciation of the Brazilian Real has partially offset the decline in coffee prices in USD. However, broader market fundamentals remain unfavorable and could continue to put downward pressure on prices.

The availability of coffee for delivery on exchanges continues to be one of the factors closely monitored by traders.

In New York, certified arabica inventories remain at historically low levels, near the lowest recorded in almost three decades. However, the market is monitoring the influx of new coffee from Brazil into ICE-approved warehouses, with a portion of the harvest awaiting the necessary sorting procedures before it can be added to certified inventories.

In the long term, Citi’s commodity research department remains pessimistic about coffee prices, forecasting that ICE arabica coffee futures will fall to $2.50 per pound in the next three months and $2.25 per pound in the next twelve months. Citi believes the market is approaching a turning point, with the possibility of a downward correction before the end of the year.

Domestic coffee prices rose by 500-600 VND/kg at the beginning of the week, reaching 84,500-85,300 VND/kg. However, last week, domestic coffee prices fell sharply by 2,300-2,500 VND/kg due to supply pressure from the ongoing harvest.

The impetus for strengthening domestic prices largely stems from the improvement in global markets during the most recent closing session. This shift has fueled expectations of a more stable trading period after a series of volatile days.

Traders say the 2026-2027 coffee harvest has begun in some areas of the Central Highlands and is expected to peak in late November, adding further downward pressure on domestic coffee prices. Traders predict that the expected yield will be fairly good, similar to last year.

According to the General Statistics Office, Vietnam’s coffee exports in October reached 114,000 tons, a 60.6% increase compared to the same period last year. For the first 10 months of the year, total coffee exports reached 1.57 million tons, an 18.8% increase year-on-year. However, contrary to the increase in volume, export value decreased by 5.2%, to $7.08 billion.

In the short term, domestic coffee prices are likely to remain stable or fluctuate within a narrow range around 84,000 – 85,000 VND/kg. A cautious sentiment prevails in the market as participants await further official data on the new harvest in Vietnam’s key coffee-growing regions, as well as developments in global supply and demand.

Domestic coffee prices continued to rise today, November 9th, by 500-600 VND/kg in some key producing regions. ( Unit: VND/kg)

Coffee prices

Medium

USD/VND exchange rate

25,340

– 30

DAK LAK

85,000

+ 500

LAM DONG

84,500

+ 500

GIA LAI

85,000

+ 500

DAK NONG

85,300

+ 600

(Source: giacaphe.com)

According to the World and Vietnam Newspaper, at the close of trading last weekend (November 6th), robusta coffee prices continued to rise on the ICE Futures Europe London exchange. The January 2027 delivery contract increased by $29, trading at $3,270/ton. The March 2027 delivery contract increased by $24, trading at $3,243/ton. Average trading volume.

Arabica coffee prices on the ICE Futures US New York exchange reversed course and rose, with the December 2026 contract increasing by 2.85 cents to trade at 280.00 cents/lb. The March 2027 contract rose by 2.4 cents to trade at 271.65 cents/lb. Trading volume was high.

Agricultural commodity prices today, November 9, 2026: Coffee prices gradually stabilize, pepper prices reverse direction; Russia promotes cross-border payment systems in Africa.

Pepper prices today, November 9, 2026

Domestic pepper prices fluctuate between 135,500 and 138,000 VND/kg.

Domestic pepper prices have reversed course, with current prices 1,000-1,500 VND/kg higher than at the end of last week. Specifically, transactions in various localities on November 9th were as follows:

In Dak Lak province, the price of pepper today is being purchased at 138,000 VND/kg.

In Gia Lai province, the price of pepper today is 135,500 VND/kg.

In the Dak Nong area (Lam Dong province), the price of pepper today is being purchased at 136,500 VND/kg.

In the Ba Ria – Vung Tau (Ho Chi Minh City) area, the price of pepper today is 136,000 VND/kg.

In Dong Nai province, the price of pepper today is 135,500 VND/kg; in Binh Phuoc province, the price of pepper today is also being purchased at 135,500 VND/kg.

According to data from the International Pepper Community (IPC), pepper prices in major global markets showed little fluctuation last week.

The latest world pepper prices are updated from the International Pepper Association (Source: giacaphe.com).

Market USD/Ton VND/Kg
Indonesia – Black Pepper 6,799 175,687
Indonesia – White Pepper 9,285 239,925
Brazilian Black – Pepper ASTA 570 5,700 147,288
Malaysia – Black Pepper ASTA 9,100 235,144
Malaysia – White Pepper ASTA 12,000 310,080
Vietnam – Black Pepper 500 g/l 5,950 153,748
Vietnam – Black Pepper 550 g/l 5,995 154,911
Vietnam – White Pepper ASTA 8,450 218,348

According to ITC data, in September 2026, the US imported 6,797 tons of pepper, worth $52.3 million, a decrease of 4.6% in volume and 4.4% in value compared to August 2026, but an increase of 19.7% in volume compared to September 2025.

Vietnam continued to be the largest supplier, reaching 5,212 tons, accounting for 76.7% of total US imports in September. Compared to August 2026, imports from Vietnam decreased by 7.1%, or 396 tons, which was the main reason for the overall decrease in imports that month. However, compared to the same period in September 2025, imports from Vietnam increased by 32.9%, or 1,289 tons, higher than the overall market increase.

As of the end of September 2026, the US imported 68,797 tons of pepper, worth $524.0 million, an increase of 7.1% in volume and 6.9% in value compared to the same period in 2025, equivalent to an increase of 4,538 tons. However, the import volume is still 5.9% lower than the 73,087 tons imported in the first nine months of 2024. In the third quarter of 2026 alone, imports reached 21,234 tons, a decrease of 18.5% compared to the second quarter, reflecting a slowdown in imports in recent months.

Vietnam supplied 54,939 tons, a 23.3% increase year-on-year, equivalent to an increase of 10,389 tons. Vietnam’s market share increased from 69.3% in the first nine months of 2025 to 79.9% in the first nine months of 2026, a 10.5 percentage point increase. The increase from Vietnam exceeded the increase in total US imports, offsetting the decline from many other sources.

Today’s export rice prices (November 9, 2026)

Export rice prices in Vietnam and Thailand rose to their highest levels in nearly two years last week, driven by concerns about supply disruptions and strong demand, while Indian rice prices edged lower due to improved new crop supplies, according to the Vietnam Food Association (VFA).

In Vietnam, the export price of 5% broken white rice fluctuates. 480–490 USD/ton .

Export prices for Jasmine rice have risen to $535-$539 per ton .

The price of fragrant rice with 5% broken grains has increased to 500-515 USD/ton .

According to government statistics, Vietnam’s rice exports in October 2026 increased by 37.2% compared to the same period last year, reaching 475,000 tons, bringing the total export volume from January to October to 6.83 million tons.

Meanwhile, the price of Thai 5% broken rice rose to $490-495 per ton, the highest level since January 2025 and up from the $480 per ton quoted last week, due to high demand and reduced supply in some areas.

Indian parboiled rice with 5% broken grains was quoted at $382-386/tonne this week, touching its lowest level since October 8th and down from last week’s $387-392/tonne. Indian white rice with 5% broken grains was priced at $389-393/tonne.

The story of the import and export market.

Russia is introducing to African governments and businesses a cross-border payment system developed by the financial technology company A7, aimed at facilitating trade transactions and reducing reliance on Western financial networks.

According to African media, the platform was introduced at the third Russia-Africa Summit held recently in Moscow. Russian President Vladimir Putin said the system allows online conversion between conventional and digital currencies. Russian Finance Minister Anton Siluanov stated that transaction fees are only 0.3%.

A7 International’s service, announced in October 2026, allows businesses to pay international bills using USDT – a digital currency pegged to the US dollar. According to A7, recipients can receive payments via regular bank transfers in USD, Euro, Chinese Yuan, or UAE dirham. Transactions utilize the TRON blockchain network and can be processed via SWIFT. A7 states that the platform has opened representative offices in Lagos (Nigeria) and Harare (Zimbabwe).

This move comes as President Putin stated that Russia-Africa trade will exceed $27 billion by 2025, an increase of approximately 50% compared to 2023. Moscow wants to expand cooperation with the continent in the fields of agriculture, energy, mining, infrastructure, and technology.

However, A7’s operations are facing significant legal risks. On October 1st, the US Treasury Department imposed sanctions on the A7 network, accusing the organization of assisting in circumventing sanctions and facilitating transactions related to Iran. A7 denies the allegations, asserting that it continues to provide legitimate payment services.

The feasibility of deploying the platform in individual African countries depends on regulations governing digital currencies, banking operations, and international financial restrictions.



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9 11, 2026

Pound-to-Euro Week Ahead Forecast: GBP Supported by BoE, Closer EU Ties

By |2026-11-09T20:37:37+02:00November 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


– Written by

The Pound to Euro exchange rate (GBP/EUR) held close to 1.20 after the Bank of England raised interest rates to 4.00% and warned that further tightening may be needed.

Goldman Sachs sees scope for Sterling to advance towards 1.2050 in the short term, although investment banks remain divided over how far UK rates will rise and whether the Pound can sustain its gains into 2027.

GBP/EUR Forecasts: BoE Takes Action

Goldman Sachs sees scope for the Pound to Euro (GBP/EUR) exchange rate to edge higher to 1.2050 in the short term and has revised its 12-month forecast higher to 1.1630 from 1.1360 previously.

MUFG forecasts a retreat to 1.15 by the third quarter of next year.

GBP/EUR tested the 1.20 level during the week before a limited retreat to 1.1980 as overall Pound sentiment held firm in global markets. Overall volatility was contained despite sharp moves in energy prices and equities.

ING commented on the short-term Pound outlook; “EUR/GBP has overshot rate differentials down at these low 0.83 levels, but there seems to be no reason to expect an upside correction just yet.” (Waiting for a GBP/EUR retreat.)

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The Bank of England (BoE) increased interest rates by 25 basis points to 4.00%, in line with strong expectations. The bank warned that a further increase was likely unless energy prices declined.

Investment banks continued to debate the outlook for future hikes. MUFG commented; “Our base case remains one further hike in February, the next projection meeting, completing a moderate and gradual tightening cycle.”

It added; “That said, today’s broadly hawkish tone does shift the balance of risks. A December move and a terminal rate of 4.5% are both more plausible now. The energy backdrop will remain the key swing factor for the former, while more concrete evidence of second-round effects would be needed, we think, for a higher terminal rate.”

Danske Bank noted; “We change our call and add two further 25bp hikes in February and April, taking Bank Rate to 4.50%, unless a lasting resolution to the conflict is reached.”

UK and Euro-Zone fiscal policy will also be a key underlying element.

According to Rabobank; “A reduction in the [UK] fiscal headroom is not good news, but crucially this is a self-imposed discipline. Compared with some other G7 countries, and most notably France, at least the UK has a budget consolidation plan in place.”

It added; “The UK’s fiscal position is far from enviable, but at least it has an improving primary deficit which should provide some reassurance for GBP markets.”

The government is continuing to push towards closer ties with the Euro area which could have an important impact on medium-term Pound sentiment.

Goldman Sachs commented; “The prospects for EU reintegration have continued to garner market focus – and unwinding even a fraction of our estimated 6% cumulative impact of Brexit on Sterling would imply a significant boost to the currency, but the path to achieving these outcomes is highly uncertain and gradual.”

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9 11, 2026

Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD and EURUSD for Today (November 9, 2026)

By |2026-11-09T20:24:45+02:00November 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.

Oil remains in a short-term downtrend.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • USCrude: Oil is falling from resistance A at 90.87–90.43.
  • XAUUSD: Gold has risen from support A at 4,045–4,035.
  • EURUSD: The euro broke below the 1.1173 level but is now correcting higher.

Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis

Oil maintains its short-term downtrend. Last week, the price tested resistance zone A at 90.87–90.43. However, sellers managed to hold this zone, and the price subsequently began to decline.

Today, the oil price attempted to break through this resistance zone once again, but sellers defended it, and the price began to fall. Now, the price is testing the 88.43 level for the second time. If the price breaches this level, it may fall further to 85.99.

USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the short trades opened at resistance A at 90.87–90.43. TakeProfit: 85.99. StopLoss: at breakeven.


Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis

On Friday, the gold price tested the support zone A at 4,045–4,035. Buyers held this zone, and the price started to rise.

As a result, gold has reached the first buy target of 4,091 and settled higher. The second buy target is the November 5 high of 4,146.

If the price breaks above 4,146, the rally may continue toward the upper Target Zone of 4,205–4,174.

XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the long trades opened at support A at 4,045–4,035. TakeProfit: 4,146. StopLoss: at breakeven.


Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis

The euro continued to decline last week, breaking below the 1.1173 level and nearing the Target Zone of 1.1123–1.1106. The next downside target is the October 29 low around 1.1104.

However, if market participants push the price up to the 1.1173 level, a correction may develop. Should a correction occur, the euro may reach the resistance zone B at 1.1243–1.1230. If sellers hold this resistance level, short trades can be reconsidered.

Should the euro price settle above the 1.1243 level, the trend will likely reverse, creating buying opportunities.

EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the short trades opened at resistance B at 1.1243–1.1230. TakeProfit: 1.1104. StopLoss: at breakeven.


Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.


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Price chart of USCRUDE in real time mode

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9 11, 2026

US Dollar Price Forecast: DXY Faces 102.26 as EUR/USD and GBP/USD Await US CPI

By |2026-11-09T16:36:26+02:00November 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Resistance, where sellers may return, starts at 102.259, then 102.488. Support, where buyers may step in, stands at 101.891, followed by 101.704.

RSI, a gauge of buying and selling strength, remains above 50 but has crossed beneath its signal line, a slower average of RSI. My bias is neutral while DXY holds above support at 101.891. A two-hour close above 102.259 and the trendline would favour renewed upside; below 101.891 would turn the immediate bias bearish.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis: Trendline Bounce Reclaims 1.3373 Pivot

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9 11, 2026

Silver Price Forecast: Lower oil eases inflation pressure as XAG/USD climbs to near $53.00

By |2026-11-09T16:23:45+02:00November 9, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


  • Lower oil prices support Silver after Trump plays down the prospect of near-term military action against Iran.
  • A 78%+ probability of a December rate increase, according to CME FedWatch, weighs on non-yielding XAG.
  • October’s strong Nonfarm Payrolls reading (165K) and lower unemployment (4.1%) could support the Greenback and limit Silver’s gains.

At around $53.00 per troy ounce in Monday’s Asian session, Silver (XAG/USD) is recovering after two consecutive days of declines. Lower oil prices have eased inflationary pressures, supporting the metal’s advance.

TMGM Analysis: Financial Market News, Economic Calendar & Market Insights

US President Donald Trump’s remarks that further strikes against Iran are “highly unlikely,” as long as progress on Iran’s nuclear programme continues and the Strait of Hormuz stays open, prompted a fall in crude prices. He also attributed the Republicans’ recent midterm election losses in part to the unpopular Middle East conflict and the higher energy costs it caused.

According to Reuters, Trump reiterated in a telephone interview with CNN that further military action would probably not be needed if Iran signs a firm agreement. No large-scale US military operations have taken place, despite previous suggestions that major attacks might resume after the midterms. Iran, meanwhile, has threatened to respond to any future strikes by attacking US and Israeli assets.

Expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise rates in December could, however, weigh on non-yielding Silver. The CME FedWatch tool puts the likelihood of another 25-basis-point increase at the December Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting at above 78%.

Strong US labour market data are lending considerable support to the Greenback. October Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 165,000, well above the 65,000 market forecast and following September’s revised increase of 60,000. The Unemployment Rate also slipped to 4.1%, below the expected 4.2%. For further clues to the Fed’s next policy decisions, traders are turning their attention to Tuesday’s US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release and Friday’s Producer Price Index (PPI) report.

Dollar repricing accelerates as markets turn to US data and Fed speakers

The US calendar will provide the next test of the recent change in Fed expectations and the accompanying Dollar weakness, according to strategists at ABN Amro. They note that “three US events will test the repricing of Fed expectations and the USD’s downside risks today.” In their view, scheduled economic releases alongside Fed communication will be crucial in assessing whether markets have gone too far in reducing expectations of tightening and pricing in further USD declines.

Silver: Frequently Asked Questions

Widely traded by investors, Silver is a precious metal with a long history as both a store of value and a means of exchange. Gold remains more popular, but traders may choose Silver for its intrinsic value, to diversify a portfolio or as a possible hedge when inflation is high. Exposure is available through purchases of physical coins or bars, or through instruments such as exchange-traded funds that track Silver’s price in international markets.

A broad range of influences can drive movements in Silver. Its safe-haven appeal can lift prices during geopolitical turmoil or concerns about a severe recession, though the effect is generally smaller than for Gold. Lower interest rates typically favour Silver because it pays no yield. The US Dollar (USD) is another important influence, since the metal is quoted in dollars (XAG/USD): a stronger Dollar generally restrains Silver prices, while a weaker currency is likely to lift them. Investment demand, recycling rates and mine supply also play a part, with Silver far more abundant than Gold.

Among metals, Silver has one of the highest levels of electrical conductivity, exceeding both Copper and Gold. This makes it widely used in industry, notably in electronics and solar energy. A sharp increase in demand can push prices higher, whereas weaker demand tends to bring them down. Developments in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also drive price fluctuations. Large industrial sectors in the US and, particularly, China use Silver in a range of processes, while Indian consumers’ demand for Silver jewellery is another important influence on prices.

Gold’s price movements are often mirrored by Silver. As both metals have a similar safe-haven status, a rise in Gold is usually accompanied by gains in Silver. Their relative valuations can be assessed using the Gold/Silver ratio, which measures how many ounces of Silver have the same value as one ounce of Gold. A high ratio may be interpreted by some investors as a sign that Silver is undervalued or Gold overvalued. A low ratio, by contrast, could indicate that Gold is undervalued compared with Silver.



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