• Silver continues to be very noisy on Friday as we have pulled back a bit despite the fact that interest rates have dropped.

• The 50-day EMA just above continues to offer a little bit of resistance and therefore I think it does make a certain amount of sense that we just hang out in this region.

Quite frankly, I believe this is a market that given enough time probably has to make a bigger decision, but as we head into the weekend it’s difficult to get overly aggressive with anything, let alone a market that is extraordinarily volatile like silver.

Silver Continues to be Noisy

The XAG/USD market pulling back from here could open up the possibility of a test of the $70.00 level. The 200-day EMA sits just below there, and I think it opens up the possibility of even more support. To the upside, we have the $80.00 level, which of course is above the 50-day EMA.

The $80.00 level is essentially fair value from the longer-term consolidation range, which extends all the way to the $90.00 level. That $90.00 level I think is a target eventually, but it’s going to take a while to get there. If we were to break out above there, then I think you start to see silver behave extraordinarily bullish.

There is a lot of demand out there for the little bit of supply that we have for silver, but as long as interest rates remain relatively high, I think a lot of people are going to be very hesitant to buy a lot of silver. Furthermore, as we head into the weekend, we don’t know what the headlines will be, and therefore it makes sense that we have somewhat of a lackluster end.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

• The light sweet crude oil market has gone back and forth to show signs of hesitation, but at this point in time, we are sitting just below the $100 level.

• We did bounce from the 50-day EMA and that does matter.

I think ultimately you have got a situation where if we can break above the $100 level, then $105 could be very real. Breaking below the 50-day EMA opens up a drop to the 50% Fibonacci retracement level of the bigger move going back several months, possibly even opening up a drop down to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near the $86 level. The $105 level has proven to be very difficult, and if we can break above there, the $110 level is, in fact, where we go longer term.

Market Dynamics and Outlook

All things being equal, I expect a lot of choppy behavior out of oil because, quite frankly, we have got a bunch of people in the news throwing headlines around to move the markets and not really anything fundamentally driven other than the fact that there is going to be a shortage, no matter what people think or want.

A move above the $110 level opens up the possibility of a move to the $120 level before it is all said and done, but I do not see that happening yet. All things being equal, I do think that we are trying to find some type of summer range from which to trade in, and with that, I look at this as a market that, quite frankly, if we get an opportunity to buy the dip, you probably want to.

I just would not look for huge gains. I think finding a little bit of value in oil makes a certain amount of sense this time of year, but again, remember, this could be moved by the latest tweet or press conference, you just do not know.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

As seen on: Pairs Of Aces Podcast,The Trader Guy, FXEmpire

Domestic coffee prices today

Opening the first trading session of the new week on May 25, 2026, the domestic coffee market did not maintain the excitement of the previous weekend. According to survey data, the purchase price of soybean kernels has simultaneously cooled down, losing from 300 to 400 VND/kg.

Dak Nong (old): Reduced by 400 VND, retreating to 87,700 VND/kg, but still continues to lead in purchasing prices throughout the region.

Dak Lak: Reduced by 400 VND, currently trading at the threshold of 87,600 VND/kg.

Gia Lai: Recorded a slight decrease of 300 VND, listed at the same level as Dak Lak at 87,600 VND/kg.

Lam Dong: Reduced by 400 VND, pushing the purchase price down to the lowest level in the region at 87,000 VND/kg.

Notably, pepper today also recorded a decrease of 1,000 VND, falling to the level of 141,000 VND/kg. Conversely, the USD/VND exchange rate at Vietcombank slightly increased by 2 VND, currently listed at 26,132 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

Due to time zone differences, as of noon today (Vietnam time), both ICE London and New York futures exchanges have not yet entered the official order matching session of Monday. Electronic boards are currently temporarily frozen, maintaining the opposite closing level of last Friday:

London Stock Exchange (Robusta): July futures (RMN26) anchored at a high of $3,456/ton (maintaining the breakthrough +57 USD from the end of the week).

New York Stock Exchange (Arabica): July futures (KCN26) sideways at 272.35 cents/lb (currently in the lowest price range in 1.5 years).

Coffee market outlook

The coffee market is currently caught between two opposing macroeconomic information flows, creating a fierce tug-of-war in investor sentiment:

The current high price of Robusta is greatly supported by the drought in Vietnam. According to the weather forecasting agency, rainfall in the Central Highlands in the past time is still very scattered and scarce, directly threatening the development of young coffee fruit trees. Severe drought has caused ponds and lakes in Gia Lai and many Central Highlands regions to dry up to the bottom, thousands of hectares of coffee and pepper fell into a state of thirst.

In addition, the “Super El Niño” specter (with a 67% probability of occurring according to NOAA) is raising concerns that the rainy season in Brazil will be delayed to September and October, with the risk of devastating the 2026/27 crop. Arabica inventories hitting a 3-month low (449,567 bags) is also a safe buffer zone to prevent prices from falling freely.

Although the weather is very risky, the actual crop season of Brazil is being assessed as extremely good. “Big players” such as Marex and StoneX continuously emphasize the production figure of 75.3 – 75.9 million bags, pushing the global surplus in 2026 to a record level of 10 million bags. At the same time, Vietnam’s export data increased sharply by 15.8% (reaching 810,000 tons in the first 4 months of the year) along with the fact that Robusta inventories on the London exchange have just recovered to a 6-week high (3,968 lots) are burdens hindering price increases.

The slight downward correction at the beginning of the week in the domestic market shows the caution of traders ahead of the new South American crop line pouring into the market.