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24 01, 2026

XAG/USD stalls below the $100.00 psychological level

By |2026-01-24T23:18:41+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Silver (XAG/USD) hit a fresh all-time high at $99.39 earlier on Friday, before pulling back to levels around $98.25 at the time of writing. The precious metal has met resistance right ahead of the 100.00 psychological level, yet with downside attempts limited amid US Dollar’s (USD) weakness.

The US Dollar Index is on track for its worst weekly performance since June, as Trump’s obsession with Greenland boosted tensions with the US’s main trading partner, eroding the image of the US as a global leader as well as the status of the USD and a reserve currency.

Technical Analysis: XAG/USD remains bullish with $100.00 on sight

XAG/USD maintains its bullish tone intact with technical indicators pointing higher. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line stands above zero and has extended higher, suggesting strengthening bullish momentum, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains at levels consistent with a firm bullish trend.

The pair found sellers at the 127.2% Fiboinacci extension of the January 8-12 rally, at the 99.50 area, which, together with the mentioned $100.00 level, is likely challenge bulls. Further up, the target is the 161.8% extension of the same range, at 106.38.

On the downside, immediate support is seen at the previous record high of $95.90, ahead of the 100-period SMA, now art $92.60, and the January 21 low, at $90.40.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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24 01, 2026

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Upbeat UK Data Pushing to 1.37 Ahead of FOMC

By |2026-01-24T23:13:14+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • The GBP/USD weekly forecast turns strongly bullish as the dollar loses traction amid geopolitics.
  • The upbeat UK CPI, retail sales, and PMI data provided adequate support to the pair.
  • Markets await the FOMC rate decision and press conference next week.

GBPUSD ended last week with sterling fundamentals improving, but price action still leaned heavily on USD headline risk and US rate expectations.

In the UK, inflation re-accelerated as CPI rose 3.4% YoY in December (from 3.2%), which typically reduces the market’s confidence in rapid BoE easing and helped GBP on the day by lifting front-end UK yields. Activity and demand data also surprised positively: UK retail sales rose 0.4% MoM in December (versus expectations for a fall), adding to signs of a pickup and supporting sterling sentiment, even if the FX follow-through was at times modest.

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The UK flash PMI set added to the constructive tone by signalling continued expansion in private-sector activity, reinforcing the idea that the UK economy is not rolling over into the BoE’s subsequent decisions.

On the US side, “good” data didn’t translate into a stronger dollar because geopolitics dominated. The US economy’s momentum was confirmed as Q3 2025 GDP was revised up to a 4.4% annualized pace, and business surveys stayed expansionary with the S&P Global flash PMIs showing manufacturing at 51.9 and composite at 52.8 in January.

At the same time, tensions between the US and Europe over Greenland added to volatility in the risk premium. Trump said he would impose 10% tariffs on eight European countries under pressure from Greenland. Later, he also said that a “framework” had been talked about after meeting with NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte. Denmark and Greenland both stated that their sovereignty is not negotiable. That mix made the markets jumpy and hurt steady demand for the USD.

In the next week, there won’t be any big UK releases, so the tape will lead. So, GBPUSD should mostly trade like a Fed-week USD cross, reacting to changes in US yield expectations and any new geopolitical or tariff news.

If the Fed is hawkish, the USD can be stronger than the improving data pulse of the GBP. Conversely, if the Fed stays balanced and yields fall, the GBP can hold up better than its peers, given last week’s hotter CPI and stronger activity signals.

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GBP/USD Weekly Technical Forecast: Bullish Above 1.3565

GBP/USD Weekly Forecast: Upbeat UK Data Pushing to 1.37 Ahead of FOMC
GBP/USD daily chart

The GBPUSD daily chart shows a strong bullish candle piercing the 1.3565 resistance level, followed by the 1.3600 psychological mark. However, the RSI approaching the overbought region indicates a potential pullback to the 1.3565 area before an upside continuation.

The upside target for the pair lies at 1.3700, ahead of 1.3750. On the downside, if the price breaks and stays below the 1.3565 level could gather further selling pressure and drag towards 1.3500.

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24 01, 2026

Forecast update for EURUSD -23-01-2026.

By |2026-01-24T07:13:48+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The CHFJPY succeeded in resuming the bullish trend, taking advantage of its repeated stability within the bullish channel’s levels that appears in the above image, to surpass 198.80 then targeting new historical stations by reaching 200.90 directly.

 

The continuation of providing bullish momentum will provide a chance for resuming the bullish attack in the near period, to expect reaching 202.15 level to form initial extra target in the current trading, where surpassing it will push the price to reach the bullish channel’s resistance at 206.65.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 199.35 and 2202.15

 

Trend forecast: Bullish

 





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24 01, 2026

USD/JPY Forecast Today 23/01: Dovish Signals (Video&Chart)

By |2026-01-24T07:07:43+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • The US dollar rallied against the Japanese yen on Thursday, but it should be known that the Bank of Japan meeting will keep things quiet until the statement and press conference on Friday.

The US dollar rallied against the Japanese yen on Thursday as we continue to see a lot of back-and-forth trading, but focus on the interest rate differential. We did give back some of the gains, and that makes a certain amount of sense as well, due to the fact that Friday is possibly going to be a volatile session as the Bank of Japan continues to see a lot of questions asked about its interest rate policy.

It will, in fact, give its latest update on its interest rate policy. The change is expected to be nothing, but the statement will be where people pay the most attention to. If they sound particularly dovish, that could send the US dollar much higher against the Japanese yen, and I think we would tag the 160 yen level.

Support and Volatility

A pullback at this point in time probably sees support near the 156.20 level, where the 50-day EMA is hanging around. I do expect a lot of volatility, and I do think dips will offer buying opportunities unless, of course, the Bank of Japan does something completely unexpected like hike aggressively.

I don’t think that’s going to be the case; quite frankly, they have too much debt to do that. Expect volatility, a lot of noisy behavior, and at this point, be cautious about selling into negativity.

I think that negativity, if you are patient enough, will offer a nice opportunity to continue to add to a position that, quite frankly, has paid you quite well since the middle of April. Of course, you get paid at the end of every day, right along with that.

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Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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24 01, 2026

Why Record-High Copper Prices Aren’t Forecast to Last

By |2026-01-24T03:12:43+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


One key driver of the commodity’s price is likely to be a mid-year decision from the US administration on refined copper tariffs, writes Goldman Sachs Research analyst Eoin Dinsmore. Buyers have been stockpiling copper in the US in advance of the expected import tax, creating expectations of temporary scarcity outside of the US.

 

“We do not expect the price above $13,000 to be sustained,” Dinsmore writes.

Why have copper prices risen so fast?

Goldman Sachs Research cites three themes as contributing to the recent run-up in prices. For one, copper buyers significantly increased their requests in December to take metal from LME warehouses, confirming the tightness in markets outside the US. The second theme was the anticipation of strong artificial intelligence (AI)-related demand from the construction of data centers, which use copper in cooling and power distribution. 

There was also a narrative in markets that US policymaking for the economy was meant to “run it hot,” as copper and riskier assets rallied in the new year. While Goldman Sachs Research expects growth in consumption of US semi-finished copper products, our analysts don’t anticipate this to have a material impact on global demand growth since the US only accounts for 7% of the market.

How copper could be impacted by tariff uncertainty

Goldman Sachs Research’s copper forecast is based on the expectation that the Trump administration will announce a 15% tariff on refined copper by mid-2026. But there’s uncertainty around that outcome as affordability remains a key focus in the lead up to US mid-term elections which could cause the tariff decision to be delayed. 

For now, uncertainty surrounding the US refined copper tariff is supporting the LME copper price as US stockpiles of the metals continue to rise. Goldman Sachs Research expects this to result in a decline in stocks elsewhere in 2026, therefore keeping a floor under prices over the coming months. A definitive tariff decision in mid-2026 should signal the end of US stockpiling, allowing the price to move lower.

But if the tariff announcement itself is delayed until 2027, that could be bearish for copper prices as the probability of a tariff reduces and focus shifts back to the well-supplied global market. The recent Critical Minerals Section 232 decision suggests that the Trump Administration is no longer solely relying on tariffs to enhance US security of supply in metals. 

In the short term, the speculative peak in copper prices could still be ahead. Speculative positioning in the futures market is already at a record high, but the level of long positions as a share of total open interest on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange is not as extreme as prior speculative peaks.

“We are very likely in the late stages of this rally, but US economic growth, AI spending, and US stockpiling will likely remain supportive in the coming months,” Dinsmore writes.

The global copper surplus

Once the tariff uncertainty has passed, investors are likely to focus once again on the market’s underlying fundamentals, including a large overhang of global supply. The global copper market recorded a 600 kilotonne (kt) surplus in 2025, the largest absolute surplus since 2009, and inventory outside of the US is now rising, despite continued US stockpiling.

High prices are likely to dampen demand growth and lift scrap supply this year, and this expectation leads our researchers to boost their global surplus forecast for 2026 to 300 kt from a previous outlook for 160 kt.

They note that China’s consumption of refined copper has weakened materially, and that the pullback in Chinese demand is more acute than in 2024, when a “China buyers strike” ended the rally that year. They also reduced their forecast for US stockpiling in 2026 from 750 kt to 600 kt due to less attractive import arbitrage opportunities.

On a fundamental basis, Goldman Sachs Research estimates that copper’s fair price is around $11,500 per tonne, close to their price forecast of $11,200 per tonne for the fourth quarter of 2026.

“We feel that the price has overshot its fair fundamental level,” Dinsmore concludes. A clear decision on US refined copper tariffs should serve as a “catalyst for a correction.”



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24 01, 2026

Pound Sterling to Dollar Forecast: GBP/USD Tests Upper Ranges

By |2026-01-24T03:06:41+02:00January 24, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


– Written by

The Pound-to-Dollar exchange rate (GBP/USD) has pushed to 1.3535, as foreign exchange analysts at ING and MUFG argue that confidence in US policymaking has not fully recovered, keeping the risk of renewed “Sell America” flows alive despite calmer headlines.

GBP/USD Forecasts: Tight Ranges

The Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate has been held in relatively narrow ranges and trading around 1.3440 after again finding support near 1.34 with Pound support from a boost to risk appetite offset by a firmer dollar.

According to UoB; “we continue to expect range-trading today, most likely between 1.3400 and 1.3460.”

Given major global pressure points, it is dangerous to assume that narrow ranges will prevail.

According to ING; “Some downside risks for the dollar persist: more volatility in JGBs spilling into Treasuries, scrutiny on upcoming US tech earnings, reignition in geopolitical/tariff risk. But the macro picture should favour a bit more dollar strength in the coming days, in our view.”

Risk appetite secured an initial boost on Wednesday following President Trump’s comments that he would not use force to secure a deal on Greenland.

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There was a further boost to confidence after the European close after Trump stated that a deal on Greenland had been reached with NATO Secretary-General Rutte and that the threatened tariffs on eight European countries from February 1st would not go ahead.

Markets were concerned that US threats would trigger selling in US bonds and equities which would hurt the dollar. With the immediate threat easing, there was a rebound in the dollar.

Commerzbank forex strategist Volkmar Baur commented; “From a European perspective, it is too early to rejoice.”

He added; “However, the most likely outcome is still that the next wave of excitement will pass us by after a brief period of volatility and that the market will refocus on central banks and interest rate differentials.”

ING considers that attention will turn towards the Federal Reserve policy decision next week.

According to the bank; “We discussed last week how Powell’s fierce response to the criminal investigation signalled upside risks to the dollar, as he and other members could have turned more hawkish in a meeting without any rate change to reinforce the independence message.”

The Supreme Court also held a hearing on the US Administration case to dismiss Fed Governor Cook. The initial signs are that the court is not mindful to back Trump due to the threat to Fed independence.

MUFG still sees dollar risks, but added; “The loss of confidence in US policymaking is likely to remain a headwind for the US dollar as we have seen at the start of this year. However, the risk of a sharper US dollar sell-off has diminished after President Trump’s quick climb down over Greenland, and early indications from the Supreme Court overnight that they are likely to rule against President Trump’s decision to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook.”

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23 01, 2026

Forecast update for EURUSD -21-01-2026.

By |2026-01-23T23:11:36+02:00January 23, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural gas price continued forming strong bullish waves since yesterday, to notice achieving the suggested targets by reaching $4.00 level, to reach the support of the broken bullish channel’s support, which represents a key resistance.

 

Noticing that stochastic begins to exit the oversold level, attempting to provide a new bullish momentum, to increase the chances of surpassing the current resistance, and its stability above this level will confirm its readiness to record new gains by its rally towards $4.185, while the failure to breach it will support the dominance of the sideways bias in the current trading, and there is a chance to retest $3.620 level before reaching extra bullish target.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $3.780 and $4.185

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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23 01, 2026

U.S. Dollar Retreats As Services PMI Misses Estimates: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By |2026-01-23T23:05:39+02:00January 23, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

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23 01, 2026

XAU/USD pulls back from record highs near $5,000

By |2026-01-23T19:10:42+02:00January 23, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Gold’s (XAU/USD) is trading at $4,915 at the time of writing, practically flat on the daily chart following a 4-day rally that brought price action to a fresh all-time high of $4,967. The precious metal, however, maintains its broad bullish tone intact, on track for a 6.5% weekly gain.

Precious metals remain underpinned by a weak US Dollar, as the deterioration of the US-EU relationship amid the Greenland feud has eroded the US’s image as a global leader, triggering a “Sell America” trade. Trump eased the tone toward Europe at the Davos Forum and touted an agreement with NATO on the Arctic Island, but restoring the confidence of the US’s main trade partner will be difficult. 

Technical analysis: Gold stands comfortably above previous highs

XAU/USD has pulled back from its highs but remains above previous highs, at the $4,880 area. Technical indicators are turning lower, yet still at levels consistent with bullish momentum, with the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) rising steadily, with price holding well above it.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram in the 4-hour chart remains positive despite a moderate contraction. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) eases, pulling back from overbought levels, all in all pointing to a healthy correction following the recent sharp rally.

Bulls have been halted at the 127.2% Fiboonacci expansion of the January 16-21 rally, at the $4,970 area, ahead of the $5,000 psychological level, which is likely to challenge the strength of the current rally. On the downside, immediate support is the previous record high, at $4,888, ahead of the January 21 low of $4,775.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

US Dollar Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies this week. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -1.31% -1.29% 0.28% -0.94% -2.64% -2.78% -1.29%
EUR 1.31% 0.02% 1.60% 0.37% -1.35% -1.49% 0.02%
GBP 1.29% -0.02% 1.35% 0.36% -1.37% -1.51% 0.00%
JPY -0.28% -1.60% -1.35% -1.20% -2.89% -3.02% -1.54%
CAD 0.94% -0.37% -0.36% 1.20% -1.69% -1.84% -0.35%
AUD 2.64% 1.35% 1.37% 2.89% 1.69% -0.14% 1.39%
NZD 2.78% 1.49% 1.51% 3.02% 1.84% 0.14% 1.54%
CHF 1.29% -0.02% -0.01% 1.54% 0.35% -1.39% -1.54%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).



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23 01, 2026

EUR/USD Forecast Today 23/01: 1.1850 Breakout (Video&Chart)

By |2026-01-23T19:05:00+02:00January 23, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • The Euro has rallied slightly on Thursday as the market continues to look to test the top of the overall range at the moment.

The Euro has rallied slightly during the trading session on Thursday as we continue to see a lot of consolidation just above the 50-day EMA. The question at this point in time is whether or not the US dollar will crumble, and I think there is a specific trigger price that you will more likely than not have to pay attention to.

This would be the 1.1850 level. The recent swing high and the spot on the chart that I have circled from the September Federal Reserve interest rate decision. That was when we started to get the idea that perhaps the Americans were not going to aggressively cut as everybody had anticipated.

If we can break above there, that would be a very strong sign, but as things stand right now, this is more or less a market that is stuck in a range between 1.14 and 1.1850. I do think that you are looking for signs of exhaustion to start fading again.

Market Range and Sentiment

But if we get that move above 1.1850, then the Euro is likely to go looking to the 1.20 level after that. All things being equal, this is a market that moves very little most of the time, so the fact that it is range-bound should not be a huge surprise.

That being said, also, you could also look at this as a very well-defined range that you can play in both directions. It is worth noting that the most recent dip doesn’t seem to have been as negative as previous ones, so maybe we’re starting to lean more in the direction of the Euro. But we’ll just have to wait and see.

A lot of this will come down to US economic data, which recently has been a little softer than previously but still fairly resilient.

Ready to trade our EUR/USD analysis and predictions? Here are the best European brokers to choose from.

Christopher Lewis has been trading Forex and has over 20 years experience in financial markets. Chris has been a regular contributor to Daily Forex since the early days of the site. He writes about Forex for several online publications, including FX Empire, Investing.com, and his own site, aptly named The Trader Guy. Chris favours technical analysis methods to identify his trades and likes to trade equity indices and commodities as well as Forex. He favours a longer-term trading style, and his trades often last for days or weeks.

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