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20 08, 2026

U.S. Dollar Dives As Treasury Boosts Buybacks Of Long-Dated Bonds: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By |2026-08-20T00:29:21+03:00August 20, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

USD/CAD 190826 4h Chart

USD/CAD pulled back as traders reacted to the strong rally in precious metals markets. Gold climbed towards the $4500 level, while silver moved towards $66.00. Other commodity-related currencies have also gained upside momentum in today’s trading session.

Currently, USD/CAD is trying to settle below the support level at 1.3825 – 1.3840. In case USD/CAD manages to settle below the 1.3825 level, it will head towards the next support, which is located in the 1.3735 – 1.3750 range. RSI has recently moved into oversold territory, but there is enough room to gain momentum in case the right catalysts emerge.

USD/JPY Moves Away From Weekly Highs

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20 08, 2026

Coffee prices today, August 19th: Soaring by 1,500 VND/kg

By |2026-08-20T00:18:55+03:00August 20, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Domestic coffee prices today

Coffee prices today in the domestic market continue to increase sharply in key areas. According to giacaphe. com, the average coffee price on August 19 was 98,400 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND/kg compared to the previous session.

In Dak Lak, coffee prices were recorded at 98,300 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND/kg.

In Lam Dong, coffee prices reached 97,700 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND/kg. This is the lowest level among the surveyed areas.

In Gia Lai, coffee prices are at 98,300 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND/kg.

The old Dak Nong area recorded a level of 98,500 VND/kg, an increase of 1,500 VND/kg. This is the highest level in today’s price list.

After two consecutive strong increases, the price level has approached the 99,000 VND/kg mark, significantly narrowing the gap with the 100,000 VND/kg mark.

The USD/VND exchange rate according to Vietcombank is recorded at 25,920 VND/USD.

World coffee prices

In the world market, coffee prices increased sharply on both the London and New York exchanges.

On the London exchange, the September 2026 Robusta futures contract increased by 85 USD/ton, equivalent to 2.32%, to 3,755 USD/ton. The November 2026 futures increased by 95 USD/ton, equivalent to 2.61%, to 3,739 USD/ton.

Further maturities also increased. Robusta in January 2027 increased by 88 USD/ton, to 3,716 USD/ton; March 2027 term increased by 82 USD/ton, to 3,685 USD/ton; May 2027 term increased by 80 USD/ton, to 3,662 USD/ton.

On the New York floor, the Arabica contract for September 2026 increased by 18.30 US cents/lb, equivalent to 5.30%, to 363.40 US cents/lb. December 2026 futures increased by 14.55 US cents/lb, to 332.45 US cents/lb.

Coffee price assessment

Domestic coffee prices increased sharply for the second consecutive session, in the same direction as positive developments in the world market. The increase of Robusta London by more than 2% is a noteworthy signal for the Vietnamese market, because Robusta is a commodity group that directly affects domestic purchasing prices more.

According to Barchart, Safras & Mercado recorded Brazil’s coffee harvest for the 2026-2027 crop reaching 90% as of August 12, lower than the same period last year’s 97% and the 5-year average of 94%. Brazil’s Arabica harvest progress alone reached 86%, lower than the same period’s 95%.

Meanwhile, Arabica inventory certified on ICE fell to its lowest level in 2.75 years. The increase in Robusta inventory is a factor that could put pressure on Robusta. This shows that the current upward momentum is still interspersedly affected by supply, inventory and harvesting activities in major producing countries.

Domestically, according to the Ministry of Agriculture and Environment, in July, Vietnam exported about 147,600 tons of coffee, worth 639.5 million USD. Accumulated in the first 7 months of the year, coffee exports reached about 1.2 million tons, up 10.8% in volume but turnover decreased by 11.2%, to 5.45 billion USD. This development is mainly due to the average export price decreasing by 19.9% compared to the same period, down to 4,537 USD/ton.

Regarding the weather, the National Center for Hydro-Meteorological Forecasting said that on the day and night of August 19, the Central Highlands area is cloudy, with showers and scattered thunderstorms, locally heavy rain; the rain concentrated mainly in the afternoon and night. The lowest temperature is 21-24 degrees C, in some places below 20 degrees C; the highest is 26-29 degrees C, in some places above 29 degrees C.

Rainstorms in this season need to be monitored in terms of garden care, pest and disease prevention, and goods preservation.

In the coming sessions, the diễn biến of Robusta London, Arabica New York, USD/VND exchange rate, inventory and demand for export purchases will continue to dominate the domestic price level.





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19 08, 2026

MUFG Euro To Dollar Forecast: “High Level Of Caution In Buying EUR/USD”

By |2026-08-19T20:28:33+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The Euro-Dollar is struggling to clear 1.1630, with MUFG warning the EUR/USD looks overvalued as European gas and growth risks build.

The Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate has climbed back towards 1.1600, but the move is starting to look less convincing once valuation and Europe’s energy exposure are brought into the picture.

EUR/USD traded around 1.1597 early on Wednesday after reaching 1.1614 earlier in the week.

Softer expectations for Federal Reserve tightening should, on paper, have given the Euro more room to run. It hasn’t quite happened.

MUFG sees the hesitation as significant.

“The 200-day moving average is offering resistance at 1.1630,” the bank said, noting that the best level reached on Monday was 1.1614. “We do certainly sense a high level of caution in buying EUR/USD.”

EUR/USD 48h chart
Image: EUR/USD 48h chart

EUR/USD has recovered from below 1.1570, but the latest advance still leaves the pair short of the 1.1630 area highlighted by MUFG.

The more striking warning comes from MUFG’s valuation model.

“Our short-term regression model for EUR/USD already indicates current spot is about 2.5%-3.0% overvalued,” the bank said.

That is the awkward part. The Dollar has lost some rate support, yet MUFG argues the Euro is already trading richer than underlying short-term fundamentals justify.

Energy is central to the concern.

European gas storage is running just below the range seen in comparable years since 2011, while delayed winter purchases risk becoming more expensive as Asian LNG demand competes for supply.

MUFG also points to unusually low river levels across the Rhine, Danube, Loire and Po. That is not merely a transport problem. Lower waterways can disrupt industry, food production and power generation at the same time.

“If the refilling period continues to disappoint ahead of winter, a more severe terms of trade hit is likely,” MUFG warned.

Near and Medium-Term EUR/USD Outlook: ING Still Sees 1.18

ING is cautious about the immediate upside too, although its medium-term conclusion is notably more bullish.

“Yesterday’s EUR/USD rally stalled shortly above 1.16, and investors will be reluctant to push it much higher given energy price developments,” ING’s Chris Turner said.

ING also thinks the Dollar is “not quite ready to make a sustained break lower just yet”, with higher energy prices and long-dated US Treasury yields offering support. It expects DXY to remain broadly inside 99.40-100.00 in the near term.

Still, the bank keeps EUR/USD at 1.17 for end-September and 1.18 for year-end, based on its view that the Fed does not raise rates.

EUR/USD forecast outlook
Image: EUR/USD forecast outlook

The wider bank consensus also leans higher, with the median path reaching around 1.18 by Q2 2027, although the full forecast range stretches from roughly 1.10 to 1.21.

So there are really two EUR/USD stories here.

ING still sees a route higher once Fed tightening risk fades.

MUFG is warning that the Euro may already have run ahead of the near-term fundamentals, especially if Europe’s energy bill starts climbing again.

For the immediate trade, 1.1630 looks like the line that matters.

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19 08, 2026

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Bounces To $4,370, But Upside Momentum Is Fading

By |2026-08-19T20:18:20+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments







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19 08, 2026

The GBPJPY loses the bullish momentum– Forecast today – 19-8-2026

By |2026-08-19T16:26:57+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

 

 

The GBPJPY pair ended the last bullish rally by providing a new close below the barrier at 216.35, affected by stochastic exit from the overbought level and forming some corrective waves, to settle near 215.65.

 

Note that the neediness of the positive momentum might force it to provide more corrective attempts, forcing it to suffer some losses by reaching 214.85 reaching 214.15 level, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will open the way for recording extra gains that might extend in the initial period at 216.85 and 217.55.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 215.10 and 216.35

 

Trend forecast: Bearish



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19 08, 2026

The AUDCAD is fluctuating above the support– Forecast today – 19-8-2026

By |2026-08-19T16:17:25+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


 

 

The AUDCAD provided several mixed trading, holding above the support at 0.9735, forming a confirmation key for the previously suggested bullish scenario, providing bullish momentum by the main indicators makes us begin forming bullish momentum to reach 0.9895 obstacle and surpassing it will confirm its readiness to record extra gains that might begin at 0.9940 reaching the psychological barrier at 1.0000.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 0.9785 and 0.9890

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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19 08, 2026

The EURJPY takes a breather – Forecast today – 19-8-2026

By |2026-08-19T12:26:10+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

 

The EURJPY pair kept its fluctuation since yesterday below the barrier at 184.90, forcing it to form some corrective trading by holding near 184.55, note that the bullish scenario will remain valid, depending on the stability above 183.15 level, however, the contradiction of the main indicators might force the price to form more corrective trading, which might target 184.15 and 183.75 level.

 

The price success in gaining bullish momentum and surpassing 184.90 level will reinforce the chances of resuming the bullish trend, reminding you that the extra targets are located near 185.45 and 185.95 level.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 184.25 and 185.00

 

Trend forecast: Fluctuating



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19 08, 2026

Platinum price approaches the initial target– Forecast today – 19-8-2026

By |2026-08-19T12:16:49+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Platinum price formed some bearish waves yesterday, affected by the stability of the negative trading at $1785.00 besides providing negative momentum by the main indicators, approaching the initial negative target at $1685.00.

 

The continuation of facing the negative pressure will force it to resume the negative attempts, to expect targeting $1660.00 and $1642.00 level.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $1660.00 and $1740.00

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 





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19 08, 2026

British Pound Forecast: GBP/USD Presured by Weak UK Jobs Data, US-Iran Tensions

By |2026-08-19T08:24:21+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


– Written by

The Pound US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate moved modestly lower on Tuesday as renewed uncertainty in the Middle East encouraged investors to seek the safety of the US Dollar.

At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading at around $1.3527, slightly below Tuesday’s opening levels.

The US Dollar (USD) strengthened on Tuesday, building on the recovery it began late on Monday as worsening geopolitical sentiment prompted investors to favour traditional safe-haven assets.

The latest source of concern was the expiry of the 60-day US-Iran Memorandum of Understanding without either a permanent peace agreement or an extension being secured, while the Strait of Hormuz remained closed.

With uncertainty surrounding the future of energy shipments through the region mounting, Brent crude prices climbed back above $90 a barrel during Tuesday’s session.

Tensions were further heightened after US President Donald Trump threatened military action against Oman should it obstruct negotiations with Iran, with the Gulf nation involved in separate efforts to facilitate the reopening of the strategically important waterway.

The Pound (GBP) came under additional pressure on Tuesday after the latest UK employment figures pointed to a loss of momentum across the labour market.

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Office for National Statistics (ONS) data showed the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.9% in the three months to June, falling short of expectations for a decline to 4.8%. Employment growth also slowed sharply towards the end of the second quarter.

The accompanying figures revealed that real wage growth had eased as well, adding to the pressure on Sterling as investors scaled back expectations that the Bank of England (BoE) will raise interest rates later this year.

Near-Term GBP/USD Forecast: UK Inflation and Fed Minutes in Focus

Looking ahead, the publication of the UK’s latest consumer price index on Wednesday will provide the next major catalyst for the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate.

Later in the session, USD investors will turn their attention to the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s July policy meeting.

Although new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has moved away from offering detailed forward guidance, markets are likely to scrutinise the minutes for indications of how policymakers view the outlook for interest rates over the coming months.

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19 08, 2026

Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD Consolidates As Bullish Momentum Fades

By |2026-08-19T08:15:24+03:00August 19, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments







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