15
08, 2026
15
08, 2026
U.S. Dollar Pulls Back As Retail Sales Drop: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY
USD/JPY rebounded from session lows and moved back towards the key 159.50 level. Treasury yields are moving higher despite weak Retail Sales data, providing additional support to USD/JPY. The yield of 2-year Treasuries climbed above the 4.15% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled above 4.69%. Treasury yields moved higher as bond traders focused on rising oil prices.
If USD/JPY manages to settle above the resistance level at 159.50 – 160.00, it will head towards the next resistance at 161.50 – 162.00. It remains to be seen whether BoJ is ready to intervene in case USD/JPY climbs above the psychologically important 160.00 level.
15
08, 2026
The GBPJPY is fluctuating below the barrier– Forecast today – 14-8-2026
The GBPJPY pair didn’t change anything since yesterday, to notice forming weak sideways moves by its stability near 215.10, affected by the stability of 215.50 barrier, which obstructs the chances of resuming the previously suggested bullish trend.
We recommend waiting for achieving the breach to confirm the chances of reaching the extra positive stations, which might begin at 216.35 and 216.85, while the failure of breaching it might force the price to activate the corrective attempts again, which forces it to suffer some losses by reaching 214.00 followed by 213.50 support.
The expected trading range for today is between 214.55 and 216.35
Trend forecast: Bullish
15
08, 2026
Market Forecast – Calm US Yields Lift EUR/USD and Set Up DAX Catch-Up Trade
The US 10-year yield is basically just treading water above the 4.60 level, an area that has been supportive for yields for a while now. And the 50-day EMA sits just below there as well, so I’m looking at this as neutral today, until something happens, of course. There are major headline risks going into the weekend, so that could come into play as well as far as how people behave.
15
08, 2026
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Holds Above $4,380, Technicals Point to Further Upside | Forex News Technical Analysis
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Holds Above $4,380, Technicals Point to Further Upside
Gold (XAU/USD) is trading at two-month highs above $4,380 per ounce as of [current date], supported by a combination of technical momentum and persistent safe-haven demand. The precious metal has held its ground despite a firmer US dollar, signaling that buyers remain in control in the near term.
Why is Gold Trading at Two-Month Highs?
The recent rally in gold prices comes amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and expectations that major central banks may ease monetary policy later this year. While the US dollar has shown resilience, gold has decoupled from its usual inverse correlation, reflecting strong physical buying and investor interest in safe-haven assets. Market participants are also monitoring inflation data and Federal Reserve commentary for further direction.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
From a technical perspective, gold’s break above the $4,350–$4,380 resistance zone has opened the door for further upside. The next major resistance level is seen near $4,420, followed by the psychological $4,500 mark. On the downside, immediate support lies at $4,350, with stronger support at $4,300. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is approaching overbought territory, suggesting that a short-term consolidation could occur before the next leg higher. However, the overall trend remains bullish as long as prices stay above the 50-day moving average.
What This Means for Investors
For investors, the current gold price action highlights the metal’s role as a portfolio diversifier and hedge against uncertainty. The sustained strength above $4,380 suggests that market participants are willing to pay a premium for safety, which could persist if economic data remains mixed. However, a sudden shift in Fed policy or a resolution of geopolitical tensions could trigger profit-taking, so traders should remain cautious.
Conclusion
Gold’s ability to hold above $4,380 reflects a constructive technical setup and ongoing safe-haven demand. While the short-term bias is bullish, traders should watch for potential resistance near $4,420 and a possible pullback if momentum stalls. As always, staying informed on macroeconomic developments is crucial for navigating the precious metals market.
FAQs
Q1: What is the current gold price forecast?
The short-term forecast is bullish as long as XAU/USD holds above $4,380, with potential upside toward $4,420 and $4,500.
Q2: Why is gold price rising?
Gold is rising due to safe-haven demand, geopolitical uncertainties, and expectations of potential central bank rate cuts.
Q3: What are the key support and resistance levels for gold?
Immediate support is at $4,350, with stronger support at $4,300. Resistance is seen at $4,420 and then $4,500.
This post Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD Holds Above $4,380, Technicals Point to Further Upside first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
15
08, 2026
The EURJPY repeats the positive closes– Forecast today – 14-8-2026
The EURJPY pair repeatedly provided weak sideways trading by its fluctuation near 183.80 level; however, it will not affect the previously suggested bullish scenario, due to stability above the support level at 183.15 besides stochastic attempt to provide bullish momentum, which settles within the overbought levels.
Which makes us keep the bullish scenario, which might target 184.35 level that represents the initial station, and surpassing this obstacle will extend the trading towards 184.80 reaching the main target at 185.45.
The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.80
Trend forecast: Bullish
15
08, 2026
14
08, 2026
EUR/JPY Price Forecast: Falls to near 183.50 near nine-day EMA
- EUR/JPY finds immediate support at its nine-day EMA of 183.49.
- The 14-day Relative Strength Index at 47.11 signals neutral-to-soft momentum.
- The Primary resistance sits at the 50-day EMA at 184.51.
EUR/JPY extends its losses for the third successive day, trading around 183.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47.11 reinforces a neutral-to-soft momentum backdrop rather than a decisive directional push.
The EUR/JPY cross is retaining a mildly bearish near-term bias as it holds below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) while trading just above the nine-day EMA. This split in moving averages suggests the currency cross is capped by medium-term trend resistance despite nearby short-term support.
TMGM Analysis: Financial Market News, Economic Calendar & Market Insights
The EUR/JPY cross faces immediate support at its nine-day Exponential Moving Average of 183.49. A decisive break below this short-term indicator would strengthen the prevailing bearish bias, potentially pressing the currency cross down toward its eight-month low of 179.37, recorded on August 3. If downward momentum continues, the next key technical target lies at the nine-month low of 175.70.
A turn to the upside would see EUR/JPY cross head toward primary resistance at its 50-day EMA near 184.51. Clearing this medium-term hurdle could signal a broader bullish resurgence, opening the path for the pair to retest the area surrounding its all-time peak of 187.95 set on April 17.
Analysts at Scotiabank note that, while “there have been no comments from FinMin Katayama or ViceMin Mimuri,” local media coverage is increasingly “highlighting the potential for tension between US officials and Japan’s government as the US pushes for BoJ tightening.”
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool. Know more.)
Euro Price Today
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the Japanese Yen.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.08% | 0.03% | 0.17% | 0.46% | 0.03% | |
| EUR | 0.00% | 0.00% | -0.06% | 0.00% | 0.17% | 0.44% | 0.03% | |
| GBP | 0.00% | -0.01% | -0.06% | 0.00% | 0.19% | 0.44% | 0.01% | |
| JPY | 0.08% | 0.06% | 0.06% | 0.09% | 0.24% | 0.48% | 0.08% | |
| CAD | -0.03% | -0.00% | -0.01% | -0.09% | 0.15% | 0.42% | -0.01% | |
| AUD | -0.17% | -0.17% | -0.19% | -0.24% | -0.15% | 0.28% | -0.15% | |
| NZD | -0.46% | -0.44% | -0.44% | -0.48% | -0.42% | -0.28% | -0.39% | |
| CHF | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.01% | -0.08% | 0.00% | 0.15% | 0.39% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
14
08, 2026
Gold (XAUUSD), Silver, Platinum Forecasts – Gold Pulls Back As Traders Take Profits Despite Falling Treasury Yields
The reports showed that inflationary pressure was slowing down. As a result, bond traders rushed to buy Treasuries, pushing their yields lower. The yield of 2-year Treasuries declined towards the 4.15% level, while the yield of 10-year Treasuries settled below 4.65%.
Typically, falling Treasury yields provide support to gold that pays no interest. Today, traders preferred to use the encouraging Producer Prices report as an opportunity to take some money off the table.
U.S. dollar moved lower against a broad basket of currencies as traders focused on falling Treasury yields. Weaker dollar did not provide any support to gold markets in today’s trading session.
In case gold settles back below the $4350 level, it will move towards the $4300 level. If gold declines below $4300, it will head towards the support at $4180 – $4200.
On the upside, gold needs to settle back above the resistance at $4360 – $4380 to have a chance to gain upside momentum in the near term. In this case, gold will move towards the next resistance level at $4480 – $4500.
Silver Attempts To Settle Below The $65.00 Level
14
08, 2026
GBP/USD: Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for 14.08.26 – 21.08.26
The article covers the following subjects:
Major Takeaways
- Main scenario: Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3390 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140. A buy signal: the price holds above 1.3390. Stop Loss: below 1.3345, Take Profit: 1.3870–1.4140.
- Alternative scenario: Breakout and consolidation below the level of 1.3390 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3140–1.2936. A sell signal: the level of 1.3390 is broken to the downside. Stop Loss: above 1.3435, Take Profit: 1.3140–1.2936.
Main scenario
Consider long positions from corrections above 1.3390 with a target of 1.3870–1.4140.
Alternative scenario
Breakout and consolidation below 1.3390 will allow the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3140–1.2936.
Analysis
On the weekly time frame, an ascending wave of larger degree (A) of B is developing. Within it, wave 1 of (A) has formed, a downward correction 2 of (A) has been completed, and wave 3 of (А) is unfolding. Apparently, the third wave iii of 3 is developing on the daily time frame, within which a local correction (ii) of iii has formed. Wave (iii) of iii is developing on the H4 chart, with wave iii of (iii) still forming as its part. If the presumption is correct, GBP/USD will continue to rise to 1.3870–1.4140. The level of 1.3390 is critical in this scenario as a breakout below it will enable the pair to continue declining to the levels of 1.3140–1.2936.
This forecast is based on the Elliott Wave Theory. When developing trading strategies, it is essential to consider fundamental factors, as the market situation can change at any time.
Price chart of GBPUSD in real time mode
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