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13 11, 2026

Technical Analysis of US Crude, XAUUSD and EURUSD for Today (November 12, 2026)

By |2026-11-13T00:46:17+02:00November 13, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Welcome, my fellow traders! I have prepared a price forecast for USCrude, XAUUSD, and EURUSD using a combination of the margin zones method and technical analysis. Based on the market analysis, I suggest entry signals for intraday traders.

The euro extended its short-term downtrend yesterday.

The article covers the following subjects:

Major Takeaways

  • USCrude: Yesterday, the oil price fell, reaching the first sell target around 85.49.
  • XAUUSD: Gold is testing the key support of the short-term uptrend at 3,996–3,981.
  • EURUSD: The euro has reached the second sell target around 1.1115.

Oil Price Forecast for Today: USCrude Analysis

Yesterday, the oil price tested the resistance zone A at 87.91–87.46 within the upward correction. However, sellers held this zone, and the price declined, reaching the first target around 85.49. Therefore, traders could close some of their positions and move the remainder to the breakeven point. The second sell target is the November 10 low of 83.03.

If the oil price breaks above the resistance A, the correction will continue toward resistance B at 90.34–89.68.

USCrude Trading Ideas for Today:

Hold part of the short trades opened near resistance A at 87.91–87.46. TakeProfit: 83.03. StopLoss: at breakeven.


Gold Forecast for Today: XAUUSD Analysis

Yesterday, gold prices continued to correct lower, breaking through the support zone A at 4,047–4,036. Then, the metal reached support B at 3,996–3,981. This zone is the boundary of the short-term uptrend. Thus, one may consider long trades near this support zone once a bullish pattern forms. The first upside target will be 4,064, and the second one will be the November 9 high of 4,148.

If the price pierces and settles below the support B during the US trading session, the uptrend may reverse. In this scenario, consider short trades starting from the next trading day, targeting the lower Target Zone of 3,844–3,813.

XAUUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Watch the market.


Euro/Dollar Forecast for Today: EURUSD Analysis

Yesterday, the euro continued its short-term downtrend, reaching the second sell target around 1.1115. The price also broke through the Target Zone of 1.1123–1.1106. The next sell target is the Gold Zone of 1.1039–1.1031.

New short trades may be considered on a correction once the price tests resistance A at 1.1158–1.1150 or resistance B at 1.1205–1.1192. The primary target will be today’s low. If the asset falls even lower, the resistance zone should be adjusted.

EURUSD Trading Ideas for Today:

Sell near resistance A at 1.1158–1.1150. TakeProfit: 1.1112, 1.1066. StopLoss: 1.1178.


Would you like to learn more about technical analysis methods and principles? Explore our comprehensive guide.


P.S. Did you like my article? Share it in social networks: it will be the best “thank you” 🙂

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Price chart of EURUSD in real time mode

The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.


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12 11, 2026

U.S. Dollar Tests Yearly Highs As Traders Focus On Hawkish Fed Policy Outlook: Analysis For EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD, USD/JPY

By |2026-11-12T20:57:47+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Traders also had a chance to take a look at the Existing Home Sales report for October. The report indicated that Existing Home Sales decreased by -5.5% month-over-month, compared to analyst consensus of +0.3%.

Currently, U.S. Dollar Index is trying to setlte above the resistance level at 103.15 – 103.30. In case this attempt is successful, U.S. Dollar Index will head towards the next resistance level, which is located in the 104.60 – 104.75 range.

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12 11, 2026

Forecast update for EURUSD -12-11-2026

By |2026-11-12T20:44:44+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


 

The EURUSD pair surged higher in its recent intraday trading, as positive signals began to emerge from the relative strength indicators after reaching deeply oversold levels. This has allowed the pair to recover some of its previous losses while attempting to unwind these oversold conditions. However, the short-term main bearish trend remains dominant, with continued negative pressure stemming from trading below EMA50, reducing the chances of a full recovery in the near term.

 

 





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12 11, 2026

Euro To Yen Forecast: EUR Could Buy 186 JPY By December, Says BNP Paribas

By |2026-11-12T16:57:18+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/JPY Forecast: BNP Sees Euro Gains Even as Japan Closes Interest Rate Gap

BNP Paribas expects the dollar to buy ¥163 at each quarter-end in 2027, leaving the euro’s six-cent rise against the dollar to carry it towards ¥196.

The euro to yen exchange rate slipped 0.12% to ¥177.01 on Thursday afternoon, leaving the single currency nearly nine yen short of BNP Paribas’s forecast for this December.

Latest-Exchange Rates:

Dollar to Yen (USD/JPY): 159.73726 (0.00%)
Euro to Dollar (EUR/USD): 1.108333 (-0.10%)

Pound to Dollar (GBP/USD): 1.326144 (-0.11%)

The bank expects one euro to buy ¥186 at the end of this year and again next March, then ¥189 in June, ¥192 in September and ¥196 in December 2027.

BNP puts the dollar at ¥163 this December and at every quarter-end in 2027.

Where the extra ten yen come from

BNP’s economists wrote on Monday, “We expect Fed hikes to temporarily offset structural headwinds and support the dollar. EUR/USD would target 1.14 by end-2026, before the dollar’s structural downtrend resumes toward 1.20 by end-2027, although political and fiscal risk may weigh on the euro next year.”

At $1.14 per euro and ¥163 per dollar, a euro buys ¥185.82, which rounds to BNP’s ¥186 forecast for December and March.

Its $1.20 euro forecast for next December works out at ¥195.60 at the same dollar-yen rate.

The rise from ¥186 to ¥196 therefore comes entirely from those six US cents in BNP’s forecasts.

BNP also expects stronger demand in the eurozone, where it puts this year’s growth at 1.1%.

“Growth is expected to strengthen to 1.6% in 2027, bolstered by increased spending on defence and infrastructure, as well as the global investment cycle in AI,” its economists wrote.

Why higher Japanese rates can coexist with a weaker yen

The European Central Bank left its deposit rate at 2.50% in October.

BNP’s economists wrote, “Given persistent inflation and resilient growth, we anticipate another 25bp hike from the ECB in December 2026, bringing the deposit rate to 2.75%, followed by an extended pause. That said, stronger than expected second-round effects could lead to more tightening than our current baseline.”

For Japan, BNP expects growth to slow to 1.0% this year.

“Higher inflation and production costs associated with the energy shock are expected to weigh on the economy’s overall performance. On the other hand, the latter is supported by fiscal policy and AI-related investment,” its economists wrote.

Japan’s policy rate stands at 1.25%, its highest since 1995.

BNP puts it at 1.50% this December, 1.75% in March and 2.00% at the end of 2027.

“We expect two more hikes by the end of Q1 2027, followed by a return to a more cautious pace until the terminal rate of +2.5% is reached in H2 2028,” the bank wrote.

Eurozone rates would still exceed Japanese rates at the end of next year, but the gap would have narrowed to three-quarters of a percentage point from 1.25 points today.

On the yen’s prospects against the dollar, BNP wrote, “The USD/JPY appreciation would continue but at a more moderate pace, with the BoJ still behind the curve despite its hikes.”

The Bank of Japan reported on Thursday that October import prices rose 19.2% from a year earlier in the currencies suppliers charged, and 24.8% when expressed in yen.

Would Tokyo let the dollar settle at ¥163?

The dollar came within a fraction of ¥160 overnight.

On Thursday, Japan’s senior currency official Atsushi Mimura warned about the speed of recent moves and reminded traders of the summer’s intervention.

The finance ministry’s figures show Japan bought ¥15.4 trillion against the dollar over three days between 30 July and 3 August.

Citi’s Osamu Takashima and colleagues considered what would happen if a recovery in shares put further pressure on the yen.

They wrote, “On the other hand, if US and Japanese equities recover and the USDJPY reaches around ¥160/$, we expect the Japanese government to intervene to buy the JPY again.”

What this means for the near-term EUR/JPY

If the euro reaches BNP’s $1.20 but the dollar buys ¥160 next December, a euro would fetch ¥192, four yen below the bank’s published forecast.

At ¥160 per dollar, the euro would need to reach $1.225 to buy ¥196.

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12 11, 2026

The EURJPY price holds above additional support – Forecast today – 12-11-2026

By |2026-11-12T16:44:11+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


 

The pair has recently lacked positive momentum, its repeated stability above the additional support level at 176.15 supports the chances of renewed bullish corrective attempts, with the price holding near 177.00.

 

The Stochastic indicator’s attempt to move above the 50 level would facilitate the accumulation of positive momentum in the current period. Accordingly, we maintain our expectations for an attempt to reach the resistance barrier at 178.10. A break above this level would increase the chances of further gains, potentially extending toward 178.80 and 179.40.

 

 

The expected trading range for today is between 176.40 and 178.10.

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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12 11, 2026

US Dollar Price Forecast: DXY Eyes 103.15 at 19-Month High as EUR/USD, GBP/USD Slide

By |2026-11-12T12:55:34+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

Dollar Index Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

The US Dollar Index is trading near 103.04 on the 4-hour chart after breaking above the 102.83 zone, the pivot point, a level calculated from the previous period’s high, low and close that traders use to judge direction. That zone capped the index in mid-October. A rising trendline, a line connecting higher lows since early November, supports the move, and both moving averages, which track average prices over time, are below price.

Resistance, where sellers may return, is 103.15, then 103.46. Support, where buyers may step in, is 102.83, then 102.53. RSI, a 0 to 100 gauge of buying and selling strength, is near 75, which is overbought, meaning prices rose very fast, so a pause would not surprise me. I stay bullish while DXY holds 102.83. A close above 103.15 would open 103.46.

EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Euro Breaks Below 1.1098 as 1.1056 Comes Into Focus

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12 11, 2026

Natural gas price approaches first target – Forecast today – 12-11-2026

By |2026-11-12T12:42:38+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural gas price formed a new bullish surge during yesterday’s trading, approaching the first additional target at $3.420, before pulling back to retest the EMA55 as it slipped toward $3.250.

 

We expect the additional support level at $3.100, combined with the Stochastic indicator’s attempt to generate positive momentum, to help the price renew its bullish attempts. Accordingly, we maintain our expectations for an attempt to reach $3.500 and $3.620 in the near term.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $3.200 and $3.500

 

Trend forecast: Bullish





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12 11, 2026

The EURJPY price needs fresh momentum – Forecast today – 12-11-2026

By |2026-11-12T08:54:50+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments

 

 

The pair maintained its stability above the additional support level at 176.15, forming some bullish attempts that pushed it toward 177.25. However, it remains below the resistance barrier at 178.10 due to the ongoing conflict between the main technical indicators in recent sessions.

 

We emphasize the importance of gathering additional positive momentum to strengthen the pair’s chances of breaking above 178.10. This would pave the way for further gains toward 178.70 and 179.40. However, failure to achieve this breakout would force the pair into mixed trading, with the possibility of declining once again toward the main support level at 174.95.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 176.40 and 178.10.

 

Trend forecast: Bullish



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12 11, 2026

Coffee prices today, November 12th: Continuing their downward trend, Arabica coffee hits a near 5-month low.

By |2026-11-12T08:41:32+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


On the London exchange, robusta coffee futures for November 2026 delivery fell by $5/ton (-0.15%) to $3,260/ton; robusta coffee futures for January 2026 delivery also fell by $5/ton (-0.15%) to $3,245/ton; March 2027 delivery saw a slight decrease of $1/ton (-0.03%) to $3,220/ton; and other contracts saw price decreases of $2-3/ton.

Similarly, on the New York exchange, the price of Arabica coffee for December 2026 delivery fell by 2.4 US cents/pound (-0.88%) to 269 US cents/pound; the price for March 2026 delivery fell by 1.25 US cents/pound (-0.47%) to 264.65 US cents/pound; and the May 2026 delivery price decreased by 1.15 US cents/pound (-0.44%) to 260.45 US cents/pound. Prices for other contracts fell by 1.05-1.25 US cents/pound.

Coffee prices continued their three-week decline as arabica hit a 4.75-month low. The pressure stemmed primarily from expectations of increased coffee exports from Brazil , especially after ICE reported on Wednesday, November 11th, that 113,038 bags of Brazilian coffee were awaiting inspection at ICE warehouses – the highest level in eight months.

Coffee from Brazil has been arriving at warehouses at a rapid pace since mid-September, causing Brazilian coffee inventories at ICE warehouses to rise to their highest level in 14.25 months, reaching 112,682 bags on Wednesday, November 11.

Strong coffee exports from Brazil are also putting pressure on prices, after the Brazilian Ministry of Trade announced last Friday that the country’s coffee exports in October increased 23% year-on-year to 287,000 tons.

Coffee prices remained under pressure after the Brazilian real fell to its lowest level in 15 months against the US dollar on Tuesday. 10/11 .

A weaker real encourages exporters to sell more coffee, as they can earn higher USD prices from sales transactions.

Opposite to with robusta, the percentage is reduced. Prices were limited after the Indian Coffee Board last Wednesday lowered its forecast for the country’s coffee production in the 2026/27 season to 380,000 tonnes, a 5% decrease from its previous forecast of 400,000 tonnes, citing lower-than-normal monsoon rainfall. India is the world’s fifth-largest producer of robusta coffee.

Lien Regarding ICE inventory developments, ICE’s arabica inventory fell to its lowest level in 27 years, to 217,646 bags on September 15th, but edged up to 250,241 bags on Wednesday, November 11th. Although Brazilian coffee continues to arrive at ICE warehouses, this quantity has yet to appear in significant volumes in ICE-certified inventory figures.

Meanwhile, ICE robusta inventories have surged since the beginning of October, reaching a 1.25-year high of 6,809 lots on October 29, before declining slightly to 6,633 lots on Wednesday, November 11.



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12 11, 2026

Fuel prices today, November 12, 2026: Brent crude rises, what will gasoline prices be like this afternoon?

By |2026-11-12T04:40:38+02:00November 12, 2026|Forex News, News|0 Comments


The global oil market entered the new trading session with mixed results after days of significant volatility. Brent crude prices rebounded, while WTI remained almost unchanged from the previous day’s benchmark. In Vietnam, retail gasoline and diesel prices on the morning of November 12th remained at the levels announced on November 5th, prior to the scheduled price adjustment that afternoon.

Illustration.

World oil prices today, November 12, 2026: Brent rises, WTI remains almost unchanged.

According to reference data from the morning of November 12th, WTI crude oil prices were recorded at $86.42 per barrel, a slight decrease of $0.02 per barrel compared to $86.44 per barrel on November 11th. This decrease, equivalent to approximately 0.02%, indicates that WTI oil prices remained almost unchanged between the two monitoring periods.

Meanwhile, Brent crude oil prices rose from $92 per barrel to $92.66 per barrel, an increase of $0.66 per barrel, or approximately 0.72%.

Comparison table of world oil prices on November 12, 2026:

Type of oil November 11th November 12th Change
WTI oil 86.44 86.42 -0.02
Brent crude oil 92.00 92.66 +0.66

Unit: USD/barrel. Data is based on the provided reference points, not the closing price of the trading session.

Notably, the WTI oil price range recorded on November 12th was between $85.83 and $88.71 per barrel, compared to approximately $83.89 to $86.92 per barrel on November 11th.

For Brent crude, the range offered on November 12th was $92.53 – $92.66 per barrel, higher than the previous range of approximately $92 – $92.10 per barrel.

Type of oil Range on November 11th Range on November 12th
WTI 83.89 – 86.92 85.83 – 88.71
Brent 92.00 – 92.10 92.53 – 92.66

Unit: USD/barrel. The price range on November 12th is data recorded up to the time of update, not the complete range for the entire day.

Thus, after the sharp decline at the beginning of the week, the oil market is showing signs of recovery, but it is not yet truly uniform. Brent crude has risen again, while WTI has not seen significant changes at the two benchmarks.

The price difference between Brent and WTI on November 12th was $6.24 per barrel, an increase from the $5.56 per barrel difference of the previous day.

This development indicates that the market is still in a correction phase after several sessions with large price swings. Oil prices continue to be affected by the outlook for energy supply and demand, international trading activity, and changes in investor expectations.

For the Vietnamese market, fluctuations in crude oil prices are noteworthy information, but it is not yet possible to determine the trend of retail gasoline and diesel price adjustments based solely on the increase or decrease in a single trading session.

Domestic fuel prices today, November 12, 2026

Domestically, gasoline and diesel prices on the morning of November 12th continued to apply the price list announced by Petrolimex from 3 PM on November 5th, 2026.

Accordingly, E5 RON 92-II gasoline in Zone 1 is priced at 20,890 VND/liter. E10 RON 95-III gasoline is listed at 21,150 VND/liter, while E10 RON 95-V gasoline is priced at 22,650 VND/liter.

Petrolimex fuel price list before the adjustment on the afternoon of November 12th:

Product Region 1 Region 2
E10 RON 95-V gasoline 22,650 23,100
E10 RON 95-III gasoline 21,150 21,570
E5 RON 92-II gasoline 20,890 21,300
DO oil 0.001SV 30,090 30,690
DO 0.05S-II oil 28,690 29,260
2-K kerosene 28,600 29,170

Unit: VND/liter. Prices are effective from 3 PM on November 5, 2026 and will apply until the next adjustment period.

In the most recent price adjustment, domestic gasoline and diesel prices have decreased significantly. Specifically, E5 RON 92-II gasoline at Petrolimex Zone 1 decreased by 2,310 VND/liter, while E10 RON 95-III gasoline decreased by 2,080 VND/liter.

Diesel fuel prices saw smaller reductions, both decreasing by 180 VND/liter for DO 0.001SV and DO 0.05S-II in Zone 1.

Comparison table of Petrolimex prices in Region 1 with the previous period:

Item Previous price Current price Change
E10 RON 95-V 24,230 22,650 -1,580
E10 RON 95-III 23,230 21,150 -2,080
E5 RON 92-II 23,200 20,890 -2.310
DO 0.001SV 30,270 30,090 -180
DO 0.05S-II 28,870 28,690 -180
2-K kerosene 29,010 28,600 -410

Unit: VND/liter.

The price reduction on November 5th brought the overall price level of gasoline down significantly compared to the previous period, contributing to lower fuel costs for vehicle users and production and transportation activities.

However, diesel prices remain higher than those of E5 RON 92-II and E10 RON 95-III gasoline. This continues to make fuel costs a major concern for many transportation and manufacturing businesses.

For Zone 2, the selling price is applied according to regulations for areas far from ports, main depots, or petroleum production facilities. The actual price is determined by the enterprise but must not exceed the Zone 2 price already announced.

Fuel price forecast for the afternoon of November 12, 2026: Will there be further decreases after the previous period?

According to the regular price adjustment schedule, domestic gasoline and diesel prices are expected to be adjusted at 3 PM on Thursday, November 12, 2026.

Prior to the announcement of new prices, the global market is showing mixed signals. Brent crude rose slightly following this morning’s update, while WTI remained almost unchanged. However, the price level of both types of oil is still lower than at the beginning of the week.

This development could provide further support for domestic fuel prices, but it is not yet sufficient grounds to confirm that gasoline and diesel will continue to fall.

In fact, retail gasoline and diesel prices in Vietnam are determined based on world refined product prices during the pricing period, along with factors related to exchange rates, taxes, business costs, and the price stabilization mechanism as stipulated by regulations.

If the average international refined petroleum prices continue to decline during the period, the possibility of retail price reductions may be supported. Conversely, if refined product prices recover, the reduction may narrow, or some items may even increase again.

In particular, gasoline and diesel prices do not necessarily fluctuate in the same direction because the supply and demand dynamics of each product differ.

Based on the available data, there is insufficient basis to make accurate predictions about the increase or decrease in the price of each item during the price adjustment on the afternoon of November 12th.

Following the significant price drop on November 5th, the market is waiting to see whether the prices of E5 RON 92-II and E10 RON 95 gasoline will continue to fall or remain stable.

As of 3 PM today, Petrolimex’s price list effective from November 5th remains the current price. The new retail price will be determined after the regulatory authority announces the official decision.

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