Category: Forex News, News
Commodity Price Forecast: Energy price forecasts revised higher
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A recent assessment by the World Bank Group identified the Oxford Economics Model as a superior tool for forecasting commodity prices.
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Overall, we are slightly more bullish on commodity prices across the forecast horizon as we expect higher metal prices than the consensus.
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More frequent adverse supply shocks mean eurozone inflation is likely to be more volatile and possibly higher on average in the future. Food prices are a key channel through which these global shocks will be transmitted, according to our analysis. We provide a quantitative assessment of the impact of a wide range of supply shocks on eurozone inflation.
| Jul 15, 2024
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Evaluating Oxford Economics commodities forecasts against market consensus – Q2 2024

Eurozone: Why food prices are a channel for more frequent supply shocks
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