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1 06, 2025

XAG/USD plummets below $33.00 as Dollar rebounds, weekly losses near 2%

By |2025-06-01T11:18:24+03:00June 1, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


  • Silver poised to end week down over 1.80% as strong Dollar pressures metals.
  • Bearish harami pattern and soft RSI suggest downside bias could accelerate.
  • Key support lies at $32.70 and 50-day SMA; upside capped by $33.69 and $34.00.

Silver price turned negative on Friday during the North American session, poised to end the week with losses of over 1.80% as the dollar staged a recovery during the day. XAG/USD trades at $32.87, down 1.29%.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

Silver price trade subdued but formed a ‘bearish harami’ candle chart pattern with bearish implications. Momentum appears to be shifting in favor of sellers, as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has reached a lower trough at RSI’s neutral line, which, if cleared, could signal that the grey metal is poised for a leg lower.

If XAG/USD remains below $33.00, the next support to breach would be a May 29 swing low of $32.70. In that outcome, the next test would be the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $32.68, followed by a test of the 100-day SMA at $32.11 and the 200-day SMA at $31.40.

However, buyers stepping in and cleared $33.00 look for a leg up towards $33.69, which could pave the way for a challenge of $34. On further strength, XAG/USD’s next resistance level would be the March 26 high at $34.58, followed by $35.00.

XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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31 05, 2025

Natural Gas News: Bearish Forecast Today as Prices Slip Below 200-Day MA

By |2025-05-31T07:02:27+03:00May 31, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Daily Natural Gas

The 200-day MA at $3.537 has now shifted from support to resistance, reinforcing bearish sentiment in the short term. While recapturing this technical level would indicate that selling pressure is easing, there’s no clear sign that buyers are actively defending it. Thursday’s close at $3.52 and Friday’s failure to rebound confirm that the market remains technically fragile, with sellers willing to press on if near-term support fails.

Will Cooler Weather Crush Summer Demand Expectations?

Weather remains a headwind for bulls. Updated forecasts from NatGasWeather and Commodity Weather Group show cooling across the central and eastern U.S. through early June. Highs in the 60s to 70s and widespread thunderstorms will limit early summer cooling demand, especially in key markets like Texas. The West remains hot, but it’s not enough to lift national demand, which is expected to stay light for at least the next seven days.

Does EIA’s Storage Build Reinforce Oversupply Risks?

Thursday’s EIA report confirmed a +101 Bcf injection for the week ended May 23, matching consensus but exceeding the five-year average of +98 Bcf. Storage now sits at 2,476 Bcf—93 Bcf above the five-year average and 316 Bcf below last year’s level. Dry gas production hit 106.2 Bcf/day (+3.7% y/y), while demand reached 69.0 Bcf/day (+4.2% y/y). LNG exports rose slightly, but total electricity output declined 4.4% y/y, highlighting weak power burn demand for gas.

Can LNG and Export Demand Offset Domestic Headwinds?

LNG flows to U.S. export terminals reached 14.4 Bcf/day, up 2.4% week-over-week, providing modest support. But global signals aren’t encouraging either. European gas storage was just 47% full as of May 26, well below the 58% five-year seasonal average. This suggests limited short-term uplift from overseas demand, keeping the U.S. market heavily reliant on domestic consumption and weather shifts.

Market Forecast: Bearish Near-Term Outlook

With technical momentum pointing lower and bearish catalysts stacking up—from subdued weather-driven demand to healthy storage builds—natural gas prices are likely to face continued downside pressure. Unless bulls reclaim the 200-day MA and weather patterns shift hotter, traders should brace for a retest of $3.381 and potentially deeper lows.

More Information in our Economic Calendar.



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30 05, 2025

Natural Gas Price Analysis – Natural Gas Continues to Trade in Range

By |2025-05-30T22:58:00+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


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30 05, 2025

XAG/USD strives to hold $33 amid renewed Sino-US trade worries

By |2025-05-30T18:56:08+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


  • Silver price looks for a temporary support after sliding almost 1% to near $33.00 as trade tensions between the US and China have renewed.
  • Trump accused China for non-compliance of trade agreement.
  • The US PCE inflation cools down in April.

Silver price (XAG/USD) is down almost 1% near the key level of $33.00 during North American trading house on Friday. However, the white metal strives to gain ground as renewed trade tensions between the United States (US) and China are limited the upside in the US Dollar (USD).

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, struggles to extend its early recovery move above the immediate resistance of 99.70.

Historically, global economic tensions improve demand for safe-haven assets, such as Silver. However, it is struggling to find bids as higher US Dollar makes investment in Silver price an expensive bet for investors.

During North American session, US President Donald Trump accused Beijing for non-compliance on the trade agreement in a post on Truth.Social. “The bad news is that China, perhaps not surprisingly to some, has totally violated its agreement with us,” Trump wrote.

Meanwhile, soft US Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE) data for April has weighed some pressure on the Silver. The US core PCE inflation, a Federal Reserve’s (Fed) preferred inflation gauge, rose by 2.5% on year, as expected, slower than 2.7% in March. Precious metals underperform in a low-inflation environment.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price ranges between $31.65 and $33.70 from over a month. The near-term trend of the white metal is uncertain as it wobbles around the 20-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades near $32.90.

The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, indicating a sideways trend.

Looking up, the March 28 high of $34.60 will act as key resistance for the metal. On the downside, the April 11 low of $30.90 will be the key support zone.

Silver daily chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.



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30 05, 2025

Pound Sterling sets trading range before next breakout

By |2025-05-30T18:55:02+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • GBP/USD fluctuates in a tight range below 1.3500 on Friday.
  • The near-term technical picture highlights the pair’s indecisiveness.
  • The US economic calendar will feature PCE inflation data for April.

GBP/USD managed to rebound from the multi-day low it set early Thursday and ended the day with small gains. The pair struggles to gather directional momentum early Friday and trades in a narrow band below 1.3500.

British Pound PRICE This week

The table below shows the percentage change of British Pound (GBP) against listed major currencies this week. British Pound was the strongest against the Australian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.37% 0.45% 1.17% 0.62% 1.20% 0.64% 0.39%
EUR -0.37% 0.10% 0.83% 0.26% 0.83% 0.28% 0.04%
GBP -0.45% -0.10% 0.41% 0.16% 0.73% 0.18% -0.04%
JPY -1.17% -0.83% -0.41% -0.54% 0.01% -0.58% -0.78%
CAD -0.62% -0.26% -0.16% 0.54% 0.59% 0.02% -0.21%
AUD -1.20% -0.83% -0.73% -0.01% -0.59% -0.59% -0.77%
NZD -0.64% -0.28% -0.18% 0.58% -0.02% 0.59% -0.23%
CHF -0.39% -0.04% 0.04% 0.78% 0.21% 0.77% 0.23%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the British Pound from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent GBP (base)/USD (quote).

The US Dollar (USD) failed to preserve its strength on Thursday as the Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit decided to reinstate US President Donald Trump’s reciprocal tariffs, which were blocked by the Court of International Trade on Wednesday.

Additionally, the worse-than-expected weekly Initial Jobless Claims data further weighed on the USD, allowing GBP/USD to shake off the bearish pressure.

The US economic calendar will feature the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge of inflation, for April later in the day.

Markets expect the core PCE Price Index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, to rise by 0.1% on a monthly basis in April after remaining unchanged in March. In case the data comes in at 0.3%, or higher, investors could see this as a development that could delay the Federal Reserve’s next rate cut to beyond July. In this scenario, the USD could outperform its rivals and cause GBP/USD to push lower. On the other hand, a negative print in this data could feed into market expectation for a July rate cut and hurt the USD.

According to the CME FedWatch Tool, markets are currently pricing in about a 25% probability of a 25 basis points reduction in the policy rate in July.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) moves sideways slightly below 50 and GBP/USD trades at around the 50-period and the 20-period Simple Moving Averages (SMA) on the 4-hour chart, reflecting a lack of directional momentum.

On the upside, 1.3500 (mid-point of the ascending channel, round level) could be seen as the first resistance level ahead of 1.3600 (end-point of the uptrend).

Looking south, interim support could be seen at 1.3430 (static level) before 1.3380-1.3370, where the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level, the 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the 100-period SMA on the 4-hour chart align. A daily close below this area could attract technical sellers and open the door for another leg lower toward 1.3300 (static level, round level).

Pound Sterling FAQs

The Pound Sterling (GBP) is the oldest currency in the world (886 AD) and the official currency of the United Kingdom. It is the fourth most traded unit for foreign exchange (FX) in the world, accounting for 12% of all transactions, averaging $630 billion a day, according to 2022 data.
Its key trading pairs are GBP/USD, also known as ‘Cable’, which accounts for 11% of FX, GBP/JPY, or the ‘Dragon’ as it is known by traders (3%), and EUR/GBP (2%). The Pound Sterling is issued by the Bank of England (BoE).

The single most important factor influencing the value of the Pound Sterling is monetary policy decided by the Bank of England. The BoE bases its decisions on whether it has achieved its primary goal of “price stability” – a steady inflation rate of around 2%. Its primary tool for achieving this is the adjustment of interest rates.
When inflation is too high, the BoE will try to rein it in by raising interest rates, making it more expensive for people and businesses to access credit. This is generally positive for GBP, as higher interest rates make the UK a more attractive place for global investors to park their money.
When inflation falls too low it is a sign economic growth is slowing. In this scenario, the BoE will consider lowering interest rates to cheapen credit so businesses will borrow more to invest in growth-generating projects.

Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact the value of the Pound Sterling. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, and employment can all influence the direction of the GBP.
A strong economy is good for Sterling. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the BoE to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen GBP. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Pound Sterling is likely to fall.

Another significant data release for the Pound Sterling is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period.
If a country produces highly sought-after exports, its currency will benefit purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.

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30 05, 2025

EUR/USD, USD/JPY and AUD/USD Forecast – US Dollar Recovers in Early Friday Session

By |2025-05-30T16:53:53+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

EUR/USD Technical Analysis

The euro initially tried to rally a bit during the early hours on Friday, only to see the market turn around and fall apart. By doing so, the market looks very much like it is still stuck with consolidation here. And I think we are probably trying to settle into a new range that we are comfortable with. That being said, I also recognize that if we break down below the 1.12 level, that’s a big win for the US dollar. Now, I don’t expect that in the next trading session or two, but the reality is, we have run out of upward momentum and that is something to keep an eye on.

USD/JPY Technical Analysis

The dollar initially fell against the Japanese yen, but it looks like it’s trying to fight back. So, we’ll have to see how things play out. If we can recapture the 145 yen level, I think that would be strong for the U.S. against the Japanese yen. And it’s worth noting that there is an interest rate differential that is quite wide in this market. So, you can take advantage of that while you’re waiting for the uptrend to continue. However, if we break down below the 142 yen level, we could see this market drop down to the 140 yen level. Although right now, I think there’s enough pushback that at best, we’re probably looking at range bound bottoming with an upward tilt.

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30 05, 2025

Forecast update for EURUSD -30-05-2025

By |2025-05-30T14:53:59+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Natural gas price confirmed its surrender to the bearish correctional bias by reaching below the initial support at $3.600, to settle below the moving average 55, hitting the initial negative target by reaching $3.450.

 

The stability of stochastic near 20 level will increase the negative pressure on the trading, which assist to renew the negative attempts that might target levels near $3.320, while the price success to regain the bullish bias requires providing a positive close above the barrier near $3.850.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $3.320 and $3.600

 

Trend forecast: Bearish temporarily





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30 05, 2025

The GBPJPY declines below the barrier– Forecast today – 30-5-2025

By |2025-05-30T14:52:14+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBPJPY pair touched 196.30 level, to face a strong obstacle against the attempts of resuming the bullish attack, which forces it to form a strong bullish rebound, to settle below the extra support at 194.20, announcing its surrender to the bearish correctional bias domination again.

 

The stability below the broken extra support and providing negative momentum by stochastic will increase the chances for suffering extra losses that might extend to 193.10 reaching to 192.45, while regaining the bullish bias requires a positive close above 195.35 level, reinforcing the chances for breaching the mentioned barrier and moving to a new positive station.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 193.10 and 194.90

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 



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30 05, 2025

Platinum price without anu new– Forecast today – 30-5-2025

By |2025-05-30T12:53:05+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments


No change on copper price’s current negativity by its repeated fluctuation below 50%Fibonacci correction level at $4.6600, besides the continuation of suffering negative pressure by stochastic approach from 20 level, therefore, we will keep preferring the negative trading in the near period, which might target $4.5500 reaching the support at $4.4900.

 

 Note that regaining the bullish bias is conditioned by forming a strong bullish rally, to succeed to breach 61.8%Fibonacci correction level at $4.8100.

 

The expected trading range for today is between $4.5000 and $4.6600

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 





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30 05, 2025

The EURJPY presses on the initial support– Forecast today – 30-5-2025

By |2025-05-30T12:50:54+03:00May 30, 2025|Forex News, News|0 Comments

The GBPJPY pair touched 196.30 level, to face a strong obstacle against the attempts of resuming the bullish attack, which forces it to form a strong bullish rebound, to settle below the extra support at 194.20, announcing its surrender to the bearish correctional bias domination again.

 

The stability below the broken extra support and providing negative momentum by stochastic will increase the chances for suffering extra losses that might extend to 193.10 reaching to 192.45, while regaining the bullish bias requires a positive close above 195.35 level, reinforcing the chances for breaching the mentioned barrier and moving to a new positive station.

 

The expected trading range for today is between 193.10 and 194.90

 

Trend forecast: Bearish

 



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