Price cà phê Robusta greduce myes

Trên sàn London, giá cà phê Robusta ghi nhận đã quay đầu giảm mạnh vào lúc 15 giờ 30 phút ngày January 9, 2025. Cụ thể, mức giảm dao động từ 40 – 63 USD/tấn, với giá giao hàng tháng March 2025 đạt 4956 USD/tấn (giảm 63 USD/tấn). Các kỳ hạn khác cũng ghi nhận mức giảm tương tự, với giá tháng May 2025 là 4877 USD/tấn (giảm 53 USD/tấn), tháng July 2025 là 4795 USD/tấn (giảm 44 USD/tấn) và tháng September 2025 là 4709 USD/tấn (giảm 40 USD/tấn).

Price cà phê Arabica cugh khip kthere kdamp hthanks

Tương tự, giá cà phê Arabica trên sàn New York cũng giảm mạnh, với mức giảm từ 4.05 – 4.50 cent/lb. Giá giao hàng tháng March 2025 là 316.45 cent/lb (giảm 4.05 cent/lb), tháng May 2025 là 313.00 cent/lb (giảm 4.30 cent/lb), tháng July 2025 là 307.95 cent/lb (giảm 4.45 cent/lb), và tháng September 2025 là 301.60 cent/lb (giảm 4.50 cent/lb).

Giá cà phê Arabica từ Brazil cũng ghi nhận sự giảm giá không đều, dao động từ 373.10 – 395.50 USD/tấn. Kỳ giao hàng tháng May 2025 là 395.50 USD/tấn (giảm 0.95 USD/tấn) và kỳ tháng July 2025 là 382.90 USD/tấn (giảm 5.90 USD/tấn).

Gthere cà phê nội địa giảm “sốc”

Theo thông tin từ Giacaphe.com, vào lúc 15 giờ 30 phút hôm nay January 9, 2025, sau 3 phiên tăng liên tiếp trong tuần, thì đã ghi nhận giá giảm sốc vào đầu giờ chiều nay ở mức trung bình 119.100 đồng/kg, giảm -2.300 đồng/kg.

The highest coffee purchase price in key regions of the Central Highlands was recorded at 119.200 VND/kg. Specifically, today’s coffee price at Dak Lak at 119.000 VND/kg, down -2.300 VND/kg; coffee price at Lam Dong has a price of 118.000 VND/kg, down -2.500 VND/kg; coffee price at Gia Lai có mức giá 119.000 đồng/kg, giảm -2.200 đồng/kg và giá cà phê tại Dak Nong Today price is 119.200 VND/kg, down -2.300 VND/kg.

Giá cà phê trong nước mà Giacaphe.com niêm yết mỗi ngày được tính toán dựa trên giá của hai sàn cà phê world kết hợp với việc khảo sát liên tục từ các doanh nghiệp, đại lý thu mua tại các vùng trọng điểm trồng cà phê trên cả nước.

Coffee price prediction tomorrow 10/ 1 / 2025

Việc giá cà phê trong nước giảm mạnh vào đầu giờ chiều nay có thể được lý giải bởi một số yếu tố. Trước hết, sự điều chỉnh giá có thể phản ánh những biến động trong cung và cầu toàn cầu, cũng như tâm lý thị trường sau các phiên tăng liên tiếp.

Cà phê thành phẩm của Công ty TNHH Seed Coffee Đà Lạt. Ảnh: Cẩm Thảo

Ngoài ra, các yếu tố như giá cà phê thế giới, thời tiết, sản lượng thu hoạch và nhu cầu tiêu thụ cũng có thể ảnh hưởng đến giá cà phê trong nước. Nếu tình hình thời tiết thuận lợi và sản lượng cà phê đạt yêu cầu, giá có thể tiếp tục chịu áp lực giảm.

Việc giá cà phê giảm mạnh có thể ảnh hưởng đến tâm lý người nông dân và các doanh nghiệp thu mua. Trong bối cảnh thị trường thế giới biến động, người tiêu dùng và các nhà đầu tư nên theo dõi sát sao các yếu tố tác động đến giá cả trong thời gian tới.

Dự báo cho ngày January 10, 2025, nếu không có thay đổi lớn về các yếu tố cơ bản, giá cà phê có khả năng sẽ tiếp tục ở mức ổn định trong khoảng từ 118.000 đến 119.200 đồng/kg.

Expanding Triangle Forms Near Highs

Nonetheless, today’s low established the bottom of a possible small expanding triangle consolidation formation. It is forming just below resistance around the 200-Day MA, currently at 75.74. This means that crude could rise to new highs but stay within the expanding consolidation range as defined with two lines around the boundary of the pattern that are pointing away from each other.

A resistance zone is identified on the chart from 75.78 to 76.47 due to the confluence of several indicators, including the 200-Day line. Also, there is the bottom boundary line of a large symmetrical triangle pattern cutting through the range.

200-Day MA Key Test of Resistance

Notice that the area around the 200-Day line was last tested as resistance during the upswing that ended with a peak of 79.09 in October last year. That advance ended with a 13.44 point or 20.5% rise in the price of crude oil, when measured from the September low of 65.65. There might be a measured move relationship between the prior advance and the current rally. The current advance saw crude oil rise by 8.36 points or 12.5% as of Wednesday’s high of 75.47. Bullish sentiment began to dominate again following the 67.11 bottom in early-December and that price is used to measure the current advance.

Time Symmetry Established?

The September rally occurred over 20 trading days, while the current advance to yesterday’s was 21 days. That shows time symmetry. Meaning, once the time matches there is the potential for a pivot in the price of crude. That could occur with a retracement or consolidation. It is also interesting to note that the 8.36-point advance is 62.2% of the 13.44-point rally that started in September. That ratio is very close to the 61.8% Fibonacci relationship.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.

XAU/USD Current price: $2,670.71

• Financial markets remained cautious, with safe-haven assets leading the way.
• Market players shift the focus to the US Nonfarm Payrolls report.
• XAU/USD keeps posting higher highs on a daily basis, aims to retest records.

Spot Gold is up for a third consecutive day, hitting $2,678.16 a troy ounce during European trading hours, holding nearby in a thinned American session amid a United States (US) holiday. Speculative interest maintained the cautious stance despite a lighter macroeconomic calendar, resulting in generally stronger safe-haven assets. XAU/USD trades comfortable above $2,670, moving one step closer to record highs in the $2,726 price zone.

Data-wise, US-based employers announced 38,792 cuts in December, a 33% decrease from the 57,727 cuts announced one month prior. According to the Challenger Job Cuts report, it is up 11% from the 34,817 cuts announced in the last month of 2023.  The report adds to encouraging employment-related figures ahead of the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report.

The December NFP report is expected to show that the US economy created 160,000 new positions, another solid figure. At the same time, the Unemployment Rate is foreseen to remain steady at 4.2%. If that’s the case, financial markets will likely welcome the headlines that would allow the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) recently adopted tighter path when they meet on January 28-29.

XAU/USD short-term technical outlook

From a technical point of view, XAU/USD’s bullish potential has increased. The pair posted a higher high and a higher low for a third consecutive day while extending gains beyond all its moving averages. The 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA) lacks directional strength at around $2,638, while the 100 SMA nears the shorter one with a bullish slope from below. At the same time technical indicators head firmly north within positive levels, favoring a continued advance.

In the near term, and according to the 4-hour chart, XAU/USD is also poised to extend its advance. The pair currently develops above all its moving averages,  with a bullish 20 SMA advancing beyond the longer ones. The 200 SMA stands directionless at $2,645.98, providing support. As per technical indicators, the Momentum indicator grind higher within positive levels, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator retreats modestly from near overbought readings, not enough to support a bearish movement.

Support levels: 2,664.10 2,645.90 2,632.70

Resistance levels: 2,678.20 2,692.15 2,726

Created on January 09, 2025

• During mid-week trading, gold futures resumed their gains as investors digested the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee’s latest policy meeting at the bank’s last meeting in 2024.
• Spot gold prices moved to the resistance level of $2670 per ounce before stabilizing around $2664 per ounce at the time of writing this analysis.

According to gold trading company platforms, the price of gold has increased by 1.5% since the beginning of the new year. Similarly, the price of silver attempted to reach $31 per ounce. According to trades, the price of silver increased by 5% in the first trades of 2025.

US Federal Reserve Signals and Their Impact on Gold

Yesterday, the Federal Reserve released the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting last month. The meeting summary revealed two things: policymakers are concerned about the trade and immigration policies of President-elect Donald Trump, and officials are concerned about inflation risks. The meeting minutes added: “Almost all participants judged that the upside risks to the inflation outlook had increased.” And “as reasons for this judgment, participants cited stronger-than-expected recent readings on inflation and the potential implications of possible changes in trade and immigration policy.”  

For his part, Trump has vowed to impose global tariffs and large levies on Chinese goods. He has also threatened to impose large tariffs on Canada, Mexico and countries involved in anti-dollar efforts.

At the last meeting of 2024, FOMC members voted to cut the US interest rate by another quarter point to a range of 4.25% and 4.5%. However, they now expect only one more quarter-point cut in the US interest rate this year, down from the initial estimate of four quarter-point cuts.  

In general, investors widely believe the Fed will hit the pause button later this month. Ultimately, according to the December minutes, officials believe it would be wise to take a more cautious approach to normalizing US interest rates. Meanwhile, this would normally be bad news for gold and silver markets, precious metals remained positive as Treasury yields fell. The benchmark 10-year yield fell 1.2 basis points to 4.673%. furthermore, lower yields are good for gold prices because they reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion.

Stronger US Dollar Affects the Pace of Gains

According to forex market trades, the US dollar is still hovering near its two-year high. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the performance of the US currency against a basket of other major currencies, has risen to the resistance level of 109.06, its highest level in two years. As is well known, a stronger US dollar is a negative factor for dollar-denominated commodities as it makes them more expensive for foreign investors to buy.  

Trading Tips:

Always keep gold in your trading portfolio and do not forget that it rose last year by 27 percent, supported by global geopolitical tensions, easing central bank policies, and their strong purchase of gold. These factors still exist.

Will Gold Reach $3000?

In this regard, Goldman Sachs has postponed a target for gold prices to $3000 until mid-2026 after expecting gold to reach that level in the new year 2025. Furthermore, the bank reduced its forecast on the back of expectations of fewer cuts by the US Federal Reserve. Against this backdrop, bullish bets by hedge funds have fallen to their lowest level in six months, according to Commodity Futures Trading Commission data.  

In general, the gold price index may remain in its current environment until the interaction with the US jobs report tomorrow, Friday, which is expected to show a moderate but still healthy US labour market. Moreover, the data is unlikely to change the view that the Federal Reserve will take a more cautious approach to cutting US interest rates in 2025 amid renewed concerns about inflation.

Gold Price Technical Analysis and Expectations Today:

According to the daily chart and the forecasts of gold analysts today, the overall trend leans more towards the upside. Also, the bulls are cautiously approaching the psychological resistance level of $2700 per ounce, which could support further strong positive momentum for gold prices. The Relative Strength Index and the MACD on this period are turning upwards and there are opportunities for further gains before reaching strong overbought levels. Overall, I still prefer buying gold from any downward level. Currently, the closest support levels for gold prices are $2648, $2625, and $2600 per ounce.

Ready to trade today’s Gold prediction? Here’s a list of some of the best XAU/USD brokers to check out.

• Silver price moves higher along nine- and 14-day EMAs, establishing a bullish bias.
• The primary resistance appears at the psychological level of $31.00.
• The pair may test initial support at the psychological level of $30.00, followed by the nine-day EMA at $29.83.

Silver prices (XAG/USD) continue their upward trend, extending the winning streak that began on January 1. The grey metal trades around $30.20 per troy ounce during the European hours on Thursday. A closer look at the daily chart suggests a developing bullish bias, with the XAG/USD pair pushing higher along nine- and 14-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs), signaling robust short-term price momentum.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has also climbed above the 50 level, reinforcing the bullish sentiment. A further increase in Silver price could indicate growing bullish momentum. However, the alignment of the nine-day EMA with the 14-day EMA still suggests the absence of a strong directional trend in the short-term price movement.

Silver price may face potential resistance at the psychological level of $31.00. A decisive break above this level could bolster bullish momentum, paving the way for the metal to target the two-month high of $32.28, last reached on December 9.

On the downside, immediate support is likely at the psychological level of $30.00, followed by the nine-day EMA at $29.83. A break below this level could weaken short-term momentum, potentially pushing the XAG/USD pair toward the four-month low of $29.82, recorded on December 19.

XAG/USD: Daily Chart

Coffee price today January 9, 2025

Coffee price world All fell sharply after two increases at the beginning of the week, due to the strengthening of the US dollar and high inventories. The strengthening of the US dollar has put pressure on the prices of most commodities, including coffee.

Domestic coffee prices today decreased, trading in the range of 120.000 – 121.000 VND/kg. In the Central Highlands, in the first days of 2025, unseasonal rains almost disappeared and the weather was sunny. These are ideal weather conditions for people to harvest the new coffee crop.

The US dollar rose for a second straight session on Thursday, as US bond yields continued their recent rally, following reports that US President-elect Donald Trump is considering using measures to push through new tariffs.

Speculators have been cutting their net long positions across the board, a major factor influencing coffee prices. The latest Commitment of Traders report from the New York arabica market saw the non-commercial speculative sector reduce its net long position by 3,97% in the trading week ending December 31, 2024. Meanwhile, the London robusta coffee market saw the managed currency speculative sector reduce its net long position by 6,11% in the same period.

The increase in inventories also contributed to the price decline. Arabica coffee inventories tracked by ICE New York rose to a 2,5 yearly high on the day 6/1 reached 993.562 lot. Robusta coffee inventories tracked by ICE London rose to a 3 monthly high on the day 8/1 reached 4.415 lot.

However, the market was still supported by concerns that dry weather in Brazil last year could reduce this year’s crop, according to data from GovermentBrazil’s coffee exports in December fell 12% year-on-year to 17 million bags. The Brazilian Coffee Exporters Association (Cecafe) said there were still delays in loading cargoes due to limited port capacity.

Vietnam, the world’s largest producer of robusta, also saw its exports decline sharply compared to last year. In 2024, Vietnam’s coffee exports of 1,34 million tons of all kinds are expected to decrease by 17,2% compared to 2023. In December alone, Vietnam’s coffee exports reached 12 tons, down 126.000% compared to the same period last year, according to the General Statistics Office of Vietnam.

Vietnam remains the world’s largest supplier of robusta coffee. Despite a 15% decline in coffee production in 2024 due to drought, average prices rose 57% to a record $4.037 a tonne. Coffee exports last year reached $5,5 billion, up 32% from the previous year.

Coffee prices have increased sharply in recent times, according to a representative of the Vietnam Coffee and Cocoa Association (Vicofa). The reason for this is due to many factors: a serious shortage of supply due to a number of factors such as climate change and drought, which have reduced production, while crop conversion has also contributed to pushing prices up. In addition, global conflicts have put pressure on the supply chain, especially when farmers hold onto their goods waiting for good prices after the harvest.

Notes of World & Vietnam, at the end of the trading session on 8/1, the price of robusta coffee on the ICE Futures Europe London monthly delivery term March 2025 turned down 63 USD, traded at 4.956 USD/ton. The monthly delivery term May 2025 decreased 53 USD, traded at 4.877 USD/ton. Low trading volume.

Arabica coffee prices on the ICE Futures US New York exchange fell sharply, with the monthly delivery term March 2025 down 4,05 cents, trading at 316,45 cents/lb. Meanwhile, the monthly delivery term May 2025 down 4,30 cents, trading at 313,00 cents/lb. Trading volume was high on average.

2025 is forecast to continue to see strong growth in coffee demand, particularly in emerging markets and the premium coffee segment, although factors such as climate change and fluctuations in coffee production could pose challenges for the industry.

Countries such as China, India, and Southeast Asian countries are experiencing an increase in coffee consumption. The changing consumption habits of young people in these countries are driving the demand for coffee, especially ready-to-drink and instant coffee.

Specialty coffee and organic coffee are gradually dominating the market, especially in developed countries such as the US and EU. Specialty coffee and coffee with clear origins and sustainability are increasingly popular.

The ready-to-drink coffee market, including instant coffee and pre-packaged coffees, is growing due to their convenience. Coffee pods are also becoming a trend, especially in Western markets.

Climate change may alter coffee production, affecting prices and quality. However, demand for coffee may remain strong thanks to the development of new farming methods and increased attention to sustainable coffee.

Meanwhile, e-commerce platforms and online coffee delivery services are helping to boost consumer access to coffee products, especially in the post-Covid-19 pandemic era.

Coffee demand will continue to grow at a steady rate of about 1-2% per year, due to the growth of new markets and changes in consumption habits in traditional markets. Forecasting global coffee demand in 2025, experts say that global coffee demand could reach 180 million to 200 million bags (1 bag = 60kg), with some regions such as North America, Europe and Asia still accounting for the majority of consumption demand.