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The GBPJPY pair confirmed the stability of the bullish scenario, due to its stability within the minor bullish channel’s levels, to form some bullish waves, to record the initial target by reaching 213.30 level, to rebound temporarily to settle near 212.50.
The stability above the bullish channel’s support towards 211.30, besides providing positive momentum by the main indicators makes us keep the bullish scenario, which might target 214.05 reaching 215.20 level to reach the current channel’s resistance.
The expected trading range for today is between 214.05 and 212.10
Trend forecast: Bullish
Copper price formed some positive trading in yesterday’s trading, to test the broken support that represents a strong resistance at $5.5100, bouncing quickly towards $5.3300 confirming the continuation of the previously suggested negative scenario.
Providing additional negative momentum by stochastic will help it to renew the negative attempts, to expect reaching $5.1500, attempting to press on the extra support near $4.9500.
The expected trading range for today is between $5.1500 and $5.4000
Trend forecast: Bearish
The EURJPY pair remains affected by the stability of the barrier at 184.20, which obstructs the attempts of reaching new positive stations by its stability, to form new sideways fluctuations by its stability near 183.75.
Note that the continuation of providing positive momentum by the main indicators, by the attempt of forming additional support at 183.35 level, these factors make us wait for breaching the barrier and holding above it, to confirm its readiness to record new gains that might begin at 184.80 and 185.45.
The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.80
Trend forecast: Bullish
The GBPJPY pair faced negative pressures in the last trading, by providing new closes above 210.60 level, to fluctuate near 212.10, attempting to gather the required extra positive momentum to confirm the previously suggested bullish scenario.
The price needs to surpass 212.45 level, forming an intraday barrier in the last period, which allows it to form new bullish waves, to target the initial stations at 213.05 and 214.05, while its decline below 210.60 and providing negative close will force it to activate the negative movement, suffering several losses that might begin at 209.15.
The expected trading range for today is between 211.65 and 214.00
Trend forecast: Bullish
The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day’s pullback of around 165 pips from the vicinity of its highest level since July 2024, and climbs to the 158.75-158.80 region during the Asian session on Tuesday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens in reaction to soft inflation figures, which showed that the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target and to its lowest level since March 2022. The data further dampens hopes for an immediate interest rate hike by the central bank amid concerns that the war-driven surge in energy prices could weaken Japan’s economic growth.
Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainties stemming from conflicts in the Middle East continue to fuel inflation fears, curbing bets for further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in US Treasury bond yields, which, along with the risk of a further escalation of the Iran war, benefits the US Dollar’s (USD) reserve currency status and supports the USD/JPY pair.
Spot prices once again showed some resilience below the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. That said, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has slipped marginally below the signal line around the zero mark, with a flat histogram, suggesting fading upside momentum rather than a decisive shift in trend.
Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 48 stays close to its midline, reinforcing a consolidative tone within an overall upward context. Nevertheless, the near-term bias is mildly bullish as the USD/JPY pair holds above the 100-period EMA on the 4-hour chart, near 158.20, which keeps the broader uptrend structure intact.
In the meantime, initial support emerges at 158.20 from the 100-period EMA, followed by 157.65, where the latest downswing stalled. A break below 157.65 would expose deeper retracement levels toward the mid-157.00s. On the topside, immediate resistance stands at 159.30, aligned with recent intraday highs, with a break opening the way to 159.80 and the 160.00 psychological barrier.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.
One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.
Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.
The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
– Written by
Tim Boyer
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Slides as Middle East Tensions Escalate
The Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate came under notable pressure on Monday as investors reacted to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading near $1.3263, down roughly 0.6% compared to the start of the session.
The US Dollar rallied sharply at the beginning of the week, benefiting from a flight to safety as geopolitical risks escalated.
Investor sentiment deteriorated after US President Donald Trump delivered a firm warning to Iran, calling for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within a tight timeframe or risking direct military action against strategic targets.
Iran responded with its own threats, signalling that any US intervention would be met with significant retaliation, including potential disruption to vital infrastructure and shipping routes across the Persian Gulf.
This exchange heightened fears of a broader conflict, with markets increasingly concerned about the implications for global energy supply and the risk of a prolonged disruption to oil shipments through the region.
As a result, demand for the safe-haven US Dollar increased markedly.
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Despite its losses against the US Dollar, the Pound held firmer against several other currencies, supported by expectations that the Bank of England may need to raise interest rates further.
With the UK facing growing inflationary pressures linked to rising energy costs, investors are now pricing in the possibility of multiple rate increases over the course of the year.
Developments in the Middle East will remain a key driver of the Pound to US Dollar exchange rate, but upcoming UK economic data could also influence direction.
The release of the latest preliminary PMI figures is expected to provide an early indication of how the UK economy is coping amid the current geopolitical backdrop.
If the services sector continues to show resilience, it could offer some support to Sterling. However, any signs of weakness may leave the currency vulnerable to further losses.
At the same time, any escalation in tensions, particularly if the US follows through on its threats against Iranian energy infrastructure, could reinforce demand for the US Dollar as investors seek safer assets.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
The EURJPY pair moves away from 182.00 support, affected by the positivity of the main indicators, attacking the barrier at 184.20 which represents %66.8 Fibonacci corrective level as appears in the above image.
Note that the continuation of the stability below the barrier that might push it to provide new bearish trading, reaching 183.40 and 182.65, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will confirm its readiness to form strong bullish waves, to expect reaching 184.80, attempting to reach the next target near 185.45.
The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.20
Trend forecast: Fluctuating
The Japanese Yen (JPY) begins the week on a strong foot as USD/JPY falls some 0.67% on Monday amid an improvement in risk appetite, following the White House’s delay of attacks on Iran for five days and its claim that the US had “very productive” talks with Tehran. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 158.06.
Last Friday, the USD/JPY technical picture was bullish-biased, but the sudden reversal on Monday could open the door to a test of the next key support at 156.46, the March 5 swing low.
Momentum remains bullish but appears to be fading, as indicated by a falling Relative Strength Index (RSI) that is about to clear the 50-neutral level.
If USD/JPY closes the day below the 20-day SMA at 157.91, it would form a bearish engulfing pattern, clearing the way for further downside. The next support would be 157.50, followed by the 157.00 figure, the March 5 cycle low, and the 100-day SMA at 156.16. Below this level, the next area of interest is the February 23 daily low at 153.99.
On the upside, bulls must climb back above 159.00 if they want to remain hopeful of challenging the 160.00 milestone.
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.47% | -0.77% | -0.71% | -0.09% | -0.01% | -0.68% | -0.35% | |
| EUR | 0.47% | -0.30% | -0.20% | 0.42% | 0.59% | -0.22% | 0.12% | |
| GBP | 0.77% | 0.30% | 0.09% | 0.73% | 0.89% | 0.08% | 0.41% | |
| JPY | 0.71% | 0.20% | -0.09% | 0.64% | 0.70% | -0.03% | 0.35% | |
| CAD | 0.09% | -0.42% | -0.73% | -0.64% | 0.06% | -0.72% | -0.31% | |
| AUD | 0.00% | -0.59% | -0.89% | -0.70% | -0.06% | -0.80% | -0.38% | |
| NZD | 0.68% | 0.22% | -0.08% | 0.03% | 0.72% | 0.80% | 0.36% | |
| CHF | 0.35% | -0.12% | -0.41% | -0.35% | 0.31% | 0.38% | -0.36% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
Gold is popular among investors and often serves as a “safe haven”, a financial asset that helps preserve capital during economic instability. Forecasting the price of this instrument requires a comprehensive analysis of economic, political, and financial factors, as well as market trends and macroeconomic conditions.
In this article, we will examine the price history of XAU/USD and insights from professional analysts to develop scenarios for gold prices in 2026, 2027, 2028, and beyond.
The article covers the following subjects:
The current gold price as of 23.03.2026 is $4 391.03.
To assess the current state of the precious metal, the following metrics should be analyzed:
|
Metric |
Value (US) |
|
US Inflation Rate y/y |
2.4% |
|
US Interest Rate |
3.75% |
|
52-Week Range |
$2,880.30–$5,595.46 |
|
Yearly Change |
+19.65% |
|
Recommendation |
Buy |
|
All-Time High |
$5595.42 |
Gold’s medium-term uptrend reversed last week. As a result, the price dropped to the Target Zone 2 at 4,636–4,601. At the end of last week, the metal broke below this zone. Now, the Target Zone 3 at 4,278–4,243 is the next bearish target.
Consider short trades during pullbacks at the strong resistance A at 4,871–4,835 with a first target at 4,675 and a second one near last week’s low of 4,477.
Sell at resistance A at 4,871–4,835. TakeProfit: 4,675, 4,477. StopLoss: 4,957.
Technical analysis based on margin zones methodology was provided by an independent analyst, Alex Rodionov.
Gold continues to trade within a sustained ascending channel, with lows and highs increasing. After a strong impulse at the beginning of the year, the price corrected and tested the dynamic support area, after which the movement stabilized within the trading channel.
The XAU/USD is trading in the $5,100.00–$5,200.00 range above key moving averages. The SMA50 is trending above the SMA200, confirming the continuation of a strong medium-term uptrend.
MACD is gradually declining after the previous impulse, while the RSI remains in the 55–60 range, indicating a decrease in overbought conditions and a persisting upward trend. Notably, such consolidations often precede a new growth phase.
If the current structure persists, gold may continue to move within the bullish channel and gradually shift towards its upper boundary. In this case, the asset may surge to the $6,500.00–$7,000.00 range by the end of the year.
Below are the projected price levels for XAUUSD over the next 12 months.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March 2026 |
4,950.00 |
5,150.00 |
5,400.00 |
|
April 2026 |
5,000.00 |
5,250.00 |
5,550.00 |
|
May 2026 |
5,050.00 |
5,350.00 |
5,700.00 |
|
June 2026 |
4,950.00 |
5,250.00 |
5,600.00 |
|
July 2026 |
5,100.00 |
5,450.00 |
6,000.00 |
|
August 2026 |
5,200.00 |
5,600.00 |
6,300.00 |
|
September 2026 |
5,100.00 |
5,450.00 |
6,100.00 |
|
October 2026 |
5,300.00 |
5,750.00 |
6,500.00 |
|
November 2026 |
5,400.00 |
5,900.00 |
6,800.00 |
|
December 2026 |
5,500.00 |
6,100.00 |
7,000.00 |
|
January 2027 |
5,400.00 |
5,850.00 |
6,700.00 |
|
February 2027 |
5,450.00 |
5,950.00 |
6,900.00 |
The strategy for 2026 suggests opening trades within the ascending channel on pullbacks to dynamic support levels, especially in the $4,900.00–$5,000.00 zone, where the channel line passes, and the SMA50 is located.
When the price settles in this area, you can open long positions with the expectation that the trend will continue. The closest targets are at previous highs and the upper boundary of the trading channel.
As bullish momentum develops, part of the position can be closed in the $6,000.00–$6,500.00 area, leaving part for a possible further upward movement. If the uptrend remains intact, the price may approach the $7,000.00 area by the end of the year.
Sometimes, the price may accelerate and break outside the channel in response to important news, such as increased geopolitical tensions, which boost demand for defensive assets.
An alternative scenario implies a price decline below $4,900.00. This would signal a weakening of momentum, prompting a reassessment of strategy.
Most analysts expect gold prices to rise in 2026, although opinions differ on the magnitude of the move. Some experts foresee moderate gains, while others anticipate a more substantial expansion in the trading range.
Price range: $4,819.00–$8,375.00.
LongForecast expects the price of XAU/USD to rise during the year. In the spring, gold quotes may rise above $5,600.00. In the middle of the year, the range will likely shift to the $6,000.00–$6,800.00 area and continue to expand in the fall. The maximum value of $8,375.00 can be reached in December.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March |
4,819.00 |
5,417.00 |
5,688.00 |
|
April |
5,041.00 |
5,638.00 |
5,938.00 |
|
May |
5,638.00 |
5,988.00 |
6,287.00 |
|
June |
5,988.00 |
6,359.00 |
6,677.00 |
|
July |
6,147.00 |
6,407.00 |
6,794.00 |
|
August |
6,407.00 |
6,856.00 |
7,199.00 |
|
September |
6,728.00 |
7,082.00 |
7,436.00 |
|
October |
7,082.00 |
7,521.00 |
7,897.00 |
|
November |
7,514.00 |
7,909.00 |
8,304.00 |
|
December |
7,577.00 |
7,976.00 |
8,375.00 |
Price range: $5,218.19–$5,714.67.
According to WalletInvestor, the price of gold will rise steadily throughout the year. The price may settle above $5,200.00 and reach higher values, increasing in small increments over several months. Gold is expected to peak at $5,714.67 in December
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
April |
5,218.19 |
5,249.85 |
5,281.51 |
|
May |
5,280.59 |
5,302.68 |
5,324.77 |
|
June |
5,330.62 |
5,346.80 |
5,362.97 |
|
July |
5,364.85 |
5,400.76 |
5,436.66 |
|
August |
5,444.68 |
5,479.78 |
5,514.87 |
|
September |
5,517.23 |
5,538.97 |
5,560.71 |
|
October |
5,562.28 |
5,590.52 |
5,618.76 |
|
November |
5,620.38 |
5,640.26 |
5,660.15 |
|
December |
5,662.05 |
5,688.36 |
5,714.67 |
Price range: $5,202.05–$10,023.00.
Analysts at CoinCodex predict a significant increase in the price of XAU/USD during the year. In the second half of the year, quotes may settle above $7,000.00, after which the range will continue to expand. The maximum value is expected in December at $10,023.00.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March |
5,202.05 |
5,404.06 |
5,655.53 |
|
April |
5,440.43 |
5,801.78 |
6,684.81 |
|
May |
5,761.76 |
6,266.94 |
6,887.90 |
|
June |
6,321.63 |
6,645.32 |
6,993.62 |
|
July |
6,657.25 |
7,150.43 |
8,526.62 |
|
August |
7,139.95 |
7,762.88 |
8,535.46 |
|
September |
7,833.74 |
8,144.05 |
8,578.73 |
|
October |
8,515.89 |
8,981.15 |
9,641.53 |
|
November |
8,706.21 |
9,031.94 |
9,388.09 |
|
December |
9,265.56 |
9,566.24 |
10,023.00 |
Forecasts for 2027 generally agree that gold prices will continue to rise. Analysts predict that the upward trend will persist, with varying rates depending on the analytical models used. Analytical platforms differ significantly in their forecast ranges.
Note: The price ranges reflect the asset's expected volatility throughout the year. Lows and highs may not be shown in the summary tables.
Price range: $7,611.00–$11,389.00.
LongForecast anticipates the price of XAU/USD to rise during the year. According to the analytical platform, quotes will remain above $8,000.00 in the first half of the year, then growth may accelerate. In December, gold may hit a yearly high of $11,389.00.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
7,611.00 |
8,166.33 |
8,870.00 |
|
Q2 |
8,448.00 |
9,235.00 |
10,130.00 |
|
Q3 |
8,782.00 |
9,442.33 |
10,065.00 |
|
Q4 |
9,537.00 |
10,366.67 |
11,389.00 |
Price range: $5,716.79–$6,391.60.
WalletInvestor expects a gradual increase in gold prices throughout 2027. The price will likely move from levels above $5,700.00 to higher values without sharp fluctuations. The highest yearly price is expected at $6,391.60 in December.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
5,716.79 |
5,870.72 |
5,902.64 |
|
Q2 |
5,895.01 |
6,002.79 |
6,042.76 |
|
Q3 |
6,042.37 |
6,180.76 |
6,237.83 |
|
Q4 |
6,239.31 |
6,341.87 |
6,391.60 |
Price range: $9,547.56–$12,325.00.
According to CoinCodex, the price of XAU/USD will increase during the year, with significant fluctuations expected. According to the platform, in the first half of the year, gold will remain above $10,000.00 and continue to rally in the summer. It could reach a high of $12,325.00 in the third quarter, followed by a correction amid increased market volatility.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
9,547.56 |
10,928.67 |
12,233.00 |
|
Q2 |
10,826.00 |
11,330.33 |
11,988.00 |
|
Q3 |
11,761.00 |
12,007.00 |
12,325.00 |
|
Q4 |
10,153.00 |
10,957.00 |
11,844.00 |
Forecasts for 2028 suggest that the gold market will remain highly volatile. Experts link price expectations to inflationary trends, central bank interest rate decisions, and potential geopolitical turmoil. These factors often drive price fluctuations in safe-haven assets.
Price range: $10,246.00–$13,715.00.
According to LongForecast, the price of XAU/USD will grow throughout the year, although the movement is expected to be uneven. At the beginning of the year, quotes will likely stabilize above $11,000.00, then the range will gradually expand, and the price will move to higher values. The strongest movement is predicted closer to autumn, when a maximum of $13,715.00 will be reached.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
10,246.00 |
11,020.00 |
11,803.00 |
|
Q2 |
11,238.00 |
11,892.33 |
12,535.00 |
|
Q3 |
11,428.00 |
12,463.33 |
13,715.00 |
|
Q4 |
11,548.00 |
12,392.00 |
13,267.00 |
Price range: $6,401.76–$7,066.73.
WalletInvestor projects that the price of gold will increase throughout the year. The movement is expected to be gradual, with prices rising from above $6,400.00 to higher levels in stages. The highest level will be $7,066.73, reached by year-end.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
6,401.76 |
6,552.30 |
6,581.09 |
|
Q2 |
6,583.63 |
6,681.60 |
6,720.59 |
|
Q3 |
6,723.07 |
6,861.41 |
6,914.90 |
|
Q4 |
6,922.97 |
7,020.65 |
7,066.73 |
Price range: $10,356.00–$12,175.00.
According to CoinCodex, the price of gold is projected to trade in a wide range without a sustained trend throughout 2028. At different points, the market may shift from growth to a correction, reflecting increased volatility. The peak values are expected in the third quarter, with a maximum of $12,175.00.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
10,356.00 |
10,967.00 |
11,311.00 |
|
Q2 |
10,958.00 |
11,325.33 |
11,635.00 |
|
Q3 |
10,872.00 |
11,509.67 |
12,175.00 |
|
Q4 |
11,164.00 |
11,492.67 |
11,751.00 |
Forecasts for 2029 point to different scenarios for gold price movements. Some analysts predict further growth, while others suggest a gradual decline after gold hits higher levels. These discrepancies reflect the uncertainty of expectations in the gold market.
Price range: $11,574.00–$14,931.00.
According to LongForecast, gold may continue to rise throughout the year. In the spring, the price may rise above $13,000.00, and in the middle of the year, the range will expand and the market will move to higher levels. In August, gold may peak at $14,931.00.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
11,574.00 |
12,246.00 |
12,911.00 |
|
Q2 |
11,761.00 |
12,814.67 |
13,697.00 |
|
Q3 |
12,721.00 |
13,852.67 |
14,931.00 |
|
Q4 |
12,227.00 |
13,143.67 |
14,183.00 |
Price range: $7,076.13–$7,750.81.
WalletInvestor expects a steady rise in gold prices throughout the year. At the beginning of the year, gold prices are expected to remain above $7,000.00, then gradually rise to higher levels each quarter. By the end of the year, gold may reach a high of $7,750.81.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
7,076.13 |
7,230.83 |
7,258.99 |
|
Q2 |
7,257.35 |
7,359.91 |
7,398.47 |
|
Q3 |
7,400.52 |
7,538.26 |
7,590.70 |
|
Q4 |
7,598.30 |
7,700.99 |
7,750.81 |
Price range: $10,540.00–$12,244.00.
According to CoinCodex, after relatively high values at the beginning of the year, gold is expected to decline gradually. In the first months, the price may remain above $11,700.00, but by mid-year, the trading range will shift downward. The lowest yearly values near $10,540.00 are expected in August.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
11,765.00 |
11,966.33 |
12,244.00 |
|
Q2 |
11,229.00 |
11,745.67 |
12,178.00 |
|
Q3 |
10,540.00 |
11,900.00 |
11,365.00 |
|
Q4 |
10,679.00 |
11,072.00 |
11,538.00 |
Forecasts from analytical platforms for 2030 generally predict an increase in the price of gold. In their assessments, analysts take into account long-term demand from central banks, global foreign exchange rates, and investment flows into safe-haven assets. These factors can significantly boost demand for gold.
Price range: $7,753.71–$8,428.46.
According to WalletInvestor, the price of gold is expected to continue its steady rise throughout the year. In the first few months, quotes are likely to remain above $7,700.00 and gradually rise. The maximum price is likely to be $8,428.46, reached by the fourth quarter.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
7,753.71 |
7,907.33 |
7,936.75 |
|
Q2 |
7,931.30 |
8,037.69 |
8,076.38 |
|
Q3 |
8,078.13 |
8,217.48 |
8,273.81 |
|
Q4 |
8,276.06 |
8,378.04 |
8,428.46 |
Price range: $11,425.00–$13,965.00.
According to CoinCodex, XAU/USD is expected to experience significant fluctuations throughout the year, with an upward trend persisting. At the beginning of the year, gold will trade in the range of $11,500.00–$12,000.00, then the movement is likely to accelerate in the summer. Gold may hit a new all-time high of $13,965.00 in September.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
11,560.00 |
11,730.33 |
12,091.00 |
|
Q2 |
11,425.00 |
11,794.33 |
12,872.00 |
|
Q3 |
12,525.00 |
13,272.67 |
13,965.00 |
|
Q4 |
13,069.00 |
13,342.33 |
13,706.00 |
Long-term assessments of the gold market are based on a range of macroeconomic factors. Analysts consider changes in global reserve structures, central bank demand, investment flows, and the overall trajectory of the global economy. These factors can significantly affect the supply-demand balance in the precious metals market. As a result, long-term forecasts typically indicate the general direction of gold prices rather than precise levels on specific dates.
According to Coin Price Forecast, gold prices are expected to rise steadily over the long term. Analysts anticipate a gradual widening of the price range as the years progress. Based on the platform’s projections, prices could reach $21,247 by 2037.
|
Year |
Coin Price Forecast, $ |
|
2031 |
13,746.00 |
|
2033 |
16,620.00 |
|
2035 |
18,155.00 |
|
2037 |
21,247.00 |
Media sentiment about gold can significantly influence short-term price movements, as social media discussions shape traders’ expectations and amplify reactions to technical signals. When the market approaches important levels, the flow of comments can reinforce momentum and increase volatility. At such moments, market sentiment often becomes an additional factor accelerating price movements.
User @AamirFXPro is optimistic about the gold price, noting that strong buying momentum remains and anticipating a short-term pullback to the support zone before a resumption of growth. In this scenario, the current correction is seen as a potential turning point at which the upward trend could resume.
User @FxTrade_master1 takes a more cautious stance, highlighting the strong supply area. The price may decline if it fails to consolidate above this zone. The market may first decline before the trend continues.
Overall, sentiment appears mixed: some traders expect growth to continue after the pullback, while others anticipate a deeper correction.
Gold reached its all-time high of $5595.42 on 29.01.2026.
The lowest price of gold was recorded on 25.08.1999, when the asset declined to $252.55.
Below is the chart of XAU/USD covering the past 10 years. To make our forecasts as accurate as possible, it’s important to estimate historical data.
In 2021, as the global economy began to recover and inflation rose, gold prices fluctuated in response to shifts in monetary policies from major central banks. A strengthening US dollar put downward pressure on gold prices.
In 2022, geopolitical tensions, particularly the conflict in Ukraine, drove gold prices upward again. Inflation continued to climb, prompting central banks to tighten monetary policy.
A tug-of-war between inflationary expectations and rising interest rates marked 2023 and 2024. Gold remained sensitive to changes in bond yields and the geopolitical landscape.
From January to April 2025, gold prices rose from $2,624.61 to $3,499.98 amid escalating geopolitical tensions. Between late April and mid-August, the metal traded within a relatively narrow range of $3,120.83–$3,451.11. In late August 2025, the price rose to $4,381.24 before correcting.
At the end of December 2025, gold was trading near $4,550.00 amid strong demand for safe-haven assets. In early January, the asset stood at around $4,331.00. Subsequently, the price began to rise, setting a new all-time high of $5,593.00.
In early 2026, gold prices were highly volatile. By the end of January, the price had reached a historic high of $5,600.00, but then corrected to $4,401.00 amid strong US employment data.
By the end of February, the price had stabilized at $5,210.00 due to conflicting statements from the Fed about rate cuts. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East supported demand for gold, but rising oil prices and a stronger dollar partially curbed further growth.
Fundamental analysis is typically associated with the stock market rather than precious metals. While experts analyze the financial statements of specific companies, XAU/USD analysts monitor macroeconomic factors, global political and economic news, and various forecasts.
The price of gold is influenced by a variety of economic and geopolitical factors:
Gold is one of the longest-standing and most valuable metals, with mining operations dating back over 6,000 years to ancient Egypt. During this period, gold was a symbol of power and wealth. Over time, gold has become a universally accepted means of exchange and an essential component of the global economy. Its scarcity and resilience to external influences drive the continued demand for this precious metal. Gold’s limited deposits and mining difficulty make it a valuable asset, particularly during economic uncertainty. In periods of economic turbulence, the demand for gold rises as it offers a reliable hedge against inflation.
Gold is a versatile asset, used not only as an investment tool but also in many industrial applications. In jewelry, it is esteemed for its aesthetic appeal and resilience. In electronics and medicine, gold is employed due to its conductivity and resistance to corrosion. In the space industry, it is used to safeguard equipment from radiation. In addition, gold is a favored asset among traders due to its liquidity. This precious metal is regarded as a symbol of stability and reliability, playing a pivotal role in the global economy.
Gold is a popular asset among traders and investors, offering a range of advantages over other asset types.
However, there are disadvantages to investing in gold.
Gold can be a valuable asset in a diversified portfolio, especially during economic uncertainty. However, it is essential to adopt a cautious approach and to carefully assess the potential risks involved before making investment decisions.
We employ a comprehensive approach to forecasting gold prices.
Gold appears to be a reliable way to preserve money during times of crisis and rising prices, when other assets fall in value. Strong demand for gold worldwide makes the XAUUSD pair an attractive long-term investment.
However, gold does not generate interest income, and its price can fluctuate significantly because of market speculation. In addition, holding physical gold entails extra expenses related to storage and insurance.
Although gold is not a one-size-fits-all solution, it can be a valuable asset for portfolio diversification. The XAUUSD pair can help reduce risk and provide protection against inflation. Nevertheless, it is essential to perform fundamental and technical analysis and study expert assessments before making any trading or investment decisions.
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