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27 10, 2024

Domestic and world coffee prices simultaneously increase sharply again?

By |2024-10-27T17:37:21+03:00October 27, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Experts predict that coffee prices on October 27, 10 in the domestic market may increase sharply due to the impact of the world coffee market.

The main reason is that the demand for coffee in the international market is increasing, pushing up prices. In addition, coffee production in some key growing areas is showing signs of decreasing due to unfavorable weather, limiting supply.

In the international market, the price increase of Robusta and Arabica coffee is expected to continue in the coming time. Futures contracts on the London and New York exchanges both recorded steady increases, indicating positive sentiment among traders and the recovery of the coffee market after a period of slight adjustment.

Dự báo giá cà phê ngày 27/10/2024
Coffee price forecast October 27, 10: Will the uptrend continue and how long will it last?

Recorded in the trading session on October 26, 10, domestic coffee prices today decreased by 2024 VND/kg, ranging from 1.200-108.400 VND/kg. Currently, the average purchase price in the Central Highlands provinces is 108.800 VND/kg, the highest purchase price in Dak Nong province is 108.600 VND/kg.

Specifically, the coffee purchase price in Gia Lai province (Chu Prong) is 108.600 VND, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday, in Pleiku and La Grai the price is 108.500 VND/kg; In Kon Tum province, the price is 108.600 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday; In Dak Nong province, coffee is purchased at the highest price of 108.800 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

The price of green coffee beans (coffee beans, fresh coffee beans) in Lam Dong province in districts such as Bao Loc, Di Linh, Lam Ha, coffee is purchased at 108.400 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Coffee prices today (October 26) in Dak Lak province; in Cu M’gar district, coffee was purchased at about 10 VND/kg, down 108.600 VND/kg, while in Ea H’leo district, Buon Ho town, it was purchased at the same price of 1.200 VND/kg.

Updated world coffee prices at 20:00 p.m. on August 26, 10, Vietnam time on the London exchange, the price of Robusta coffee futures contract for delivery in September 2024 on the London floor is at 11 USD/ton, an increase 2024 USD compared to the beginning of the trading session.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10Dự báo giá cà phê ngày 27/10/2024
Coffee prices today, July 26, 10: Robusta coffee prices on the London floor. (Photo: Screenshot from giacaphe.com

Delivery term in November 1 is 2025 USD/ton, an increase of 4.411 USD; Delivery term in January 74 is 3 USD/ton, up 2025 USD and delivery term in March 4.323 is 57 USD/ton, up 5 USD.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10Dự báo giá cà phê ngày 27/10/2024
Arabica coffee prices on the New York floor on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

In particular, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor today at 20:00 p.m. on September 26, 10 increased in all terms, fluctuating at 2024 – 243.60 cents/lb.

Specifically, the delivery term in September 12 is 2024 cents/lb; increased 248.40 cents/lb compared to the beginning of the session. December 2.95 delivery is 3 cents/lb, an increase of 2025 cents/lb; The March 247.50 delivery period is 3.05 cents/lb, an increase of 5 cents/lb and the May 2025 delivery period is 246.15 cents/lb, an increase of 3.15 cents/lb.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10Dự báo giá cà phê ngày 27/10/2024
Brazilian Arabica coffee price on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

The price of Brazilian Arabica coffee today at 21:00 p.m. on October 26, 10 increased and decreased in opposite directions. Specifically, the delivery period for December 2024 is 12 USD/ton, down 2024%; the delivery period for March 300.10 is 0.22 USD/ton, down 3%; the delivery period for May 2025 is 300.00 USD/ton, up 0.37% and the delivery period for July 5 is 2025 USD/ton, up 301.40%.

Robusta coffee traded on ICE Futures Europe (London floor) opens at 16:00 and closes at 00:30 (the next day), Vietnam time.

Arabica coffee on the ICE Futures US floor (New York floor) opens at 16:15 p.m. and closes at 01:30 a.m. (the next day), Vietnam time.

Weather reports in Brazil continue to be positive across most coffee growing regions, with rainfall providing much-needed moisture after the dry winter months. Forecasters expect more rain next week, which should have a positive impact on flowering and preparation for Brazil’s 2025-2026 crop.

In Vietnam, Tropical Storm Trami is moving toward central Vietnam in the coming days after sweeping across the Philippines. The storm could bring heavy rains to parts of the world’s largest robusta coffee producer. It is too early to predict the impact on coffee growing areas, but heavy rains could disrupt ongoing harvesting activities, I&M Smith said.

The global coffee industry has been and continues to face many difficulties and challenges due to climate change which has greatly affected productivity, output and quality. Drought and heat waves have lasted from the beginning of the season, followed by storms at the end of the season.

In addition, geopolitical instability, war, local embargoes between Russia and Ukraine, Israel and the Gaza Strip, and many other places in the world with prolonged developments continue to impact the difficulties of the global economy in the medium and long term. Up to now, coffee prices have cooled down, but the market situation in the upcoming 2024-2025 crop year is still difficult to predict.

Information for reference only. Prices may vary depending on locality.



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27 10, 2024

USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: Fed-BoJ Divergence Triggers Buying

By |2024-10-27T13:46:15+03:00October 27, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • US jobless claims fell more than expected, indicating solid demand for labor. 
  • US PMI data showed growth in the manufacturing and services sectors.
  • Tokyo CPI numbers showed inflation easing below the central bank’s 2% target.

The USD/JPY weekly forecast supports further upside as markets anticipate a gradual Fed rate-cutting cycle and a less hawkish BoJ.

Ups and downs of USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair had a bullish week as market participants focused on the US economy’s resilience. At the same time, inflation figures in Japan eased, lowering expectations for BoJ rate hikes. 

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US data during the week showed that jobless claims fell more than expected, indicating solid demand for labor. Meanwhile, PMI data showed growth in the manufacturing and services sectors. Consequently, there is less pressure on the Fed to lower borrowing costs. 

In Japan, Tokyo CPI numbers showed inflation easing below the central bank’s 2% target, complicating the outlook for BoJ rate hikes and weighing on the yen.

Next week’s key events for USD/JPY

USD/JPY Weekly Forecast: Fed-BoJ Divergence Triggers Buying

Next week, the Bank of Japan will hold its policy meeting and likely keep rates unchanged. Meanwhile, the US will release data on GDP, monthly employment and manufacturing PMI. The outlook for rate hikes in Japan has shifted with the new Prime Minister and incoming economic data. Ishiba noted that the economy was not ready for more rate hikes. Meanwhile, inflation data has shown weak consumption, further challenging the outlook. 

On the other hand, the US economy has remained resilient with robust demand. Therefore, there is a high chance the NFP report will show strong job growth, reducing bets for a November Fed rate cut.

USD/JPY weekly technical forecast: 0.618 Fib resistance poses challenge

USD/JPY weekly technical forecastUSD/JPY weekly technical forecast
USD/JPY daily chart

On the technical side, the USD/JPY price has started a new bullish trend that has paused near the 153.00 resistance level. The bullish bias is strong since the price has traded well above the 22-SMA since bulls took control. At the same time, the RSI has stayed near the overbought region, suggesting solid bullish momentum. 

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However, the new bullish trend is facing a solid resistance zone comprising the 0.618 Fib retracement level and the 153.00 psychological level. Therefore, the price might pause at this level before either breaking above or pulling back to retest the SMA support. Nevertheless, as long as USD/JPY stays above the SMA, it will eventually break the resistance zone and retest the 158.04 resistance level.

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27 10, 2024

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

By |2024-10-27T11:31:31+03:00October 27, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


EUR/USD

The euro has plunged during most of the week, but we are starting to see a little bit of support near the 1.08 level.

At this point in time, the market looks as if it is trying to bounce but there is still a lot of negativity out there, and I believe any rally at this point in time will probably continue to attract short sellers and it comes to this pair, mainly due to the fact that interest rate spiking in the United States will be a major driver of the US dollar.

I have no interest in buying this pair in the short term, unless of course something changes from a fundamental point of view.

USD/CHF

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

The US dollar has rallied again during the course of the week, but it does look like we are struggling a little bit with a certain amount of resistance.

If we can break above the present area, then we could go looking to the 0.8750 level, an area that previously has been important due to both support and resistance, and it’s likely that we could go looking to that area.

I also believe that area would be very difficult to get above. Pulling back from this area could open up the possibility of a move to the 0.8550 level, which is a little bit of a floor. We are in the middle of 2 major areas, so expect choppiness.

NZD/USD

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

The New Zealand dollar has fallen pretty significantly during the course of the week, as we are testing the 0.60 level. Breaking down below the bottom of the candlestick for the previous week opens up the possibility of a move down to the 0.5850 level.

If we turn around and bounce from there, it’s very likely that the market could go looking to the 0.61 level, but quite frankly I think this is an area that should continue to be a massive resistance, and of course, if the interest rates in America continue to spike and of course we continue to see more “risk off behavior”, it makes sense that we will go negative in this pair.

NASDAQ 100

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

The NASDAQ 100 has fallen quite a bit during the course of the week to reach the 20,000 level, only to turn around and bounce rather significantly.

In fact, as we are closing out the week it looks like we are trying to do everything we can to continue to go much higher, perhaps reaching the 21,000 level before it is all said and done.

Ultimately, I think that short-term pullbacks could continue to be an issue, but I also recognize that we have a situation where traders are certainly bullish, and I think that it’s almost impossible to start shorting this index anytime soon.

USD/MXN

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

During the trading week, we have seen the US dollar rally toward the 20 MXN level, but that area continues to be a major resistance barrier.

If we can break above that area, then the market is likely to continue to see plenty of reasons to go higher. After all, the market has a lot of things to worry about right now, and that of course makes the US dollar much more attractive than the Mexican peso which is pretty far out on the risk appetite spectrum, and that of course is the most important thing to pay attention to.

If we can break above the 20 MXN level, that could open up a move to the 20.50 MXN level. As things stand right now, I do believe that this remains a “buy on the dips” market.

Gold

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

Gold markets have had another bullish week, and it is probably worth noting that we have sold off quite a bit toward the top.

That being said, I also recognize that a short-term pullback would probably be the best thing that could happen for gold. Whether or not we get it remains to be seen, but the one thing that I can take away from this chart is that we are most certainly due for some type of dip so that you can take advantage of it.

If and when it happens, I would be a major buyer, with the $2600 level being a massive support level

WTI Crude Oil

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

The West Texas Intermediate Crude Oil market has rallied a bit during the course of the week as we continue to see a lot of back and forth.

At this point, I believe that the $65.50 level is a major floor in the market, and the $85 level above is a major ceiling. As we are closer to the bottom than the top, I suspect that range bound traders will continue to look at each one of these dips as a potential trading opportunity.

Having said that, I don’t necessarily think that the market is going to take off and jump straight in the air, but at this point in time I also recognize that a little bit of sideways and back and forth trading makes a lot of sense.

USD/JPY

Weekly Forecast Today – 27/10: EUR/USD, Gold (Charts)

The US dollar has had a strong week against the Japanese yen, as we continue to see a lot of noisy behavior.

With that being the case, the ¥152 level looks to be a major area of importance, so if we can break above there, then the market could very well find itself looking toward the ¥155 level.

On the other hand, if we get some type of pullback, then I think you’ve got a situation where people will be looking for work value as the interest rate differential continues to favor the greenback.

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27 10, 2024

Domestic and world coffee prices simultaneously increase sharply again?

By |2024-10-27T09:30:59+03:00October 27, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Experts predict that coffee prices on October 27, 10 in the domestic market may increase sharply due to the impact of the world coffee market.

The main reason is that the demand for coffee in the international market is increasing, pushing up prices. In addition, coffee production in some key growing areas is showing signs of decreasing due to unfavorable weather, limiting supply.

In the international market, the price increase of Robusta and Arabica coffee is expected to continue in the coming time. Futures contracts on the London and New York exchanges both recorded steady increases, indicating positive sentiment among traders and the recovery of the coffee market after a period of slight adjustment.

Coffee price forecast October 27, 10: Will the uptrend continue and how long will it last?

Recorded in the trading session on October 26, 10, domestic coffee prices today decreased by 2024 VND/kg, ranging from 1.200-108.400 VND/kg. Currently, the average purchase price in the Central Highlands provinces is 108.800 VND/kg, the highest purchase price in Dak Nong province is 108.600 VND/kg.

Specifically, the coffee purchase price in Gia Lai province (Chu Prong) is 108.600 VND, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday, in Pleiku and La Grai the price is 108.500 VND/kg; In Kon Tum province, the price is 108.600 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday; In Dak Nong province, coffee is purchased at the highest price of 108.800 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

The price of green coffee beans (coffee beans, fresh coffee beans) in Lam Dong province in districts such as Bao Loc, Di Linh, Lam Ha, coffee is purchased at 108.400 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Coffee prices today (October 26) in Dak Lak province; in Cu M’gar district, coffee was purchased at about 10 VND/kg, down 108.600 VND/kg, while in Ea H’leo district, Buon Ho town, it was purchased at the same price of 1.200 VND/kg.

Updated world coffee prices at 20:00 p.m. on August 26, 10, Vietnam time on the London exchange, the price of Robusta coffee futures contract for delivery in September 2024 on the London floor is at 11 USD/ton, an increase 2024 USD compared to the beginning of the trading session.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Coffee prices today, July 26, 10: Robusta coffee prices on the London floor. (Photo: Screenshot from giacaphe.com

Delivery term in November 1 is 2025 USD/ton, an increase of 4.411 USD; Delivery term in January 74 is 3 USD/ton, up 2025 USD and delivery term in March 4.323 is 57 USD/ton, up 5 USD.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Arabica coffee prices on the New York floor on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

In particular, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor today at 20:00 p.m. on September 26, 10 increased in all terms, fluctuating at 2024 – 243.60 cents/lb.

Specifically, the delivery term in September 12 is 2024 cents/lb; increased 248.40 cents/lb compared to the beginning of the session. December 2.95 delivery is 3 cents/lb, an increase of 2025 cents/lb; The March 247.50 delivery period is 3.05 cents/lb, an increase of 5 cents/lb and the May 2025 delivery period is 246.15 cents/lb, an increase of 3.15 cents/lb.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Brazilian Arabica coffee price on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

The price of Brazilian Arabica coffee today at 21:00 p.m. on October 26, 10 increased and decreased in opposite directions. Specifically, the delivery period for December 2024 is 12 USD/ton, down 2024%; the delivery period for March 300.10 is 0.22 USD/ton, down 3%; the delivery period for May 2025 is 300.00 USD/ton, up 0.37% and the delivery period for July 5 is 2025 USD/ton, up 301.40%.

Robusta coffee traded on ICE Futures Europe (London floor) opens at 16:00 and closes at 00:30 (the next day), Vietnam time.

Arabica coffee on the ICE Futures US floor (New York floor) opens at 16:15 p.m. and closes at 01:30 a.m. (the next day), Vietnam time.

Weather reports in Brazil continue to be positive across most coffee growing regions, with rainfall providing much-needed moisture after the dry winter months. Forecasters expect more rain next week, which should have a positive impact on flowering and preparation for Brazil’s 2025-2026 crop.

In Vietnam, Tropical Storm Trami is moving toward central Vietnam in the coming days after sweeping across the Philippines. The storm could bring heavy rains to parts of the world’s largest robusta coffee producer. It is too early to predict the impact on coffee growing areas, but heavy rains could disrupt ongoing harvesting activities, I&M Smith said.

The global coffee industry has been and continues to face many difficulties and challenges due to climate change which has greatly affected productivity, output and quality. Drought and heat waves have lasted from the beginning of the season, followed by storms at the end of the season.

In addition, geopolitical instability, war, local embargoes between Russia and Ukraine, Israel and the Gaza Strip, and many other places in the world with prolonged developments continue to impact the difficulties of the global economy in the medium and long term. Up to now, coffee prices have cooled down, but the market situation in the upcoming 2024-2025 crop year is still difficult to predict.

Information for reference only. Prices may vary depending on locality.



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26 10, 2024

Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024)

By |2024-10-26T23:38:11+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments

What’s next for the US dollar after an incredible rally and a retest of 104.50 resistance?

Find out how I’m trading the DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, and USDCAD in today’s forex forecast video.

US Dollar Index (DXY) Forecast

The DXY is finally pulling back this week after reaching my 104.00 to 104.50 target that I set following the 102.60 reclaim.

It’s been an incredible rally from the US dollar, and one that I don’t think is over just yet.

The reclaim of 102.60 was significant and most likely means a bullish USD through the end of the year.

However, the DXY isn’t immune to pullbacks, as we saw on Thursday.

I remain bullish on the DXY while above 102.60 with support coming in at 103.20.

As I’ve mentioned for the last few weeks, shorting the US dollar is risky business, given the aggressiveness of the October rally and the 102.60 reclaim.

Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024) 6

EURUSD Forecast

EURUSD reached my final target on Wednesday following multiple breakdowns, including 1.1110 and 1.1000.

In a recent video, I discussed how traders should anticipate a bounce from the 1.0760 area, which we certainly got on Thursday.

However, 1.0840 resistance is holding firm today, so there’s no reason to long the EURUSD, in my opinion.

If euro bulls can take out 1.0840 on a daily closing basis, it will expose 1.0900.

Until then, expect ranging between 1.0840 and 1.0780.

EURUSD 2024 10 25 15 58 13
Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024) 7

GBPUSD Forecast

GBPUSD also reached my target this week at 1.2900.

If you saw my recent videos on the pound, you know I was looking for shorts on the 1.3050 retest with a 1.2900 target.

The 1.2900 region is key support for GBPUSD, but was also an imbalance from August 16th.

Imbalances like that tend to serve as magnets, and 1.2900 was no exception.

From here, it comes down to whether the DXY pulls back from the 104.00 region.

While US dollar pullbacks will happen, I’m hesitant to get bullish on pairs like GBPUSD while below key resistance such as 1.3050.

GBPUSD 2024 10 25 15 59 03
Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024) 8

USDJPY Forecast

USDJPY is getting interesting, with a potential reclaim of the 151.00 to 152.00 region.

I just told VIP members a few days ago to watch for a possible reclaim here.

I wasn’t interesting in shorting USDJPY from the 152.00 region for the same reason I haven’t wanted to short the US dollar this month (see DXY comments above).

If USDJPY can hold convincingly above the 151.00-152.00 area going into the weekend, it will expose levels like 155.60 next week.

However, a convincing close is required to flip this area to support.

Until then, caution is needed.

USDJPY 2024 10 25 16 08 18
Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024) 9

USDCAD Forecast

USDCAD is approaching a massive resistance area at 1.3900.

In fact, it extends as high as 1.3950, and dates back to 2020.

It will take a sustained break, preferably on the weekly time frame, above the 1.3900-1.3950 region

Until then, USDCAD is trading below a critical resistance area.

Although we could see another pullback, I expect the eventual (bullish) breakout here to be explosive considering the last two years of consolidation.

USDCAD 2024 10 25 15 53 12
Weekly Forex Forecast For DXY, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY, USDCAD (October 28-November 1, 2024) 10

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26 10, 2024

Will the uptrend continue and last?

By |2024-10-26T21:19:02+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Experts predict that coffee prices on October 27, 10 in the domestic market may increase sharply due to the impact of the coffee market. world

The main reason is that the demand for coffee in the international market is increasing, pushing up prices. In addition, coffee production in some key growing areas is showing signs of decreasing due to unfavorable weather, limiting supply.

In the international market, the price increase of Robusta and Arabica coffee is expected to continue in the coming time. Futures contracts on the London and New York exchanges both recorded steady increases, indicating positive sentiment among traders and the recovery of the coffee market after a period of slight adjustment.

Coffee price forecast October 27, 10: Will the uptrend continue and how long will it last?

Recorded in the trading session on October 26, 10, domestic coffee prices today decreased by 2024 VND/kg, ranging from 1.200-108.400 VND/kg. Currently, the average purchase price in the Central Highlands provinces is 108.800 VND/kg, the highest purchase price in the province Dak Nong 108.800 VND/kg.

Specifically, the coffee purchase price in the province Gia Lai (Chu Prong) is 108.600 VND, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday, in Pleiku and La Grai the same price is 108.500 VND/kg; In the province Kon Tum at the price of 108.600 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday; In Dak Nong province, coffee was purchased at the highest price of 108.800 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Price of green coffee beans (coffee beans, fresh coffee beans) in the province Lam Dong In districts such as Bao Loc, Di Linh, Lam Ha, coffee was purchased at 108.400 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg compared to yesterday.

Coffee prices today (April 26) in the province Dak LakIn Cu M’gar district, coffee was purchased at about 108.600 VND/kg, down 1.200 VND/kg, while in Ea H’leo district and Buon Ho town, it was purchased at the same price of 108.500 VND/kg.

Updated world coffee prices at 20:00 p.m. on August 26, 10, Vietnam time on the London exchange, the price of Robusta coffee futures contract for delivery in September 2024 on the London floor is at 11 USD/ton, an increase 2024 USD compared to the beginning of the trading session.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Coffee prices today, July 26, 10: Robusta coffee prices on the London floor. (Photo: Screenshot from giacaphe.com

Delivery term in November 1 is 2025 USD/ton, an increase of 4.411 USD; Delivery term in January 74 is 3 USD/ton, up 2025 USD and delivery term in March 4.323 is 57 USD/ton, up 5 USD.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Arabica coffee prices on the New York floor on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

In particular, the price of Arabica coffee on the New York floor today at 20:00 p.m. on September 26, 10 increased in all terms, fluctuating at 2024 – 243.60 cents/lb.

Specifically, the delivery term in September 12 is 2024 cents/lb; increased 248.40 cents/lb compared to the beginning of the session. December 2.95 delivery is 3 cents/lb, an increase of 2025 cents/lb; The March 247.50 delivery period is 3.05 cents/lb, an increase of 5 cents/lb and the May 2025 delivery period is 246.15 cents/lb, an increase of 3.15 cents/lb.

Coffee price forecast on June 27, 10
Brazilian Arabica coffee price on October 26, 10. (Photo: Screenshot of giacaphe.com)

The price of Brazilian Arabica coffee today at 21:00 p.m. on October 26, 10 increased and decreased in opposite directions. Specifically, the delivery period for December 2024 is 12 USD/ton, down 2024%; the delivery period for March 300.10 is 0.22 USD/ton, down 3%; the delivery period for May 2025 is 300.00 USD/ton, up 0.37% and the delivery period for July 5 is 2025 USD/ton, up 301.40%.

Robusta coffee traded on ICE Futures Europe (London floor) opens at 16:00 and closes at 00:30 (the next day), Vietnam time.

Arabica coffee on the ICE Futures US floor (New York floor) opens at 16:15 p.m. and closes at 01:30 a.m. (the next day), Vietnam time.

Weather reports in Brazil continue to be positive across most coffee growing regions, with rainfall providing much-needed moisture after the dry winter months. Forecasters expect more rain next week, which should have a positive impact on flowering and preparation for Brazil’s 2025-2026 crop.

In Vietnam, Tropical Storm Trami is moving toward central Vietnam in the coming days after sweeping across the Philippines. The storm could bring heavy rains to parts of the world’s largest robusta coffee producer. It is too early to predict the impact on coffee growing areas, but heavy rains could disrupt ongoing harvesting activities, I&M Smith said.

The global coffee industry has been and continues to face many difficulties and challenges due to climate change which has greatly affected productivity, output and quality. Drought and heat waves have lasted from the beginning of the season, followed by storms at the end of the season.

In addition, geopolitical instability, war, local embargoes between Russia and Ukraine, Israel and the Gaza Strip, and many other places in the world with prolonged developments continue to impact the difficulties of the global economy in the medium and long term. Up to now, coffee prices have cooled down, but the market situation in the upcoming 2024-2025 crop year is still difficult to predict.

Information for reference only. Prices may vary depending on locality.

Sources: https://congthuong.vn/du-bao-gia-ca-phe-ngay-27102024-lieu-da-tang-co-dien-ra-va-keo-dai-den-bao-gio-354954.html



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26 10, 2024

XAG/USD rebounds though remains below 34.00

By |2024-10-26T05:07:26+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


  • Silver trades at $33.64, bouncing back from a weekly low of $33.09 as RSI approaches overbought territory, signaling bullish momentum.
  • Key resistance levels include the October 24 high at $34.29, YTD high at $34.86, and October 2012 peak at $35.40.
  • A bearish daily close could shift bias to the downside, with first support at $33.24, followed by $33.00 and October 17 low of $31.32.

Silver prices staged a comeback after dipping to a weekly low of $33.09, though it remains below its opening price by 0.10% late during Friday’s North American session. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades at $33.64.

XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The grey metal remains upwardly biased, even though it has posted back-to-back days recording new weekly lows. Momentum backs buyers as depicted by the Relative Strength Index (RSI), reaccelerating toward overbought territory. Therefore, the path of least resistance is tilted to the upside.

XAG/USD first resistance would be the October 24 high at $34.29, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) high at $34.86. On further strength, buyers could challenge October 2012 high at $35.40.

Conversely, if XAG/USD prints a bearish daily close, it could pave the way for further downside. the first support would be the October 24 daily low of $33.24, followed by $33.00. A breach of the latter, Silver could tumble as low as $31.32, to the October 17 swing low.

XAG/USD Daily Chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

 



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26 10, 2024

Natural Gas Price Forecast: Rally Sustains Strength Amid Bullish Hammer Pattern

By |2024-10-26T03:06:31+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


Test of 20-Day Line at 2.60 Looks Up Next

A bullish reversal triggered on Wednesday off a 2.21 bottom that successfully tested support around the 200-Day MA (blue). The subsequent counter-trend rally exceeded the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement yesterday before trying to retrace to the 50% level at 2.615.

That price zone is joined by the 20-Day MA, now at 2.60. Before natural gas has a chance to rise above 2.60/2.62 and head for higher targets, it first needs to recapture the 20-Day line and exceed the 50% retracement. Notice that today’s low retraced part of Thursday’s price range but support was found well above the orange 50-Day MA, which was recaptured only yesterday.

Signs of Strength Retained

Despite the recent 26.8% correction that triggered a bullish reversal day from the new trend low of 2.21, the 20-Day MA stayed well above both the 50-Day and 200-Day lines. In concert, the 50-Day MA, a measure for the intermediate trend, remained in an uptrend and above the 200-Day MA during the correction. This is a sign of underlying strength in demand for natural gas that can lead to further highs and a test of resistance around the top trendline across resistance of a large symmetrical triangle consolidation pattern. There are a couple reasons for this assessment.

Underling Demand Shows Improvement

Notice that when looking at the angles of the lower uptrend lines, the slope of the line, that represents the trend, has been increasing. This is due to higher swing lows that have been established since the February bottom. Combine that with the recent rally from the long-term trend indicator, the 200-Day MA, and the price behavior shows improving demand. Next, natural gas either continues to progress inside the triangle consolidation formation or it breaks out. The next potential breakout on the table is to the upside.

For a look at all of today’s economic events, check out our economic calendar.



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26 10, 2024

USD/JPY Price Analysis: BoJ Hike Odds Fade as Inflation Cools

By |2024-10-26T01:26:34+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments

  • Data on Friday showed that Tokyo’s inflation eased below 2%.
  • Market participants are watching the upcoming election in Japan.
  • Economic data showed a surge in US business activity.

The USD/JPY price analysis shows a dim outlook for Bank of Japan rate hikes after Tokyo’s inflation eased below the 2% target. As a result, the yen remained fragile near a three-month low and was heading for a fourth week of losses. Meanwhile, the dollar eased slightly with Treasury yields but hovered near recent peaks. 

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Data on Friday showed that Tokyo’s inflation eased below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target, challenging the outlook for rate hikes. Japan’s central bank has been hoping for higher inflation and consumption to support its rate-hiking cycle. However, weaker price pressure might cause further delays in rate hikes, weakening the yen.

At the same time, market participants are watching the upcoming election in Japan, which might affect BoJ’s policy plans. According to polls, the ruling party could lose its majority status, which would change the outlook for fiscal policy. Such changes could also affect future rate hike plans.

Meanwhile, the greenback remained steady against most peers ahead of the US presidential election. Despite a slight pullback on Friday, the dollar is heading for another week of gains. This week’s rally in the dollar came as market participants worried about the escalating tensions in the Middle East.

At the same time, speculations about the outcome of the November election caused fluctuations. At first, Trump was in the lead, boosting the dollar. However, this changed after a Reuters poll revealed that Kamala was in the lead.

Elsewhere, economic data released on Thursday showed a surge in US business activity. Moreover, unemployment claims fell more than expected. The reports supported a more gradual pace for Fed rate cuts.

USD/JPY key events today

The pair might end the week quietly as neither the US nor Japan will release significant reports.

USD/JPY technical price analysis: Bulls aim for 153.00

USD/JPY Price Analysis: BoJ Hike Odds Fade as Inflation Cools
USD/JPY price analysis

On the technical side, the USD/JPY price has retreated after meeting solid resistance at the 153.00 psychological level. However, bulls remain in the lead despite the drop. The price trades above the 30-SMA, and the RSI is in bullish territory. Therefore, the price has upside potential. 

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A rebound near the 30-SMA will allow bulls to challenge the 153.00 level for a new high. A break above will signal a continuation of the bullish trend.

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26 10, 2024

XAG/USD recovers intraday losses after US Durable Goods Orders data

By |2024-10-26T01:05:39+03:00October 26, 2024|Forex News, News|0 Comments


  • Silver price rebounds after the release of the US Durable Goods Orders data for September.
  • Fresh demand for US core goods contracted steadily by 0.8%.
  • Improving market sentiment could dampen the appeal of safe-haven assets.

Silver price (XAG/USD) recovers its intraday losses after discovering buying interest near the key support of $33.00 in Friday’s New York session. The white metal rebounds after the release of the United States (US) Durable Goods Orders for September, which showed that fresh demand for long-lasting goods declined steadily by 0.8%. However, the pace at which Durable Goods Orders contracted was slower than estimates of 1.0%.

The US Dollar (USD) edged lower after the release of the Durable Goods Orders data, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) struggling to hold 104.00. 10-year US Treasury yields fall to near 4.19%. Lower yields on interest-bearing assets reduce the opportunity cost of holding an investment in non-yielding assets, such as Silver.

The Silver price faced pressure in the last two trading sessions amid profit-booking after it posted a fresh high close to $35 on Tuesday, the highest level seen in over 12 years.

Meanwhile, an improvement in investors’ risk appetite could weigh on the Silver price. The market sentiment has improved as investors start digesting expectations that former US President Donald Trump will win over current Vice President Kamala Harris in national elections on November 5. The S&P 500 has opened on a positive note on Friday.

Also, the visit of US Secretary of State Antony Blinken to Saudi Arabia has slightly renewed hopes of a ceasefire in the war between Iran and Israel in southern cities of Lebanon.

Silver technical analysis

Silver price bounces back from 33.00 in North American trading hours on Friday. The white metal aims to revisit a fresh over 12-year high near $35.00. The asset strengthened after breaking above the horizontal resistance plotted from May 21 high of $32.50 on a daily timeframe, which will act as a support for now. Upward-sloping 20- and 50-day Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) near $32.30 and $31.10, respectively, signal more upside ahead.

The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates above 60.00, points to an active bullish momentum.

Silver daily chart

Silver FAQs

Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.

Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold’s. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.

Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.

Silver prices tend to follow Gold’s moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.

 



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