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Bulls Eye 160.00 As Pair Stages Powerful Rebound Toward 159.00
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– Written by
Frank Davies
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Weak UK Growth Weighs on Pound Sterling
The Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate softened on Tuesday following the release of downbeat UK business activity data.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading near $1.3401, down approximately 0.2% from the day’s opening levels.
The Pound slipped as investors reacted to the UK’s latest flash PMI readings, which pointed to a notable slowdown in private sector growth.
Figures from S&P Global indicated that although output continued to rise, the pace of expansion eased significantly, with the composite index dropping from 53.7 to 51, its weakest reading since September.
The data underscored the growing strain on UK businesses as the Middle East conflict feeds through to the domestic economy. Rising energy costs have pushed up operating expenses, while softer demand has weighed on overall activity.
This combination presents a difficult challenge for the Bank of England, which must contend with mounting inflationary pressures without further undermining economic growth.
The US Dollar strengthened, with renewed geopolitical uncertainty boosting demand for the safe-haven currency.
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Market nerves were rattled after Iranian officials pushed back against claims from US President Donald Trump that recent discussions between the two nations had been constructive.
Warnings that disruptions to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz could persist for months also unsettled investors.
These concerns helped underpin the US Dollar as investors sought shelter from the uncertainty.
The next key driver for the Pound to US Dollar exchange rate is likely to be the release of the UK’s latest inflation figures.
While the data may already feel somewhat outdated given the recent surge in energy prices, a reading that remains well above the Bank of England’s 2% target could reinforce expectations that policymakers may need to maintain a more hawkish stance and potentially offer some support to Sterling.
With little in the way of US data scheduled, the direction of the US Dollar is likely to remain closely tied to developments in the Middle East, where ongoing uncertainty continues to favour safe-haven demand.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
EUR/USD reversed its direction following a bearish opening to the week and closed in positive territory on Monday. The pair stays in a consolidation phase below 1.1600 on Tuesday as investors await Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from the US, while keeping a close eye on headlines coming out of the Middle East.
The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the weakest against the US Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | 0.28% | 0.36% | 0.19% | 0.17% | 0.80% | 0.71% | 0.14% | |
| EUR | -0.28% | 0.05% | -0.07% | -0.11% | 0.50% | 0.42% | -0.14% | |
| GBP | -0.36% | -0.05% | -0.13% | -0.16% | 0.45% | 0.38% | -0.19% | |
| JPY | -0.19% | 0.07% | 0.13% | -0.01% | 0.60% | 0.51% | -0.04% | |
| CAD | -0.17% | 0.11% | 0.16% | 0.01% | 0.61% | 0.52% | -0.03% | |
| AUD | -0.80% | -0.50% | -0.45% | -0.60% | -0.61% | -0.08% | -0.67% | |
| NZD | -0.71% | -0.42% | -0.38% | -0.51% | -0.52% | 0.08% | -0.56% | |
| CHF | -0.14% | 0.14% | 0.19% | 0.04% | 0.03% | 0.67% | 0.56% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).
Improving risk mood weighed on the US Dollar (USD) on Monday and helped EUR/USD gather bullish momentum after US President Donald Trump announced that they will postpone any military strikes against Iran’s power plants following “good and productive conversations.”
However, contradicting remarks from the Iranian side caused markets to turn cautious. Iran’s foreign ministry said that there was “no dialogue” between Tehran and Washington, while the White House acknowledged that the situation was “fluid” and added that “speculation about meetings should not be deemed as final until they are formally announced by the White House.” Highlighting the negative shift in risk mood, US stock index futures were last seen losing about 0.3% on the day.
On Tuesday, the data from Germany showed that the Composite PMI declined to 51.9 in March’s flash estimate from 53.2 in February, reflecting a loss of growth momentum in the private sector’s business activity. Similarly, the Composite PMI for the Eurozone fell to 50.5 from 51.9 in this period.
Assessing the sruvey’s findings, “the flash Eurozone PMI is ringing stagflation alarm bells as the war in the Middle East drives prices sharply higher while stifling growth,” said Chris Williamson, Chief Business Economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence.
Later in the day, the details of the US PMI surveys will be scrutinized by market participants. In case the publication highlights rising input costs because of high energy prices, the immediate reaction could support the USD and force EUR/USD to stay on the back foot.
Conversely, EUR/USD could turn north again, if risk flows return to markets, with Iran and US officially confirming ongoing negotiations to end the conflict and open the Strait of Hormuz.
In the 4-hour chart, EUR/USD trades at 1.1582. The near-term bias is mildly bullish as the pair holds above the rising 20-period and 50-period Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), while remaining close to the 100-period SMA. Bollinger Bands have started to contracting as the price is retreating toward the mid-line, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the mid-50s, consistent with a bullish outlook that lacks momentum.
Immediate support sits at 1.1570 (100-period SMA), ahead of 1.1530-1.1520 (static level, 50-period SMA) and 1.1500 (static level, round level). On the upside, resistance is located near 1.1640, which coincides with the upper Bollinger Band, before 1.1670 (static level) and 1.1700 (200-period SMA).
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
The Euro is the currency for the 20 European Union countries that belong to the Eurozone. It is the second most heavily traded currency in the world behind the US Dollar. In 2022, it accounted for 31% of all foreign exchange transactions, with an average daily turnover of over $2.2 trillion a day.
EUR/USD is the most heavily traded currency pair in the world, accounting for an estimated 30% off all transactions, followed by EUR/JPY (4%), EUR/GBP (3%) and EUR/AUD (2%).
The European Central Bank (ECB) in Frankfurt, Germany, is the reserve bank for the Eurozone. The ECB sets interest rates and manages monetary policy.
The ECB’s primary mandate is to maintain price stability, which means either controlling inflation or stimulating growth. Its primary tool is the raising or lowering of interest rates. Relatively high interest rates – or the expectation of higher rates – will usually benefit the Euro and vice versa.
The ECB Governing Council makes monetary policy decisions at meetings held eight times a year. Decisions are made by heads of the Eurozone national banks and six permanent members, including the President of the ECB, Christine Lagarde.
Eurozone inflation data, measured by the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), is an important econometric for the Euro. If inflation rises more than expected, especially if above the ECB’s 2% target, it obliges the ECB to raise interest rates to bring it back under control.
Relatively high interest rates compared to its counterparts will usually benefit the Euro, as it makes the region more attractive as a place for global investors to park their money.
Data releases gauge the health of the economy and can impact on the Euro. Indicators such as GDP, Manufacturing and Services PMIs, employment, and consumer sentiment surveys can all influence the direction of the single currency.
A strong economy is good for the Euro. Not only does it attract more foreign investment but it may encourage the ECB to put up interest rates, which will directly strengthen the Euro. Otherwise, if economic data is weak, the Euro is likely to fall.
Economic data for the four largest economies in the euro area (Germany, France, Italy and Spain) are especially significant, as they account for 75% of the Eurozone’s economy.
Another significant data release for the Euro is the Trade Balance. This indicator measures the difference between what a country earns from its exports and what it spends on imports over a given period.
If a country produces highly sought after exports then its currency will gain in value purely from the extra demand created from foreign buyers seeking to purchase these goods. Therefore, a positive net Trade Balance strengthens a currency and vice versa for a negative balance.
The GBPJPY pair confirmed the stability of the bullish scenario, due to its stability within the minor bullish channel’s levels, to form some bullish waves, to record the initial target by reaching 213.30 level, to rebound temporarily to settle near 212.50.
The stability above the bullish channel’s support towards 211.30, besides providing positive momentum by the main indicators makes us keep the bullish scenario, which might target 214.05 reaching 215.20 level to reach the current channel’s resistance.
The expected trading range for today is between 214.05 and 212.10
Trend forecast: Bullish
The EURJPY pair remains affected by the stability of the barrier at 184.20, which obstructs the attempts of reaching new positive stations by its stability, to form new sideways fluctuations by its stability near 183.75.
Note that the continuation of providing positive momentum by the main indicators, by the attempt of forming additional support at 183.35 level, these factors make us wait for breaching the barrier and holding above it, to confirm its readiness to record new gains that might begin at 184.80 and 185.45.
The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.80
Trend forecast: Bullish
The USD/JPY pair attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day’s pullback of around 165 pips from the vicinity of its highest level since July 2024, and climbs to the 158.75-158.80 region during the Asian session on Tuesday.
The Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens in reaction to soft inflation figures, which showed that the National Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell below the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) 2% target and to its lowest level since March 2022. The data further dampens hopes for an immediate interest rate hike by the central bank amid concerns that the war-driven surge in energy prices could weaken Japan’s economic growth.
Meanwhile, geopolitical uncertainties stemming from conflicts in the Middle East continue to fuel inflation fears, curbing bets for further interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed). This, in turn, triggers a fresh leg up in US Treasury bond yields, which, along with the risk of a further escalation of the Iran war, benefits the US Dollar’s (USD) reserve currency status and supports the USD/JPY pair.
Spot prices once again showed some resilience below the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. That said, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) line has slipped marginally below the signal line around the zero mark, with a flat histogram, suggesting fading upside momentum rather than a decisive shift in trend.
Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 48 stays close to its midline, reinforcing a consolidative tone within an overall upward context. Nevertheless, the near-term bias is mildly bullish as the USD/JPY pair holds above the 100-period EMA on the 4-hour chart, near 158.20, which keeps the broader uptrend structure intact.
In the meantime, initial support emerges at 158.20 from the 100-period EMA, followed by 157.65, where the latest downswing stalled. A break below 157.65 would expose deeper retracement levels toward the mid-157.00s. On the topside, immediate resistance stands at 159.30, aligned with recent intraday highs, with a break opening the way to 159.80 and the 160.00 psychological barrier.
(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)
The Japanese Yen (JPY) is one of the world’s most traded currencies. Its value is broadly determined by the performance of the Japanese economy, but more specifically by the Bank of Japan’s policy, the differential between Japanese and US bond yields, or risk sentiment among traders, among other factors.
One of the Bank of Japan’s mandates is currency control, so its moves are key for the Yen. The BoJ has directly intervened in currency markets sometimes, generally to lower the value of the Yen, although it refrains from doing it often due to political concerns of its main trading partners. The BoJ ultra-loose monetary policy between 2013 and 2024 caused the Yen to depreciate against its main currency peers due to an increasing policy divergence between the Bank of Japan and other main central banks. More recently, the gradually unwinding of this ultra-loose policy has given some support to the Yen.
Over the last decade, the BoJ’s stance of sticking to ultra-loose monetary policy has led to a widening policy divergence with other central banks, particularly with the US Federal Reserve. This supported a widening of the differential between the 10-year US and Japanese bonds, which favored the US Dollar against the Japanese Yen. The BoJ decision in 2024 to gradually abandon the ultra-loose policy, coupled with interest-rate cuts in other major central banks, is narrowing this differential.
The Japanese Yen is often seen as a safe-haven investment. This means that in times of market stress, investors are more likely to put their money in the Japanese currency due to its supposed reliability and stability. Turbulent times are likely to strengthen the Yen’s value against other currencies seen as more risky to invest in.
– Written by
Tim Boyer
STORY LINK GBP/USD Forecast: Pound Sterling Slides as Middle East Tensions Escalate
The Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) exchange rate came under notable pressure on Monday as investors reacted to renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
At the time of writing, GBP/USD was trading near $1.3263, down roughly 0.6% compared to the start of the session.
The US Dollar rallied sharply at the beginning of the week, benefiting from a flight to safety as geopolitical risks escalated.
Investor sentiment deteriorated after US President Donald Trump delivered a firm warning to Iran, calling for the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within a tight timeframe or risking direct military action against strategic targets.
Iran responded with its own threats, signalling that any US intervention would be met with significant retaliation, including potential disruption to vital infrastructure and shipping routes across the Persian Gulf.
This exchange heightened fears of a broader conflict, with markets increasingly concerned about the implications for global energy supply and the risk of a prolonged disruption to oil shipments through the region.
As a result, demand for the safe-haven US Dollar increased markedly.
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Despite its losses against the US Dollar, the Pound held firmer against several other currencies, supported by expectations that the Bank of England may need to raise interest rates further.
With the UK facing growing inflationary pressures linked to rising energy costs, investors are now pricing in the possibility of multiple rate increases over the course of the year.
Developments in the Middle East will remain a key driver of the Pound to US Dollar exchange rate, but upcoming UK economic data could also influence direction.
The release of the latest preliminary PMI figures is expected to provide an early indication of how the UK economy is coping amid the current geopolitical backdrop.
If the services sector continues to show resilience, it could offer some support to Sterling. However, any signs of weakness may leave the currency vulnerable to further losses.
At the same time, any escalation in tensions, particularly if the US follows through on its threats against Iranian energy infrastructure, could reinforce demand for the US Dollar as investors seek safer assets.
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TAGS: Pound Dollar Forecasts
The Japanese Yen (JPY) begins the week on a strong foot as USD/JPY falls some 0.67% on Monday amid an improvement in risk appetite, following the White House’s delay of attacks on Iran for five days and its claim that the US had “very productive” talks with Tehran. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 158.06.
Last Friday, the USD/JPY technical picture was bullish-biased, but the sudden reversal on Monday could open the door to a test of the next key support at 156.46, the March 5 swing low.
Momentum remains bullish but appears to be fading, as indicated by a falling Relative Strength Index (RSI) that is about to clear the 50-neutral level.
If USD/JPY closes the day below the 20-day SMA at 157.91, it would form a bearish engulfing pattern, clearing the way for further downside. The next support would be 157.50, followed by the 157.00 figure, the March 5 cycle low, and the 100-day SMA at 156.16. Below this level, the next area of interest is the February 23 daily low at 153.99.
On the upside, bulls must climb back above 159.00 if they want to remain hopeful of challenging the 160.00 milestone.
The table below shows the percentage change of Japanese Yen (JPY) against listed major currencies today. Japanese Yen was the strongest against the US Dollar.
| USD | EUR | GBP | JPY | CAD | AUD | NZD | CHF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD | -0.47% | -0.77% | -0.71% | -0.09% | -0.01% | -0.68% | -0.35% | |
| EUR | 0.47% | -0.30% | -0.20% | 0.42% | 0.59% | -0.22% | 0.12% | |
| GBP | 0.77% | 0.30% | 0.09% | 0.73% | 0.89% | 0.08% | 0.41% | |
| JPY | 0.71% | 0.20% | -0.09% | 0.64% | 0.70% | -0.03% | 0.35% | |
| CAD | 0.09% | -0.42% | -0.73% | -0.64% | 0.06% | -0.72% | -0.31% | |
| AUD | 0.00% | -0.59% | -0.89% | -0.70% | -0.06% | -0.80% | -0.38% | |
| NZD | 0.68% | 0.22% | -0.08% | 0.03% | 0.72% | 0.80% | 0.36% | |
| CHF | 0.35% | -0.12% | -0.41% | -0.35% | 0.31% | 0.38% | -0.36% |
The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Japanese Yen from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent JPY (base)/USD (quote).
The EURUSD currency pair is one of the most popular and traded pairs in the global currency market. Its rate reflects shifts in economic conditions across the US and the Eurozone. The pair’s fluctuations are sensitive to the Fed and the ECB, the inflation rate, and global events.
This article delves into EURUSD forecasts for 2026 and beyond, assessing market sentiment and considering technical and fundamental factors. Read this article to get an answer to the main question: Is it worth investing in this currency pair now?
The article covers the following subjects:
The EURUSD currency pair is trading at $1.15948 as of 23.03.2026.
When analyzing the EURUSD pair, it is essential to consider the ECB and Fed decisions regarding interest rates, inflation, and employment in the US and the eurozone. These indicators shape the pair’s trajectory. Historical extremes can reveal important technical levels, while technical analysis can help determine optimal entry and exit points.
|
Indicator |
Value |
|
ECB interest rate |
2.15% |
|
Fed interest rate |
3.75% |
|
EU inflation |
1.9% |
|
US inflation |
2.4% |
|
All-time high |
$1.6039 |
|
All-time low |
$0.8227 |
|
52-Week Range |
$1.0471–$1.2079 |
|
Change over 12 months |
-0.98% |
|
Current trend |
Bearish |
Last week, the euro price increased during a correction within the medium-term downtrend. The asset approached the resistance A at 1.1648–1.1626 but has not yet tested it. Therefore, the correction is likely to continue this week, with the price testing the resistance A. Once it is tested, consider short trades with the first target at 1.1529 and a second one around 1.1410.
If the EURUSD pair breaks above the resistance A this week, the correction will extend toward the trend boundary at 1.1767–1.1734. Short trades can be considered near this zone.
Sell at resistance A at 1.1648–1.1626. TakeProfit: 1.1529, 1.1410. StopLoss: 1.1702.
Technical analysis based on margin zones methodology is presented by an independent analyst, Alex Rodionov.
The EUR/USD pair reached the $1.22 resistance level but failed to consolidate above it, after which it began to decline. Quotes are gradually falling. The support level is located at $1.12–1.13.
MACD is turning down, and the RSI is falling to 35–40, indicating increased selling pressure. The SMA50 and SMA200 are already above the market price, signaling a bearish trend.
The base scenario suggests a decline in quotes with possible short-term pullbacks to key support levels.
Below are the projected price levels for EUR/USD over the next 12 months:
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March 2026 |
1.148 |
1.160 |
1.175 |
|
April 2026 |
1.138 |
1.151 |
1.167 |
|
May 2026 |
1.123 |
1.136 |
1.154 |
|
June 2026 |
1.120 |
1.134 |
1.150 |
|
July 2026 |
1.118 |
1.131 |
1.147 |
|
August 2026 |
1.120 |
1.133 |
1.149 |
|
September 2026 |
1.115 |
1.129 |
1.145 |
|
October 2026 |
1.110 |
1.125 |
1.141 |
|
November 2026 |
1.114 |
1.128 |
1.145 |
|
December 2026 |
1.118 |
1.132 |
1.148 |
|
January 2027 |
1.120 |
1.134 |
1.150 |
|
February 2027 |
1.123 |
1.137 |
1.153 |
In 2026, short trades can be considered after the pair ends upward corrections. Positions can be opened in the $1.16–1.17 area upon confirmation of reversal signals.
Profit-taking targets are located at the $1.12–1.13 support level, where positions can be partially closed.
An alternative scenario implies that the euro settles above $1.18. In this case, it would be better to revise the trading strategy.
Forecasts for EUR/USD in 2026 vary. Analysts factor in macroeconomic expectations, central bank policies, and geopolitical factors, including the conflict in the Middle East. Most analysts expect a choppy market, but a decline in quotes cannot be ruled out.
Price range: $1.192–$1.216.
WalletInvestor predicts growth for the EUR/USD pair. In the spring, the price will likely remain around $1.20, followed by a gradual strengthening. By year-end, the price is expected to reach a high of $1.215.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
April |
1.193 |
1.200 |
1.201 |
|
May |
1.192 |
1.197 |
1.200 |
|
June |
1.197 |
1.204 |
1.204 |
|
July |
1.204 |
1.215 |
1.215 |
|
August |
1.213 |
1.214 |
1.216 |
|
September |
1.214 |
1.214 |
1.216 |
|
October |
1.211 |
1.211 |
1.214 |
|
November |
1.202 |
1.205 |
1.210 |
|
December |
1.206 |
1.213 |
1.215 |
Price range: $1.09–$1.17.
CoinCodex anticipates a decline in the EUR/USD pair. By June, the average price will trade near $1.12, and by November, it will likely slide to a low of $1.09. A recovery is possible in December.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March |
1.14 |
1.15 |
1.17 |
|
April |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.15 |
|
May |
1.13 |
1.13 |
1.15 |
|
June |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.13 |
|
July |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.15 |
|
August |
1.13 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
|
September |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.13 |
|
October |
1.10 |
1.11 |
1.12 |
|
November |
1.09 |
1.10 |
1.11 |
|
December |
1.11 |
1.12 |
1.12 |
Price range: $1.114–$1.195.
According to LongForecast, the EUR/USD pair is expected to trade sideways. In the spring, quotes will likely remain in the $1.11–1.18 range, and by August, they may reach $1.18. However, in December, the pair may decline to $1.14.
|
Month |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
March |
1.120 |
1.150 |
1.183 |
|
April |
1.114 |
1.137 |
1.166 |
|
May |
1.117 |
1.134 |
1.151 |
|
June |
1.127 |
1.144 |
1.161 |
|
July |
1.142 |
1.159 |
1.176 |
|
August |
1.148 |
1.165 |
1.182 |
|
September |
1.128 |
1.145 |
1.165 |
|
October |
1.132 |
1.149 |
1.166 |
|
November |
1.149 |
1.177 |
1.195 |
|
December |
1.125 |
1.142 |
1.177 |
Forecasts for the EURUSD for 2027 remain mixed. Some analysts predict a strengthening of the euro, while others anticipate a decline in the exchange rate amid deteriorating economic conditions in the EU.
Note: The price ranges reflect the asset's expected volatility throughout the year. Lows and highs may not be shown in the summary tables.
Price range: $1.208–$1.243.
According to WalletInvestor, the EUR/USD rate may rise in 2027. By summer, the average price will likely reach $1.228, and the yearly high is expected in the third quarter at $1.243. In December, quotes may decline.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.208 |
1.213 |
1.220 |
|
Q2 |
1.220 |
1.228 |
1.231 |
|
Q3 |
1.232 |
1.242 |
1.243 |
|
Q4 |
1.230 |
1.237 |
1.242 |
Price range: $1.04–$1.16.
CoinCodex projects that the EUR/USD pair may decline in 2027. In the first half of the year, the euro may trade above $1.12, but a downward trend is expected to begin later. By December, the pair may fall to a low of $1.04.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.10 |
1.12 |
1.15 |
|
Q2 |
1.11 |
1.14 |
1.16 |
|
Q3 |
1.10 |
1.12 |
1.14 |
|
Q4 |
1.04 |
1.08 |
1.13 |
Price range: $1.142–$1.270.
LongForecast predicts a wave-like movement for the EUR/USD pair. In the first half of the year, analysts expect the euro to strengthen to $1.27 against the greenback. However, by December, the euro may correct to $1.19.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.142 |
1.188 |
1.230 |
|
Q2 |
1.212 |
1.250 |
1.270 |
|
Q3 |
1.146 |
1.192 |
1.251 |
|
Q4 |
1.154 |
1.191 |
1.224 |
The outlook for the EURUSD for 2028 remains uncertain. Some analysts predict a moderate strengthening of the euro, while others expect high volatility.
Price range: $1.235–$1.271.
WalletInvestor predicts moderate growth for the pair. By summer, quotes will rise above $1.25. The bullish trend will continue, and by November, the rate will reach a high of $1.271. A correction is possible in December.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.235 |
1.241 |
1.248 |
|
Q2 |
1.247 |
1.255 |
1.259 |
|
Q3 |
1.259 |
1.266 |
1.271 |
|
Q4 |
1.257 |
1.264 |
1.269 |
Price range: $1.04–$1.21.
CoinCodex predicts a moderate upward trend. By summer, the average price will reach $1.11, and by year-end, the pair could reach a high of $1.21.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.04 |
1.07 |
1.09 |
|
Q2 |
1.06 |
1.11 |
1.15 |
|
Q3 |
1.14 |
1.18 |
1.21 |
|
Q4 |
1.16 |
1.18 |
1.21 |
Price range: $1.156–$1.244.
LongForecast anticipates continued sideways movement. After a smooth start to the year, the pair may decline in the second quarter. In the third quarter, the price may reach a yearly high of $1.244, after which a correction is expected.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.176 |
1.203 |
1.232 |
|
Q2 |
1.156 |
1.190 |
1.217 |
|
Q3 |
1.172 |
1.214 |
1.244 |
|
Q4 |
1.160 |
1.187 |
1.226 |
Forecasts for EURUSD in 2029 vary significantly. Some experts predict a gradual strengthening of the euro, while others expect a correction after a prolonged bullish trend.
Price range: $1.262–$1.298.
WalletInvestor anticipates a moderate strengthening for the major currency pair. At the beginning of the year, the euro may remain slightly above $1.26. By summer, quotes will rise to $1.28, and by November, they will reach a high of $1.298.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.262 |
1.268 |
1.275 |
|
Q2 |
1.275 |
1.282 |
1.286 |
|
Q3 |
1.286 |
1.296 |
1.298 |
|
Q4 |
1.284 |
1.291 |
1.297 |
Price range: $1.13–$1.26.
CoinCodex projects that the euro will weaken against the US dollar. By June, the average price will be around $1.2. In the second half of the year, the bearish trend will continue, and by December, the rate may fall to $1.13.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.20 |
1.24 |
1.26 |
|
Q2 |
1.16 |
1.20 |
1.25 |
|
Q3 |
1.14 |
1.17 |
1.19 |
|
Q4 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
1.17 |
Price range: $1.158–$1.311.
LongForecast suggests the EUR/USD pair will rise gradually, reaching a high of $1.311 by the third quarter. After that, a slight correction is expected.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.158 |
1.194 |
1.230 |
|
Q2 |
1.175 |
1.209 |
1.243 |
|
Q3 |
1.210 |
1.272 |
1.311 |
|
Q4 |
1.189 |
1.235 |
1.292 |
Predictions for the EUR/USD pair’s performance in 2030 reflect a variety of scenarios. Some experts anticipate a gradual strengthening of the euro, while others predict a slight decline. Meanwhile, moderate volatility is expected.
Price range: $1.290–$1.325.
According to WalletInvestor, the EUR/USD pair will continue to increase in 2030. By summer, the average price will trade around $1.3. By the third quarter, quotes may reach a high of $1.325, followed by a possible correction.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.290 |
1.295 |
1.302 |
|
Q2 |
1.302 |
1.309 |
1.314 |
|
Q3 |
1.313 |
1.324 |
1.325 |
|
Q4 |
1.311 |
1.319 |
1.324 |
Price range: $1.10–$1.16.
CoinCodex projects that EUR/USD quotes will decline. By the end of June, the pair will likely fall to $1.13, and by December, it will likely reach a yearly low of $1.1.
|
Quarter |
Minimum, $ |
Average, $ |
Maximum, $ |
|
Q1 |
1.13 |
1.14 |
1.16 |
|
Q2 |
1.12 |
1.13 |
1.15 |
|
Q3 |
1.10 |
1.12 |
1.14 |
|
Q4 |
1.10 |
1.11 |
1.13 |
It is challenging to forecast currency exchange rates for the next 15–25 years. The global economy, geopolitics, and innovations are constantly changing, making it nearly impossible to predict the price trajectory.
Inflation, employment, and economic growth are hard to predict in the long run. A new reserve currency may emerge, global trade may change, or new financial instruments may appear, completely transforming the financial market. Any attempts to predict the price for 2040–2050 should be treated with caution.
Media sentiment on the EUR/USD pair may influence its short-term trend. A positive tone on social media may boost bullish momentum. Conversely, negative posts may temporarily increase volatility.
User @MBForex offers a cautious forecast: quotes may fall to key support levels. The pair’s direction will depend on fundamental factors.
User @ryukXBT expects the euro to decline. The author believes that now is the perfect time to open a short position. However, a recovery cannot be ruled out.
In general, media sentiment is rather neutral to bearish: traders and analysts expect the pair to decline further, but are monitoring how the price will change near the key support level. Before making trading and investment decisions, it is essential to conduct technical and fundamental analysis and study the latest expert reviews.
The EURUSD pair reached its all-time high of $1.6039 on 15.07.2008.
The lowest price of the EURUSD pair was recorded on 26.10.2000 and reached $0.8227.
To make our forecasts as accurate as possible, it is crucial to evaluate historical data. The chart below shows EURUSD’s performance over the last ten years.
Fundamental analysis provides the context necessary to understand what causes the EURUSD to move in one direction or another. In contrast to the technical approach, fundamental analysis relies on economic and political data that reflect the actual state of the US and eurozone economies. These indicators influence market participants’ expectations, shaping long-term trends for the EURUSD currency pair.
The EUR/USD pair is sensitive to the following key macroeconomic indicators:
These factors have the potential to strengthen or weaken the euro and the US dollar, leading to short-term fluctuations or stable market trends.
The EURUSD pair is the world’s most traded trading instrument on Forex, reflecting the ratio of the euro (the currency of the eurozone) to the US dollar. It attracts both speculative traders and long-term investors.
This pair is characterized by high liquidity, narrow spreads, and quick reaction to macroeconomic news. This pair is particularly sensitive to macroeconomic data, including interest rates, inflation, GDP, and employment data. The decisions of the European Central Bank and the US Federal Reserve directly impact the EURUSD rate.
Meanwhile, the EURUSD pair is exposed to global risks. In times of uncertainty, the US dollar strengthens as a protective asset, while in times of economic recovery, the euro can grow.
Analyzing this pair requires a multifaceted approach, incorporating a fundamental focus on economic indicators, technical analysis to identify entry and exit points, and ongoing monitoring of market sentiment. Such a comprehensive approach makes the EURUSD pair a crucial barometer of global financial health.
The EURUSD is the most liquid currency pair in the Forex market, suitable for short-term speculation and long-term investment. However, like any instrument, it has its pros and cons.
The EURUSD pair continues to be regarded as an appealing investment due to its clarity and accessibility. However, it is essential to exercise caution and always conduct thorough technical and fundamental analyses.
Our forecasts are based on a combination of technical and fundamental analysis.
Such a comprehensive approach enables us to assess the current price movement and the future trajectory of the analyzed currency pair.
EURUSD remains one of the most liquid pairs in the FX market, which makes it a convenient tool for active trading and hedging USD risk. The technical picture and consensus forecasts point to moderate, mostly range-bound movement in the coming years, without a clear long-term trend. In such conditions, return potential depends largely on the ability to navigate market cycles.
For short- and medium-term traders, EURUSD may be attractive thanks to clear support and resistance levels, high liquidity, and available leverage. In a long-term portfolio, the pair serves mainly as a diversification tool rather than a standalone position. The best approach to EURUSD is to treat it as a practical portfolio tool and base decisions on technical analysis and the chosen time horizon, rather than on a single forecast.
The content of this article reflects the author’s opinion and does not necessarily reflect the official position of LiteFinance broker. The material published on this page is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as the provision of investment advice for the purposes of Directive 2014/65/EU.
According to copyright law, this article is considered intellectual property, which includes a prohibition on copying and distributing it without consent.
The EURJPY pair moves away from 182.00 support, affected by the positivity of the main indicators, attacking the barrier at 184.20 which represents %66.8 Fibonacci corrective level as appears in the above image.
Note that the continuation of the stability below the barrier that might push it to provide new bearish trading, reaching 183.40 and 182.65, while breaching the barrier and holding above it will confirm its readiness to form strong bullish waves, to expect reaching 184.80, attempting to reach the next target near 185.45.
The expected trading range for today is between 183.40 and 184.20
Trend forecast: Fluctuating