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12 03, 2024

OPEC sticks to forecast for strong demand growth this year

By |2024-03-12T16:59:17+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Oil prices have rebounded from earlier losses and are trading up $0.54 to $78.46. Crude had traded as low as $77.34 in the aftermath of the CPI report but everything is bid in the past hour.

Helping oil along was the latest OPEC report. There was speculation they would dim their view of demand growth this year because Saudi Arabia indicated doubts. Instead, they continued to stick with 2.25 mbpd this year and raised its economic forecasts. The 2025 forecast of 1.85 mbpd in growth was also maintained.

In terms of GDP growth, OPEC sees global growth at 2.8% this year, up from 2.7% in its most-recent forecast.

Currently the gap between OPEC and EIA demand growth forecasts is the largest since at least 2008 with a difference of about 1 mbpd. That delta will go a long ways towards determining where oil prices end up this year.

For now, crude continues to flirt with $80 but appears to be unable to hold above it. We will get the API weekly inventory data after the US close and EIA inventory data tomorrow.



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12 03, 2024

Forex overview. Japanese Yen Weakens After Five Sessions of Gains

By |2024-03-12T16:12:23+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The USD/JPY pair has begun to rise, reaching 147.33. This shift follows five consecutive sessions of yen appreciation without interruption.

Firstly, the US dollar has halted its rapid decline and shows signs of strengthening. This shift has led to a “pause” in the rally on the currency market. Secondly, investors have already priced in the full range of news and comments regarding the Bank of Japan’s interest rate.

A report from Capital Economics suggests that the yen could transition to steady strengthening this year, supported by several factors.

On one hand, the unions’ ongoing demands for higher wages indicate a stable trend towards price increases while the economy remains relatively stable. On the other hand, the interest rate differential is expected to shift in favour of the yen shortly.

This is probable as the interest rates of G-10 countries are projected to decrease in the second quarter. Japan will likely end its “ultra-loose” monetary policy in April, laying the groundwork for the yen’s long-term strengthening.

Recent statistics reveal that Japan’s GDP in Q4 2023 grew by 0.1% quarter-over-quarter and 0.4% year-over-year, significantly exceeding forecasts and surpassing Q3 2023 figures. Notably, the capital expenditure component for Q4 saw a 2.0% quarter-over-quarter increase, contrary to the expected 0.1% decrease.

Technical analysis of USD/JPY



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12 03, 2024

PancakeSwap V4 Unveils $3 Million CAKE Airdrop

By |2024-03-12T16:06:39+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Last updated:

| 2 min read

PancakeSwap V4 Unveils  Million CAKE Airdrop

Decentralized exchange PancakeSwap has announced PancakeSwap V4 and a CAKE airdrop campaign to celebrate it.

According to the press release, PancakeSwap is conducting a $3 million CAKE airdrop to incentivize both current users and newcomers to explore the benefits of the upgraded platform.

Notably, the airdrop is available on a first-come, first-served basis.

Reducing Fees


The team noted that PancakeSwap V4 has brought “a plethora” of technical advancements and features. They aim to enhance efficiency, reduce costs, and streamline the trading experience.

The features include the implementation of a new contract architecture for pools. In previous versions, each pool was held in a separate contract. But PancakeSwap V4 consolidated all pools into a single contract.

Per the announcement,

“This innovative approach not only simplifies pool creation but also delivers substantial gas savings, with early estimates suggesting a remarkable 99% reduction in pool creation gas costs.”

Moreover, the team introduces a “flash accounting” system to complement this singleton architecture.

Traditional methods involve transferring assets in and out of pools after every swap. However, the flash accounting system operates on net balances, producing a more efficient and cost-effective process.

“By minimizing unnecessary token transfers, PancakeSwap V4 significantly reduces gas consumption, leading to tangible benefits for users,” the DEX said.

Furthermore, PancakeSwap V4 introduced enhanced fee tier flexibility, enabling pool creators to customize fee structures according to their specific needs.

Additionally, it reintroduced native ETH support to enhance gas savings further.

Finally, with the incoming Ethereum Cancun hard fork, PancakeSwap is considering the adoption of EIP-1153.

The proposal introduces “transient storage” for additional gas improvements and cleaner contract designs.

Hitting Nearly $11 Billion in Weekly Sales


Currently, the total 24-hour trading volume for DEXes stands at $8.788 billion, according to DefiLlama.

Total 7-day trading volume is $67.15 billion, with a +26.35% weekly change.

Over the past week, PancakeSwap’s volume increased by nearly 74% to $10.705 billion.

Its daily volume is $1.339 billion.

Both in the 7-day and 24-hour periods, PancakeSwap is in second place, behind Uniswap.

Moreover, looking at the cumulative volume, Uniswap is in first place with $2.371 trillion, while PancakeSwap is in third place with $677.531 billion.

Source: DefiLlama

Meanwhile, the project reported that its total volume in February was $15.8 billion, up $351 million from $15.5 billion recorded in January.

The average daily volume last month was $545.4 million.

Additionally, it had 1.7 million unique traders.

Meanwhile, it burned 1,079,517 CAKE in February.

At the time of writing, CAKE is trading at $4.16, up 2.6% in a day, 25% in a week, and 62% in a month.





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12 03, 2024

BoJ Expected To End YCC and Negative Rates Soon – Sources Say LeapRate

By |2024-03-12T15:25:27+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


According to individuals familiar with the bank’s strategy, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) is anticipated to provide a quantitative outlook on its government bond purchases as it moves away from negative interest rates and its yield curve control (YCC) policy. This approach aims to mitigate potential turbulence in the markets.

With inflation consistently surpassing the BOJ’s target of 2% for over a year, investors widely expect the central bank to elevate short-term interest rates from below zero in the upcoming week or by April.

The sources noted that the transition away from negative rates is expected to coincide with the termination of the YCC policy, which has been keeping the 10-year bond yield at approximately 0%, subject to a flexible ceiling of 1%.

This adjustment is designed to make market dynamics more influential in determining bond prices. However, according to the sources, the BOJ intends to offer details on the frequency of its bond purchases to prevent an excessive surge in long-term interest rates.

One of the sources mentioned, “To avert a sudden increase in yields, the BOJ would need to continue its government bond purchases and issue some guidelines,” a sentiment shared by others.


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Another source added, “The BOJ is expected to utilise bond purchases as a safeguard against an unwanted rise in yields,” suggesting that establishing a broad quantitative framework could be one of the strategies.

The BOJ has not specified a precise goal for the volume of bonds it buys but conducts purchases of around 6 trillion yen ($40.7 billion) monthly to meet its yield target. After moving on from YCC, the BOJ will likely maintain its current bond-buying rate, avoiding any significant reductions for now, as per the insiders.

Launched in 2013 under former Governor Haruhiko Kuroda, the BOJ’s extensive asset acquisition program aimed to stimulate growth and reach its 2% inflation goal. With the target remaining elusive, the central bank initiated a negative rate policy in 2016, imposing a 0.1% charge on banks’ excess reserves, and introduced YCC later that year.

Following the cessation of negative rates, the BOJ is expected to set the overnight call rate as its new benchmark, steering it close to zero by offering 0.1% interest on reserves held at the central bank, the sources indicated. As the exit from negative rates seems imminent, the market’s focus is turning to any hints the BOJ might give regarding the timing of future rate increases.



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12 03, 2024

NASDAQ 100 Price Forecast – NASDAQ 100 Continues to See Upward Pressure

By |2024-03-12T14:39:31+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


NASDAQ 100 Technical Analysis

Take a look at the Nasdaq 100 and you will see that we have bounced around a bit near the 18,000 level, while I record this, we are waiting on the CPI numbers. It’s a pretty simple formula, if it’s bad for the economy, it’s good for Wall Street, and that’s because they are looking for the latest handout. So if inflation comes in hot, it will more likely than not be negative for stocks. But if it comes in really weak, like the economy slowing down, then they’re going to be all about it and start buying again. That being said, I do think you have a bit of a channel going on at the moment.

It’s not a perfect channel, but it is close enough that I think you have to pay close attention. Ultimately, this is a situation where market participants will continue to look at dips as buying opportunities, treat them as such, and take advantage of cheap contracts. The 20 day EMA continues to offer support and the 18,000 level, I think more or less is going to be an area where people pay close attention just because of the psychology involved.



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12 03, 2024

The Market News Today: Economists Anticipate Slight Uptick in Core Inflation

By |2024-03-12T13:53:08+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Will Oracle’s Cloud Business Boost and Strong Bookings Fuel Its Market Competitiveness?”

Oracle Corp.’s stock surged 13% following a robust performance in its cloud computing sector, with bookings far exceeding expectations. The company reported an $80 billion sales backlog, topping analysts’ $59 billion forecast. This growth, primarily from significant cloud infrastructure contracts, marks a pivotal stride in Oracle’s competition with tech giants like Amazon and Microsoft. Despite previous slow growth, Oracle’s cloud revenue jumped 25% to $5.1 billion, indicating renewed momentum in this fiercely competitive market. (Bloomberg)

Is Boeing’s Quality Control Under Scrutiny After FAA Audit Reveals Lapses?

An FAA audit revealed concerning practices at Boeing and its supplier, Spirit AeroSystems, including mechanics using Dawn soap as a lubricant and cleaning with cheesecloth. The report, based on FAA slides, highlights Boeing’s failure in 33 of 89 product audits for the 737 Max and Spirit’s failure in 7 of 13 audits. This scrutiny follows an incident with an Alaska Airlines 737 Max and underscores ongoing quality assurance issues at Boeing, now pressured to enhance safety and quality standards. (CNBC)

Is Bitcoin Set for Long-Term Growth? Top Trader Urges Change in Perspective

A prominent trader, who accurately predicted the 2021 Bitcoin downturn, advises a shift in how we view Bitcoin. He suggests focusing on a longer timeframe, highlighting factors like the successful BTC ETF and continuous central bank money printing. His advice: stop trying to predict market tops and consider Bitcoin’s potential over the next decade. Additionally, he notes a bullish trend in the altcoin market, signaling potential rallies as key resistance levels are breached. (The Daily Hodl)



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12 03, 2024

MicroStrategy Trumps BlackRock With New 12,000 BTC Buy at $72,000 Bitcoin Price

By |2024-03-12T13:07:03+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


MicroStrategy, under the leadership of CEO Michael Saylor, has made a significant move on the cryptocurrency market with its recent acquisition of an additional 12,000 Bitcoin for approximately $821.7 million. The purchase, funded by proceeds from convertible notes and excess cash, was executed at an average price of $68,477 per Bitcoin.

This brings MicroStrategy’s total Bitcoin holdings to 205,000, acquired at an average price of $33,706 per BTC, totaling roughly $6.91 billion as of March 10, 2024.

With this latest acquisition, MicroStrategy has surpassed financial powerhouse BlackRock in terms of Bitcoin holdings on its balance sheet. While BlackRock holds 195,985.31 Bitcoins through its IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust, MicroStrategy’s increased holdings now stand at 205,000 BTC.

Bitcoin hits $72,000

The timing of MicroStrategy’s acquisition aligns with Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high of $72,226 per coin, signaling the growing acceptance and adoption of Bitcoin as a legitimate asset class. MicroStrategy’s decision to accumulate Bitcoin as a treasury reserve asset underscores its strategic approach to investment management.

BTC to USD by CoinMarketCap

This development reaffirms MicroStrategy’s commitment to Bitcoin as a long-term investment strategy, positioning the company as a trailblazer in corporate cryptocurrency adoption. As Bitcoin’s value continues to rise, MicroStrategy’s financial decisions are garnering attention within both traditional and digital asset markets.





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12 03, 2024

US February NFIB small business optimism index 89.4 vs 89.9 prior

By |2024-03-12T12:18:59+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


The drop last month indicates a more tepid mood among small businesses in the US to start the year. The reading is the 26th consecutive month below the 50-year average of 98, so that provides some colour to the data over the last two years. On the inflation front, only 21% of owners are expecting to raise their average selling prices and that is the lowest since January 2021. That should be some good news for the Fed at least. However, employment conditions are softening and that is one to keep an eye out for in the months ahead.

This article was written by Justin Low at www.forexlive.com.



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12 03, 2024

USD/JPY Forecast. Undermining the yen

By |2024-03-12T11:31:50+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Events to pay attention to today:

14:30 EET. USD – CPI m/m

USDJPY:

In Tuesday’s Asian session, the Japanese yen (JPY) continues to perform well against the US dollar. This is due to the rise in Tokyo’s consumer price index last week, the upward revision of fourth-quarter GDP data on Monday, and the higher-than-expected increase in Japan’s producer price index (PPI) in February. There are hopes that a significant wage increase in Japan will boost consumer spending and demand-driven inflation, confirming predictions of an imminent policy change by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and weakening the yen.

In contrast, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is expected to begin reducing interest rates in June, which will not aid the US Dollar (USD) in capitalizing on its recovery from its lowest level since mid-February, which was reached last Friday. This, in turn, could limit the upside for the USD/JPY pair. Traders are currently hesitant to make aggressive directional bets and are waiting for the latest US consumer inflation data to be released later on Tuesday. The all-important US CPI figure will provide additional information on the timing and pace of Fed rate cuts, which will stimulate demand for the USD and provide fresh impetus.

Trade recommendation: Trading predominantly Sell orders from the current price level

Undermining the yen

Origin: FreshForex

 



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12 03, 2024

Will Ethereum Layer 2’s Scroll be the next big airdrop? The new Scroll-based ve(3.3) DEX, Skydrome, is making waves in the DeFi space.

By |2024-03-12T11:30:52+02:00March 12, 2024|Forex News|0 Comments


Will Ethereum Layer 2’s Scroll be the next big airdrop? The new Scroll-based ve(3.3) DEX, Skydrome, is making waves in the DeFi space.

Scroll: The Hidden Gem Among Airdrop Farmers?

The bull market seems to be taking off now, and crypto is full of new airdrops. Traders recently got lucky with the Manta Layer2 airdrop, farming blast points, and soon after, the Wormhole airdrop, which was very generous.

The emerging layer 2 blockchain, Scroll seems to be another contender, even though it appears vastly under-farmed according to a few influencers on Twitter.

Scroll, which has raised a total funding of $80 million from investors like Sequoia Capital and Qiming Venture Partners, has secretly amassed a total value bridged of $147 million USD according to L2Beat.

Airdrop farmers are attempting to use various apps and perform activities on the Scroll blockchain to position themselves for a potential airdrop as soon as the native token launches.

Whether airdrop farmers will get lucky on Scroll is highly speculative, since Scroll itself has not initiated any campaigns or points campaigns hinting at airdrops.

In fact, the team behind Scroll seems to stay away from flashy airdrop marketing and focuses mostly on contributors and builders. Perhaps this even presents a chance for a bigger drop, since it’s vastly unexpected.

Skydrome: New innovative ve3.3 DEX on Scroll blockchain

Before the Scroll hype takes off, which is expected in the coming weeks, one should check out another interesting project on the Scroll blockchain called Skydrome.

The decentralised exchange Skydrome aims to become a liquidity flywheel on the Scroll blockchain through its novel ve(3.3) tokenomics design. Its project token, $SKY, has emerged as the number one traded native token on the blockchain, boasting a current valuation of around $1.7M at the time of writing.

While the Skydrome team is different from the Velodrome/Aerodrome team, it shares the same goal: to become the leading ve(3.3) exchange on its own underlying layer 2 blockchain.

Velodrome and Aerodrome have pioneered this concept quite successfully on the Optimism and Base Blockchains, amassing valuations of $145M and $359M, respectively.

Whether Skydrome (valued at $1.7M), can achieve similar success remains to be seen.

Can Skydrome achieve similar success to Aerodrome/Velodrome?

The Skydrome ve(3.3)-powered decentralised exchange launched in October on Scroll Mainnet and has been live since day one. It was actually the first project that deployed their smart contracts onto the Scroll network.

As the official ecosystem partner of Scroll, Skydrome received a Quintic Builders NFT from Scroll Team as a token of appreciation for their contribution to the Scroll ecosystem. Whether this NFT will be worth something at some point in time remains to be seen.

So far, the Skydrome protocol contracts have processed more than 400k+ transactions and accumulated more than 4k+ holders.

Their unique ve(3.3) game theory models ensure that incentives are fully aligned between traders and liquidity providers in the ecosystem, making this DEX a new generation of incentive design within the DeFi sphere.

This concept was originally invented by Andre Cronje with a project called Solidly. Since then, the project has been forked several times and has been more famously adopted by big players like Aerodrome and Velodrome on Base and Optimism.

Skydrome is trying to do the same thing on the Scroll Layer 2 blockchain.

Skydrome: The Journey So Far

Their team is currently building up liquidity for the project but has not activated the ve(3.3) feature yet. As soon as Scroll launches their native token and more liquidity flows into the ecosystem, and the team activates the ve(3.3), this could become a major success within the ecosystem.

Skydrome has established a formidable presence in the crypto industry by forging strategic partnerships with influential entities such as rhino.fi, OKX, Orbiter Finance, Axelar, and Symbiosis, building an extensive network that enhances its ecosystem.

To guarantee the security of its operations, Skydrome has undergone rigorous audits by Solidproof and Defimoon, underscoring its commitment to safety and reliability.

Furthermore, Skydrome’s tokens are currently available for trading on prominent platforms including MEXC Global and Izumi, in addition to its own native exchange, showcasing its growing accessibility and appeal within the market.

There are also rumours of another CEX listing coming soon.

Given the early stage of the project, as well as the significant market opportunity for Scroll, the project seems to have a lot of room for growth. It will be interesting once Scroll launches their native token, and users can position themselves accordingly.

The SKY token can be bought on the Skydrome native DEX on Scroll or on MEXC Global. 

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